In March 2012, an algorithm for the treatment of intertrochanteric fractures of the hip was introduced in our academic department of Orthopaedic Surgery. It included the use of specified implants for particular patterns of fracture. In this cohort study, 102 consecutive patients presenting with an intertrochanteric fracture were followed prospectively (post-algorithm group). Another 117 consecutive patients who had been treated immediately prior to the implementation of the algorithm were identified retrospectively as a control group (pre-algorithm group). The total cost of the implants prior to implementation of the algorithm was $357 457 (mean: $3055 (1947 to 4133)); compared with $255 120 (mean: $2501 (1052 to 4133)) after its implementation. There was a trend toward fewer complications in patients who were treated using the algorithm (33% pre- versus 22.5% post-algorithm; p = 0.088). Application of the algorithm to the pre-algorithm group revealed a potential overall cost saving of $70 295. The implementation of an evidence-based algorithm for the treatment of intertrochanteric fractures reduced costs while maintaining quality of care with a lower rate of complications and re-admissions. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014;96-B:1192–7

Aims. To develop prediction models using machine-learning (ML) algorithms for 90-day and one-year mortality prediction in femoral neck fracture (FNF) patients aged 50 years or older based on the Hip fracture Evaluation with Alternatives of Total Hip arthroplasty versus Hemiarthroplasty (HEALTH) and Fixation using Alternative Implants for the Treatment of Hip fractures (FAITH) trials. Methods. This study included 2,388 patients from the HEALTH and FAITH trials, with 90-day and one-year mortality proportions of 3.0% (71/2,388) and 6.4% (153/2,388), respectively. The mean age was 75.9 years (SD 10.8) and 65.9% of patients (1,574/2,388) were female. The algorithms included patient and injury characteristics. Six algorithms were developed, internally validated and evaluated across discrimination (c-statistic; discriminative ability between those with risk of mortality and those without), calibration (observed outcome compared to the predicted probability), and the Brier score (composite of discrimination and calibration). Results. The developed algorithms distinguished between patients at high and low risk for 90-day and one-year mortality. The penalized logistic regression algorithm had the best performance metrics for both 90-day (c-statistic 0.80, calibration slope 0.95, calibration intercept -0.06, and Brier score 0.039) and one-year (c-statistic 0.76, calibration slope 0.86, calibration intercept -0.20, and Brier score 0.074) mortality prediction in the hold-out set. Conclusion. Using high-quality data, the ML-based prediction models accurately predicted 90-day and one-year mortality in patients aged 50 years or older with a FNF. The final models must be externally validated to assess generalizability to other populations, and prospectively evaluated in the process of shared decision-making. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(3):168–181

Aims. Precise implant positioning, tailored to individual spinopelvic biomechanics and phenotype, is paramount for stability in total hip arthroplasty (THA). Despite a few studies on instability prediction, there is a notable gap in research utilizing artificial intelligence (AI). The objective of our pilot study was to evaluate the feasibility of developing an AI algorithm tailored to individual spinopelvic mechanics and patient phenotype for predicting impingement. Methods. This international, multicentre prospective cohort study across two centres encompassed 157 adults undergoing primary robotic arm-assisted THA. Impingement during specific flexion and extension stances was identified using the virtual range of motion (ROM) tool of the robotic software. The primary AI model, the Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LGBM), used tabular data to predict impingement presence, direction (flexion or extension), and type. A secondary model integrating tabular data with plain anteroposterior pelvis radiographs was evaluated to assess for any potential enhancement in prediction accuracy. Results. We identified nine predictors from an analysis of baseline spinopelvic characteristics and surgical planning parameters. Using fivefold cross-validation, the LGBM achieved 70.2% impingement prediction accuracy. With impingement data, the LGBM estimated direction with 85% accuracy, while the support vector machine (SVM) determined impingement type with 72.9% accuracy. After integrating imaging data with a multilayer perceptron (tabular) and a convolutional neural network (radiograph), the LGBM’s prediction was 68.1%. Both combined and LGBM-only had similar impingement direction prediction rates (around 84.5%). Conclusion. This study is a pioneering effort in leveraging AI for impingement prediction in THA, utilizing a comprehensive, real-world clinical dataset. Our machine-learning algorithm demonstrated promising accuracy in predicting impingement, its type, and direction. While the addition of imaging data to our deep-learning algorithm did not boost accuracy, the potential for refined annotations, such as landmark markings, offers avenues for future enhancement. Prior to clinical integration, external validation and larger-scale testing of this algorithm are essential. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(8):671–680

