Aims. To develop prediction models using machine-learning (ML) algorithms for 90-day and one-year mortality prediction in femoral neck fracture (FNF) patients aged 50 years or older based on the Hip fracture Evaluation with Alternatives of Total Hip arthroplasty versus Hemiarthroplasty (HEALTH) and Fixation using Alternative Implants for the Treatment of Hip fractures (FAITH) trials. Methods. This study included 2,388 patients from the HEALTH and FAITH trials, with 90-day and one-year mortality proportions of 3.0% (71/2,388) and 6.4% (153/2,388), respectively. The mean age was 75.9 years (SD 10.8) and 65.9% of patients (1,574/2,388) were female. The algorithms included patient and injury characteristics. Six algorithms were developed, internally validated and evaluated across discrimination (c-statistic; discriminative ability between those with risk of mortality and those without), calibration (observed outcome compared to the predicted probability), and the Brier score (composite of discrimination and calibration). Results. The developed algorithms distinguished between patients at high and low risk for 90-day and one-year mortality. The penalized logistic regression algorithm had the best performance metrics for both 90-day (c-statistic 0.80, calibration slope 0.95, calibration intercept -0.06, and Brier score 0.039) and one-year (c-statistic 0.76, calibration slope 0.86, calibration intercept -0.20, and Brier score 0.074) mortality prediction in the hold-out set. Conclusion. Using high-quality data, the ML-based prediction models accurately predicted 90-day and one-year mortality in patients aged 50 years or older with a FNF. The final models must be externally validated to assess generalizability to other populations, and prospectively evaluated in the process of shared decision-making. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(3):168–181

Proponents of the direct anterior approach (DAA) for hip arthroplasty (THA) claim lower postoperative pain compared to the posterolateral approach (PA); however, whether that theoretical advantage results in lower opioid consumption is unclear. We sought to investigate the relationship between the DAA and PA on total 90-day predicted opioid consumption in a large cohort. Retrospective analysis identified 2,304 DAA and 6,288 PA primary THAs in patients >18 years old from February 2019 to April 2022. Ninety-day postoperative total morphine milligram equivalent (MME); in-hospital administration, discharge prescriptions, and refills within 90 days were compared between DAA and PA cohorts. Nearest-neighbor matching was performed controlling for age, sex, BMI, ASA, and periarticular injection to evaluate opioid consumption patterns for DAA and PA. Quantile regression was employed to predict the median (50th percentile) MME prescribed by surgical approach. After matching, DAA and PA demonstrated similar median total 90-day prescribed MME (p = 0.008). After adjusting for patient and surgical factors, quantile regression predicted a similar median total 90-day prescribed MME for DAA and PA (243.5 versus 242.7; p = 0.78). While approach did not demonstrate a significant relationship for predicted 90-day MME, other factors including age, sex, BMI, length of stay, peripheral anesthesia, periarticular injection, and white or Caucasian race demonstrated a significant relationship with predicted 90-day MME (p <0.0001). While we identified several risk factors for increased in-hospital and 90-day post-operative opioid consumption, a comparison between DAA and PA did not demonstrate significantly different opioid prescribing patterns

