Aims

Identifying predictors of compartment syndrome in the foot after a fracture of the calcaneus may lead to earlier diagnosis and treatment. The aim of our study was to identify any such predictors.

Objectives

To investigate psychosocial and biomedical outcomes following total hip replacement (THR) and to identify predictors of recovery from THR.

We report the general mortality rate after total knee replacement and identify independent predictors of survival. We studied 2428 patients: there were 1127 men (46%) and 1301 (54%) women with a mean age of 69.3 years (28 to 94). Patients were allocated a predicted life expectancy based on their age and gender.

There were 223 deaths during the study period. This represented an overall survivorship of 99% (95% confidence interval (CI) 98 to 99) at one year, 90% (95% CI 89 to 92) at five years, and 84% (95% CI 82 to 86) at ten years. There was no difference in survival by gender. A greater mortality rate was associated with increasing age (p < 0.001), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade (p < 0.001), smoking (p < 0.001), body mass index (BMI) <  20 kg/m² (p < 0.001) and rheumatoid arthritis (p < 0.001). Multivariate modelling confirmed the independent effect of age, ASA grade, BMI, and rheumatoid disease on mortality. Based on the predicted average mortality, 114 patients were predicted to have died, whereas 217 actually died. This resulted in an overall excess standardised mortality ratio of 1.90. Patient mortality after TKR is predicted by their demographics: these could be used to assign an individual mortality risk after surgery.

A prospective study was performed to develop a clinical prediction rule that incorporated demographic and clinical factors predictive of a fracture of the scaphoid. Of 260 consecutive patients with a clinically suspected or radiologically confirmed scaphoid fracture, 223 returned for evaluation two weeks after injury and formed the basis of our analysis. Patients were evaluated within 72 hours of injury and at approximately two and six weeks after injury using clinical assessment and standard radiographs. Demographic data and the results of seven specific tests in the clinical examination were recorded.

There were 116 (52%) men and their mean age was 33 years (13 to 95; sd 17.9). In 62 patients (28%) a scaphoid fracture was confirmed. A logistic regression model identified male gender (p = 0.002), sports injury (p = 0.004), anatomical snuff box pain on ulnar deviation of the wrist within 72 hours of injury (p < 0.001), and scaphoid tubercle tenderness at two weeks (p < 0.001) as independent predictors of fracture. All patients with no pain at the anatomical snuff box on ulnar deviation of the wrist within 72 hours of injury did not have a fracture (n = 72, 32%). With four independently significant factors positive, the risk of fracture was 91%.

Our study has demonstrated that clinical prediction rules have a considerable influence on the probability of a suspected scaphoid fracture. This will help improve the use of supplementary investigations where the diagnosis remains in doubt.

A prospective cohort of 222 patients who underwent revision hip replacement between April 2001 and March 2004 was evaluated to determine predictors of function, pain and activity level between one and two years post-operatively, and to define quality of life outcomes using validated patient reported outcome tools. Predictive models were developed and proportional odds regression analyses were performed to identify factors that predict quality of life outcomes at one and two years post-operatively. The dependent outcome variables were the Western Ontario and McMaster Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) function and pain scores, and University of California Los Angeles activity scores. The independent variables included patient demographics, operative factors, and objective quality of life parameters, including pre-operative WOMAC, and the Short Form-12 mental component score. There was a significant improvement (t-test, p < 0.001) in all patient quality of life scores. In the predictive model, factors predictive of improved function (original regression analyses, p < 0.05) included a higher pre-operative WOMAC function score (p < 0.001), age between 60 and 70 years (p < 0.037), male gender (p = 0.017), lower Charnley class (p < 0.001) and aseptic loosening being the indication for revision (p < 0.003). Using the WOMAC pain score as an outcome variable, factors predictive of improvement included the pre-operative WOMAC function score (p = 0.001), age between 60 and 70 years (p = 0.004), male gender (p = 0.005), lower Charnley class (p = 0.001) and no previous revision procedure (p = 0.023). The pre-operative WOMAC function score (p = 0.001), the indication for the operation (p = 0.007), and the operating surgeon (p = 0.008) were significant predictors of the activity assessment at follow-up. Predictors of quality of life outcomes after revision hip replacement were established. Although some patient-specific and surgery-specific variables were important, age, gender, Charnley class and pre-operative WOMAC function score had the most robust associations with outcome

Hip abductor tears(AT) have long been under-recognized, under-reported and under-treated. There is a paucity of data on the prevalence, morphology and associated factors. Patients with “rotator cuff tears of the hip” that are recognized and repaired during total hip arthroplasty(THA) report comparable outcomes to patients with intact abductor tendons at THA.

The study was a retrospective review of 997 primary THA done by a single surgeon from 2012–2022. Incidental findings of AT identified during the anterolateral approach to the hip were documented with patient name, gender, age and diagnosis. The extent and size of the tears of the Gluteus medius and Minimus were recorded. Xrays and MRI's were collected for the 140 patients who had AT and matched 1:1 with respect to age and gender against 140 patients that had documented good muscle quality and integrity. Radiographic measurements (Neck shaft angle, inter-teardrop distance, Pelvis width, trochanteric width and irregularities, bodyweight moment arm and abductor moment arm) were compared between the 2 groups in an effort to determine if any radiographic feature would predict AT.

The prevalence of AT were 14%. Females had statistically more tears than males(18vs10%), while patients over the age of 70y had statistically more tears overall(19,7vs10,4%), but also more Gluteus Medius tears specifically(13,9vs5,3%). Radiographic measurements did not statistically differ between the tear and control group, except for the presence of trochanteric irregularities. MRI's showed that 50% of AT were missed and subsequently identified during surgery.

Abductor tears are still underrecognized and undertreated during THA which can results in inferior outcomes. The surgeon should have an high index of suspicion in elderly females with trochanteric irregularities and although an MRI for every patient won't be feasible, one should always be prepared and equipped to repair the abductor tendons during THA.

Introduction: The aims of this study were to. determine predictors of pain, function and activity level 1–2 years after revision hip arthroplasty and. define quality of life outcomes after revision total hip replacement. Methods: A prospective cohort of 222 patients who underwent revision hip arthroplasty were evaluated. Predictive models were developed and proportional odds regression analyses were performed to identify factors that predict quality of life outcomes at 1 and 2 years post surgery. The dependent outcome variables were WOMAC function, pain and UCLA activity. The independent variables included patient demographic, surgery specific and objective parameters including baseline Western Ontario McMaster Universities (WOMAC) osteoarthritis index, and the Short Form-12 mental component. The Loess method was used to plot the change of WOMAC and SF-12 scores over time. Results: There was a significant improvement (p< 0.001) in all patient quality of life scores from baseline with results plateauing at 1 year. UCLA activity remained static between 1 and 2 years. In the predictive model, higher baseline WOMAC function (p < 0.001), age between 60–70 (p< 0.037), male gender (0.017), lower Charnley class (p < 0.001) and diagnosis of aseptic loosening (p < 0.003) were significant predictors of improved function. When considering WOMAC pain as an outcome variable, factors predictive of improving category outcome included baseline WOMAC function (p= 0.001), age between 60–70 (p< 0.004), male gender (p= 0.005), lower Charnley class (p< 0.001) and no previous revisions (p < 0.023). Baseline WOMAC pain did not predict final pain outcome. Baseline WOMAC function (p=0.001), the indication for the operation (p=0.007), and the operating surgeon were significant predictors of UCLA activity at follow up. Peri or post-operative complications were not an adverse predictor of physical function, pain or activity. Conclusions: Predictors of quality of life outcomes after revision hip replacement-showed that although some patient specific and surgical specific variables were important, age, gender, Charnley class and baseline WOMAC function had the most robust associations with outcomes

Introduction

Surgical reconstruction of deformed Charcot feet carries high risk of non-union, metalwork failure and deformity recurrence. The primary aim of this study was to identify the factors contributing to these complications following hindfoot Charcot reconstructions.

The aim of the study was to evaluate radiological and clinical outcomes of surgical treatment of developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) with Periacetabular Osteotomy (PAO) and to determine the values of radiological parameters allowing us to obtain an optimal clinical result.

Radiological evaluation included a standardized AP digital radiograph of the hip joints. Centre edge angle (CEA), medialization, distalization, femoral head coverage (FHC) and ilioischial angle were measured. Clinical evaluation based on HHS, WOMAC, Merle d'Aubigne-Postel scales and Hip Lag Sign. Radiological and clinical evaluation was performed preoperatively and approximately 12 months after the surgery.

Statistically significant (p<0.05) differences in radiological measurements and all clinical scales have been observed pre- and postoperatively for all of the parameters. The results of PAO presented decreased medialization by 3.4mm (range: 3 to 3.7), distalization by 3.5mm (range: 3.2 to 3.8) and the ilioischial angle by 2.7° (range: 2.2 to 3.7). There was also an improvement in the femoral head bone coverage: CEA increased by 16.3° (range: 12.1˚ to 20.5˚) and FHC by 15.2% (range: 10.8 to 19.8). Clinically we observed an increase in HHS by 22 points (range: 15.8 to 28.2) and M. Postel d'Aubigne by 3.5 points (range: 2.0 to 4.4) and a decrease in WOMAC by 24% (range: 22.6 to 25.8). HLS improvement of gluteal muscles’ efficiency has been observed in 67% of patients postoperatively.

This study revealed that the qualification of patients with DDH for an elective PAO is more justified due to the predicted optimal clinical outcomes based on three parameters: CEA <25 degrees, FHC <75%, and ilioischial angle >85.9 degrees. Accordingly, to achieve better clinical results for all scales, it is necessary to increase the average CEA value by 11˚, the average FHC by 11%, and reduce the average ilioischial angle by 3˚.

Use of anticoagulants for thromboembolic prophylaxis is strongly supported by evidence. However, the use of these medications beyond the prophylactic period is poorly understood.

We identified anticoagulant naïve patients that underwent hip or knee replacement between 2012 and 2019 from an arthroplasty registry and probabilistically linked 3,018 surgeries with nationwide pharmaceutical claims data. Rates of anticoagulation use were examined during the early (<= 60 days post-discharge), mid-term (61–180 days post-discharge) and long-term (181–360 days post-discharge) periods. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify patient- and surgery-related factors associated with long-term anticoagulant use.

Anticoagulants were supplied to 20% of arthroplasties within 60 days of discharge, 7% between 61–180 days, and 10% between 181–360 days. Older age, obesity, increased comorbidity burden, a longer length of stay, occurrence of a complication necessitating anticoagulation and dispensation of an anticoagulant within 60 days of discharge were all risk factors for long-term anticoagulant use.

Given the risks associated with unnecessary use of these medications, certain patients who are prescribed anticoagulants beyond prophylactic period may benefit from specialist medication review in the months following surgery.

Signal intensity changes of the spinal cord on MRI in chronic cervical myelopathy are thought to be indicative of the prognosis. However, the prognostic significance of signal intensity change remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristics of MR findings in cervical compression myelopathy that reflect the clinical symptoms and the prognosis and to determine the radiographical and clinical factors that correlate to the prognosis. The subjects were 73 patients who underwent cervical expansive laminoplasty. Their mean age was 64 years, and the mean postoperative follow-up was 3.4 years. The pathological conditions were cervical spondylotic myelopathy in 42 and ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament in 31.MRI (spin-echo sequence) was performed in all patients. Three patterns of spinal cord signal intensity changes on T1-weighted sequences/T2-weighted sequences were detected as follows: normal/ normal. (N/N); normal/ high signal intensity changes (N/Hi); and low signal intensity changes/high signal intensity changes (Lo/Hi). Surgical outcomes were compared among these three groups. The most useful combination of parameters for predicting prognosis was determined. There were 2 patients with N/N, 67 with N/Hi and 4 with Lo/Hi signal change patterns before surgery. Regarding postoperative recovery, the preoperative Lo/Hi group was significantly inferior to the preoperative N/Hi group. The best combination of predictors for surgical outcomes included age, preoperative signal pattern and duration of symptoms. The low signal intensity changes on T1-weighted sequences indicated a poor prognosis. We speculate that high signal intensity changes on T2-weighted images include a broad spectrum of compressive myelomalacid pathologies and reflect a broad spectrum of recuperative potentials of the spinal cord. Predictors for surgical outcomes are preoperative signal intensity change pattern of the spinal cord on radiological evaluations, age at the time of surgery and chronicity of the disease

Minimally displaced paediatric proximal humerus fractures (PHFs) can be reliably managed non-operatively, however there is considerable debate regarding the appropriate management of severely displaced PHFs, particularly in older children and adolescents with limited remodelling potential. The purpose of this study was to perform a systematic review to answer the questions: “What are the functional and quality-of-life outcomes of paediatric PHFs?” and “What factors have been associated with a poorer outcome?”

A review of Medline and EMBASE was performed on 4^th July 2021 using search terms relevant to PHFs, surgery, non-operative management, paediatrics and outcomes. Studies including ≥10 paediatric patients with PHFs, which assessed clinical outcomes by use of an established outcome measure, were selected. The following clinical information was collected: participant characteristics, treatment, complications, and outcomes.