Dislocation following revision THA remains a leading cause of failure. Integrity of the abductor muscles is a major contributor to stability. Large diameter heads (LDH), Dual Mobility (DM) and Constrained Acetabular Liners (CAL) are enhanced stability options but the indication for these choices remains unclear. We assessed an algorithm based on Gluteus Medius (GM) deficiency to determine bearing selection. Default choice with no GM damage was a LDH. GM deficiency with posterior muscle intact received DM and CAL for GM complete deficiency with loss of posterior muscle. Consecutive revision THA series followed to determine dislocation, all-cause re-revision and Oxford Hip Score (OHS). 311 revision THA with mean age 70 years (32–95). At a mean follow-up of 4.8 years overall dislocation rate 4.1% (95%CI 2.4–7.0) and survivorship free of re-revision 94.2% (95%CI 96.3–91.0). Outcomes:. Group 1 - LDH (36 & 40mm) n=164 / 4 dislocations / 7 re-revisions. Group 2 - DM n=73 / 3 dislocations / 4 re-revisions. Group 3 - CAL n=58 / 5 dislocations / 7 re-revisions. Group 4 - Other (28 & 32mm) n=16 / 1 dislocation / no re-revisions. Mean pre-op OHS: 19.6 (2–47) and mean post-op OHS: 33.9 (4–48). Kaplan-Meier analysis at 60 months dislocation-free survival was 96.1% (95% CI: 93.0–97.8). There was no difference between survival distributions comparing bearing choice (p=0.46). Decision making tools to guide selection are limited and in addition soft tissue deficiency has been poorly defined. The posterior vertical fibres of GM have the greatest lateral stabiliser effect on the hip. The algorithm we have used clearly defined indication & implant selection. We believe our outcomes support the use of an enhanced stability bearing selection algorithm

Aims. The aim of this study was to evaluate the reliability and validity of a patient-specific algorithm which we developed for predicting changes in sagittal pelvic tilt after total hip arthroplasty (THA). Methods. This retrospective study included 143 patients who underwent 171 THAs between April 2019 and October 2020 and had full-body lateral radiographs preoperatively and at one year postoperatively. We measured the pelvic incidence (PI), the sagittal vertical axis (SVA), pelvic tilt, sacral slope (SS), lumbar lordosis (LL), and thoracic kyphosis to classify patients into types A, B1, B2, B3, and C. The change of pelvic tilt was predicted according to the normal range of SVA (0 mm to 50 mm) for types A, B1, B2, and B3, and based on the absolute value of one-third of the PI-LL mismatch for type C patients. The reliability of the classification of the patients and the prediction of the change of pelvic tilt were assessed using kappa values and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs), respectively. Validity was assessed using the overall mean error and mean absolute error (MAE) for the prediction of the change of pelvic tilt. Results. The kappa values were 0.927 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.861 to 0.992) and 0.945 (95% CI 0.903 to 0.988) for the inter- and intraobserver reliabilities, respectively, and the ICCs ranged from 0.919 to 0.997. The overall mean error and MAE for the prediction of the change of pelvic tilt were -0.3° (SD 3.6°) and 2.8° (SD 2.4°), respectively. The overall absolute change of pelvic tilt was 5.0° (SD 4.1°). Pre- and postoperative values and changes in pelvic tilt, SVA, SS, and LL varied significantly among the five types of patient. Conclusion. We found that the proposed algorithm was reliable and valid for predicting the standing pelvic tilt after THA. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(1):19–27

