Objectives

To investigate psychosocial and biomedical outcomes following total hip replacement (THR) and to identify predictors of recovery from THR.

Hip abductor tears(AT) have long been under-recognized, under-reported and under-treated. There is a paucity of data on the prevalence, morphology and associated factors. Patients with “rotator cuff tears of the hip” that are recognized and repaired during total hip arthroplasty(THA) report comparable outcomes to patients with intact abductor tendons at THA.

The study was a retrospective review of 997 primary THA done by a single surgeon from 2012–2022. Incidental findings of AT identified during the anterolateral approach to the hip were documented with patient name, gender, age and diagnosis. The extent and size of the tears of the Gluteus medius and Minimus were recorded. Xrays and MRI's were collected for the 140 patients who had AT and matched 1:1 with respect to age and gender against 140 patients that had documented good muscle quality and integrity. Radiographic measurements (Neck shaft angle, inter-teardrop distance, Pelvis width, trochanteric width and irregularities, bodyweight moment arm and abductor moment arm) were compared between the 2 groups in an effort to determine if any radiographic feature would predict AT.

The prevalence of AT were 14%. Females had statistically more tears than males(18vs10%), while patients over the age of 70y had statistically more tears overall(19,7vs10,4%), but also more Gluteus Medius tears specifically(13,9vs5,3%). Radiographic measurements did not statistically differ between the tear and control group, except for the presence of trochanteric irregularities. MRI's showed that 50% of AT were missed and subsequently identified during surgery.

Abductor tears are still underrecognized and undertreated during THA which can results in inferior outcomes. The surgeon should have an high index of suspicion in elderly females with trochanteric irregularities and although an MRI for every patient won't be feasible, one should always be prepared and equipped to repair the abductor tendons during THA.

Introduction: The aims of this study were to. determine predictors of pain, function and activity level 1–2 years after revision hip arthroplasty and. define quality of life outcomes after revision total hip replacement. Methods: A prospective cohort of 222 patients who underwent revision hip arthroplasty were evaluated. Predictive models were developed and proportional odds regression analyses were performed to identify factors that predict quality of life outcomes at 1 and 2 years post surgery. The dependent outcome variables were WOMAC function, pain and UCLA activity. The independent variables included patient demographic, surgery specific and objective parameters including baseline Western Ontario McMaster Universities (WOMAC) osteoarthritis index, and the Short Form-12 mental component. The Loess method was used to plot the change of WOMAC and SF-12 scores over time. Results: There was a significant improvement (p< 0.001) in all patient quality of life scores from baseline with results plateauing at 1 year. UCLA activity remained static between 1 and 2 years. In the predictive model, higher baseline WOMAC function (p < 0.001), age between 60–70 (p< 0.037), male gender (0.017), lower Charnley class (p < 0.001) and diagnosis of aseptic loosening (p < 0.003) were significant predictors of improved function. When considering WOMAC pain as an outcome variable, factors predictive of improving category outcome included baseline WOMAC function (p= 0.001), age between 60–70 (p< 0.004), male gender (p= 0.005), lower Charnley class (p< 0.001) and no previous revisions (p < 0.023). Baseline WOMAC pain did not predict final pain outcome. Baseline WOMAC function (p=0.001), the indication for the operation (p=0.007), and the operating surgeon were significant predictors of UCLA activity at follow up. Peri or post-operative complications were not an adverse predictor of physical function, pain or activity. Conclusions: Predictors of quality of life outcomes after revision hip replacement-showed that although some patient specific and surgical specific variables were important, age, gender, Charnley class and baseline WOMAC function had the most robust associations with outcomes

Introduction

Surgical reconstruction of deformed Charcot feet carries high risk of non-union, metalwork failure and deformity recurrence. The primary aim of this study was to identify the factors contributing to these complications following hindfoot Charcot reconstructions.

The aim of the study was to evaluate radiological and clinical outcomes of surgical treatment of developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) with Periacetabular Osteotomy (PAO) and to determine the values of radiological parameters allowing us to obtain an optimal clinical result.

Radiological evaluation included a standardized AP digital radiograph of the hip joints. Centre edge angle (CEA), medialization, distalization, femoral head coverage (FHC) and ilioischial angle were measured. Clinical evaluation based on HHS, WOMAC, Merle d'Aubigne-Postel scales and Hip Lag Sign. Radiological and clinical evaluation was performed preoperatively and approximately 12 months after the surgery.