Twelve articles were selected, including four prospective cohort studies and eight retrospective cohort studies. Favourable outcome scores were found for patients with minimally displaced fractures, and for children aged less than ten years, irrespective of treatment methodology or grade of fracture displacement. Older age at injury and higher grade of fracture displacement were reported as risk factors for a poorer patient-reported outcome score.

An excellent functional outcome can be expected following non-operative management for minimally displaced paediatric PHFs. Prospective trials are required to establish a guideline for the management of severely displaced PHFs in children and adolescents according to fracture displacement and the degree of skeletal maturity.

This study aimed to evaluate the month-to-month prevalence of antibiotic dispensation in the 12 months before and after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) and to identify factors associated with antibiotic dispensation in the month immediately following the surgical procedure.

In total, 4,115 THAs and TKAs performed between April 2013 and June 2019 from a state-wide arthroplasty referral centre were analysed. A cross-sectional study used data from an institutional arthroplasty registry, which was linked probabilistically to administrative dispensing data from the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme. Multivariable logistic regression was carried out to identify patient and surgical risk factors for oral antibiotic dispensation.

Oral antibiotics were dispensed in 18.3% of patients following primary TKA and 12.0% of patients following THA in the 30 days following discharge. During the year after discharge, 66.7% of TKA patients and 58.2% of THA patients were dispensed an antibiotic at some point. Patients with poor preoperative health status were more likely to have antibiotics dispensed in the month following THA or TKA. Older age, undergoing TKA rather than THA, obesity, inflammatory arthritis, and experiencing an in-hospital wound-related or other infectious complications were associated with increased antibiotic dispensation in the 30 days following discharge.

A high rate of antibiotic dispensation in the 30 days following THA and TKA has been observed. Although resource constraints may limit routine wound review for all patients by a surgeon, a select cohort may benefit from timely specialist review postoperatively. Several risk factors identified in this study may aid in identifying appropriate candidates for such changes to follow-up care.

Aims

Surgical reconstruction of deformed Charcot feet carries a high risk of nonunion, metalwork failure, and deformity recurrence. The primary aim of this study was to identify the factors contributing to these complications following hindfoot Charcot reconstructions.

Introduction: Dural tears are one of the most frequent type of complication in posterior spinal fusion with little known about their predictors. Method: Prospective consecutive study with an evidence level 2++ of 42 patients in the international spine registry Spine Tango, who had been treated between 05/2005 and 8/2008 with posterior spinal fusion after opening of the spinal canal. Median age was 62.7 yrs (min 12.5, max 90.5 yrs) with a female to male ratio of 2:1. In 42 of 1575 cases a dural tear occurred being the most frequent type of complication in our study sample. Multiple linear regression was performed on potential predictor-variables of the occurrence of dural tears. Results: Hospital (p=0.02) and number of segments of fusion (p=0.018) were found to be predictors of the occurrence of dural tears in posterior spinal fusion. Number of fusions per hospital (min 25, max 526) and academic status of hospital had no influence on the rate of dural tears. Fusions of four and more segments showed an increase of the rate of dural tears by three compared to fusions of less than four segments. Conclusion: Predictors of dural tears in posterior spinal fusion are hospital, independent of number of spinal surgeries and academic status of hospital, and number of segments of fusion. In fusions of four and more segments a threefold higher risk of dural tears in comparison to fusions of less than four segments should be taken into consideration

Background

Guidelines recommend epidural steroid injections (ESI) for treating severe disc-related sciatica based on trial data showing modest reductions in leg pain, disability and surgery avoidance. Despite their widespread use, there is no clear evidence about which patients are more likely to benefit from ESI. The aim of this study was to generate consensus on potential predictors of outcome following ESI for disc-related sciatica to include in data collection in a future cohort study.

It is undetermined which factors predict return to work following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. We aimed to identify which factors predicted return to work at any level, and return to pre-injury levels of work 6 months post-arthroscopic rotator cuff repair.

Multiple logistic regression analysis of prospectively collected demographic, pre-injury, preoperative, and intraoperative data from 1502 consecutive primary arthroscopic rotator cuff repairs, performed by a single surgeon, was performed to identify independent predictors of return to work, and return to pre-injury levels of work respectively, 6 months post-surgery.

Six months post-rotator cuff repair, 76% of patients returned to work (RTW), and 40% returned to pre-injury levels of work (Full-RTW). RTW at 6 months was likely if patients were still working after their injuries, but prior to surgery (Wald statistic [W]=55, p<0.0001), were stronger in internal rotation preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), had full-thickness tears (W=9, p=0.002), and were female (W=5, p=0.030). Patients who achieved Full-RTW were likely to have worked less strenuously pre-injury (W=173, p<0.0001), worked more strenuously post-injury but pre-surgery (W=22, p<0.0001), had greater behind-the-back lift-off strength preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), and had less passive external rotation range of motion preoperatively (W=5, p=0.034). Patients who were still working post-injury, but pre-surgery were 1.6-times more likely to RTW than patients who were not (p<0.0001). Patients who nominated their pre-injury level of work as “light” were 11-times more likely to achieve Full-RTW than those who nominated “strenuous” (p<0.0001).

Six months post-rotator cuff repair, a higher patient-rated post-injury, but pre-surgery level of work was the strongest predictor of RTW. A lower patient-rated pre-injury level of work was the strongest predictor of Full-RTW. Greater preoperative subscapularis strength independently predicted both RTW, and Full-RTW.

Same day home (SDH) discharge in total joint arthroplasty (TJA) has increased in popularity in recent years. The objective of this study was to evaluate the causes and predictors of failed discharges in planned SDH patients.

A consecutive cohort of patients who underwent total knee (TKA) or total hip arthroplasty (THA) that were scheduled for SDH discharge between April 1, 2019 to March 31, 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Patient demographics, causes of failed discharge, perioperative variables, 30-day readmissions and 6-month reoperation rates were collected. Multivariate regression analysis was undertaken to identify independent predictors of failed discharge.

The cohort consisted of 527 consecutive patients. One hundred and one (19%) patients failed SDH discharge. The leading causes were postoperative hypotension (20%) and patients who were ineligible for the SDH pathway (19%). Two individual surgeons, later operative start time (OR 1.3, 95% CI, 1.15-1.55, p=0.001), ASA class IV (OR 3.4, 95% CI, 1.4-8.2; p=0.006) and undergoing a THA (OR 2.0, 95% CI, 1.2-3.1, p=0.004) were independent predictors of failed SDH discharge. No differences in age, BMI, gender, surgical approach or type of anesthetic were found (p>0.05). The 30-day readmission or 6-month reoperation were similar between groups (p>0.05).

Hypotension and inappropriate patient selection were the leading causes of failed SDH discharge. Significant variability existed between individual surgeons failed discharge rates. Patients undergoing a THA, classified as ASA IV or had a later operative start time were all more likely to fail SDH discharge.

True scaphoid fractures of the wrist are difficult to diagnose in children. In 5–40% of cases, a scaphoid fracture may not be detectable on initial X-ray, some fractures may take up to six weeks to become evident. Since missing a scaphoid fracture may have serious implications, many children with a suspected or “clinical” scaphoid fracture, but normal radiographs, may be over-treated. The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of true scaphoid fractures in children.

A retrospective cohort study was performed using electronic medical records for all patients over a two-year period presenting to a tertiary paediatric hospital with hand or wrist injury. Charts were identified by ICD-10 diagnostic codes and reviewed for pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients with either a clinical or true scaphoid fracture were included. When a scaphoid fracture was suspected, but imaging was negative for fracture, the diagnosis of a clinical scaphoid fracture was made. True scaphoid fractures were diagnosed when a fracture was evident on any modality of medical imaging (X-ray, CT, MRI) at any time post-injury.

Over the two-year study period, 148 patients (60 scaphoid fractures, 88 non-fractures) met inclusion and exclusion criteria for review. Mean (±SD) age was 13±2 years and 52% were male. The left wrist was injured in 61% of cases. Of the 60 true scaphoid fractures, mean age was 14±2 years, and 69% were male. Fracture location was primarily at the waist (48%) or distal pole (45%) of the scaphoid. Sports were the prevailing mechanism of injury. Six (11%) underwent surgery. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that older age, male gender, and right-sided injury were predictors of scaphoid fracture with odds ratios of 1.3 (95% CI: 1.1–1.6, p=0.005), 2.8 (95% CI: 1.3–6, p=0.007), and 2.4 (95% CI: 1.1–5.2, p=0.025).

Older age, male gender, and right-sided injury may be predictors of scaphoid fractures in children. Further evidence to support this may enable the formulation of clinical guidelines or rules to reduce the overtreatment of children presenting with a clinical scaphoid fracture.

In-hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge disposition following arthroplasty could act as surrogate measures for improvement in patient pathways, and have major cost saving implications for healthcare providers. With the ever-growing adoption of robotic technology in arthroplasty, we wished to evaluate its impact on LOS. The objectives of this study were to compare LOS and discharge disposition following robotic-arm assisted (RO THA) versus conventional technique Total Hip Arthroplasty (CO THA).

This large-scale, single institution study included patients of any age undergoing primary THA (N = 1,732) for any cause between May 2019 and January 2023. Data extracted included patient demographics, LOS, need for Post Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU) admission, anaesthesia type, readmission within 30 days and discharge dispositions. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were also employed to identify factors and patient characteristics related to delayed discharge.

The median LOS in the RO THA group was 54 hours (34, 78) versus 60 (51, 100) in the CO THA group, p<0.001. Discharge disposition was comparable between the two groups. In the multivariate model, age, need for PACU admission, ASA score > 2, female gender, general anaesthesia and utilisation of the conventional technique were significantly associated with LOS > 2 days.

Our study showed that robotic-arm assistance was associated with a shorter LOS in patients undergoing primary THA and no difference in discharge destination. Our results suggest that robotic-arm assistance could be advantageous in partly addressing the upsurge of hip arthroplasty procedures and the concomitant health care burden; however, this needs to be corroborated by long-term cost effectiveness analyses and data from randomised controlled studies.

Periprosthetic femoral fractures are increasingly seen in recent years, adding considerable burden to the National Health Service. These require complex revision or fixation and prolonged post-operative care, with significant morbidity with associated costs. The purpose of this study was to assess whether the size of femoral cement mantle is associated with periprosthetic femoral fractures (PPF).

This retrospective study was carried out on a cohort of 49 patients (Fracture Group - FG) who previously had a revision procedure following a proximal PPF between 2010 and 2021. Inclusion criteria – all primary cemented total hip replacements (THR). Exclusion criteria – complex primary THR, any implant malposition that required early revision surgery or any pre-fracture stem loosening. The antero-posterior (AP) radiographs from this cohort of patients were assessed and compared to an age, sex, time since THR-matched control group of 49 patients without PPF (Control Group - CG). Distal cement mantle area (DCMA) was calculated on an AP radiograph of hip; the position of the femoral stem tip prior to fracture was also recorded: valgus, varus or central. Limitations: AP radiographs only. Statistical analyses were performed using Microsoft® Excel.

Chi-square test demonstrated statistically significant difference in DCMA between FG and CG. DCMA of 700 to 900 mm² appeared to be protective when compared to DCMA of 0 to 300 mm². Also, a valgus position observed in 23% in FG Vs 4 % in CG increased the risk, with a smaller area of DCMA.

This study demonstrates and recommends that a size of 700 – 900 mm² of the DCMA is protective against periprosthetic fractures, which are further influenced by the positioning of the distal stem tip. This could be due to the gradual decrease in the stiffness gradient from proximal to distal around the stem tip than steep changes, thereby decreasing possibility of a stress riser just distal to the cement mantle or restrictor. Further biomechanical research specific to this finding may be helpful to validate the observation, progressing to suggest a safe standardised surgical technique.

Total hip arthroplasty has been constantly evolving with technological improvements to achieve the best survival rates. Although the new implants are under closer surveillance through processes such as Beyond Compliance, orthopaedic surgeons generally tend to look out for the latest implants with good short-term results and hope for better long-term results for these. We questioned whether such an assumption or bias is valid.

We analysed the data of Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative revisions of primary hip replacement by fixation, stem/cup brand and bearing combinations from the NJR 19th Annual Report published in September 2022. We performed a univariate linear regression analysis to predict the 10- and 15-year revision rates for these different hip implant combinations from the 3- and 5-year revision rates.

Thirty-seven implant combinations had their 15-year revision rates reported and 67 had the 10-year revision rates. The correlation co-efficients were 0.43 and 0.58 for the 3-year and 5-year revision rates against 15-year revision rates. Only 17% of the variance in 15-year revision rates could be predicted by a linear regression model from the 3-year revision rate and 32% from the 5-year revision rate. Corresponding values for the 10-year revision rates were 46% and 67%.

95% prediction intervals for the 15-year revision rate were +/− 3.1% from the 3-year revision rate and +/− 2.8% from the 5-year revision rate. Corresponding values for the 10-year revision rates were +/− 1.3% and +/− 1%.

19 of 37 implant combinations showed 15-year revision rate of more than 4%. Average 3-year and 5-year revision rates for this cohort was 1.0% and 1.42% compared to 1.4% and 1.9% for the rest and the difference was statistically significant.