The Paprosky acetabular bone defect classification system and related algorithms for acetabular reconstruction cannot properly guide cementless acetabular reconstruction in the presence of porous metal augments. We aimed to introduce a rim, points, and column (RPC)-oriented cementless acetabular reconstruction algorithm and its clinical and radiographic outcomes. A total of 123 patients (128 hips) were enrolled. A minimum 5-year radiographic follow-up was available for 96 (75.8%) hips. The mean clinical and radiographic follow-up durations were 6.8±0.9 (range: 5.2–9.2) and 6.3±1.9 (range: 5.0–9.2) years, respectively. Harris hip score (HHS) improved significantly from 35.39±9.91 preoperatively to 85.98±12.81 postoperatively (P<0.001). Among the fixation modes, 42 (32.8%) hips were reconstructed with rim fixation, 42 (32.8%) with three-point fixation without point reconstruction, 40 (31.3%) with three-point fixation combined with point reconstruction, and 4 (3.1%) with three-point fixation combined with pelvic distraction. Complementary medial wall reconstruction was performed in 20 (15.6%) patients. All acetabular components were radiographically stable. Nine-year cumulative Kaplan–Meier survival rates for 123 patients with the endpoint defined as periprosthetic joint infection, any reoperation, and dissatisfaction were 96.91% (confidence interval [CI]: 86.26%, 99.34%), 97.66% (CI: 92.91%, 99.24%), and 96.06% (CI: 86.4%, 98.89%), respectively. Cup stability in cementless acetabular reconstruction depends on rim or three-point fixation. The continuity of the anterior and posterior columns determines whether the points provide adequate stability to the cup. Medial wall reconstruction is an important complementary fixation method for rim or three-point fixation. The patients who underwent cementless acetabular reconstruction guided by the RPC decision-making algorithm demonstrated satisfactory mid-term clinical function, satisfaction levels, radiographic results, and complication rates

Introduction. Instability remains a common complication following total hip arthroplasty (THA) and continues to account for the highest percentage of revisions in numerous registries. Many risk factors have been described, yet a patient-specific risk assessment tool remains elusive. The purpose of this study was to apply a machine learning algorithm to develop a patient-specific risk score capable of dynamic adjustment based on operative decisions. Methods. 22,086 THA performed between 1998–2018 were evaluated. 632 THA sustained a postoperative dislocation (2.9%). Patients were robustly characterized based on non-modifiable factors: demographics, THA indication, spinal disease, spine surgery, neurologic disease, connective tissue disease; and modifiable operative decisions: surgical approach, femoral head size, acetabular liner (standard/elevated/constrained/dual-mobility). Models were built with a binary outcome (event/no event) at 1-year and 5-year postoperatively. Inverse Probability Censoring Weighting accounted for censoring bias. An ensemble algorithm was created that included Generalized Linear Model, Generalized Additive Model, Lasso Penalized Regression, Kernel-Based Support Vector Machines, Random Forest and Optimized Gradient Boosting Machine. Convex combination of weights minimized the negative binomial log-likelihood loss function. Ten-fold cross-validation accounted for the rarity of dislocation events. Results. The 1-year model achieved an area under the curve (AUC)=0.63, sensitivity=70%, specificity=50%, positive predictive value (PPV)=3% and negative predictive value (NPV)=99%. The 5-year model achieved an AUC=0.62, sensitivity=69%, specificity=51%, PPV=7% and NPV=97%. All cohort-level accuracy metrics performed better than chance. The two most influential predictors in the model were surgical approach and acetabular liner. Conclusions. This machine learning algorithm demonstrates high sensitivity and NPV, suggesting screening tool utility. The model is strengthened by a multivariable dataset portending differential dislocation risk. Two modifiable variables (approach and acetabular liner) were the most influential in dislocation risk. Calculator utilization in “app” form could enable individualized risk prognostication. Furthermore, algorithm development through machine learning facilitates perpetual model performance enhancement with future data input

