Abstract
Hip fracture principally affects the frailest in society, many of whom are care dependent, and are disproportionately at risk of contracting COVID-19. We examined the impact of COVID-19 infection on hip fracture mortality in England.
We conducted a cohort study of patients with hip fracture recorded in the National Hip Fracture Database between 1st February 2019 and 31st October 2020, in England. Data were linked to Hospital Episode Statistics to quantify patient characteristics and comorbidities, Office for National Statistics mortality data, and Public Health England's SARS-CoV-2 testing results. Multivariable Cox regression examined determinants of 90-day mortality. Excess mortality attributable to COVID-19 was quantified using Quasi-Poisson models.
Analysis of 102,900 hip fractures (42,630 occurring during the pandemic) revealed that amongst those with COVID-19 infection at presentation (n=1,120) there was a doubling of 90-day mortality; hazard ratio (HR) 2.05 (95%CI 1.86–2.26), while for infections arising between 8–30 days after presentation (n=1,644) the figure was even higher at 2.52 (2.32–2.73). Malnutrition [1.44 (1.19–1.75)] and non-operative treatment [2.89 (2.16–3.86)] were the only modifiable risk factors for death in COVID-19 positive patients. Patients with previous COVID-19 initially had better survival compared to those who contracted COVID-19 around the time of their hip fracture; however, survival rapidly declined and by 365 days the combination of hip fracture and COVID-19 infection was associated with a 50% mortality rate. Between 1st January and 30th June 2020, 1,273 (99.7%CI 1,077–1,465) excess deaths occurred within 90 days of hip fracture, representing an excess mortality of 23% (20%–26%), with most deaths occurring within 30 days.
COVID-19 infection more than doubled early hip fracture mortality; the first 30-days after injury were most critical, suggesting that targeted interventions in this period may have most benefit in improving survival.