Although average early revision rates showed small but significant difference between the groups with lower and higher 15-year revision rates, the prediction intervals for 15-year revision rates for individual hips based on their 3-year and 5-year revision rates are very wide. Three- and 5-year revision rates for primary total hip replacements are poor predictors of 15-year revision rates.

Posterior spinal surgery is associated with a significant amount of blood loss. The factors predisposing the patient to excessive bleeding-and therefore transfusion- are not well established nor is the effect of transfusion on the outcomes following spinal surgery. We had two goals in this study. First, we were to investigate any suspected risk factors of transfusion in posterior thoraco-lumbar fusion patients. Second, we wanted to observe the negative impact-if one existed- of transfusion on the outcomes of surgery

All adults undergoing posterior thoraco-lumbar spine fusion in our institution from May 2015 to May 2018 were included. Data collected included demographic data as well as BMI, preoperative hemoglobin, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification (ASA), delta Hemoglobin, estimated blood loss, incidence of transfusion, number of units transfused, number of levels fused, length of stay and re-admission within 30 days. The data was analyzed to correlate these variables with the frequency of transfusion and then to assess the association of adverse outcomes with transfusion.

125 patients were included in the study. Only 6 patients (4.8%) required re-admission within the first 30 days after discharge. Length of stay averaged 8.4 days (3–74). 18 patients (14.4%) required transfusion peri-operatively. When multiple variables were analyzed for any correlation, the number of levels fused, age and BMI had statistically significant correlation with the need for transfusion (P <0.005)

Patients undergoing posterior thoraco-lumbar fusion are more likely to require blood transfusion if they were older, over-weight & obese or had a multi-level fusion. Receiving blood transfusion is associated with increased complication rates.

While total joint replacement (TJR) is considered as an effective intervention to relieve pain and restore joint function for end-stage osteoarthritis (OA) patients, a significant proportion of the patients are dissatisfied with their surgery outcomes. The aim of this study was to identify genetic factors that can predict patients who do or do not benefit from these surgical procedures by a genome-wide association study (GWAS).

Study participants were derived from the Newfoundland Osteoarthritis Study (NFOAS) which consisted of 1086 TJR patients. Non-responders to TJR was defined as patients who did not reach the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) based on the self administered Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) in terms of pain reduction or function improvment. DNA was extracted from the blood samples of the study participants and genotyped by Illumina GWAS genotyping platform. Over two million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) across the genome were genotyped and tested for assocition with non-responders.

39 non-responders and 44 age, sex, and BMI matched responders were included in this study. Four chromosome regions on chromosomes 5, 7, 8, and 12 were suggested to be associated with non-responders with p < 1 0–5. The most promising one was on chromosome 5 with the lead SNP rs17118094 (p=1.7×10–6) which can classify 72% of non-responders accurately. The discriminatory power of this SNP alone is very promising as indicated by an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.72 with 95% confidence interval of 0.63 to 0.81, which is much better than any previously studied predictors mentioned above. All the patients who carry two copies of the G allele (minor allele) of rs17118094 were non-responders and 75% of those who carry one copy of the G allele were non-responders. The discriminatory ability of the lead SNPs on chromosomes 7 and 12 were comparable to the one on chromosome 5 with an AUC of 0.74, and 88% of patients who carry two copies of the A allele of rs10244798 on chromosome 7 were non-responders. Similarly, 88% of patients who carry two copies of the C allele of rs10773476 on chromosome 12 were non-responders. While the discriminatory ability of rs9643244 on chromosome 8 was poor with an AUC of 0.26, its strong association with non-responders warrants a further investigation in the region.

The study identified four genomic regions harboring genetic factors for non-responders to TJR. The lead SNPs in those regions have great discriminatory ability to predict non-responders and could be used to create a genetic prediction model for clinical unitilty and application.

Aims

The primary aim of this study was to assess if traumatic triangular fibrocartilage complex (TFCC) tears can be treated successfully with immobilization alone. Our secondary aims were to identify clinical factors that may predict a poor prognosis.

Aims

With novel promising therapies potentially limiting progression of Dupuytren’s disease (DD), better patient stratification is needed. We aimed to quantify DD development and progression after seven years in a population-based cohort, and to identify factors predictive of disease development or progression.

Aims

Sickle cell disease (SCD) is an autosomal recessive inherited condition that presents with a number of clinical manifestations that include musculoskeletal manifestations (MM). MM may present differently in different individuals and settings and the predictors are not well known. Herein, we aimed at determining the predictors of MM in patients with SCD at the University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia.

Aims

Historically, patients undergoing surgery for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) have been nursed postoperatively in a critical care (CC) setting because of the challenges posed by prone positioning, extensive exposures, prolonged operating times, significant blood loss, major intraoperative fluid shifts, cardiopulmonary complications, and difficulty in postoperative pain management. The primary aim of this paper was to determine whether a scoring system, which uses Cobb angle, forced vital capacity (FVC), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), and number of levels to be fused, is a valid method of predicting the need for postoperative critical care in AIS patients who are to undergo scoliosis correction with posterior spinal fusion (PSF).

Aims

Repeated lumbar spine surgery has been associated with inferior clinical outcomes. This study aimed to examine and quantify the impact of this association in a national clinical register cohort.

Source of the study: University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand and University of Otago, Christchurch, New Zealand

The Oxford Knee Score (OKS) is a 12-item questionnaire used to track knee arthroplasty outcomes. Validation of such patient reported outcome measures is typically anchored to a single question based on patient ‘satisfaction’, however risk of subsequent revision surgery is also an important outcome measure. The OKS can predict subsequent revision risk within two years, however it is not known which item(s) are the strongest predictors. Our aim was to identify which questions were most relevant in the prediction of subsequent knee arthroplasty revision risk.

All primary TKAs (n=27,708) and UKAs (n=8,415) captured by the New Zealand Joint Registry between 1999 and 2019 with at least one OKS response at six months, five years or ten years post-surgery were included. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were used to assess prediction models at six months, five years and ten years.

Q1 ‘overall pain’ was the strongest predictor of revision within two years (TKA: 6 months, odds ratio (OR) 1.37; 5 years, OR 1.80; 10 years, OR 1.43; UKA: 6 months, OR 1.32; 5 years, OR 2.88; 10 years, OR 1.85; all p<0.05). A reduced model with just three questions (Q1, Q6 ‘limping when walking’, Q10 ‘knee giving way’) showed comparable or better diagnostic ability with the full OKS (area under the curve (AUC): TKA: 6 months, 0.77 vs. 0.76; 5 years, 0.78 vs. 0.75; 10 years, 0.76 vs. 0.73; UKA: 6 months, 0.80 vs. 0.78; 5 years: 0.81 vs. 0.77; 10 years, 0.80 vs. 0.77).

The three questions on overall knee pain, limping when walking, and knee ‘giving way’ were the strongest predictors of subsequent revision within two years. Attention to the responses for these three key questions during follow-up may allow for prompt identification of patients most at risk of revision.

Aims

The aims of this study were to assess mapping models to predict the three-level version of EuroQoL five-dimension utility index (EQ-5D-3L) from the Oxford Knee Score (OKS) and validate these before and after total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

Aims

The primary aim was to assess the independent influence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on 30-day mortality for patients with a hip fracture. The secondary aims were to determine whether: 1) there were clinical predictors of COVID-19 status; and 2) whether social lockdown influenced the incidence and epidemiology of hip fractures.

Avascular necrosis (AVN) of the femoral head is a potentially devastating complication of treatment for developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH). AVN most commonly occurs following operative management by closed (CR) or open reduction (OR). This occurrence has frequently been examined in single centre, retrospective studies, however, little high-level evidence exists to provide insight on potential risk factors. The purpose of this observational, prospective multi-centre study was to identify predictors of AVN following operatively-managed DDH.

A multi-centre, prospective database of infants diagnosed with DDH from 0–18 months was analyzed for patients treated by CR and/or OR. At minimum one year follow-up, the incidence of AVN (Salter criteria) was determined from AP pelvis radiographs via blinded assessment and consensus discussion between three senior paediatric orthopaedic surgeons. Patient demographics, clinical exam findings and radiographic data were assessed for potential predictors of AVN.

A total of 139 hips in 125 patients (102 female, 23 male) underwent CR/OR at a median age of 10.4 months (range 0.7–27.9). AVN was identified in 37 cases (26.6% incidence) at a median 23 months post-surgery. Univariate logistic regression analysis comparing AVN and no AVN groups identified sex, age at diagnosis, age at surgery, pre-surgery IHDI grade and time between diagnosis and surgery as potential predictive factors. Specifically, male sex (OR 2.21 [0.87,5.72]), IHDI grade IV, and older age at diagnosis (7.4 vs. 9.5 months) and surgery (10.2 vs. 13.6 months) were associated with development of AVN. Likewise, increased time between diagnosis and surgery (2.9 vs. 5.5 months) was also associated with a higher incidence. No association was found with surgery type (CR vs. OR), pre-surgery acetabular index or surgical hip.

Development of AVN occurred in 26.6% of hips undergoing CR or OR at a median 23 months post-surgery. Male sex, older age at diagnosis and surgery, dislocation severity and increased time between diagnosis and surgery were associated with AVN. Longer-term follow-up and larger numbers will be required to confirm these findings. Early outcomes from this prospective patient cohort suggest that AVN is an important complication of operative management for DDH, and appears to occur at a comparable rate whether the reduction is performed open or closed. Male patients may be more susceptible to developing AVN and merits further exploration. Potential predictive factors of older age and length of time between diagnosis and surgery emphasize the importance of early detection and treatment to minimize complications and optimize outcomes.

Solitary fibrous tumor (SFT) is a rare mesenchymal tumor with an intermediate tendency to metastasize, which is found in many different locations including head and neck, abdomen, chest cavity and extremities. Also, meningeal hemangiopericytoma (HPC) is considered an SFT which arises in the meningeal membranes. SFT family shows an undetermined biologic behavior varying from a silent indolent tumor to an aggressive malignant form; however, benign and malignant variants of SFT may have similar cytopathologic characteristics. In this study, we defined the factors correlated with SFT's aggressive behavior and patient's survival.

This is a retrospective study based on medical records of 85 patients who were suffering from SFT and had been treated at McGill University Health Centre (MUHC) between 1984 and 2017. We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to address any association between the variables including patient's demographics, tumor size, primary location of the tumor, pathological features, treatment methods and outcomes.

The median of the follow-up period was 60 months. The patient's age or gender had no association with tumor aggressive behavior or patient's survival. Anatomical origin of primary tumor had no strong correlation with the patient's disease related death (DRD); however, tumors originated from CNS showed more aggressive behavior. There was an association between tumor size more than 7 cm and distant metastasis (MT) (p= 0.03) and DRD (p=0.03). The tumor size also correlated with the 5-year disease-free survival (p=0.017). We had three histologic groups: 1- Benign SFT (30 cases), 2- cellular SFT or HPC (29 cases), 3- malignant SFT or anaplastic HPC (26 cases). Although univariate analysis demonstrates that patients suffering from cellular SFT and malignant SFT showed increased aggressive behavior of the tumor, multivariate analysis didn't verify the mentioned association. Patients with positive margins had increased odds ratio to experience tumor local recurrence (LR) (p= 0.05) and LR was correlated with DRD in our patients (p=0.006). Radiotherapy had no statistical association with LR, MT or DRD. Frequency of LR and MT in the study were 25.7% and 29.8% respectively. 5-year disease-free survival in our patients was 76%.

The size of SFT is the most correlative predictor of the tumor's aggressive behavior. The local recurrence of SFT is associated with disease related death; therefore, resection of the tumor with negative margins provides the highest chance of cure. In addition, a cellular SFT should be treated like a malignant variant of the tumor.

Distal radius fractures are the most common adult fractures, yet there remains some uncertainty surrounding optimal treatment modalities. Recently, the rate of operative treatment of these injuries has been increasing, however, predictors of outcomes in patients treated surgically remain poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to evaluate independent predictors of 30-day readmission and complications following internal fixation of distal radius fractures.

Patients ≥18 years who underwent surgical intervention for distal radius fractures between 2005 and 2016 were identified from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) using procedural codes. Patient demographics, as well as 30-day readmission, complication, and mortality rates were ascertained. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine independent predictors of 30-day outcomes while adjusting for patient age, sex, American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) class, functional status, smoking status, comorbidities, and Body Mass Index (BMI).

A total of 10,051 patients were identified (average age 58 ±16). All patients received open reduction and internal fixation with no cases of external fixation identified in the data set. Included fractures were 37% extraarticular and 63% intraarticular. Within 30-days of initial fixation 143 (1.42%) patients were readmitted to the hospital, 71 patients experienced a complication, and 18 (0.18%) patients died. After adjusting for relevant covariables, current smoking increased the odds of readmission by 1.73 (95%Confidence interval [95%CI] 1.15 – 2.50), ASA class III/IV vs. I/II increased the odds of readmission by 2.74 (95%CI 1.85 – 4.06), and inpatient surgery vs. outpatient surgery increased the odds of readmission by 2.10 (95%CI 1.46 – 3.03). Current smoking also increased the odds of complications by 2.26 (95%CI 1.32 – 3.87), while ASA class III/IV increased it by 2.78 (95%CI 1.60 – 4.85), inpatient surgery increased it by 2.26 (95%CI 1.37 – 3.74), and dependent functional status increased it by 2.55 (1.16 – 5.64).