Aims. Total hip arthroplasty (THA) in patients with post-polio residual paralysis (PPRP) is challenging. Despite relief in pain after THA, pre-existing muscle imbalance and altered gait may cause persistence of difficulty in walking. The associated soft tissue contractures not only imbalances the pelvis, but also poses the risk of dislocation, accelerated polyethylene liner wear, and early loosening. Methods. In all, ten hips in ten patients with PPRP with fixed pelvic obliquity who underwent THA as per an algorithmic approach in two centres from January 2014 to March 2018 were followed-up for a minimum of two years (2 to 6). All patients required one or more additional soft tissue procedures in a pre-determined sequence to correct the pelvic obliquity. All were invited for the latest clinical and radiological assessment. Results. The mean Harris Hip Score at the latest follow-up was 79.2 (68 to 90). There was significant improvement in the coronal pelvic obliquity from 16.6. o. (SD 7.9. o. ) to 1.8. o. (SD 2.4. o. ; p < 0.001). Radiographs of all ten hips showed stable prostheses with no signs of loosening or migration, regardless of whether paralytic or non-paralytic hip was replaced. No complications, including dislocation or infection related to the surgery, were observed in any patient. The subtrochanteric shortening osteotomy done in two patients had united by nine months. Conclusion. Simultaneous correction of soft tissue contractures is necessary for obtaining a stable hip with balanced pelvis while treating hip arthritis by THA in patients with PPRP and fixed pelvic obliquity. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2021;2(9):696–704

INTRODUCTION. Quality monitoring is increasingly important to support and assure sustainability of the Orthopaedic practice. Many surgeons in a non-academic setting lack the resources to accurately monitor quality of care. Widespread use of electronic medical records (EMR) provides easier access to medical information and facilitates its analysis. However, manual review of EMRs is inefficient and costly. Artificial Intelligence (AI) software has allowed for development of automated search algorithms for extracting relevant complications from EMRs. We questioned whether an AI supported algorithm could be used to provide accurate feedback on the quality of care following Total Hip Arthroplasty (THA) in a high-volume, non-academic setting. METHODS. 532 Consecutive patients underwent 613 THA between January 1. st. and December 31. st. , 2017. Patients were prospectively followed pre-op, 6 weeks, 3 months and 1 year. They were seen by the surgeon who created clinical notes and reported every adverse event. A random derivation cohort (100 patients, 115 hips) was used to determine accuracy. The algorithm was compared to manual extraction to validate performance in raw data extraction. The full cohort (532 patients, 613 hips) was used to determine its recall, precision and F-value. RESULTS. The algorithm had an accuracy value of 95.0%, compared to 94.5% for manual review (p=0.69). Recall of 96.0% was achieved with precision of 88.0% and F-measure of 0.85 for all adverse events. Recovery of 80.6% of patients was completely uneventful. Re-intervention was required in 1.3% of cases and 18.1% had a ‘transient’ event such as low back pain. The infection and dislocation rate was 0,3%. CONCLUSION. An AI supported search algorithm can analyze and interpret large quantities of EMRs at greater speed but with performance comparable to manual review. Using the program, new clinical information surfaced. 18.1% of patients can be expected to have a ‘transient’ problem following a THA procedure