Aims. The proportion of arthroplasties performed in the ambulatory setting has increased considerably. However, there are concerns whether same-day discharge may increase the risk of complications. The aim of this study was to compare 90-day outcomes between inpatient arthroplasties and outpatient arthroplasties performed at an ambulatory surgery centre (ASC), and determine whether there is a learning curve associated with performing athroplasties in an ASC. Methods. Among a single-surgeon cohort of 970 patients who underwent arthroplasty at an ASC, 854 (88.0%) were matched one-to-one with inpatients based on age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, BMI, and procedure (105 could not be adequately matched and 11 lacked 90-day follow-up). The cohort included 281 total hip arthroplasties (THAs) (32.9%), 267 unicompartmental knee arthroplasties (31.3%), 242 primary total knee arthroplasties (TKAs) (28.3%), 60 hip resurfacings (7.0%), two revision THAs (0.3%), and two revision TKAs (0.3%). Outcomes included readmissions, reoperations, visits to the emergency department, unplanned clinic visits, and complications. Results. The inpatient and outpatient groups were similar in all demographic variables, reflecting successful matching. The reoperation rate was 0.9% in both cohorts (p = 1.000). Rates of readmission (2.0% inpatient vs 1.6% outpatient), any complications (5.9% vs 5.6%), minor complications (4.2% vs 3.9%), visits to the emergency department (2.7% vs 1.4%), and unplanned clinic visits (5.7% vs 5.5%) were lower in the outpatient group but did not reach significance with the sample size studied. A learning curve may exist, as seen by significant reductions in the reoperation and overall complication rates among outpatient arthroplasties over time (p = 0.032 and p = 0.007, respectively), despite those in this group becoming significantly older and heavier (both p < 0.001) during the study period. Conclusion. Arthroplasties performed at ASCs appear to be safe in appropriately selected patients, but may be associated with a learning curve as shown by the significant decrease in complication and reoperation rates during the study period. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(7 Supple B):84–90

Aims. To develop and externally validate a parsimonious statistical prediction model of 90-day mortality after elective total hip arthroplasty (THA), and to provide a web calculator for clinical usage. Methods. We included 53,099 patients with cemented THA due to osteoarthritis from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Registry for model derivation and internal validation, as well as 125,428 patients from England and Wales recorded in the National Joint Register for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, the Isle of Man, and the States of Guernsey (NJR) for external model validation. A model was developed using a bootstrap ranking procedure with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model combined with piecewise linear regression. Discriminative ability was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Calibration belt plots were used to assess model calibration. Results. A main effects model combining age, sex, American Society for Anesthesiologists (ASA) class, the presence of cancer, diseases of the central nervous system, kidney disease, and diagnosed obesity had good discrimination, both internally (AUC = 0.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.75 to 0.81) and externally (AUC = 0.75, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.76). This model was superior to traditional models based on the Charlson (AUC = 0.66, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.70) and Elixhauser (AUC = 0.64, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.68) comorbidity indices. The model was well calibrated for predicted probabilities up to 5%. Conclusion. We developed a parsimonious model that may facilitate individualized risk assessment prior to one of the most common surgical interventions. We have published a web calculator to aid clinical decision-making. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(3):469–478

Introduction. The proportion of arthroplasties performed in the ambulatory setting has increased substantially. However, concerns remain regarding whether same-day discharge may increase the risk of complications. The purpose of this study was to compare 90-day outcomes between inpatients and patients having surgery at an ambulatory surgery center (ASC). Methods. Among a single-surgeon cohort of 721 patients who underwent arthroplasty at a free-standing ASC, 611 (84.7%) were matched one-to-one to inpatients based on age, gender, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, and Body Mass Index (110 patients could not be adequately matched). The cohort included 208 total hip arthroplasties (34.0%), 196 total knee arthroplasties (32.1%), 178 unicompartmental knee arthroplasties (29.1%), 25 hip resurfacings (4.1%), two revision hip arthroplasties (0.3%) and two revision knee arthroplasties (0.3%). Post-operative outcomes including readmissions, reoperations, unplanned clinic visits, emergency department visits, and complications were compared. Complications were classified as either major (i.e. death, periprosthetic joint infection, pulmonary embolism) or as minor (i.e. delayed wound healing, rashes, urinary retention). Results. The inpatient and outpatient groups were similar in all demographic variables, reflecting successful matching. The rates of any complications (4.1% outpatient vs. 5.1% inpatient, p=0.41), minor complications (2.6% vs. 3.4%; p=0.40), readmissions (1.6% vs. 2.0%; p= 0.67), reoperations (0.7% vs. 1.1%; p=0.36), and unplanned clinic visits (5.4% vs 6.7%; p=0.34) were all lower amongst the outpatient group but did not reach significance with the sample size studied. The rate of major complications was the same in both groups (1.6% for both; p=1.0) while patients who underwent surgery at an ASC had significantly fewer emergency department visits (1.0% vs. 3.1%; p=0.009). Conclusions. Arthroplasty performed in the ambulatory setting appears to be safe in properly selected patients. However, this finding may be partly due to selection bias and intangible characteristics that were not adequately controlled for through matching