In conclusion, patients with severe systemic disease, current smokers and patients undergoing inpatient surgery are at risk for 30-day readmissions and complications following operative treatment of distal radius fractures. In addition, patients with dependent functional statuses are more likely to experience a complication within 30-days.

Aims

The aim of this study was to develop and internally validate a prognostic nomogram to predict the probability of gaining a functional range of motion (ROM ≥ 120°) after open arthrolysis of the elbow in patients with post-traumatic stiffness of the elbow.

Introduction

With the removal of total hip arthroplasty (THA) from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) inpatient-only list, understanding predictors of length of stay (LOS) after THA is critical. Thus, we aimed to determine the influence of patient- and procedure-related risk factors as predictors of >1-day LOS after THA.

Background

Readmission following any total joint arthroplasty has become a closely watched metric for many hospitals in the United States because financial penalties imposed by CMS for excessive readmissions occurring within thirty days of discharge has occurred since 2015. The purpose of this study was to identify both preoperative comorbidities associated with and postoperative reasons for readmission within thirty days following primary total joint arthroplasty in the lower extremity.

This international multicentre retrospective cohort study aimed to assess: 1) prevalence of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients, 2) effect on mortality, and 3) clinical factors associated mortality among COVID-19-positive patients.

A collaboration among 112 centres in 14 nations collected data on all patients with a hip fracture between 1st March-31st May 2020. Patient, injury and surgical factors were recorded, and outcome measures included admission duration, COVID-19 and 30-day mortality status.

There were 7090 patients and 651 (9.2%) were COVID-19-positive. COVID-19 was independently associated with male sex (p=0.001), residential care (p<0.001), inpatient fall (p=0.003), cancer (p=0.009), ASA grade 4–5 (p=0.008; p<0.001), and longer admission (p<0.001). Patients with COVID-19 had a significantly lower chance of 30-day survival versus those without (72.7% versus 92.6%, p<0.001), and COVID-19 was independently associated with increased 30-day mortality risk (p<0.001). Increasing age (p=0.028), male sex (p<0.001), renal (p=0.017) and pulmonary disease (p=0·039) were independently associated with higher 30-day mortality risk in patients with COVID-19 when adjusting for confounders.

The prevalence of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients was 9% and was independently associated with a three-fold increased 30-day mortality risk. Clinical factors associated with mortality among COVID-19-positive hip fracture patients were identified for the first time. This is the largest study, and the only global cohort, reporting on the effect of COVID-19 in hip fracture patients. The findings provide a benchmark against which to determine vaccine efficacy in this vulnerable population and are especially important in the context of incomplete vaccination programmes and the emergence of vaccine-resistant strains.

Aims

Fracture of the odontoid process (OP) in the elderly is associated with mortality rates similar to those of hip fracture. The aim of this study was to identify variables that predict mortality in patients with a fracture of the OP, and to assess whether established hip fracture scoring systems such as the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) or Sernbo Score might also be used as predictors of mortality in these patients.

Purpose and background

Acute and chronic spinal pain are major causes of disability, and many patients use analgesics to treat their pain. However, increased use of analgesics, particularly prescription opioids have the potential to be overused and cause dependence. Psychological factors such as stress, anxiety, depression, pain acceptance, pain catastrophising and alexithymia influence both the pain response and analgesic use, yet to date no studies have explored these variables in spinal pain patients. Therefore, the aim of this study is to assess the nature, prevalence and correlates of analgesic dependence among patients with acute or chronic spinal pain.

Background

Lack of ability in basic mobility skills is associated with increased mortality in patients with hip fractures. The aim of this study was to identify predictors for performing basic mobility skills at discharge.

Aims

The primary aim of this study was to address the hypothesis that fracture morphology might be more important than posterior malleolar fragment size in rotational type posterior malleolar ankle fractures (PMAFs). The secondary aim was to identify clinically important predictors of outcome for each respective PMAF-type, to challenge the current dogma that surgical decision-making should be based on fragment size.

The aims were: (1) assess the influence of COVID-19 on mortality in hip fracture; (2) identify predictors of COVID-19 status, and (3) investigate whether social lockdown influenced the epidemiology of hip fracture.

A multicentre retrospective study was conducted of all patients presenting to six hospitals with hip fracture over a 46-day period (23 days pre-/post-lockdown). Demographics, residence, place of injury, presentation blood tests, Nottingham Hip Fracture Score, time to surgery, operation, ASA grade, anaesthetic, length of stay, COVID-19 status, and 30-day mortality were recorded.

Of 317 patients with hip fracture 27 (8.5%) had a positive COVID-19 test; only 7 (26%) had symptoms on admission. COVID-19-positive patients had significantly lower 30-day survival compared to those without COVID-19 (67% versus 92%, p<0.001). COVID-19 was independently associated with increased 30-day mortality adjusting for: (1) age, sex, residence (HR 2.93, p=0.008); (2) Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (HR 3.52, p=0.001), and (3) ASA (HR 3.45, p=0.004). Platelet count predicted subsequent COVID-19 status; a value <217 ×109/L was 68% specific and sensitive (95% CI 58 to 77, p=0.002). A similar number of patients presented with hip fracture pre-lockdown (n=160) and post-lockdown (n=157); there was no significant difference in demographics, place of injury, Nottingham Hip Fracture Score, time to surgery, ASA, or management.

COVID-19 was independently associated with an increased 30-day mortality in hip fracture. Most patients with COVID-19 lacked suggestive symptoms at presentation. Platelet count was an indicator of risk of COVID-19 infection. These findings have urgent implications for the delivery of hip fracture services.

Background

Readmission following any total joint arthroplasty has become a closely watched metric for many hospitals in the United States because financial penalties imposed by CMS for excessive readmissions occurring within thirty days of discharge will be forthcoming in 2015. The purpose of this study was to identify both preoperative comorbidities associated with and postoperative reasons for readmission within thirty days following primary total joint arthroplasty in the lower extremity.

The purpose of this study was to examine a cohort of patients with minor acetabular dysplasia features in order to identify the preoperative clinical characteristics and imaging findings that differentiate patients with hip instability from patients with impingement.

A retrospective cohort study of patients with borderline acetabular dysplasia was performed. All patients were identified by prospective radiographic evaluation with an LCEA between 20° and 25°. Multivariate statistical analyses were used to identify independent predictors of disease type.

Of the 143 hips in the cohort, 39.2% (n=56) had the diagnosis of instability, while 60.8% (n=87) had the diagnosis of impingement. The cohort included 109 females (76.2%) and 34 males (23.8%).

Hips with instability had a lower LCEA (21.8° vs. 22.8°; p<0.001), lower ACEA (23.3° vs. 26.6°; p=0.002), a higher AI (11.8° vs. 8.5°; p<0.001), and a lower maximum alpha angle (54.4° vs. 61.1°; p=0.001). The odds of instability increased 1.7 times for each one-degree decrease in LCEA, 1.4 times for each one-degree decrease in ACEA, and 1.1 times for each one-degree increase in acetabular inclination (all p0.003). Female sex was strongly associated with instability.

The instability subgroup had greater range of motion (IRF, 22.7° vs. 12.4°, p<0.001) and total arc of motion (IRF+ERF, 61.2° vs. 47.4°, p<0.001). We identified predictors of diagnosis including: acetabular inclination (1.49, p<0.001), ACEA (0.89, p=0.007), crossover sign (0.27, p=0.014), preoperative mHHS (0.96, p=0.014), IRF (1.10, p=0.001), and age (0.88, p=0.001).

Patients with symptomatic instability tend to have increased acetabular inclination, decreased ACEA, greater functional limitations, younger, greater IRF, while hips with impingement demonstrate the opposite trends.

Introduction

There are several advantages of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) in the treatment of isolated compartment osteoarthritis (OA) compared to the conventional total knee arthroplasty. Although various series report similar survivorship results, the national registries tend to show higher revision rates among the UKA. Persisting, unexplainable pain is a leading cause for UKA revision surgery. Therefore it is essential to investigate the various patient specific characteristics which might influence outcome following UKA in order to minimize revision rates and optimize clinical outcomes. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the influence of the various individual patient factors, including pre-operative radiographic parameters, on the outcome following UKA.

Introduction

Intraoperative periprosthetic femoral fractures (IOPFF) lead to reduced implant survival. A deeper understanding of predictors enables surgeons to modify techniques and patient selection to reduce the risk of IOPFF. The aim of this study was to estimate predictors of IOPFF and each anatomical subtype (calcar crack, trochanteric fracture, femoral shaft fracture) during primary THA.

The aim of the study was to describe the failure rate of locking plates used for internal fixation of distal femoral fractures and to identify independent predictors of failure.

A consecutive series of 147 patients presenting to the study unit during an 8 year period with a distal femoral fracture were identified from a prospectively compiled trauma database. There were 117 females and 30 males, with a mean age of 70.7 years (13 to 99 years), of which 77 were periprosthetic fractures and 70 were supracondylar fractures around native knees.

There were 35 failures of fixation. The commonest cause was non-union (n=31). The survival of the plate 2 years post-surgery was 74percnt; (95percnt; CI 64percnt; to 84percnt;), which remained static to a mean follow of 5 years. There was no difference in failure of fixation according to gender (p=0.32) or if there was a periprosthetic fracture (p=0.8). Younger age (61.8 vs. 73.6 years, p=0.004), increasing level of comorbidity (p=0.02), and fracture comminution (p=0.001) were all significant predictors of failure of fixation. Cox regression analysis confirmed younger age (p=0.04), increasing comorbidity (p=0.002), and fracture comminution (p=0.002) as independent predictors of failure of fixation and non-union after adjusting for confounding.

The failure of locking plates for distal femoral fractures occurs in more than one in five patients. The independent predictors could be used to identify those patients at greatest risk of failure of the locking plate, who may benefit from alternative methods of fixation, primary bone grafting, or interventions that may aid union.

We undertook a retrospective cohort study to determine clinical outcomes following the revision of metal-on-metal (MoM) hip replacements for adverse reaction to metal debris (ARMD), and to identify predictors of time to revision and outcomes following revision. Between 1998 and 2012 a total of 64 MoM hips (mean age at revision of 57.8 years; 46 (72%) female; 46 (72%) hip resurfacings and 18 (28%) total hip replacements) were revised for ARMD at one specialist centre. At a mean follow-up of 4.5 years (1.0 to 14.6) from revision for ARMD there were 13 hips (20.3%) with post-operative complications and eight (12.5%) requiring re-revision.

The Kaplan–Meier five-year survival rate for ARMD revision was 87.9% (95% confidence interval 78.9 to 98.0; 19 hips at risk). Excluding re-revisions, the median absolute Oxford hip score (OHS) following ARMD revision using the percentage method (0% best outcome and 100% worst outcome) was 18.8% (interquartile range (IQR) 7.8% to 48.3%), which is equivalent to 39/48 (IQR 24.8/48 to 44.3/48) when using the modified OHS. Histopathological response did not affect time to revision for ARMD (p = 0.334) or the subsequent risk of re-revision (p = 0.879). Similarly, the presence or absence of a contralateral MoM hip bearing did not affect time to revision for ARMD (p = 0.066) or the subsequent risk of re-revision (p = 0.178).

Patients revised to MoM bearings had higher rates of re-revision (five of 16 MoM hips re-revised; p = 0.046), but those not requiring re-revision had good functional results (median absolute OHS 14.6% or 41.0/48). Short-term morbidity following revision for ARMD was comparable with previous reports. Caution should be exercised when choosing bearing surfaces for ARMD revisions.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014;96-B:1600–9.

Introduction: Patellofemoral joint subluxation is associated with pain and dysfunction. The causes of patel-lofemoral subluxation are poorly understood and multi-factorial, arising from abnormalities of both bone and soft tissues. This study aims to identify which anatomical variables assessed on Magnetic Resonance (MR) images are most relevant to patellofemoral subluxation.

Method: A retrospective analysis of MR studies of 60 patients with suspected patellofemoral subluxation was performed. All patients were graded for the severity/ magnitude of radiological subluxation using a dynamic MR scan (Grade 0 [nil] to Grade 3 [subluxed]. The patient scans were assessed using a range of anatomical variables, these included:

Patella alta,

Results: The distance of the VMO from the patella (p < 0.001), TTD (p < 0.001) and Patella Engagement (p < 0.001) showed highly significant relationships with patellofemoral subluxation.

Conclusions: The following three anatomical variables are associated with patellofemoral subluxation: the distance of the VMO muscle from the patella, TTD and Patella Engagement.

This is the first study to establish that patella engagement is related to PFJ subluxation showing that the lower the percentage engagement of the patella in the trochlea, the greater the severity/magnitude of patellofemoral subluxation. The finding provides greater insight into the aetiology and understanding of the mechanism of symptomatic PFJ subluxation.

Acute Achilles tendon (AT) rupture management remains debatable but non-operative functional regimes are beginning to dominate current treatment algorithms. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of functional outcome in patients with AT ruptures treated non-operatively with an immediate weight bearing functional regime in an orthosis.