Statistically significant (p<0.05) differences in radiological measurements and all clinical scales have been observed pre- and postoperatively for all of the parameters. The results of PAO presented decreased medialization by 3.4mm (range: 3 to 3.7), distalization by 3.5mm (range: 3.2 to 3.8) and the ilioischial angle by 2.7° (range: 2.2 to 3.7). There was also an improvement in the femoral head bone coverage: CEA increased by 16.3° (range: 12.1˚ to 20.5˚) and FHC by 15.2% (range: 10.8 to 19.8). Clinically we observed an increase in HHS by 22 points (range: 15.8 to 28.2) and M. Postel d'Aubigne by 3.5 points (range: 2.0 to 4.4) and a decrease in WOMAC by 24% (range: 22.6 to 25.8). HLS improvement of gluteal muscles’ efficiency has been observed in 67% of patients postoperatively.

This study revealed that the qualification of patients with DDH for an elective PAO is more justified due to the predicted optimal clinical outcomes based on three parameters: CEA <25 degrees, FHC <75%, and ilioischial angle >85.9 degrees. Accordingly, to achieve better clinical results for all scales, it is necessary to increase the average CEA value by 11˚, the average FHC by 11%, and reduce the average ilioischial angle by 3˚.

Use of anticoagulants for thromboembolic prophylaxis is strongly supported by evidence. However, the use of these medications beyond the prophylactic period is poorly understood.

We identified anticoagulant naïve patients that underwent hip or knee replacement between 2012 and 2019 from an arthroplasty registry and probabilistically linked 3,018 surgeries with nationwide pharmaceutical claims data. Rates of anticoagulation use were examined during the early (<= 60 days post-discharge), mid-term (61–180 days post-discharge) and long-term (181–360 days post-discharge) periods. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify patient- and surgery-related factors associated with long-term anticoagulant use.

Anticoagulants were supplied to 20% of arthroplasties within 60 days of discharge, 7% between 61–180 days, and 10% between 181–360 days. Older age, obesity, increased comorbidity burden, a longer length of stay, occurrence of a complication necessitating anticoagulation and dispensation of an anticoagulant within 60 days of discharge were all risk factors for long-term anticoagulant use.

Given the risks associated with unnecessary use of these medications, certain patients who are prescribed anticoagulants beyond prophylactic period may benefit from specialist medication review in the months following surgery.

Signal intensity changes of the spinal cord on MRI in chronic cervical myelopathy are thought to be indicative of the prognosis. However, the prognostic significance of signal intensity change remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristics of MR findings in cervical compression myelopathy that reflect the clinical symptoms and the prognosis and to determine the radiographical and clinical factors that correlate to the prognosis. The subjects were 73 patients who underwent cervical expansive laminoplasty. Their mean age was 64 years, and the mean postoperative follow-up was 3.4 years. The pathological conditions were cervical spondylotic myelopathy in 42 and ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament in 31.MRI (spin-echo sequence) was performed in all patients. Three patterns of spinal cord signal intensity changes on T1-weighted sequences/T2-weighted sequences were detected as follows: normal/ normal. (N/N); normal/ high signal intensity changes (N/Hi); and low signal intensity changes/high signal intensity changes (Lo/Hi). Surgical outcomes were compared among these three groups. The most useful combination of parameters for predicting prognosis was determined. There were 2 patients with N/N, 67 with N/Hi and 4 with Lo/Hi signal change patterns before surgery. Regarding postoperative recovery, the preoperative Lo/Hi group was significantly inferior to the preoperative N/Hi group. The best combination of predictors for surgical outcomes included age, preoperative signal pattern and duration of symptoms. The low signal intensity changes on T1-weighted sequences indicated a poor prognosis. We speculate that high signal intensity changes on T2-weighted images include a broad spectrum of compressive myelomalacid pathologies and reflect a broad spectrum of recuperative potentials of the spinal cord. Predictors for surgical outcomes are preoperative signal intensity change pattern of the spinal cord on radiological evaluations, age at the time of surgery and chronicity of the disease

Minimally displaced paediatric proximal humerus fractures (PHFs) can be reliably managed non-operatively, however there is considerable debate regarding the appropriate management of severely displaced PHFs, particularly in older children and adolescents with limited remodelling potential. The purpose of this study was to perform a systematic review to answer the questions: “What are the functional and quality-of-life outcomes of paediatric PHFs?” and “What factors have been associated with a poorer outcome?”