Background. Direct anterior approach (DAA), total hip arthroplasty (THA, performed with the patient in the supine position, creates a unique opportunity to do bilateral THA under one anesthesia. Previous studies evaluating this option are limited by small sample size or lack of control group. The purpose of this study is to compare early clinical outcomes of simultaneous bilateral, unilateral and staged bilateral DAA-THA. Methods. Using an institutional registry database, we reviewed 3977 DAA-THA performed in 3334 patients at minimum 90-days follow up. A single surgeon performed all surgeries. Simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA group included 512 hips in 256 patients, unilateral DAA-THA group 2691 hips and staged bilateral DAA-THA group 774 hips in 387 patients. We reviewed 90-day postoperative complications, readmissions, length of stay, and rate of home discharge between all three groups. Results. There were no statistical differences in readmission (range 0.77–1.8%), postoperative clinical complications, and rate of home discharge (96.1–98.1%) between simultaneous bilateral, unilateral, or staged bilateral groups. The number of transfusions in the simultaneous bilateral group (9/256, 3.5%) was significantly higher than in the unilateral (24/2691, 0.89%, p=0.002) or the staged bilateral group (4/387, 1.0%, p=0.04). The total length of stay (LOS) in the simultaneous bilateral group (1.8 ± 0.8 days) was longer (p<0.001) than in the unilateral group (1.2 ± 1.0 days) but shorter (p<0.001) than the two added LOS in the staged bilateral group (2.8 ± 2.2 days). Conclusion. Our large cohort in a single surgeon case showed that simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA is comparable with unilateral or staged bilateral surgery in regards to postoperative clinical complications, readmission rate, and rate of home discharge but with an increased rate of transfusion. We believe that simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA is a reasonable and safe option in properly selected patients who require bilateral THA

Aims

The aim of this study was to examine whether socioeconomic status (SES) is associated with a higher risk of infections following total hip arthroplasty (THA) at 30 and 90 days.

Aims. This study evaluates the association between consultant and hospital volume and the risk of re-revision and 90-day mortality following first-time revision of primary hip arthroplasty for aseptic loosening. Methods. We conducted a cohort study of first-time, single-stage revision hip arthroplasties (RHAs) performed for aseptic loosening and recorded in the National Joint Registry (NJR) data for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, and the Isle of Man between 2003 and 2019. Patient identifiers were used to link records to national mortality data, and to NJR data to identify subsequent re-revision procedures. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with restricted cubic splines were used to define associations between volume and outcome. Results. Among 12,961 RHAs there were 513 re-revisions within two years, and 95 deaths within 90 days of surgery. The risk of re-revision was highest for a consultant’s first RHA (hazard ratio (HR) 1.56 (95% CI 1.15 to 2.12)) and remained significantly elevated for their first 24 cases (HR 1.26 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.58)). Annual consultant volumes of five/year were associated with an almost 30% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1.28 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.64)) and 80% greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 1.81 (95% CI 1.02 to 3.21)) compared to volumes of 20/year. RHAs performed at hospitals which had cumulatively undertaken fewer than 167 RHAs were at up to 70% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1.70 (95% CI 1.12 to 2.59)), and those having undertaken fewer than 307 RHAs were at up to three times greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 3.05 (95% CI 1.19 to 7.82)). Conclusion. This study found a significantly higher risk of re-revision and early postoperative mortality following first-time single-stage RHA for aseptic loosening when performed by lower-volume consultants and at lower-volume institutions, supporting the move towards the centralization of such cases towards higher-volume units and surgeons. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(10):1050–1058