Analysis of prospectively gathered data from a local database of all patients treated non-operativelyat our institution with anAT rupture was performed. Inclusion criteria required a completed Achilles Tendon Rupture Score (ATRS) at a minimum of 8 months post rupture. The ATRS score was correlated against age, gender, time following rupture, duration of treatment in a functional orthoses (8- and 11-week regimes) and complications. 236 patients of average age 49.5 years were included.

The mean ATRS on completion of rehabilitation was 74 points. The mean ATRS was significantly lower in the 37 females as compared to the 199 males, 65.8 vs 75.6 (p = 0.013). Age inversely affected ATRS with a Pearsons correlation of −0.2. There was no significant difference in the ATRS score when comparing the two different treatment regime durations. There were 12 episodes of VTE and 4 episodes of re-rupture. The ATRS does not change significantly after 8 months of rupture.

Patients with AT ruptures treated non-operatively with a functional rehabilitation regime demonstrate good function with low re-rupture rates. Increasing age and female gender demonstrate inferior functional outcomes.

Introduction

The vast majority of intertrochanteric fractures treated with cephalomedullary nails (CMN) will heal. Occasionally even though bony union occurs excessive lag screw sliding can cause persistent pain and soft tissue irritation and return to surgery for hardware removal. The purpose of this study was to evaluate if fracture stability, lag screw tip-apex distance (TAD), and quality of reduction have any impact excessive lag screw sliding and potential cutout.

Aims

The primary aim of this study was to assess whether the postoperative Oxford Knee Score (OKS) demonstrated a ceiling effect at one and/or two years after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The secondary aim was to identify preoperative independent predictors for patients that achieved a ceiling score after TKA.

Background

Total knee replacement (TKR) is an effective operation for many patients, however approximately 20% of patients experience chronic pain and functional limitations in the months and years following their TKR. If modifiable pre-operative risk factors could be identified, this would allow patients to be targeted with individualised care to optimise these factors prior to surgery and potentially improve outcomes. Psychosocial factors have also been found to be important in predicting outcomes in the first 12 months after TKR, however their impact on long-term outcomes is unknown. This study aimed to identify pre-operative psychosocial predictors of patient-reported and clinician-assessed outcomes at one year and five years after primary TKR.

Aims

Rates of mortality as high as 25% to 30% have been described following fractures of the odontoid in the elderly population. The aim of this study was to examine whether easily identifiable variables present on admission are associated with mortality.

Background and objectives

Low back pain (LBP) is a major health challenge globally. Research has identified common trajectories of pain over time. We aimed to investigate whether trajectories described in one primary care cohort can be confirmed in another, and to determine the prognostic value of factors collected 5 years prior to the identification of the trajectory.

The relationship between pain catastrophising and emotional disorders including anxiety and depression in patients with osteoarthritis (OA) undergoing total joint replacement (TJR) is an emerging area of study. The purpose of this study was to examine the association between pain catastrophising, anxiety, depression and preoperative patient characteristics.

A prospective cohort study of preoperative TJR patients at one centre over 12-months was conducted. We examined association between catastrophising, anxiety, depression and preoperative patient characteristics including demographics, pain and function. Pain catastrophising was assessed using the Pain Catastrophising Scale (PCS), and anxiety/depression using the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS-A, HADS-D). Patient perceived level of hip/knee pain was measured using a visual analogue (VAS) pain scale. Patient perception of function was measured using the Oxford Score. Preoperative radiographic grading of OA was determined using the Kellgren and Lawrence (K-L) scale. Logistic regression was used to assess pattern of relationship between preoperative characteristics and PCS or HADS. Adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were reported. A secondary quantile regression analysis examined whether a model not restricted to pre-defined PCS and HADS categories would yield comparable results to the logistic regression model described in the primary analysis. P-values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

The sample included 463 TJR patients (178 hips, 285 knees). VAS pain (OR 1.23,95%CI 1.04–1.45) and Oxford score (OR 1.13,95%CI 1.07–1.20) were identified as significant predictors for PCS. The same two variables were the strong predictors for all sub-domains of PCS excluding rumination. Oxford Score was the only significant predictor for abnormal HADS-A (OR 1.10,95%CI 1.04–1.17) while VAS pain (OR 1.27,95%CI 1.02–1.52) and Oxford (OR 1.09,95%CI 1.01–1.17) were significant predictors for abnormal HADS-D. Similar pattern of association for PCS and HADS was observed in the quantile regression model, where larger VAS pain and Oxford scores significantly increased median PCS across all domains. Female gender, younger age or having a higher ASA grade were associated with higher median HADS-A, but unlike in the logistic regression, this association was statistically significant.

Pain catastrophising and emotional disorders generally result in poor functional outcomes in TJR patients. The most important predictor of catastrophising, anxiety/depression is pain and subjective function. At risk patients include those with high preoperative pain with generally good preoperative function, as well as younger females with significant comorbidities. Such patients should be identified, and targeted psychological therapy implemented preoperatively to optimise coping strategies and adaptive behaviour to mitigate inferior TJR outcomes including pain and patient dissatisfaction.

The purpose of this study was to identify factors that predict implant cut-out after cephalomedullary nailing of intertrochanteric and subtrochanteric hip fractures, and to test the significance of calcar referenced tip-apex distance (CalTAD) as a predictor for cut-out.

We retrospectively reviewed 170 consecutive fractures that had undergone cephalomedullary nailing. Of these, 77 met the inclusion criteria of a non-pathological fracture with a minimum of 80 days radiological follow-up (mean 408 days; 81 days to 4.9 years). The overall cut-out rate was 13% (10/77).

The significant parameters in the univariate analysis were tip-apex distance (TAD) (p <  0.001), CalTAD (p = 0.001), cervical angle difference (p = 0.004), and lag screw placement in the anteroposterior (AP) view (Parker’s ratio index) (p = 0.003). Non-significant parameters were age (p = 0.325), gender (p = 1.000), fracture side (p = 0.507), fracture type (AO classification) (p = 0.381), Singh Osteoporosis Index (p = 0.575), lag screw placement in the lateral view (p = 0.123), and reduction quality (modified Baumgaertner’s method) (p = 0.575). In the multivariate analysis, CalTAD was the only significant measurement (p = 0.001). CalTAD had almost perfect inter-observer reliability (interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) 0.901).

Our data provide the first reported clinical evidence that CalTAD is a predictor of cut-out. The finding of CalTAD as the only significant parameter in the multivariate analysis, along with the univariate significance of Parker’s ratio index in the AP view, suggest that inferior placement of the lag screw is preferable to reduce the rate of cut-out.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014; 96-B:1029–34.

Purpose

Factors contributing to chronic postoperative pain (CPOP) are poorly defined in young people and developmental considerations are poorly understood. With over 5 million children undergoing surgery yearly and 25% of adults referred to chronic pain clinics identifying surgery as the antecedent, there is a need to elucidate factors that contribute to CPOP in young people. The present study includes patients undergoing hip preservation surgery at a children's hospital.

Introduction: Total hip-joint arthroplasty is associated with a high rate of peri-operative blood transfusion, which has associated risk. Previous studies have identified individual factors than can predict those patients most at risk of post-operative allogenic blood transfusion. We undertook this study to attempt to identify further factors that may predict post-operative blood transfusion.

Methods: Data was collected pre-operatively for patient demographics including type of surgery, sex, age, BMI, ASA, pre-operative haemoglobin & pre-operative packed cell volume for all total hip arthroplasties performed by a single surgeon over twelve months (Total number 233; 166 primaries, 33 resurfacing & 20 revision arthroplasties: 14 excluded for insufficient data). Post-operative data collection included post-operative haemoglobin levels and allogenic transfusion requirements.

Results: Of 166 patients who underwent primary hip arthroplasty, 25 (15.1%) received allogenic blood transfusions, an average volume of 2.1 units per patient transfused. Analysis revealed significant predictive factors of gender (females > males, p=0.0019), advancing age (p=0.0045), lower height (p< 0.0000), lower pre-operative weight (p=0.0010), lower pre-operative haemoglobin (p< 0.0000), and lower pre-operative packed cell volume (p< 0.0000). Patients who underwent revision surgery were also more likely to have undergone transfusion compared to both primary (6.1% transfused, p=0.025) and resurfacing arthroplasty (35% transfused, p=0.009). BMI and ASA were found to not be significant risk factors. Pre-operative packed cell volume (PCV) showed the strongest correlation with post-operative blood transfusion. Cases with a PCV below the average of 39% had a rate of transfusion of 28%, 6.4 times greater than for those patients above the average at 4.4% (p< 0.0000).

Discussion: Pre-operative measurements of height, weight, haemoglobin and packed cell volume, together with factors including sex & type of surgery can identify those patients who are at greater risk of post-operative transfusion allowing selective transfusion prevention strategies.

Although the association between femoroacetabular impingement and osteoarthritis is established, it is not yet clear which hips have the greatest likelihood to progress rapidly to end-stage disease. We investigated the effect of several radiological parameters, each indicative of a structural aspect of the hip joint, on the progression of osteoarthritis. Pairs of plain anteroposterior pelvic radiographs, taken at least ten years apart, of 43 patients (43 hips) with a pistol-grip deformity of the femur and mild (Tönnis grade 1) or moderate (Tönnis grade 2) osteoarthritis were reviewed. Of the 43 hips, 28 showed evidence of progression of osteoarthritis. There was no significant difference in the prevalence of progression between hips with initial Tönnis grade 1 or grade 2 osteoarthritis (p = 0.31). Comparison of the hips with and without progression of arthritis revealed a significant difference in the mean medial proximal femoral angle (81° vs 87°, p = 0.004) and the presence of the posterior wall sign (39% vs 7%, p = 0.02) only. A logistic regression model was constructed to predict the influence of these two variables in the development of osteoarthritis.

Mild to moderate osteoarthritis in hips with a pistol-grip deformity will not progress rapidly in all patients. In one-third, progression will take more than ten years to manifest, if ever. The individual geometry of the proximal femur and acetabulum partly influences this phenomenon. A hip with cam impingement is not always destined for end-stage arthritic degeneration.

Aims

The primary aim of this study was to assess the rate of patient satisfaction one year after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) according to the focus of the question asked. The secondary aims were to identify independent predictors of patient satisfaction according to the focus of the question.

Background

Unicompartmental knee arthroplasty provides a good alternative to total knee arthroplasty in patients with isolated medial compartment osteoarthritis. There has been variable reporting in the literature as to whether age and sex affect the survival of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty. The aim of this study was to determine whether age and sex were predictors of failure for the Oxford unicompartmental knee arthroplasty.

Introduction

Readmission after Total Hip Arthroplasty (THA) or Total Knee Arthroplasty (TKA) places a great burden on the health care system. As reimbursement systems place increased emphasis on quality measures such as readmission rates, identifying and understanding the most common drivers for readmission becomes increasingly important.

We aimed to identify variables associated with clinical and radiological outcome following fractures of the acetabulum associated with posterior dislocation of the hip. Using a prospective database of 1076 such fractures, we identified 109 patients with this combined injury managed operatively within three weeks and followed up for two or more years. The patients had a mean age of 42 years (15 to 79), 78 (72%) were male, and 84 (77%) had been involved in motor vehicle accidents. Using multivariate analysis the quality of reduction of the fracture was identified as the only significant predictor of radiological grade, clinical function and the development of post-traumatic arthritis (p < 0.001). All patients lacking anatomical reduction developed arthritis whereas only 25.5% (24 patients) with an anatomical reduction did so (p = 0.05).

The quality of the reduction of the fracture is the most important variable in forecasting the outcome for patients with this injury. The interval to reduction of the dislocation of the hip may be less important than previously described.

The aim of this study was to explore the pre-operative predictors of the function component of the WOMAC one year after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) using a hierarchical regression model.

The pre-operative and one year post-operative results of 71 patients with knee osteoarthritis who underwent TKA were analysed. First the correlation between the post-operative function component of the WOMAC and a range of pre-operative measures were calculated to determine the independent variables for the hierarchical regression model. Independent pre-operative measures which showed a significant correlation with post-operative function were then entered in the model. Pre-operative measures were divided into three types according to International Classification of Health: (i) Personal characteristics, (ii) body structures and function and (iii) Psychosocial variables.

The following pre-operative measures were correlated with post-operative function: Knee flexion (r=-0.254), extensor strength (r=-0.338), flexor strength (r=-0.257), mental health component of the SF36 (r=-0.304), Tampa scale (fear of movement), (r=0.261), the sense of helplessness due to pain (r=0.264) and Stanford arthritis Self-Efficacy Pain Scale (r=-0.343). This scale is a measure of the person's belief in their capability to cope with their arthritis pain. The higher the score the better the person's self-efficacy.

Only independent pre-operative measures were entered in the models. In step 0, we controlled for age and Body Mass Index (BMI), in step 1 we entered knee flexion and extensor strength (model 1) and in step 2 Self-Efficacy was entered in the model (model2). In model1 extensor strength was a significant predictor of post-operative function (beta =-0.242, p=0.028). In the final model (model3) pre-operative extensor strength (beta =-0.242, p=0.07) and Self-Efficacy (beta -0.266, p=0.046) were the strongest predictors of post-operative function.

Background

Unicompartmental knee arthroplasty provides a good alternative to total knee arthroplasty in patients with isolated medial compartment osteoarthritis. There has been variable reporting in the literature as to whether age and sex affect the survival of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty.

