Patients (2.7M in EU) with positive cancer prognosis frequently develop metastases (≈1M) in their remaining lifetime. In 30-70% cases, metastases affect the spine, reducing the strength of the affected vertebrae. Fractures occur in ≈30% patients. Clinicians must choose between leaving the patient exposed to a high fracture risk (with dramatic consequences) and operating to stabilise the spine (exposing patients to unnecessary surgeries). Currently, surgeons rely on their sole experience. This often results in to under- or over-treatment. The standard-of-care are scoring systems (e.g. Spine Instability Neoplastic Score) based on medical images, with little consideration of the spine biomechanics, and of the structure of the vertebrae involved. Such scoring systems fail to provide clear indications in ≈60% patients. The HEU-funded METASTRA project is implemented by biomechanicians, modellers, clinicians, experts in verification, validation, uncertainty quantification and certification from 15 partners across Europe. METASTRA aims to improve the stratification of patients with vertebral metastases evaluating their risk of fracture by developing dedicated reliable computational models based on Explainable Artificial Intelligence (AI) and on personalised Physiology-based biomechanical (VPH) models.Introduction
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