Hip dysplasia is a common cause of hip pain in young adults. Pelvic osteotomy (PO) techniques are the gold standard for treating symptomatic patients, albeit technically demanding. This study aimed to (1) evaluate the 90-day complication rate, and (2) investigate the reasons, frequency and timing of reoperations following primary PO procedures. We retrospectively analysed the National Hospital Episode Statistics database, examining all patients aged over 14 who underwent PO in NHS England hospitals from 2010 to 2023. We identified index procedures and reoperations using relevant OPCS-4 codes. We analysed patient demographics, 90-day complications, and readmission rates for ipsilateral metalwork removal, revision PO, hip arthroscopy (HA), and THR conversion, and calculated the mean time to reoperations. This study included 1,348 PO cases (mean age: 28.7±9.1 years, 89.5% female). The mean hospital stay was 5.4±3.9 days, with a 90-day readmission rate of 0.52% at a mean of 51.0±17.2 days. The most common causes were infection (0.22%) and reoperation (0.15%). The 90-day rate of pulmonary embolism and deep vein thrombosis was 0.074%. One patient died within 90 days. Overall, 810 patients (60.1%) were readmitted for a subsequent hip procedure at a mean of 2.12±1.90 years following their primary PO. Metalwork removal was required in 616 patients (45.7%) at a mean of 1.70±1.19 years. Readmission rates for revision PO, HA, and THR, were 4.23% (mean time: 2.89±0.82 years), 4.15% (mean time: 2.91±2.28 years) and 6.01% (mean time: 5.24±3.08 years) respectively. This study highlights a low 90-day complication rate following primary PO, but a high reoperation rate, mainly for metalwork removal. We provide the most up-to-date report of revision PO, HA and THR conversion rates in England. These findings provide valuable insight that can facilitate informed decision-making, expectation-setting, and post-operative planning, also establishing a benchmark for future quality improvement

Aims. Although there is increasing legalization of the use of cannabis in the USA, few well-powered studies have evaluated the association between cannabis use disorder and outcomes following primary total hip arthroplasty (THA). Thus, the aim of this study was to determine whether patients who use cannabis and undergo primary THA have higher rates of in-hospital length of stay (LOS), medical complications, implant-related complications, and costs. Methods. Using an administrative database, patients with cannabis use disorder undergoing primary THA were matched to a control group in a 1:5 ratio by age, sex, and various medical comorbidities. This yielded 23,030 patients (3,842 in the study group matched with 19,188 in the control group). The variables which were studied included LOS, 90-day medical complications, two-year implant-related complications, and 90-day costs of care. Mann-Whitney U tests were used to compare LOS and costs. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) of developing complications. Results. We found that patients in the study group had a significantly longer mean LOS compared with the controls (four days vs three days; p < 0.0001).The study group also had a significantly higher incidence and odds of developing medical (23.0 vs 9.8%, OR 1.6; p < 0.0001) and implant-related complications (16 vs 7.4%, OR 1.6; p < 0.0001) and incurred significantly higher mean 90-day costs ($16,938.00 vs $16,023.00; p < 0.0001). Conclusion. With the increasing rates of cannabis use, these findings allow orthopaedic surgeons and other healthcare professionals to counsel patients with cannabis use disorder about the possible outcomes following their THA, with increased hospital stays, complications, and costs. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(7 Supple B):111–115

This study evaluates the association between consultant and hospital volume and the risk of re-revision and 90-day mortality following first-time revision of primary hip replacement for aseptic loosening. We conducted a cohort study of first-time, single-stage revision hip replacements (RHR) performed for aseptic loosening and recorded in the National Joint Registry (NJR) data for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, and the Isle of Man between 2003 and 2019. Patient identifiers were used to link records to national mortality data, and to NJR data to identify subsequent re-revision procedures. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with restricted cubic splines were used to define associations between volume and outcome. Among 12,676 RHR there were 513 re-revisions within two years, and 95 deaths within 90 days of surgery. The risk of re-revision was highest for a consultant's first RHR (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1·58 (95%CI 1·16 to 2·15)) and remained significantly elevated for their first 26 cases (HR 1·26 (95%CI 1·00 to 1·58)). Annual consultant volumes of five/year were associated with an almost 30% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1·28 (95%CI 1·00 to 1·64)) and 80% greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 1·81 (95%CI 1·02 to 3·21)) compared to volumes of 20/year. RHR performed at hospitals which had cumulatively undertaken fewer than 168 RHR were at up to 70% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1·70 (95% CI 1·12 to 2·60)), and those having undertaken fewer than 309 RHR were at up to three times greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 3·06 (95% CI 1·19 to 7·86)). This study found a significantly higher risk of re-revision and early postoperative mortality following first-time single-stage RHR for aseptic loosening when performed by lower-volume consultants and at lower-volume institutions, supporting the move towards the centralisation of such cases towards higher-volume units and surgeons