Loss of blood is inevitable during knee replacement surgery, sometimes requiring transfusion. Allogenic blood leads to a risk of disease transmission and immunological reaction. There are various practices used. There is still a risk of bacterial transmission with stored blood and haemolytic transfusion reactions can still occur. Data was collected between 1998 and 2006. There was data on transfusion in 1532 patients undergoing primary knee replacements. There were 1375 unilateral TKRs and 157 bilateral TKRs. After reducing the bilateral cases to one record per patient, it was agreed to restrict the main analysis to 1532 patients. Data was collected prospectively at a pre-admission clinic 3 weeks prior to surgery. Haemoglobin was checked and body demographics including BMI were obtained. Each patient also had a knee score assessed. All patients received a LMWH pre-op until discharge. A tourniquet was used in each case and all patients had a medial para-patellar approach. No drains were used and operation details such as a lateral release were recorded. As per unit protocol, patients with a post-op haemoglobin less than 8.5g/dl were transfused as were symptomatic patients with haemoglobin between 8.5g/dl and 10g/dl. Each of the possible predictive factors was tested for significant association with transfusion using chi-squared or t-tests as appropriate. Multiple logistic regression was used to test for the independent predictive of factors after adjusting for one another. Results show that transfusion was more likely if the patient was older, female, short, light or thin. Among peri-operative factors, the chance of a transfusion was increased for bilateral patients, those with low knee scores and those with high ASA scores. Also patients undergoing a lateral release, those with low pre-op haemoglobin and those with a large post-op drop were more likely to be transfused. All the significant variables were entered into a forward stepwise multiple logistic regression. Transfusion was significantly more likely in those undergoing a bilateral procedure, with a low BMI, low pre-op haemoglobin and those with a large post-op drop (> 3g/dl). Allogenic transfusion is associated with immune-related reactions, from pyrexia to urticaria to haemolytic transfusion reactions, which can be life threatening. There is also the risk of viral pathogen transmission. Women were shown to be almost twice as likely to need transfusion. This has been shown in previous studies and is thought to be due to women having a lower weight and pre-op haemoglobin, both of which were shown to be significant independent factors in increasing the risk of transfusion. A pre-operative haemoglobin of less than 13g/dl, a BMI less than 25, and undergoing a bilateral procedure were shown to have an increased risk of transfusion. For patients falling into these categories, measures can be planned to try and reduce this risk.

Introduction:

Reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA) has become instrumental in relieving pain and returning function to patients with end-stage rotator cuff disease. A distalized and medialized center of rotation in addition to a semi-constrained implant design allows the deltoid to substitute for the non-functioning rotator cuff. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between specific deltoid and rotator cuff muscle parameters and functional outcomes following RTSA.

As blood transfusion is associated with various risks, a prospective study was carried out to see if it was possible to predict patients more likely to require transfusion following TKR.

Data was collected prospectively on 1532 patients undergoing primary TKR between 1998 and 2006. This was collected at a preadmission clinic and various demographics were measured including haemoglobin, BMI, and a knee score. All patients had a tourniquet and the same approach. All received a LMWH until discharge. Patients with a post op haemoglobin less than 8.5 g/dl were transfused as were those less than 10 g/dl who were symptomatic as per unit protocol.

Each of the predictive factors was tested for significance using t-tests and chi-squared tests as appropriate. Multiple logistic regression was used to test for the independent predictive of factors after adjusting for one another.

Results show transfusion is more likely if the patient was older, female, short light or thin. Also those undergoing a lateral release or a bilateral procedure, having a low pre-op haemoglobin or a large post-op drop were more likely to be transfused. There was also a 2 fold difference between surgeons.

After regression analysis 4 important factors were identified. These were a bilateral procedure, low pre-op haemoglobin, a low BMI or having a post-op drop greater than 3g/dl.

Following this all patients with pre-op haemoglobin less than 11g/dl are postponed and investigated and treated as required. For those with the above predictive factors, measures can be taken to try and reduce the rate of transfusion such as pre-donation, cell salvage or tran-sexamic acid.

Aims

Single event multilevel surgery (SEMLS) has been shown to improve gait in children with cerebral palsy (CP). However, there is limited evidence regarding long-term outcomes and factors influencing them.

The purposes of the present study were to assess the outcome of surgery for carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS), to evaluate histological findings of subsynovial connective tissue (SSCT) of patients with CTS in comparison with a control group, and to assess whether the histologic appearance of the flexor tenosynovium is correlated with clinical history, preoperative or postoperative physical examination, general health, symptoms and function as assessed by validated tools, or nerve conduction studies.

Materials and Methods: We studied 30 consecutive patients who had idiopathic CTS and were referred to our institution for surgery. All patients had had diagnostic neurophysiological testing. A study specific questionnaire, a historical-objective scale (Hi-Ob), the Boston Carpal Tunnel Questionnaire (BCTQ), the SF-36 questionnaire were administered to the patients preoperatively and six months after surgery. A standard open carpal tunnel release was performed and 1 cm 3 of tickened synovium was removed from the flexor digitorum superficialis tendons. Specimens of SSCT from flexor tendon at wrist were also obtained from ten fresh-frozen cadavers witrh no history of CTS. Seriated hematoxylin and eosin stained sections were obtained and conventional light microscopy at a magnification of 20X was performed. The number of cells, the number of vessels, the surface of the lumen of the vessels, the total vascular surface, the thickness of the wall of vessels in each selected image were measured with an Autocad software. The results per specimen were averaged for statistical analysis.

Results: Six months after surgery the SF-36 mental and physical summary scores (P< 0.001 and P=0.001, respectively), the Symptom severity score (P< 0.001) and the HI-Ob (P< 0.001) improved. In comparison with cadavers, the typical pathologic findings of SSCT of patients with CTS were vascular hypertrophy and vessel’s wall thickening. At multivariate linear regression analyses greater histopathological changes were important predictor of lower SF-36 scores following surgery. As for the electromyographic parameters, higher preoperative values of 3M SCV and MCV were positively associated with SF-36 BP and SF scores. The greater neurophysiological impairment of the median nerve was predictive of lower SF-36 VT at follow up. Older patients, females and patients who had had the higher number or severity of comorbidities preoperatively achieved the lower SF-36 scores following surgery.

Conclusions: We demonstrated many variables to be associated with the CTS and its surgical treatments thus confirming data from previous reports and suggesting new important associations that have not been described previously. Physicians should consider these results when discussing with patients on the likely outcomes of carpal tunnel surgery.

Aims

Patient engagement in adaptive health behaviours and interactions with their healthcare ecosystem can be measured using self-reported instruments, such as the Patient Activation Measure (PAM-13) and the Effective Consumer Scale (ECS-17). Few studies have investigated the influence of patient engagement on limitations (patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs)) and patient-reported experience measures (PREMs). First, we assessed whether patient engagement (PAM-13, ECS-17) within two to four weeks of an upper limb fracture was associated with limitations (the Quick Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand questionnaire (QuickDASH), and Patient-Reported Outcome Measurement Information System Upper Extremity Physical Function computer adaptive test (PROMIS UE PF) scores) measured six to nine months after fracture, accounting for demographic, clinical, and psychosocial factors. Secondly, we assessed the association between patient engagement and experience (numerical rating scale for satisfaction with care (NRS-C) and satisfaction with services (NRS-S) six to nine months after fracture.

Introduction: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictors of outcome of hip reconstruction in cerebral palsy and to review the trend in recovery over five years following operations.

Methods: 39 reconstructions in 22 patients [mean age 9.9 SD 2.1] with a mean follow up of 4.7 years were reviewed retrospectively. Information regarding diagnosis, preoperative function and symptoms, details of operation and the postoperative status were retrieved from the clinical records. Preoperative, postoperative and yearly follow up radiographs were reviewed to document acetabular index, Rimmer’s migration percentage (MP) and CE angle. 17 patients underwent simultaneous bilateral hip reconstruction. Femoral osteotomy was performed in all cases in the primary hip and in 17 cases in second hip. Acetabuloplasty was performed in 18 patients in the worst hip and only in 5 cases in the second hips.

Results: The mean preoperative MP in the worst hip was 81%. This improved to 30.7%. In the second hip it improved from 38% to 12.2%. The follow up measurements of the acetabular indices, MP and CE angle had a significant correlation with the postoperative measurements (p< 0.05). In 18 patients hip pain improved and in 14 patients sitting tolerance improved. Perineal hygiene improved in 7 patients following the operation. Graphs of trends in the MP and CE angle are presented. There was no correlation between preoperative presence of pelvic obliquity and post operative outcome. There was no significant difference in outcome in the groups of patients based on open reduction at the time of surgery.

Discussion and Conclusions: The final outcome of the reconstruction can be predicted consistently from the first postoperative radiograph. The quality of reduction at the time of operation is of paramount significance in ensuring long-term survival of the reconstruction.

Background: A variety of molecular markers related to survival, have been studied in a variety of human neoplasms, particularly in carcinomas, but their significance in osteosarcoma patients is largely unknown. The purpose of this archival study was to determine if there is a correlation between their expression and disease-free and overall survival for patients with osteosarcoma.

Materials and Methods: 93 patients with stage IIB osteosarcomas originating around the knee (distal femur and proximal tibia)were studied. Tumors were evaluated with antibodies to Bcl-2, p53, Fas, Fas L, CD44s, CD44v6, and P-glycoprotein using standard avidinbiotin complex methods. Expression of the various antigens was statisticaly compared to disease-free and overall survival.

Results: Fas (p< 0.05) and Cd44v6 (p< 0.03), were significant and related with the purpose of study; P-glycoprotein was near and the others with no significance.

Conclusions: Fas appears to have a “protective” function in osteosarcoma, probably by allowing tumor cells to proceed through apoptosis pathway to cell death. Although CD44v6, a vascular adhesion molecule, was identified in only 14% of the total cases, its expression correlated with subsequent development of metastases and death (11 of the 13 patients developed pulmonary metastases dying of disease). Although P-glycoprotein did not reach significance, there was a trend toward death from disease in patients expressing it.

Introduction: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictors of outcome of hip reconstruction in cerebral palsy patients.

Methods: 71 hip reconstructions in 38 patients [mean age 9.7] were reviewed retrospectively. Information regarding pre- and postoperative status, and operative details were retrieved from the clinical records. Preoperative, postoperative and annual follow up radiographs were reviewed to document acetabular index, Rimmer’s migration percentage (MP) and CE angle.

Results: The mean MP improved from 84% to 43.8%. In 17 patients who underwent bilateral reconstruction the MP of the secondarily affected hips was improved from 38% to 12.2% The early follow up measurements of acetabular index, MP and CE angle had a significant correlation with the eventual postoperative outcome (p< 0.05). In a group of 22 patients hip pain was improved in 18 patients, sitting tolerance in 14, and perineal hygiene improved in 7 patients. There was no correlation between preoperative pelvic obliquity and open versus closed reduction with the eventual outcome.

Discussion: The final outcome of the reconstruction can be predicted consistently from the first postoperative radiograph (MP). The quality of reduction at the time of operation is of paramount significance in ensuring long-term survival of the reconstruction. Subluxed hips in general did better than dislocated hips. The hips showed gradual deterioration over time.

Study Design: Retrospective case review.

Objective: To assess factors influencing functional outcome, recurrence and survival following surgery for intradural spinal tumours

Subjects: Between January 1994 and December 2001, 115 patients had surgery for intradural spinal tumours: 76 extramedullary (48 male, mean age 54 years): 39 intramedullary (22 male, mean age 44 years).

Outcome measures and analysis: Functional outcome: Frankel scale. Recurrence: new symptoms with tumour growth. Death: post-operative or disease progression. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify features predicting post-operative functionally useful Frankel scale (4–5), recurrence and survival.

Results: 64 extramedullary tumours were excised, 12 debulked. 21 intramedullary tumours were excised, 13 debulked, 5 biopsied. Commonest tumours: meningioma, schwannoma, ependymoma, astrocytoma. 14 intramedullary tumours received radiotherapy. Mean follow-up was 45 months (range 4–117 months). There were 12 recurrent tumours. There were 8 deaths (2 post-operative, 6 disease-progression). 23% had complications (CSF leak, meningitis, wound infection/dehiscence). Functionally 96% of extramedullary tumours were unchanged/improved, 82% of intramedullary tumours were unchanged/improved. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that recurrence (Odds Ratio 28.2; 95% Confidence Interval 2.3–342.4) was the only significant factor influencing survival for intramedullary tumours. No factors investigated predicted functional outcome or recurrence in intramedullary tumours. No factors predicted any outcome in extramedullary tumours.

Conclusions: Our results were comparable to other studies. The two cases of MRSA meningitis (one death, one paralysis) reflect the growing problem of MRSA in neurosurgical units. Recurrence predicted poor survival in intramedullary tumours.

Total hip arthroplasty (THA) patients often require peri-operative blood transfusion. Variables that predict transfusion requirement may allow us to target cross-matching of individual patients.