A review of Medline and EMBASE was performed on 4^th July 2021 using search terms relevant to PHFs, surgery, non-operative management, paediatrics and outcomes. Studies including ≥10 paediatric patients with PHFs, which assessed clinical outcomes by use of an established outcome measure, were selected. The following clinical information was collected: participant characteristics, treatment, complications, and outcomes.

Twelve articles were selected, including four prospective cohort studies and eight retrospective cohort studies. Favourable outcome scores were found for patients with minimally displaced fractures, and for children aged less than ten years, irrespective of treatment methodology or grade of fracture displacement. Older age at injury and higher grade of fracture displacement were reported as risk factors for a poorer patient-reported outcome score.

An excellent functional outcome can be expected following non-operative management for minimally displaced paediatric PHFs. Prospective trials are required to establish a guideline for the management of severely displaced PHFs in children and adolescents according to fracture displacement and the degree of skeletal maturity.

This study aimed to evaluate the month-to-month prevalence of antibiotic dispensation in the 12 months before and after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) and to identify factors associated with antibiotic dispensation in the month immediately following the surgical procedure.

In total, 4,115 THAs and TKAs performed between April 2013 and June 2019 from a state-wide arthroplasty referral centre were analysed. A cross-sectional study used data from an institutional arthroplasty registry, which was linked probabilistically to administrative dispensing data from the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme. Multivariable logistic regression was carried out to identify patient and surgical risk factors for oral antibiotic dispensation.

Oral antibiotics were dispensed in 18.3% of patients following primary TKA and 12.0% of patients following THA in the 30 days following discharge. During the year after discharge, 66.7% of TKA patients and 58.2% of THA patients were dispensed an antibiotic at some point. Patients with poor preoperative health status were more likely to have antibiotics dispensed in the month following THA or TKA. Older age, undergoing TKA rather than THA, obesity, inflammatory arthritis, and experiencing an in-hospital wound-related or other infectious complications were associated with increased antibiotic dispensation in the 30 days following discharge.

A high rate of antibiotic dispensation in the 30 days following THA and TKA has been observed. Although resource constraints may limit routine wound review for all patients by a surgeon, a select cohort may benefit from timely specialist review postoperatively. Several risk factors identified in this study may aid in identifying appropriate candidates for such changes to follow-up care.

Introduction: Dural tears are one of the most frequent type of complication in posterior spinal fusion with little known about their predictors. Method: Prospective consecutive study with an evidence level 2++ of 42 patients in the international spine registry Spine Tango, who had been treated between 05/2005 and 8/2008 with posterior spinal fusion after opening of the spinal canal. Median age was 62.7 yrs (min 12.5, max 90.5 yrs) with a female to male ratio of 2:1. In 42 of 1575 cases a dural tear occurred being the most frequent type of complication in our study sample. Multiple linear regression was performed on potential predictor-variables of the occurrence of dural tears. Results: Hospital (p=0.02) and number of segments of fusion (p=0.018) were found to be predictors of the occurrence of dural tears in posterior spinal fusion. Number of fusions per hospital (min 25, max 526) and academic status of hospital had no influence on the rate of dural tears. Fusions of four and more segments showed an increase of the rate of dural tears by three compared to fusions of less than four segments. Conclusion: Predictors of dural tears in posterior spinal fusion are hospital, independent of number of spinal surgeries and academic status of hospital, and number of segments of fusion. In fusions of four and more segments a threefold higher risk of dural tears in comparison to fusions of less than four segments should be taken into consideration

Background

Guidelines recommend epidural steroid injections (ESI) for treating severe disc-related sciatica based on trial data showing modest reductions in leg pain, disability and surgery avoidance. Despite their widespread use, there is no clear evidence about which patients are more likely to benefit from ESI. The aim of this study was to generate consensus on potential predictors of outcome following ESI for disc-related sciatica to include in data collection in a future cohort study.

It is undetermined which factors predict return to work following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. We aimed to identify which factors predicted return to work at any level, and return to pre-injury levels of work 6 months post-arthroscopic rotator cuff repair.

Multiple logistic regression analysis of prospectively collected demographic, pre-injury, preoperative, and intraoperative data from 1502 consecutive primary arthroscopic rotator cuff repairs, performed by a single surgeon, was performed to identify independent predictors of return to work, and return to pre-injury levels of work respectively, 6 months post-surgery.