Hip arthroscopy (HA) is an effective treatment for various hip conditions but has a steep learning curve and its effect on long-term joint preservation is unclear. This study uses population-level data to assess (1) the 90-day complication rate, and (2) the frequency and timing of revision HA, total hip replacement (THR), and pelvic osteotomy (PO) following primary HA. We performed a retrospective analysis of the National Hospital Episode Statistics database, examining all patients who underwent primary HA in NHS hospitals in England from 2010 to 2023 using relevant OPCS-4 codes. We evaluated patient demographics, 90-day complications, and reoperation rates for revision HA, THR, and PO. Descriptive statistical analyses were performed to calculate frequencies and average time to reoperations. We included 22,401 HA procedures in the study. The mean LOS was 0.82±2.04 days. The 90-day readmission rate was 0.17% at a mean of 54.4±8.1 days. The most common reasons for readmission were reoperation (0.071%), followed by infection (0.031%), pulmonary embolism (0.027%), pain (0.022%), bleeding (0.018%), and deep vein thrombosis (0.004%). One patient died within 90 days. Overall, 4942 patients (22.1%) required further surgery at a mean of 2.71±2.27 years. The rates of revision HA, conversion to THR, and PO were 6.94%, 14.6%, and 0.50% at a mean of 2.39±1.79, 2.87±2.46, and 2.26±1.80 years respectively. Female patients had higher rates of reoperation than males for conversion to THR (9.99% vs 4.63%), revision HA (4.92% vs 2.02%), and subsequent PO (0.43% vs. 0.06%) (p<0.001). This study demonstrates a low short-term complication rate after primary HA, supporting existing literature. However, a large proportion of patients required further surgery, especially females. These findings highlight the need for careful patient selection and counselling before HA to optimise outcomes, as well as further research on factors influencing longer-term outcomes and cost-effectiveness

Aims. Previous studies have reported an increased risk for postoperative complications in the Medicaid population undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA). These studies have not controlled for the surgeon’s practice or patient care setting. This study aims to evaluate whether patient point of entry and Medicaid status plays a role in quality outcomes and discharge disposition following THA. Methods. The electronic medical record at our institution was retrospectively reviewed for all primary, unilateral THA between January 2016 and January 2018. THA recipients were categorized as either Medicaid or non-Medicaid patients based on a visit to our institution’s Hospital Ambulatory Care Center (HACC) within the six months prior to surgery. Only patients who had been operated on by surgeons (CML, JV, JDS, RS) with at least ten Medicaid and ten non-Medicaid patients were included in the study. The patients included in this study were 56.33% female, had a mean age of 60.85 years, and had a mean BMI of 29.14. The average length of follow-up was 343.73 days. Results. A total of 426 hips in 403 patients were included in this study, with 114 Medicaid patients and 312 non-Medicaid patients. Medicaid patients had a significantly lower mean age (54.68 years (SD 12.33) vs 63.10 years (SD 12.38); p < 0.001), more likely to be black or ‘other’ race (27.19% vs 13.46% black; 26.32% vs 12.82% other; p < 0.001), and more likely to be a current smoker (19.30% vs 9.29%; p = 0.001). After adjusting for patient risk factors, there was a significant Medicaid effect on length of stay (LOS) (rate ratio 1.129, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.048 to 1.216; p = 0.001) and facility discharge (odds ratio 2.010, 95% CI 1.398 to 2.890; p < 0.001). There was no Medicaid effect on surgical time (exponentiated β coefficient 1.015, 95% CI 0.995 to 1.036; p = 0.136). There was no difference in 30-day readmission, 90-day readmission, 30-day infections, 90-day infections, and 90-day mortality between the two groups. Conclusion. After controlling for patient variables, there was a statistically significant Medicaid effect on LOS and facility discharge. These results indicate that clinically similar outcomes can be achieved for Medicaid patients; however, further work is needed on maximizing social support and preoperative patient education with a focus on successful home discharge. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(7 Supple B):78–84