153 patients underwent primary unilateral THA for osteoarthritis or rheumatoid arthritis during 2002 in our institution. 75 casenotes from these subjects were reviewed. Age, sex, diagnosis, weight, height, pre-operative haemoglobin (Hb) and haematocrit (Hct), anticoagulation type and timing were recorded, along with post-operative Hb and timing and quantity of any blood transfusion. Potential predictors of transfusion were examined using logistic regression analysis. ROC analysis was used to compare the relative predictive value of significant variables.

Mean (±SD) age at surgery was 67±11 years (53% females). Mean pre-operative Hb was 13.8±1.4g/dl, mean post-operative Hb was 10.2±1.0g/dl. 27 patients (36%) needed a transfusion; the most frequently given volume was 2 units and the mean number of units given was 0.85. The most common reason for transfusion was an asymptomatic low Hb (< 8.0g/dl). Pre-operative Hb and Hct were predictive of post-operative transfusion (logistic regression analysis P< 0.01). Age, gender, diagnosis and anticoagulation were not predictive. Using ROC analysis the optimal ‘cut-off’ value of pre-op Hb as a predictor was 12.7 g/dl, giving a sensitivity of 41% and a specificity of 88% for blood transfusion requirement. The optimal ‘cut-off’ for Hct was 0.41, sensitivity 74% and specificity 61%. There was no significant difference in the overall predictive value between these variables (comparison of area under ROC curves, P> 0.05).

In summary, subjects with a pre-operative Hb< 12.7 or Hct < 0.41 are more likely to require a blood transfusion after unilateral primary THA than those with an Hb or Hct above these values. In treatment centres where cross-matched blood is not available at short notice on demand, pre-operative cross-match of patients with blood counts below these values may be appropriate.

Introduction: The incidence of scoliosis in patients with myelomeningocele has been reported to be as high as 80 to 90% in some studies. However these studies included patients with both congenital and developmental curves. The purpose of this study is to identify clinical and radiological factors, which may predict the development of scoliosis in patients with myelomeningocele.

Methods: A retrospective review of the charts and radiographs of all patients with myelomeningocele seen in our clinic between 1990 and 1995 was performed. Selection criteria for the study included: a diagnosis of myelo-meningocele or lipomeningocele, age greater than 10 years, serial documentation of motor power testing, and a radiographic documentation of spinal deformity primarily in the coronal plane.

Statistical analysis was performed to obtain predictive values, specificity and sensitivity for each of the following factors: clinical motor level, functional status, motor asymmetry and hip instability.

Radiographs were examined to obtain the last intact laminar arch in these patients. The relationship between the last intact laminar arch and scoliosis was evaluated.

Results: 141 patients satisfied the inclusion criteria. Seventy-four patients (53%) developed scoliosis. The mean follow-up was 9.4 years (range 3–30 years). The average age of the patient population was 19 (range 10–42 years). Forty-three patients developed scoliosis before nine years of age. New curves continued to develop until 15 years of age. Curves less than 20° often resolved. Clinical motor level, functional status, motor asymmetry and the last intact laminar arch were all found to be predictive for scoliosis in these patients. The presence of spasticity and hip instability had no definite influence on the development of scoliosis.

Conclusion: The term scoliosis should be reserved for curves greater than 20° in patients with myelomeningocele. New curves may continue to develop until 15 years of age. The last laminar arch is a useful early indicator of scoliosis in these patients.

Introduction: In Scotland, the number of primary total knee replacements has been steadily increasing since 1992. It has been predicted that the number of total knee replacements performed annually will soon outstrip the number of hip replacements. The price of the implant is fixed but the length of hospital stay, and associated cost, is variable. An understanding of what currently influences length of hospital stay may be of paramount importance in order that we can influence some of these parameters, with resulting benefit to our patients as well as contributing significantly and favourably towards the health economics of this procedure.

Materials and Methods: All patients who underwent primary unilateral total knee replacement in the region of Fife, Scotland, UK, during the period December 1994 to February 2007 were prospectively investigated. The following information was gathered: age, sex, body mass index (BMI), year of operation, day of operation, diagnosis, surgeon grade, consultant performing the operation, walking score, walking aids score, stair score, American Knee Society score (pain, stability and range of motion), length of operation, need for lateral release, patella replacement, urinary catheterisation, blood transfusion, presence of deep or superficial infection, pre and post-operative haemoglobin values, haemoglobin drop, and length of hospital stay. All the data was analysed using univariate and multiple linear regression statistical analysis.

Results: Data on length of hospital stay was available from a total of 2105 unilateral total knee replacements. Length of stay varied from 4 to 70 days, with a mean of 9.4 and a median of 8.0. There were numerous highly significant predictors of increased length of hospital stay, when considered separately. Many of these independently significant factors remained significant when adjusted for the effects of the others. These included age of the patient, year of admission, consultant performing the operation, use of a walking aid, lateral release, deep and superficial infection, pre and post-operative haemoglobin values, urinary catheterisation and blood transfusion. Of note, the day of operation and high BMI did not influence the length of stay.

Conclusion: Prolonged hospital stay following total knee replacement is associated with demographic, preoperative, intra-operative and post-operative factors. An awareness of these factors gives us the opportunity to make attempts to influence them favourably with resulting reduction in length of hospital stay and, therefore, the associated costs.

Introduction

Porous scaffolds for bone ingrowth have numerous applications, including correcting deformities in the foot and ankle. Various materials and shapes may be selected for bridging an osteotomy in a corrective procedure. This research explores the performance of commercially pure Titanium (CPTi) and Tantalum (Ta) porous scaffold materials for use in foot and ankle applications under simplified compression loading.

The aim of the study was to assess the mortality associated with a hip fracture at 5 years in a geriatric population, and to evaluate the influence of age, cognitive state, mobility and residential status on long term survival after hip fracture.

This study forms part of a prospective audit of all patients with a hip fracture admitted to Queen's Medical Centre, Nottingham. Every patient has a detailed admission questionnaire completed including details of the injury, medical history, residence and mobility. All data is collected by independent audit personnel using a detailed proforma. Integration with the database of the Office for National Statistics ensured accurate mortality data for every patient in the study for at least 5 years. All patients admitted in a 2 year period were included and divided into two groups: group B (<80 yrs age, Abbreviated Mental Test score 7/10, admitted from own home, independently mobile) and group A (any patient who did not fulfil all of group B criteria). A multivariate analysis indicated these as important variables that predicted mortality. Exclusion criteria: pathological hip fracture or bilateral hip fractures.

1319 patients fitted the inclusion criteria. 1068 patients fulfilled criteria for group A, 251 patients for group B. Overall mortality was 71% at 5 years. The excess mortality for the first year was 43%. 151 patients (60%) of group B were still alive at 5 years in comparison with only 231 (22%) of group A. Increased survival was shown for each variable: independent mobility RR 2.34 (p<0.05), admitted from home RR 3.81 (p<0.05), age<80 years RR 3.95 (p<0.05) and AMT 7/10 RR 5.45 (p<0.05).

These results facilitate early recognition of those patients with an increased chance of long-term survival that may be suitable for surgical treatment, such as total hip replacement, which have a good long-term outcome.

Introduction

Within the field of arthroplasty, the use of patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) is becoming increasingly ubiquitous in an effort to employ more patient-centered methods of evaluating success. PROMs may be used to assess general health, joint-specific pain or function, or mental health. General and joint-specific questionnaires are most often used in arthroplasty research, but the relationship between arthroplasty and mental health is less well understood. Furthermore, longitudinal reports of PROM changes after arthroplasty are lacking in the literature.

Our primary aim was to quantify the improvement in general, joint-specific, and mental health PROMs following total hip arthroplasty (THA) as well as the extent of any deterioration through the 7 years follow-up. Our secondary aim was to identify predictors of clinically significant PROM decline.

Background: Sciatica is an important cause of pain and disability but relatively few studies have looked at predictors of outcome in sciatica populations. Prognostic studies in non-specific low back pain are more common, but it has been suggested that the prognostic indicators for sciatica may be different. Our aim was to systematically review and describe the literature investigating the predictors of outcome in sciatica populations.

Methods: A systematic literature search of the databases (Medline, EMBASE, and CINAHL) and reference list of identified articles was conducted. Studies were included if they described subjects with sciatica, had a follow-up period of at least three months and measured outcomes including pain, disability, recovery, psychological outcomes or return to work. Methodological quality was assessed using a 15 item checklist.

Results: 596 papers were identified but only 12 met the criteria for inclusion. A combination of individual (e.g. gender, BMI), biomedical (e.g. size of disc prolapse, neurological deficit), social (e.g. job satisfaction, social status, manual labour) and psychological (distress, mental health) predictors of outcome were reported.

Conclusions: There are few high quality studies that have investigated prognostic factors associated with persistence of sciatic symptoms. Those identified explored a range of different factors, in a variety of settings and in subjects with variable duration of symptoms. Although the studies are difficult to interpret due to heterogeneity of the techniques used in analysis and presentation, they seem to suggest that clinical, occupational and individual factors might be more strongly associated with outcome than psychological factors in sciatica populations.

Conflicts of Interest: None

Funding: None

Purpose: To develop a regression equation using preoperative variables to predict the likelihood of transfusion intra- or post- operatively for patients undergoing elective spinal fusion surgery.

Methods: This study was a retrospective chart review of patients (n=774; 51% female; mean age=56 years; mean BMI=29) who underwent elective spinal fusion surgery between February 2001 and May 2005 at the QEII Health Sciences Centre in Halifax, Nova Scotia. The variables recorded were incidence of allogeneic and autologous transfusions (intra- and post-operatively), body mass index, age, gender, number of spinal levels fused, preoperative hemoglobin and hematocrit, ASA grade and pedicle screw and bone graft use.

Results: Spinal fusion of 4 or more levels (n=24) resulted in a transfusion rate of 83%, therefore, the regression equation was calculated using only spinal fusions of 1 to 3 levels (n=750; transfusion rate=14%). The number of spinal levels fused and preoperative hemoglobin levels were found to be significantly related to the likelihood of receiving a transfusion. A predictive logistic regression equation was derived (Prediction = 3.615 + 1.018 x Levels fused–0.052 x Preop Hgb) where a probability cutoff of 0.160 gave a sensitivity of 63.5% and a specificity of 81.2%.

Conclusions: The high sensitivity and specificity of the regression equation suggest that the results are clinically useful for determining whether alternatives to allogeneic transfusions should be investigated preoperatively for each patient undergoing elective spinal fusion surgery. The results could also have economic implications because implementing the use of a cell salvage device would be less costly than allogeneic units if the patient required a transfusion.

This study (n=126, mean age=68.8 years, males=62) evaluated pre-operative WOMAC pain and physical function, age, gender, general health status, revision severity classification, number of revisions, comorbidity and unilateral vs. bilateral surgery as predictors of WOMAC pain and physical function at twenty-four months post revision hip arthroplasty. Pain improved from 9.3 to 3.6 and physical function improved from 35.4 to 17.1. No factors were predictive of patient function. Decreased pain was predicted by less pain pre surgery (p=0.01) and being male (p=0.04).

To determine if pre-operative WOMAC pain and physical function, age, gender, general health status (SF-36), revision severity classification, number of revisions, comorbidity and unilateral vs. bilateral surgery are predictive of WOMAC pain and physical function at twenty-four months post revision hip arthroplasty.

Physical function at twenty-four months is not independently predicted by the pre-treatment factors evaluated in this study. Male patients with less pain pre surgery and little comorbidity have less pain post surgery.

With the exception of pre-treatment pain, the pre-treatment factors tested in this study provide minimal guidance in identifying factors that might be modified to enhance patient outcome.

This prospective cohort study included one hundred and twenty-six patients (mean age=68.8 years, males: females=62:64) who had revision for other than infection or peri-prosthetic fracture. On average from pre-surgery to twenty-four months post-surgery, WOMAC pain improved 9.3 to 3.6 and physical function improved from 35.4 to 17.1. In univariate analysis (t-test, p< 0.05), males tended to have better function (19.6 vs. 14.7) and reported less pain (4.4 vs. 2.8). No other factors were significant in univariate analysis. None of the a priori factors noted above were independently predictive of patient function at twenty-four months in the multivariate model (F=2.06, p=0.04, R²=0.16). Decreased pain with activity at twenty-four months independently was predicted by having less pain pre surgery (p=0.01), being male (p=0.04) and having fewer comorbidities (p=0.07) in the multi-variate model (F=2.9. p=0.004, R²=0.21).

Funding: This work was supported by a grant from The Arthritis Society

Purpose: Persistent radiculopathy secondary to lumbar disc herniation is a common problem that greatly compromises quality of life. In North America, lumbar discectomies are among the most common elective surgical procedures performed. There is still much debate about when conservative or surgical treatments should be offered to patients. Although the related literature is comprehensive, there are limited systematic reviews on the prognostic factors predicting the outcome of lumbar discectomy. The purpose of this review is to define the preoperative factors predicting clinical outcome after lumbar discectomy.

Method: We conducted a computerized literature search using Ovid Medline and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. We included randomized controlled trials or prospective studies dealing with lumbar disc surgery. The preoperative predictors had to be clearly identified and correlated with outcome measures in terms of pain, disability, work capacity, analgesia consumption, or a combination of these measures. We assessed the articles as high or low quality studies using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale, and summarized the results of High Quality Studies.