Six months post-rotator cuff repair, 76% of patients returned to work (RTW), and 40% returned to pre-injury levels of work (Full-RTW). RTW at 6 months was likely if patients were still working after their injuries, but prior to surgery (Wald statistic [W]=55, p<0.0001), were stronger in internal rotation preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), had full-thickness tears (W=9, p=0.002), and were female (W=5, p=0.030). Patients who achieved Full-RTW were likely to have worked less strenuously pre-injury (W=173, p<0.0001), worked more strenuously post-injury but pre-surgery (W=22, p<0.0001), had greater behind-the-back lift-off strength preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), and had less passive external rotation range of motion preoperatively (W=5, p=0.034). Patients who were still working post-injury, but pre-surgery were 1.6-times more likely to RTW than patients who were not (p<0.0001). Patients who nominated their pre-injury level of work as “light” were 11-times more likely to achieve Full-RTW than those who nominated “strenuous” (p<0.0001).

Six months post-rotator cuff repair, a higher patient-rated post-injury, but pre-surgery level of work was the strongest predictor of RTW. A lower patient-rated pre-injury level of work was the strongest predictor of Full-RTW. Greater preoperative subscapularis strength independently predicted both RTW, and Full-RTW.

Same day home (SDH) discharge in total joint arthroplasty (TJA) has increased in popularity in recent years. The objective of this study was to evaluate the causes and predictors of failed discharges in planned SDH patients.

A consecutive cohort of patients who underwent total knee (TKA) or total hip arthroplasty (THA) that were scheduled for SDH discharge between April 1, 2019 to March 31, 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Patient demographics, causes of failed discharge, perioperative variables, 30-day readmissions and 6-month reoperation rates were collected. Multivariate regression analysis was undertaken to identify independent predictors of failed discharge.

The cohort consisted of 527 consecutive patients. One hundred and one (19%) patients failed SDH discharge. The leading causes were postoperative hypotension (20%) and patients who were ineligible for the SDH pathway (19%). Two individual surgeons, later operative start time (OR 1.3, 95% CI, 1.15-1.55, p=0.001), ASA class IV (OR 3.4, 95% CI, 1.4-8.2; p=0.006) and undergoing a THA (OR 2.0, 95% CI, 1.2-3.1, p=0.004) were independent predictors of failed SDH discharge. No differences in age, BMI, gender, surgical approach or type of anesthetic were found (p>0.05). The 30-day readmission or 6-month reoperation were similar between groups (p>0.05).

Hypotension and inappropriate patient selection were the leading causes of failed SDH discharge. Significant variability existed between individual surgeons failed discharge rates. Patients undergoing a THA, classified as ASA IV or had a later operative start time were all more likely to fail SDH discharge.

True scaphoid fractures of the wrist are difficult to diagnose in children. In 5–40% of cases, a scaphoid fracture may not be detectable on initial X-ray, some fractures may take up to six weeks to become evident. Since missing a scaphoid fracture may have serious implications, many children with a suspected or “clinical” scaphoid fracture, but normal radiographs, may be over-treated. The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of true scaphoid fractures in children.

A retrospective cohort study was performed using electronic medical records for all patients over a two-year period presenting to a tertiary paediatric hospital with hand or wrist injury. Charts were identified by ICD-10 diagnostic codes and reviewed for pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients with either a clinical or true scaphoid fracture were included. When a scaphoid fracture was suspected, but imaging was negative for fracture, the diagnosis of a clinical scaphoid fracture was made. True scaphoid fractures were diagnosed when a fracture was evident on any modality of medical imaging (X-ray, CT, MRI) at any time post-injury.

Over the two-year study period, 148 patients (60 scaphoid fractures, 88 non-fractures) met inclusion and exclusion criteria for review. Mean (±SD) age was 13±2 years and 52% were male. The left wrist was injured in 61% of cases. Of the 60 true scaphoid fractures, mean age was 14±2 years, and 69% were male. Fracture location was primarily at the waist (48%) or distal pole (45%) of the scaphoid. Sports were the prevailing mechanism of injury. Six (11%) underwent surgery. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that older age, male gender, and right-sided injury were predictors of scaphoid fracture with odds ratios of 1.3 (95% CI: 1.1–1.6, p=0.005), 2.8 (95% CI: 1.3–6, p=0.007), and 2.4 (95% CI: 1.1–5.2, p=0.025).

Older age, male gender, and right-sided injury may be predictors of scaphoid fractures in children. Further evidence to support this may enable the formulation of clinical guidelines or rules to reduce the overtreatment of children presenting with a clinical scaphoid fracture.