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a preventable cause of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing elective hip arthroplasty surgery. The balance of post-operative VTE prophylaxis and risk of post-operative haemorrhage remains at the forefront of surgeon's mind. The National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) has altered their prophylaxis guidance in the setting of total hip arthroplasty (THA). The aim of this study was to present the VTE incidence in 8,890 patients who underwent total hip arthroplasty between January 1997 and March 2018 with Aspirin as the primary agent for pharmacological thromboprophylaxis. Analysis of prospective data collection from consecutive patients undergoing THA was performed with the incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) occurring within 6 months of the index operation as the primary outcome measure. 90-day all-cause mortality of this cohort of patients was also analysed. 8890 patients were reviewed. This included 7235 primary, 224 complex primary and 1431 revision cases. The incidence of DVT was 0.64% after elective THA and the incidence of PE was 0.54%. There was no difference in the incidence between primary and revision cases. The 90-day all-cause mortality was 0.88%. Cardiovascular and respiratory disease were the main causes of death following surgery. Only 0.03% of deaths (n= 3) within 90 days of index surgery were due to VTE. Our results support the use of aspirin as an effective form of prophylaxis against VTE following THA. It is not associated with an increased incidence in symptomatic DVT, PE or death compared to other published studies. The fact that it is inexpensive, readily available, requires no monitoring and does not pose an increased risk of bleeding are other attractive advantages of using aspirin for VTE prophylaxis

Patients with a high comorbidity burden (high-risk) can achieve similar improvements in quality of life compared to low-risk patients, but greater morbidity may deter surgeons from operating on these patients. Whether surgeon volume influences THA outcomes in high-risk patients has not been investigated. This study aimed to compare complication rates and implant survivorship in high-risk patients operated on by high volume (HV) and non-HV THA surgeons. Patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 5 and American Society of Anesthesiologist Classification of 3 or 4 undergoing primary, elective THA between 2013 and 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were separated into groups based on whether they were operated on by a HV surgeon (defined as the top 25% of surgeons at our institution by number of primary THAs per year) or a non-HV surgeon. Groups were propensity matched 1:1 to control for demographic variables. A total of 1,134 patients were included in the matched analysis. Ninety day readmissions and revisions were compared between groups, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate implant survivorship within the follow-up period. Years of experience were comparable between Non-HV and HV surgeons (p=0.733). The HV group had significantly shorter surgical times (p<0.001), and shorter length of stay (p=0.009) compared to the Non-HV group. The HV group also had significantly fewer 90-day readmissions (p=0.030), all-cause revisions (p=0.023) and septic revisions (p=0.020) compared to the non-HV group at latest follow-up. The HV group had significantly greater freedom from all-cause (p=0.023) and septic revision (p=0.020) compared to the non-HV group. High-risk THA patients have fewer 90-day readmissions, all-cause revisions, septic revisions, as well as shorter length of stay when treated by HV surgeons. THA candidates with a high comorbidity burden may benefit from referral to high-volume surgeons to reduce procedural risk and improve postoperative outcomes

Aims. While cementless fixation offers potential advantages over cemented fixation, such as a shorter operating time, concerns linger over its higher cost and increased risk of periprosthetic fractures. If the risk of fracture can be forecasted, it would aid the shared decision-making process related to cementless stems. Our study aimed to develop and validate predictive models of periprosthetic femoral fracture (PPFF) necessitating revision and reoperation after elective total hip arthroplasty (THA). Methods. We included 154,519 primary elective THAs from the Swedish Arthroplasty Register (SAR), encompassing 21 patient-, surgical-, and implant-specific features, for model derivation and validation in predicting 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, and one-year revision and reoperation due to PPFF. Model performance was tested using the area under the curve (AUC), and feature importance was identified in the best-performing algorithm. Results. The Lasso regression excelled in predicting 30-day revisions (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.85), while the Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) model outperformed other models by a slight margin for all remaining endpoints (AUC range: 0.79 to 0.86). Predictive factors for revision and reoperation were identified, with patient features such as increasing age, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists grade (> III), and World Health Organization obesity classes II to III associated with elevated risks. A preoperative diagnosis of idiopathic necrosis increased revision risk. Concerning implant design, factors such as cementless femoral fixation, reverse-hybrid fixation, hip resurfacing, and small (< 35 mm) or large (> 52 mm) femoral heads increased both revision and reoperation risks. Conclusion. This is the first study to develop machine-learning models to forecast the risk of PPFF necessitating secondary surgery. Future studies are required to externally validate our algorithm and assess its applicability in clinical practice. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2025;14(1):46–57