Results: A total of 39 articles were included. The two most prominent negative predictors were Workers’ Compensation status and depression according to 6 studies. Poor predictors reported in 4 articles were female gender, increasing age, and prolonged duration of leg or back pain. Lower education level, smoking, and higher levels of psychological complaints were negative predictors in 3 articles. A positive Lasègue sign was a positive predictor in 7 articles. Absence of back pain, positive patient expectations, and higher income were good prognostic factors in 3 studies. Patients with contained herniations did worse than those who had uncontained disc extrusions and sequestrations according to 4 studies. The level of herniation was not a predictive factor in 7 studies.

Conclusion: Workers’ Compensation, depression, greater back versus leg pain, increasing age, female gender, contained herniations, and prolonged symptoms predict unfavourable postoperative outcomes after lumbar discectomy. Positive Lasègue sign, higher income, uncontained herniations, and positive patient expectations predict favourable postoperative outcomes. The level of herniation is not an established prognostic factor. The results of this review provide a preliminary framework for patient selection for lumbar disc surgery.

Modern microsurgery has allowed severed digits to be salvaged by replantation. A retrospective case review was undertaken of all patients undergoing digital replantation at Middlemore Hospital between February 2004 and February 2009. 48 digits from 28 patients underwent digital replantation during this period. The aim of the analysis was to determine what factors were predictive for survival of the replants. Secondary outcomes of interest included subjective functional recovery, pain and further procedures.

Digital replantation over the review period was subject to a 75% survival rate. Smoking and male gender were identified as significant negative prognostic factors (p=0.02). 69% of patients reported post operative stiffness, chronic pain or cold intolerance. The majority of replanted digits underwent secondary procedures.

Patients should be counseled prior to digital replantation that while the procedure is subject to a high rate of digit survival, they should expect stiffness and discomfort and are likely to undergo secondary procedures.

Recent advances in spinal cord injury(SCI) management have markedly reduced mortality & morbidity, but concern regarding final neurological outcome is still at large. Global search is for prognostic-factors to predict neurological recovery. We statistically analyzed different variables to review the established and determine newer predictors of neurological recovery in SCI.

During 1999–2000, 403 patients were admitted. 91 could be followed up for more than one year. Improvement in the motor score (ASIA) was taken as indicative of functional neurological recovery Prognostic factors were simplified into static(which do not change with time) and dynamic(which may change with time). Variables like age, sex, mode/mechanism of injury and skeletal level were static. These were recorded at admission and correlated for any association with neurological recovery at one year. Variables like neurological level, sacral sparing, duration of spinal shock, reflex recovery, sensory & motor scores and complications like bedsores, flexor spasms, UTI, URTI, & DVT were dynamic. These were recorded at admission, at weekly intervals till discharge and at 3 monthly intervals in follow-up.

Bivariant & Regressive analysis of static and dynamic factors was done.

No significant correlation of static variables was found with the neurological recovery.

On bivariant analysis Pin-prick sparing, intact bladder, spinal shock of < 24 hours and early appearance of deep tendon reflexes were good prognostic factors. Complete lesion, priapism, spinal shock for > 1 week, bedsore within 1 week and flexor spasms within 3 weeks were worst prognostic factor.

When regressive linear analysis was done speed of recovery in the initial three weeks was the most important prognostic factor irrespective of other variables studied against the final neurological recovery.

All variables affecting neurological recovery have an effect on the speed of recovery, which is the single most important prognostic factor influencing ultimate recovery.

The initial 3 weeks following injury were the critical period influencing final neurological & functional outcome.

The identification of preoperative risk factors for blood transfusion following total joint arthroplasty facilitates the selection of patients for blood-conservation strategies such as preoperative autologous blood donation. We reviewed prospective data on 1016 unilateral THRs to establish the preoperative risk factors associated with peri-operative blood transfusion.

On average, transfused patients were older, with lower preoperative haemoglobin, weight, height and body mass indices than patients who were not transfused. When the relationship between variables and transfusion was examined by multivariate analysis with multiple logistic regressions, only preoperative haemoglobin and weight were identified as significant independent factors increasing the risk of transfusion (p < 0.001). A threefold increase in transfusion risk was associated with haemoglobin below 12.

Patients of low weight or with haemoglobin below 12 should be considered for blood-conserving interventions.

Introduction

Intracapsular hip fractures in young adults are treated with internal fixation, often as a surgical emergency to reduce the vascular insult to the femoral head. Avascular necrosis and non-union often require revision surgery.

Patient satisfaction has only recently gained attention as an outcome measure in orthopaedics, where it has been reported for joint replacement surgery. Little has been published regarding predictors of patient satisfaction in orthopaedic trauma. This study aims to explore the predictors of patient satisfaction, and of surgeon satisfaction, after orthopaedic trauma.

Adult patients admitted to hospital with fractures after motor vehicle trauma were surveyed on admission, and at six months. Demographic, injury, socio-economic and compensation-related factors were measured. The two outcomes were satisfaction with progress of the injury, and satisfaction with recovery. The treating surgeons were also surveyed at six months to determine surgeon satisfaction with progress, and recovery (using the same questions), and the presence or absence of fracture union and any complications. Multivariate analysis was used to determine significant predictors of satisfaction for both groups, and satisfaction rates were compared between surgeons and patients using multivariable analysis.

Of 306 patients recruited, 232 (75.8%) returned completed questionnaires, but only 141 (46.1%) surgeons responded. Patients rated their satisfaction with progress and recovery as 74.6% and 44.4%, respectively, whereas surgeon-rated satisfaction with progress and recovery was 88.0% and 66.7%, respectively (p< 0.0001). Significant predictors of patient dissatisfaction were: blaming others for the injury, being female, and using a lawyer. Patient-rated outcome was not significantly associated with objective injury or treatment factors. The only significant predictor of surgeon dissatisfaction was fracture non-union.

Orthopaedic surgeons overestimated the progress of the injury and the level of recovery compared to patients’ own ratings. Surgeons’ ratings are influenced by objective, treatment-related factors, whereas patients’ ratings were not. Measures of outcome commonly used b y orthopaedic surgeons, such as fracture union, do not predict patient satisfaction.

Introduction

Greater length of stay (LOS) after elective surgery results in increased use of health care resources and higher costs. Within the realm of foot and ankle surgery, improved perioperative care has enabled a vast majority of procedures to be performed as a day surgery. The objective of this study was to determine the perioperative factors that predict a prolonged LOS after elective ankle replacement or fusion.

Background

Labral tears are now recognised as a common pathology especially in young adults. With advancement of arthroscopic techniques, most recent published literature is focused on short- or mid-term results of labral repair or re-fixation. There is limited data regarding long-term results of labral debridement and effect of co-existing pathology on outcomes. We investigated long-term results after arthroscopic labral debridement, the predictors of outcomes and correlation with any co-existing hip pathology.

We aimed to establish if radiological parameters, dual energy x-ray absorbtiometry (DEXA) and quantitative CT (qCT) could predict the risk of sustaining a femoral neck fracture following hip resurfacing.

Twenty-one unilateral fresh frozen femurs were used. Each femur had a plain AP radiograph, DEXA scan and quantitative CT scan. Femurs were then prepared for a Birmingham Hip Resurfacing femoral component with the stem shaft angle equal to the native neck shaft angle. The femoral component was then cemented onto the prepared femoral head. No notching of the femoral neck occurred in any specimens. A repeat radiograph was performed to confirm the stem shaft angle. The femurs were then potted in a position of single leg stance and tested in the axial direction to failure using an Instron mechanical tester. The load to failure was then analysed with the radiological, DEXA and qCT parameters using multiple regression.

The strongest correlation with the load to failure values was the total mineral content of the femoral neck at the head/neck junction using qCT r= 0.74 (p< 0.001). This improved to r=0.76 (p< 0.001) when neck width was included in the analysis. The total bone mineral density measurement from the DEXA scan showed a correlation with the load to failure of r=0.69 (p< 0.001). Radiological parameters only moderately correlated with the load to failure values; neck width (r=0.55), head diameter (r= 0.49) and femoral off-set (r=0.3).

This study suggests that a patient’s risk of femoral neck fracture following hip resurfacing is most strongly correlated with total mineral content at the head/neck junction and bone mineral density. This biomechanical data suggests that the risk of post-operative femoral neck fracture may be most accurately identified with a pre-operative quantitative CT scan through the head/neck junction combined with the femoral neck width.

We aimed to establish if radiological parameters, dual energy x-ray absorbtiometry (DEXA) and quantitative CT (qCT) could predict the risk of sustaining a femoral neck fracture following hip resurfacing. 21 unilateral fresh frozen femurs were used. Each femur had a plain AP radiograph, DEXA scan and quantitative CT scan. Femurs were then prepared for a Birmingham Hip Resurfacing femoral component with the stem shaft angle equal to the native neck shaft angle. The femoral component was then cemented onto the prepared femoral head. No notching of the femoral neck occurred in any specimens. A repeat radiograph was performed to confirm the stem shaft angle. The femurs were then potted in a position of single leg stance and tested in the axial direction to failure using an Instron mechanical tester. The load to failure was then analysed with the radiological, DEXA and qCT parameters using multiple regression. The strongest correlation with the load to failure values was the total mineral content of the femoral neck at the head/neck junction using qCT r= 0.74 (p< 0.001). This improved to r=0.76 (p< 0.001) when neck width was included in the analysis. The total bone mineral density measurement from the DEXA scan showed a correlation with the load to failure of r=0.69 (p< 0.001). Radiological parameters only moderately correlated with the load to failure values; neck width (r=0.55), head diameter (r= 0.49) and femoral off-set (r=0.3). This study suggests that a patient’s risk of femoral neck fracture following hip resurfacing is most strongly correlated with total mineral content at the head/neck junction and bone mineral density. This biomechanical data suggests that the risk of post-operative femoral neck fracture may be most accurately identified with a pre-operative quantitative CT scan through the head/neck junction combined with the femoral neck width.

Purpose of the study and background

In the majority of low back pain (LBP) patients a definitive cause for back pain cannot be established; consequently, many patients report feeling uncertain about their diagnosis. They also experience pain-related guilt, which can be divided into: social guilt, managing pain guilt and verification of pain guilt. This study aimed to test a theoretical (causal) model, which proposed that diagnostic uncertainty leads to pain-related guilt, which leads to depression, anxiety and finally to disability.

The primary aim was to assess survival of the opening wedge high tibial osteotomy (HTO) for medial compartment osteoarthritis. The secondary aim was to identify independent predictors of early (before 12 years) conversion to total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

During the 18-year period (1994–2011) 111 opening wedge HTO were performed at the study centre. Mean patient age was 45 years (range 18–68) and the majority were male (84%). Mean follow-up was 12 (range 6–21) years. Failure was defined as conversion to TKA. Kaplan-Meier, Cox regression and receiver operating curve (ROC) analyses were performed.

Forty (36%) HTO failed at a mean follow-up of 6.3 (range 1–15) years. The five-year survival rate was 84% (95% confidence interval (CI) 82.6–85.4), 10-year rate 65% (95% CI 63.5–66.5) and 15-year rate 55% (95% CI 53.3–56.7). Cox regression analysis identified older age (p<0.001) and female gender (hazard ratio (HR) 2.37, 95% CI 1.06–5.33, p=0.04) as independent predictors of failure. ROC analysis identified a threshold age of 47 years above which the risk of failure increased significantly (area under curve 0.72, 95% CI 0.62–0.81, p<0.001). Cox regression analysis, adjusting for covariates, identified a significantly greater (HR 2.49, 95% CI 1.26–4.91, p=0.01) risk of failure in patients aged 47 years old or more.

The risk of early conversion to TKA after an opening wedge HTO is significantly increased in female patients and those older than 47 years old. These risk factors should be considered pre-operatively and discussed with patients when planning surgical intervention for isolated medial compartment osteoarthritis.

In Scotland, the number of primary total knee replacements (TKRs) performed annually has been steadily increasing. Data from the Scottish Arthroplasty Project has recently demonstrated that the number of knee replacements performed annually has now outstripped the number of hip replacements. The price of the implant is fixed but the length of hospital stay (LOHS) is variable. An understanding of what currently influences LOHS may therefore be of paramount importance in order that we can influence some of these parameters, with resulting benefit to our patients as well as contributing significantly and favourably towards the health economics of this procedure. This study investigates the influence of intra- and post-operative variables on LOHS.

All patients who underwent primary unilateral TKR in the region of Fife, Scotland, United Kingdom, during the period December 1994 to February 2007 were prospectively investigated. The following intra and postoperative details were recorded: length of operation, need for urinary catheterisation, patella resurfacing, lateral release, blood transfusion, the presence of superficial or deep infection, day 1 post-operative haemoglobin and haemoglobin drop (haemoglobin drop between admission haemoglobin and day 1 post-operative haemoglobin). The data was analysed using univariate and multiple linear regression statistical analysis.

Data on LOHS was available from a total of 2105 primary unilateral TKRs. The median LOHS was 8.0 days. The highly significant intra and post-operative factors associated with an increased LOHS were lateral release, post-operative haemoglobin, blood transfusion, urinary catheterisation, deep and superficial infection. An awareness and understanding of these factors may enable us to influence them favourably with resulting reduction in the LOHS and, therefore, the associated costs.