The use of plate-and-cable constructs to treat periprosthetic fractures around a well-fixed femoral component in total hip replacements has been reported to have high rates of failure. Our aim was to evaluate the results of a surgical treatment algorithm to use these lateral constructs reliably in Vancouver type-B1 and type-C fractures. The joint was dislocated and the stability of the femoral component was meticulously evaluated in 45 type-B1 fractures. This led to the identification of nine (20%) unstable components. The fracture was considered to be suitable for single plate-and-cable fixation by a direct reduction technique if the integrity of the medial cortex could be restored. Union was achieved in 29 of 30 fractures (97%) at a mean of 6.4 months (3 to 30) in 29 type-B1 and five type-C fractures. Three patients developed an infection and one construct failed. Using this algorithm plate-and-cable constructs can be used safely, but indirect reduction with minimal soft-tissue damage could lead to shorter times to union and lower rates of complications

Background

High complication rates and poor outcomes have been widely reported in patients undergoing revision of large head metal-on-metal arthroplasty. A previous study from our center showed high rates of dislocation, nerve injury, early cup loosening and pseudotumor recurrence. After noting these issues, we implemented the following changes in surgical protocol in all large head MOM revisions: 1. Use of highly porous shells in all cases 2. Use of largest femoral head possible 3. Low threshold for use of dual mobility and constrained liners when abductors affected or absent posterior capsule 4. Use of ceramic head with titanium sleeve in all cases 5. Partial resection of pseudotumor adjacent to sciatic and femoral nerves.

Aims. Our objective was describing an algorithm to identify and prevent vascular injury in patients with intrapelvic components. Methods. Patients were defined as at risk to vascular injuries when components or cement migrated 5 mm or more beyond the ilioischial line in any of the pelvic incidences (anteroposterior and Judet view). In those patients, a serial investigation was initiated by a CT angiography, followed by a vascular surgeon evaluation. The investigation proceeded if necessary. The main goal was to assure a safe tissue plane between the hardware and the vessels. Results. In ten at-risk patients undergoing revision hip arthroplasty and submitted to our algorithm, six were recognized as being high risk to vascular injury during surgery. In those six high-risk patients, a preventive preoperative stent was implanted before the orthopaedic procedure. Four patients needed a second reinforcing stent to protect and to maintain the vessel anatomy deformed by the intrapelvic implants. Conclusion. The evaluation algorithm was useful to avoid blood vessels injury during revision total hip arthroplasty in high-risk patients. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2022;3(11):859–866

Arthroplasties are widely performed to improve mobility and quality of life for symptomatic knee/hip osteoarthritis patients. With increasing rates of Total Joint Replacements in the United Kingdom, predicting length of stay is vital for hospitals to control costs, manage resources, and prevent postoperative complications. A longer Length of stay has been shown to negatively affect the quality of care, outcomes and patient satisfaction. Thus, predicting LOS enables us to make full use of medical resources. Clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected from 1,303 patients who received TKA and THR. A total of 21 variables were included, to develop predictive models for LOS by multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms, including Random Forest Classifier (RFC), K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), Extreme Gradient Boost (XgBoost), and Na¯ve Bayes (NB). These models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predictive performance. A feature selection approach was used to identify optimal predictive factors. Based on the ROC of Training result, XgBoost algorithm was selected to be applied to the Test set. The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of the 4 models ranged from 0.730 to 0.966, where higher AUC values generally indicate better predictive performance. All the ML-based models performed better than conventional statistical methods in ROC curves. The XgBoost algorithm with 21 variables was identified as the best predictive model. The feature selection indicated the top six predictors: Age, Operation Duration, Primary Procedure, BMI, creatinine and Month of Surgery. By analysing clinical characteristics, it is feasible to develop ML-based models for the preoperative prediction of LOS for patients who received TKA and THR, and the XgBoost algorithm performed the best, in terms of accuracy of predictive performance. As this model was originally crafted at Ashford and St. Peters Hospital, we have naturally named it as THE ASHFORD OUTCOME