Aims. Total hip arthroplasty (THA) using the direct anterior approach (DAA) is undertaken with the patient in the supine position, creating an opportunity to replace both hips under one anaesthetic. Few studies have reported simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA. The aim of this study was to characterize a cohort of patients selected for this technique by a single, high-volume arthroplasty surgeon and to investigate their early postoperative clinical outcomes. Methods. Using an institutional database, we reviewed 643 patients who underwent bilateral DAA-THA by a single surgeon between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2018. The demographic characteristics of the 256 patients (39.8%) who underwent simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA were compared with the 387 patients (60.2%) who underwent staged THA during the same period of time. We then reviewed the length of stay, rate of discharge home, 90-day complications, and readmissions for the simultaneous bilateral group. Results. Patients undergoing simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA had a 3.5% transfusion rate, a 1.8 day mean length of stay, a 98.1% rate of discharge home, and low rates of 90-day infection (0.39%), dislocation (0.39%), periprosthetic fracture (0.77%), venous thromboembolism (0%), haematoma (0.39%), further surgery (0.77%), and readmission (0.77%). These patients were significantly younger (mean 58.2 years vs 62.5 years; p < 0.001), more likely to be male (60.3% vs 46.5%; p < 0.001), and with a trend towards having a lower mean BMI (27.8 kg/m. 2. vs 28.4 kg/m. 2. ; p = 0.071) than patients who underwent staged bilateral DAA-THA. Conclusion. Patients selected for simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA in a single surgeon’s practice had a 3% rate of postoperative transfusion and a low rate of complications, readmissions, and discharge to a rehabilitation facility. Simultaneous bilateral DAA-THA appears to be a reasonable and safe form of treatment for patients with bilateral symptomatic osteoarthritis of the hip when undertaken by an experienced arthroplasty surgeon with appropriate selection criteria. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(7 Supple B):116–121

Introduction. The association between preoperative opioid use and adverse outcomes after total hip arthroplasty (THA) has been reported. However, a quantitative assessment used to evaluate the combined effect of controlled substance use and define a threshold for adverse outcomes after THA has not been established. The current study aimed to identify the association between the NarxCare Score (NCS) (indicative of controlled substance use) and length of stay (LOS), discharge disposition, 90-day emergency department (ED) visits, readmission, and reoperation after primary THA, necessary to identify a preoperative NCS threshold for adverse outcomes. Methods. A total of 2,787 THAs (57.3% female; mean age: 64.3±11.14 years; NCS range: 0–800) were performed between November 2018-January 2020 at an integrated healthcare system with preoperative NCSs. Outcomes assessed included LOS, discharge disposition, 90-day ED visits, readmission (all-cause, procedure and non-procedure-related) and reoperation. The association between NCS category (in 100-point increments) and was analyzed through multivariate logistic regression accounting for risk factors. Results. NCS of zero, 1–99 and 100–199 were similar regarding all investigated outcomes (p>0.05 for all). Compared to a NCS of zero, NCS of 300–399 was independently associated with higher odds of a LOS >2 days (odds ratio [OR]:2.27; 95% confidence interval [CI][1.59–3.24]; p<0.001), non-home discharge (OR: 2.0; 95% CI [1.34–2.99]; p=0.001), 90-day all-cause readmission (OR: 2.0; 95% CI [1.16–3.36]; p=0.012). Furthermore, NCS of 300–399 exhibited higher odds of a procedure-related readmission (OR: 3.74; 95% CI [1.48–8.13]; p=0.004). There were no differences between the NCS strata in 90-day reoperation and non-procedure related readmission rates (p>0.05 for each). Conclusion. Higher NCS was associated with greater LOS and 90-day readmission, as well as lower odds of discharge to home. A NCS threshold of 300 can potentially designate high-risk patients for adverse outcomes after THA. This score may help stratify patients in the current alternative payment environment

Hip fracture principally affects the frailest in society, many of whom are care dependent, and are disproportionately at risk of contracting COVID-19. We examined the impact of COVID-19 infection on hip fracture mortality in England. We conducted a cohort study of patients with hip fracture recorded in the National Hip Fracture Database between 1st February 2019 and 31st October 2020, in England. Data were linked to Hospital Episode Statistics to quantify patient characteristics and comorbidities, Office for National Statistics mortality data, and Public Health England's SARS-CoV-2 testing results. Multivariable Cox regression examined determinants of 90-day mortality. Excess mortality attributable to COVID-19 was quantified using Quasi-Poisson models. Analysis of 102,900 hip fractures (42,630 occurring during the pandemic) revealed that amongst those with COVID-19 infection at presentation (n=1,120) there was a doubling of 90-day mortality; hazard ratio (HR) 2.05 (95%CI 1.86–2.26), while for infections arising between 8–30 days after presentation (n=1,644) the figure was even higher at 2.52 (2.32–2.73). Malnutrition [1.44 (1.19–1.75)] and non-operative treatment [2.89 (2.16–3.86)] were the only modifiable risk factors for death in COVID-19 positive patients. Patients with previous COVID-19 initially had better survival compared to those who contracted COVID-19 around the time of their hip fracture; however, survival rapidly declined and by 365 days the combination of hip fracture and COVID-19 infection was associated with a 50% mortality rate. Between 1st January and 30th June 2020, 1,273 (99.7%CI 1,077–1,465) excess deaths occurred within 90 days of hip fracture, representing an excess mortality of 23% (20%–26%), with most deaths occurring within 30 days. COVID-19 infection more than doubled early hip fracture mortality; the first 30-days after injury were most critical, suggesting that targeted interventions in this period may have most benefit in improving survival

Aims. As our population ages, the number of octogenarians who will require a total hip arthroplasty (THA) rises. In a value-based system where operative outcomes are linked to hospital payments, it is necessary to assess the outcomes in this population. The purpose of this study was to compare outcomes of elective, primary THA in patients ≥ 80 years old to those aged < 80. Methods. A retrospective review of 10,251 consecutive THA cases from 2011 to 2019 was conducted. Patient-reported outcome (PRO) scores (Hip disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (HOOS)), as well as demographic, readmission, and complication data, were collected. Results. On average, the younger cohort (YC, n = 10,251) was a mean 61.60 years old (SD 10.71), while the older cohort (OC, n = 609) was 84.25 years old (SD 3.02) (p < 0.001). The OC had greater surgical risk based on their higher mean American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) scores (2.74 (SD 0.63) vs 2.30 (SD 0.63); p < 0.001) and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores (6.26 (SD 1.71) vs 3.87 (SD 1.98); p < 0.001). While the OC stayed in the hospital longer than the YC (mean 3.5 vs 2.5 days; p < 0.001), there were no differences in 90-day emergency visits (p = 0.083), myocardial infarctions (p = 0.993), periprosthetic joint infections (p = 0.214), dislocations (p = 0.993), or aseptic failure (p = 0.993). The YC was more likely to be readmitted within 90 days (3.88% vs 2.18%, Β = 0.57; p = 0.048). There were no observed differences in 12-week (p = 0.518) or one-year (p = 0.511) HOOS scores. Conclusion. Although patients ≥ 80 years old have a greater number of comorbidities than younger patients, they had equivalent perioperative complication rates and PRO scores. This study demonstrates the safety and success of elective THA in octogenarians. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2021;2(7):535–539