In-hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge disposition following arthroplasty could act as surrogate measures for improvement in patient pathways, and have major cost saving implications for healthcare providers. With the ever-growing adoption of robotic technology in arthroplasty, we wished to evaluate its impact on LOS. The objectives of this study were to compare LOS and discharge disposition following robotic-arm assisted (RO THA) versus conventional technique Total Hip Arthroplasty (CO THA).

This large-scale, single institution study included patients of any age undergoing primary THA (N = 1,732) for any cause between May 2019 and January 2023. Data extracted included patient demographics, LOS, need for Post Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU) admission, anaesthesia type, readmission within 30 days and discharge dispositions. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were also employed to identify factors and patient characteristics related to delayed discharge.

The median LOS in the RO THA group was 54 hours (34, 78) versus 60 (51, 100) in the CO THA group, p<0.001. Discharge disposition was comparable between the two groups. In the multivariate model, age, need for PACU admission, ASA score > 2, female gender, general anaesthesia and utilisation of the conventional technique were significantly associated with LOS > 2 days.

Our study showed that robotic-arm assistance was associated with a shorter LOS in patients undergoing primary THA and no difference in discharge destination. Our results suggest that robotic-arm assistance could be advantageous in partly addressing the upsurge of hip arthroplasty procedures and the concomitant health care burden; however, this needs to be corroborated by long-term cost effectiveness analyses and data from randomised controlled studies.

Periprosthetic femoral fractures are increasingly seen in recent years, adding considerable burden to the National Health Service. These require complex revision or fixation and prolonged post-operative care, with significant morbidity with associated costs. The purpose of this study was to assess whether the size of femoral cement mantle is associated with periprosthetic femoral fractures (PPF).

This retrospective study was carried out on a cohort of 49 patients (Fracture Group - FG) who previously had a revision procedure following a proximal PPF between 2010 and 2021. Inclusion criteria – all primary cemented total hip replacements (THR). Exclusion criteria – complex primary THR, any implant malposition that required early revision surgery or any pre-fracture stem loosening. The antero-posterior (AP) radiographs from this cohort of patients were assessed and compared to an age, sex, time since THR-matched control group of 49 patients without PPF (Control Group - CG). Distal cement mantle area (DCMA) was calculated on an AP radiograph of hip; the position of the femoral stem tip prior to fracture was also recorded: valgus, varus or central. Limitations: AP radiographs only. Statistical analyses were performed using Microsoft® Excel.

Chi-square test demonstrated statistically significant difference in DCMA between FG and CG. DCMA of 700 to 900 mm² appeared to be protective when compared to DCMA of 0 to 300 mm². Also, a valgus position observed in 23% in FG Vs 4 % in CG increased the risk, with a smaller area of DCMA.

This study demonstrates and recommends that a size of 700 – 900 mm² of the DCMA is protective against periprosthetic fractures, which are further influenced by the positioning of the distal stem tip. This could be due to the gradual decrease in the stiffness gradient from proximal to distal around the stem tip than steep changes, thereby decreasing possibility of a stress riser just distal to the cement mantle or restrictor. Further biomechanical research specific to this finding may be helpful to validate the observation, progressing to suggest a safe standardised surgical technique.

Total hip arthroplasty has been constantly evolving with technological improvements to achieve the best survival rates. Although the new implants are under closer surveillance through processes such as Beyond Compliance, orthopaedic surgeons generally tend to look out for the latest implants with good short-term results and hope for better long-term results for these. We questioned whether such an assumption or bias is valid.

We analysed the data of Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative revisions of primary hip replacement by fixation, stem/cup brand and bearing combinations from the NJR 19th Annual Report published in September 2022. We performed a univariate linear regression analysis to predict the 10- and 15-year revision rates for these different hip implant combinations from the 3- and 5-year revision rates.

Thirty-seven implant combinations had their 15-year revision rates reported and 67 had the 10-year revision rates. The correlation co-efficients were 0.43 and 0.58 for the 3-year and 5-year revision rates against 15-year revision rates. Only 17% of the variance in 15-year revision rates could be predicted by a linear regression model from the 3-year revision rate and 32% from the 5-year revision rate. Corresponding values for the 10-year revision rates were 46% and 67%.

95% prediction intervals for the 15-year revision rate were +/− 3.1% from the 3-year revision rate and +/− 2.8% from the 5-year revision rate. Corresponding values for the 10-year revision rates were +/− 1.3% and +/− 1%.