Over 8000 total hip arthroplasties (THA) in the UK were revised in 2019, half for aseptic loosening. It is believed that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could identify or predict failing THA and result in early recognition of poorly performing implants and reduce patient suffering. The aim of this study is to investigate whether Artificial Intelligence based machine learning (ML) / Deep Learning (DL) techniques can train an algorithm to identify and/or predict failing uncemented THA. Consent was sought from patients followed up in a single design, uncemented THA implant surveillance study (2010–2021). Oxford hip scores and radiographs were collected at yearly intervals. Radiographs were analysed by 3 observers for presence of markers of implant loosening/failure: periprosthetic lucency, cortical hypertrophy, and pedestal formation. DL using the RGB ResNet 18 model, with images entered chronologically, was trained according to revision status and radiographic features. Data augmentation and cross validation were used to increase the available training data, reduce bias, and improve verification of results. 184 patients consented to inclusion. 6 (3.2%) patients were revised for aseptic loosening. 2097 radiographs were analysed: 21 (11.4%) patients had three radiographic features of failure. 166 patients were used for ML algorithm testing of 3 scenarios to detect those who were revised. 1) The use of revision as an end point was associated with increased variability in accuracy. The area under the curve (AUC) was 23–97%. 2) Using 2/3 radiographic features associated with failure was associated with improved results, AUC: 75–100%. 3) Using 3/3 radiographic features, had less variability, reduced AUC of 73%, but 5/6 patients who had been revised were identified (total 66 identified). The best algorithm identified the greatest number of revised hips (5/6), predicting failure 2–8 years before revision, before all radiographic features were visible and before a significant fall in the Oxford Hip score. True-Positive: 0.77, False Positive: 0.29. ML algorithms can identify failing THA before visible features on radiographs or before PROM scores deteriorate. This is an important finding that could identify failing THA early

Aims. Natural Language Processing (NLP) offers an automated method to extract data from unstructured free text fields for arthroplasty registry participation. Our objective was to investigate how accurately NLP can be used to extract structured clinical data from unstructured clinical notes when compared with manual data extraction. Methods. A group of 1,000 randomly selected clinical and hospital notes from eight different surgeons were collected for patients undergoing primary arthroplasty between 2012 and 2018. In all, 19 preoperative, 17 operative, and two postoperative variables of interest were manually extracted from these notes. A NLP algorithm was created to automatically extract these variables from a training sample of these notes, and the algorithm was tested on a random test sample of notes. Performance of the NLP algorithm was measured in Statistical Analysis System (SAS) by calculating the accuracy of the variables collected, the ability of the algorithm to collect the correct information when it was indeed in the note (sensitivity), and the ability of the algorithm to not collect a certain data element when it was not in the note (specificity). Results. The NLP algorithm performed well at extracting variables from unstructured data in our random test dataset (accuracy = 96.3%, sensitivity = 95.2%, and specificity = 97.4%). It performed better at extracting data that were in a structured, templated format such as range of movement (ROM) (accuracy = 98%) and implant brand (accuracy = 98%) than data that were entered with variation depending on the author of the note such as the presence of deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) (accuracy = 90%). Conclusion. The NLP algorithm used in this study was able to identify a subset of variables from randomly selected unstructured notes in arthroplasty with an accuracy above 90%. For some variables, such as objective exam data, the accuracy was very high. Our findings suggest that automated algorithms using NLP can help orthopaedic practices retrospectively collect information for registries and quality improvement (QI) efforts. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(7 Supple B):99–104

Contemporary acetabular reconstruction in major acetabular bone loss often involves the use of porous metal augments, a cup-cage construct or custom implant. The aims of this study were: To determine the reproducibility of a reconstruction algorithm in major acetabular bone loss. To determine the subsequent success of reconstruction performed in terms of re-operation, all-cause revision and Oxford Hip Score (OHS) and to further define the indications for custom implants in major acetabular bone loss. Consecutive series of Paprosky Type III defects treated according to a reconstruction algorithm. IIIA defects were planned to use a superior augment and hemispherical cup. IIIB defects were planned to receive either augment and cup, cup-cage or custom implant. 105 procedures in cohort 100 patients (5 bilateral) with mean age 73 years (42–94). IIIA defects (50 cases) − 72.0% (95%CI 57.6–82.1) required a porous metal augment the remainder treated with a hemispherical cup alone. IIIB defects (55 cases) 71.7% (95%CI 57.6–82.1) required either augments or cup-cage. 20 patients required a hemispherical cup alone and 6 patients received a custom-made implant. Mean follow up of 7.6 years. 6 re-revisions were required (4 PJI, 2 peri-prosthetic fractures & 1 recurrent instability) with overall survivorship of 94.3% (95% CI 97.4–88.1) for all cause revision. Single event dislocations occurred in 3 other patients so overall dislocation rate 3.8%. Mean pre-op OHS 13.8 and mean follow-up OHS 29.8. Custom implants were used in: Mega-defects where AP diameter >80mm, complex discontinuity and massive bone loss in a small pelvis (i.e., unable to perform cup-cage). A reconstruction algorithm can >70% successfully predict revision construct which thereafter is durable with a low risk of re-operation. Jumbo cup utilized <1/3 of cases when morphology allowed. The use of custom implants has been well defined in this series and accounts for <5% of cases

Aims. Failure of irrigation and debridement (I&D) for prosthetic joint infection (PJI) is influenced by numerous host, surgical, and pathogen-related factors. We aimed to develop and validate a practical, easy-to-use tool based on machine learning that may accurately predict outcome following I&D surgery taking into account the influence of numerous factors. Methods. This was an international, multicentre retrospective study of 1,174 revision total hip (THA) and knee arthroplasties (TKA) undergoing I&D for PJI between January 2005 and December 2017. PJI was defined using the Musculoskeletal Infection Society (MSIS) criteria. A total of 52 variables including demographics, comorbidities, and clinical and laboratory findings were evaluated using random forest machine learning analysis. The algorithm was then verified through cross-validation. Results. Of the 1,174 patients that were included in the study, 405 patients (34.5%) failed treatment. Using random forest analysis, an algorithm that provides the probability for failure for each specific patient was created. By order of importance, the ten most important variables associated with failure of I&D were serum CRP levels, positive blood cultures, indication for index arthroplasty other than osteoarthritis, not exchanging the modular components, use of immunosuppressive medication, late acute (haematogenous) infections, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infection, overlying skin infection, polymicrobial infection, and older age. The algorithm had good discriminatory capability (area under the curve = 0.74). Cross-validation showed similar probabilities comparing predicted and observed failures indicating high accuracy of the model. Conclusion. This is the first study in the orthopaedic literature to use machine learning as a tool for predicting outcomes following I&D surgery. The developed algorithm provides the medical profession with a tool that can be employed in clinical decision-making and improve patient care. Future studies should aid in further validating this tool on additional cohorts. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(7 Supple B):11–19

Aims. Custom-made partial pelvis replacements (PPRs) are increasingly used in the reconstruction of large acetabular defects and have mainly been designed using a triflange approach, requiring extensive soft-tissue dissection. The monoflange design, where primary intramedullary fixation within the ilium combined with a monoflange for rotational stability, was anticipated to overcome this obstacle. The aim of this study was to evaluate the design with regard to functional outcome, complications, and acetabular reconstruction. Methods. Between 2014 and 2023, 79 patients with a mean follow-up of 33 months (SD 22; 9 to 103) were included. Functional outcome was measured using the Harris Hip Score and EuroQol five-dimension questionnaire (EQ-5D). PPR revisions were defined as an endpoint, and subgroups were analyzed to determine risk factors. Results. Implantation was possible in all cases with a 2D centre of rotation deviation of 10 mm (SD 5.8; 1 to 29). PPR revision was necessary in eight (10%) patients. HHS increased significantly from 33 to 72 postoperatively, with a mean increase of 39 points (p < 0.001). Postoperative EQ-5D score was 0.7 (SD 0.3; -0.3 to 1). Risk factor analysis showed significant revision rates for septic indications (p ≤ 0.001) as well as femoral defect size (p = 0.001). Conclusion. Since large acetabular defects are being treated surgically more often, custom-made PPR should be integrated as an option in treatment algorithms. Monoflange PPR, with primary iliac fixation, offers a viable treatment option for Paprosky III defects with promising functional results, while requiring less soft-tissue exposure and allowing immediate full weightbearing. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(8):688–696

Identification of patients at risk of not achieving minimally clinically important differences (MCID) in patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) is important to ensure principled and informed pre-operative decision making. Machine learning techniques may enable the generation of a predictive model for attainment of MCID in hip arthroscopy. Aims: 1) to determine whether machine learning techniques could predict which patients will achieve MCID in the iHOT-12 PROM 6 months after arthroscopic management of femoroacetabular impingement (FAI), 2) to determine which factors contribute to their predictive power. Data from the UK Non-Arthroplasty Hip Registry database was utilised. We identified 1917 patients who had undergone hip arthroscopy for FAI with both baseline and 6 month follow up iHOT-12 and baseline EQ-5D scores. We trained three established machine learning algorithms on our dataset to predict an outcome of iHOT-12 MCID improvement at 6 months given baseline characteristics including demographic factors, disease characteristics and PROMs. Performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) statistics with 5-fold cross validation. The three machine learning algorithms showed quite different performance. The linear logistic regression model achieved AUROC = 0.59, the deep neural network achieved AUROC = 0.82, while a random forest model had the best predictive performance with AUROC 0.87. Of demographic factors, we found that BMI and age were key predictors for this model. We also found that removing all features except baseline responses to the iHOT-12 questionnaire had little effect on performance for the random forest model (AUROC = 0.85). Disease characteristics had little effect on model performance. Machine learning models are able to predict with good accuracy 6-month post-operative MCID attainment in patients undergoing arthroscopic management for FAI. Baseline scores from the iHOT-12 questionnaire are sufficient to predict with good accuracy whether a patient is likely to reach MCID in post-operative PROMs

Cobalt chrome alloy is commonly used in joint replacement surgery. However, it is recognised that some patients develop lymphocyte mediated delayed type hypersensitivity (DTH) responses to this material, which may result in extensive bone and soft tissue destruction. Phase 1. United Kingdom: From an existing database, we identified extreme phenotype patient groups following metal on metal (MoM) hip resurfacing or THR: ALVAL with low wearing prostheses; ALVAL with high wear; no ALVAL with high wear; and asymptomatic patients with implants in situ for longer than ten years. Class I and II HLA genotype frequency distributions were compared between these patients’ groups, and in silico peptide binding studies were carried out using validated methodology. Phase 2. United Kingdom: We expanded the study to include more patients, including those with intermediary phenotypes to test whether an algorithm could be developed incorporating “risk genotypes”, patient age, sex and metal exposure. This model was trained in phase 3. Phase 3. United Kingdom, Australia, United States. Patients from other centres were invited to give DNA samples. The data set was split in two. 70% was used to develop machine learning models to predict failure secondary to DTH. The predictions were tested using the remaining blinded 30% of data, using time-dependent AUROCs, and integrated calibration index performance statistics. A total of 606 DNA samples, from 397 males and 209 female patients, were typed. This included 176 from patients with failed prostheses, and 430 from asymptomatic patients at a mean of >10 years follow up. C-index and ROC(t) scores suggested a high degree of discrimination, whilst the IBS indicated good calibration and further backed up the indication of high discriminatory ability. At ten years, the weighted mean survival probability error was < 4%. At present, there are no tests in widespread clinical use which use a patient's genetic profile to guide implant selection or inform post-operative management. The algorithm described herein may address this issue and we suggest that the application may not be restricted to the field of MoM hip arthroplasty