19 of 37 implant combinations showed 15-year revision rate of more than 4%. Average 3-year and 5-year revision rates for this cohort was 1.0% and 1.42% compared to 1.4% and 1.9% for the rest and the difference was statistically significant.

Although average early revision rates showed small but significant difference between the groups with lower and higher 15-year revision rates, the prediction intervals for 15-year revision rates for individual hips based on their 3-year and 5-year revision rates are very wide. Three- and 5-year revision rates for primary total hip replacements are poor predictors of 15-year revision rates.

Posterior spinal surgery is associated with a significant amount of blood loss. The factors predisposing the patient to excessive bleeding-and therefore transfusion- are not well established nor is the effect of transfusion on the outcomes following spinal surgery. We had two goals in this study. First, we were to investigate any suspected risk factors of transfusion in posterior thoraco-lumbar fusion patients. Second, we wanted to observe the negative impact-if one existed- of transfusion on the outcomes of surgery

All adults undergoing posterior thoraco-lumbar spine fusion in our institution from May 2015 to May 2018 were included. Data collected included demographic data as well as BMI, preoperative hemoglobin, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification (ASA), delta Hemoglobin, estimated blood loss, incidence of transfusion, number of units transfused, number of levels fused, length of stay and re-admission within 30 days. The data was analyzed to correlate these variables with the frequency of transfusion and then to assess the association of adverse outcomes with transfusion.

125 patients were included in the study. Only 6 patients (4.8%) required re-admission within the first 30 days after discharge. Length of stay averaged 8.4 days (3–74). 18 patients (14.4%) required transfusion peri-operatively. When multiple variables were analyzed for any correlation, the number of levels fused, age and BMI had statistically significant correlation with the need for transfusion (P <0.005)

Patients undergoing posterior thoraco-lumbar fusion are more likely to require blood transfusion if they were older, over-weight & obese or had a multi-level fusion. Receiving blood transfusion is associated with increased complication rates.

While total joint replacement (TJR) is considered as an effective intervention to relieve pain and restore joint function for end-stage osteoarthritis (OA) patients, a significant proportion of the patients are dissatisfied with their surgery outcomes. The aim of this study was to identify genetic factors that can predict patients who do or do not benefit from these surgical procedures by a genome-wide association study (GWAS).

Study participants were derived from the Newfoundland Osteoarthritis Study (NFOAS) which consisted of 1086 TJR patients. Non-responders to TJR was defined as patients who did not reach the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) based on the self administered Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) in terms of pain reduction or function improvment. DNA was extracted from the blood samples of the study participants and genotyped by Illumina GWAS genotyping platform. Over two million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) across the genome were genotyped and tested for assocition with non-responders.

39 non-responders and 44 age, sex, and BMI matched responders were included in this study. Four chromosome regions on chromosomes 5, 7, 8, and 12 were suggested to be associated with non-responders with p < 1 0–5. The most promising one was on chromosome 5 with the lead SNP rs17118094 (p=1.7×10–6) which can classify 72% of non-responders accurately. The discriminatory power of this SNP alone is very promising as indicated by an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.72 with 95% confidence interval of 0.63 to 0.81, which is much better than any previously studied predictors mentioned above. All the patients who carry two copies of the G allele (minor allele) of rs17118094 were non-responders and 75% of those who carry one copy of the G allele were non-responders. The discriminatory ability of the lead SNPs on chromosomes 7 and 12 were comparable to the one on chromosome 5 with an AUC of 0.74, and 88% of patients who carry two copies of the A allele of rs10244798 on chromosome 7 were non-responders. Similarly, 88% of patients who carry two copies of the C allele of rs10773476 on chromosome 12 were non-responders. While the discriminatory ability of rs9643244 on chromosome 8 was poor with an AUC of 0.26, its strong association with non-responders warrants a further investigation in the region.

The study identified four genomic regions harboring genetic factors for non-responders to TJR. The lead SNPs in those regions have great discriminatory ability to predict non-responders and could be used to create a genetic prediction model for clinical unitilty and application.

Aims

Sickle cell disease (SCD) is an autosomal recessive inherited condition that presents with a number of clinical manifestations that include musculoskeletal manifestations (MM). MM may present differently in different individuals and settings and the predictors are not well known. Herein, we aimed at determining the predictors of MM in patients with SCD at the University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia.