Aims. Current levels of hip fracture morbidity contribute greatly to the overall burden on health and social care services. Given the anticipated ageing of the population over the coming decade, there is potential for this burden to increase further, although the exact scale of impact has not been identified in contemporary literature. We therefore set out to predict the future incidence of hip fracture and help inform appropriate service provision to maintain an adequate standard of care. Methods. Historical data from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit (2017 to 2021) were used to identify monthly incidence rates. Established time series forecasting techniques (Exponential Smoothing and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) were then used to predict the annual number of hip fractures from 2022 to 2029, including adjustment for predicted changes in national population demographics. Predicted differences in service-level outcomes (length of stay and discharge destination) were analyzed, including the associated financial cost of any changes. Results. Between 2017 and 2021, the number of annual hip fractures increased from 6,675 to 7,797 (15%), with a rise in incidence from 313 to 350 per 100,000 (11%) for the at-risk population. By 2029, a combined average projection forecast the annual number of hip fractures at 10,311, with an incidence rate of 463 per 100,000, representing a 32% increase from 2021. Based upon these projections, assuming discharge rates remain constant, the total overall length of hospital stay following hip fracture in Scotland will increase by 60,699 days per annum, incurring an additional cost of at least £25 million per year. Approximately five more acute hip fracture beds may be required per hospital to accommodate this increased activity. Conclusion. Projection modelling demonstrates that hip fracture burden and incidence will increase substantially by 2029, driven by an ageing population, with substantial implications for health and social care services. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(1):62–68

We report two new radiographic projections for evaluating avulsion fractures at the lateral malleolus. We used seven freshly amputated legs with simulated avulsion fractures and radiopaque markers to assess their value. The projections allow accurate assessment of the displacement of fragments without superimposition, and also show whether they affect the anterior talofibular or the calcaneofibular ligament or both

We hypothesised that the anterior and posterior walls of the body of the first sacral vertebra could be visualised with two different angles of inlet view, owing to the conical shape of the sacrum. Six dry male cadavers with complete pelvic rings and eight dry sacrums with K-wires were used to study the effect of canting (angling the C-arm) the fluoroscope towards the head in 5° increments from 10° to 55°. Fluoroscopic images were taken in each position. Anterior and posterior angles of inclination were measured between the upper sacrum and the vertical line on the lateral view. Three authors separately selected the clearest image for overlapping anterior cortices and the upper sacral canal in the cadaveric models. The dry bone and K-wire models were scored by the authors, being sure to check whether the K-wire was in or out.

In the dry bone models the mean score of the relevant inlet position of the anterior or posterior inclination was 8.875 (standard deviation (sd) 0.35), compared with the inlet position of the opposite inclination of –5.75 (sd 4.59). We found that two different inlet views should be used separately to evaluate the borders of the body of the sacrum using anterior and posterior inclination angles of the sacrum, during placement of iliosacral screws.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2015;97-B:705–10.

The hip fracture burden on health and social care services in Scotland is anticipated to increase significantly, primarily driven by an ageing population. This study forecasts future hip fracture incidence and the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland until 2029. The monthly number of patients with hip fracture aged ≥ 50 admitted to a Scottish hospital between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2021 was identified through data collected by the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit. This data was analysed using Exponential Smoothing and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average forecast modelling to project future hip fracture incidence and the annual number of hip fractures until 2029. Adjustments for population change were accounted for by integrating population projections published by National Records of Scotland. Between 2017 and 2021 the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland increased from 6675 to 7797, with a respective increase in hip fracture incidence from 313 to 350 per 100,000. By 2029, the averaged projected annual number of hip fractures is 10311, with an incidence rate of 463 per 100,000. The largest percentage increase in hip fracture occurs in the 70-79 age group (57%), with comparable increases in both sexes (30%). Based upon these projections, overall length of stay following hip fracture will increase from 142713 bed days per annum in 2021, to 203412 by 2029, incurring an additional cost of over £25 million. Forecast modelling demonstrates that the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland will rise substantially by 2029, with considerable implications for health and social care services

Due to changes in population demographics, the burden of hip fractures in Scotland is expected to rise dramatically over the coming decades. This study aims to establish the future incidence of hip fracture in Scotland in individuals aged 50 and over. The number of patients admitted to hospital in Scotland with a hip fracture between 1999 and 2016 were ascertained from discharge coding across NHS Scotland. The annual number of hip fractures were categorised to enable gender and age specific hip fracture incidence rates to be calculated. Through static and variable projection methods, the annual hip fracture incidence up to 2035 was forecast and analysed with respect to specific demographics ascertained from population data provided by the National Records of Scotland. Between 1999 and 2016 the total number of hip fractures in individuals aged 50 and over increased by 11%, from 7,131 to 7,930, equating to an average year-on-year increase of 0.6%. Patients aged over 75 consistently accounted for more than 85% of recorded hip fractures, with females having a higher incidence rate than males across all age groups. A decreasing incidence in females aged over 70 was observed. Using multiple projection methods, the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland is predicted to increase by 55% from 7,930 in 2016, to an average of 12,316 by 2035. Projection modelling confirms the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland will rise substantially by 2035 with considerable implications for health and social care provision

Introduction. This study evaluates the need for limb reconstruction surgery in Syria and gives examples of how this service has been delivered by UK surgeons. The conflict in Syria has resulted in over 500,000 deaths and 1.2 million injured. There is not yet a centre for limb reconstruction surgery in the country. Injuries from gunshots and shrapnel were not common prior to the civil war resulting in a paucity of experience. Methods. The senior author spent two weeks in Syria to perform limb reconstruction surgery, to help to train local surgeons and assess the capacity of the facilities available to cope with the limb reconstruction workload. Results. 93 outpatients were assessed over the course of ten days, and 72 of these required definitive surgical intervention. 33 of these patients were candidates for intervention with circular frames. As well as outpatient assessment, surgical procedures were carried out on 22 patients. 11 procedures involved the application of circular frames; 4 involved the application of monolateral fixators and there were 2 other frame related procedures. Discussion. The lack of definitive capacity exists because of shortfalls in equipment, training, and surgical time. The outpatient assessments of patients given temporary or no treatment, who require definitive surgical intervention allows a projection of the need for 3900 surgical procedures over the course of a year, for the patients within the catchment area of this hospital alone. This is an overwhelming number that cannot be achieved without external help. Conclusion. The limb reconstruction workload in Syria is enormous, and rising every day. There are opportunities for members of the BLRS to contribute to mitigating this human suffering by providing this service

Aims

Though most humeral shaft fractures heal nonoperatively, up to one-third may lead to nonunion with inferior outcomes. The Radiographic Union Score for HUmeral Fractures (RUSHU) was created to identify high-risk patients for nonunion. Our study evaluated the RUSHU’s prognostic performance at six and 12 weeks in discriminating nonunion within a significantly larger cohort than before.

The relationship between advancing patient age, decreasing bone mineral density and increasing distal radial fracture incidence is well established. Biomechanical and clinical work has shown that the radiographic severity of distal radial fractures is greater in patients with poor bone quality. Between 1991 and 2007, the number of elderly Scots (aged 75 years or more) increased by 18%, and population projections predict a further 82% increase by 2035. This study was conducted to investigate the effect of recent changes in the demographics of our population on the pattern and radiographic severity of distal radial fractures encountered at our institution. The epidemiology of two distinct series of patients (1991–93; 2007–08) suffering distal radial fractures was compared. The patient and radiographic fracture characteristics known to be predictive of fracture instability and severity were compared using the MacKenney formulae, and a subgroup analysis of distal radial fragility fractures was performed. The life expectancy of our catchment population has improved since 1991, and we have encountered a larger number of distal radial fractures occurring in older, more active and functionally independent patients. We identified an increase in the proportion of AO type B fractures, particularly in the oldest patient groups. The radiographic severity of distal radial fractures, especially low energy metaphyseal injuries, has increased. If the current trend in population demographics continues, it seems likely that orthopaedic surgeons will encounter an increasing number of severe distal radial fractures deemed unsuitable for treatment by closed methods

We measured the scattered radiation received by theatre staff, using high-sensitivity electronic personal dosimeters, during fixation of extracapsular fractures of the neck of the femur by dynamic hip screw. The dose received was correlated with that received by the patient, and the distance from the source of radiation. A scintillation detector and a water-filled model were used to define a map of the dose rate of scattered radiation in a standard operating theatre during surgery. Beyond two metres from the source of radiation, the scattered dose received was consistently low, while within the operating distance that received by staff was significant for both lateral and posteroanterior (PA) projections. The routine use of lead aprons outside the 2 m zone may be unnecessary. Within that zone it is recommended that lead aprons be worn and that thyroid shields are available for the surgeon and nursing assistants

Purpose of the Study. At our Department, we prefer surgical treatment of all patients with Type II and III fractures of the dens, regardless of the age, with the exception of non-displaced fractures or perfectly reduced fractures in young patients. Material and Methods. We treated surgically 28 patients 65 years old and older with dens fractures. The group consisted of 13 men and 15 women with a mean age of 77.4 years (range, 65–90 years). According to the type of treatment, anterior srew fixation or posterior C1–C2 fixation, the whole cohort was divided into 2 groups that were subdivided into two age groups of patients 65–74 years old and 75 years old and older. The age group of patients 65–74 years old included 8 patients with a mean age of 68.5 years and the mean age of the age group of patients 75 and more years old was 81 years. The injury was caused in 22 cases by a fall, in 5 by a car accident. Only in 1 case the injury was caused differently. Neurological deficits were found in three patients, all of them Frankel D type. All patients with injury to the dens underwent radiograph examination in the lateral and transoral projections and CT scan including the sagittal and frontal reconstructions of the atlantoaxial complex and in most cases also MRI examination to eliminate injury to the transverse ligament of the atlas. Based on these examinations, the type of injury was determined and method of treatment indicated. Final retrospective evaluation of the patients was carried out at the interval of 12 to 78 months after the primary surgery (mean 31.3 months) taking into account aetiology of the injury, type of injury, neurological finding, method of treatment, union of the dens fracture line or, where appropriate, C1–C2 fusion, stability of the spine and the final outcome. Statistical analysis was based on X2-test. Results. Comparison of the two age groups showed a statistically significant difference in the mortality (p<0.05), with 0% in the younger group and 40% in the older group. In total, mortality within 6 weeks after the injury accounted for 28.6%. Comparison of surgical techniques revealed 21.4% mortality after anterior screw fixation of the dens and 35.7% mortality after posterior instrumented fusion. The difference was statistically insignificant (p>0.05). Of the 20 surviving patients, 11 were treated with anterior screw fixation and 9 with posterior instrumented fusion. In the two groups there was only one case of nonunion of the dens (9.1%) and one fibrous callus in the region of C1–C2 fusion and the fracture line in the dens (11.1%). The difference was again insignificant (p>0.05). Conclusions. Active surgical treatment conduces considerably to the improvement of the quality of life of elderly patients after dens fractures. Surgical technique should be tailored to the patient's general condition, and osteoporosis and degenerative changes of the spine in particular. Mortality is influenced by the patient's age rather than by the surgical technique used. Elderly patients with a neurological deficit mostly die of associated diseases regardless of the method of treatment

Introduction. Application of an external fixator for type B and C pelvic fractures can be life saving. Anteriorly the fixator half pins can be placed in the long and thick corridor of bone in the supra-acetabular region often referred to as the low anterior ex-fix. Pins in this location are favoured as they are more stable biomechanically. The bone tunnel for the low anterior ex-fix can be visualised with an iliac oblique projection intra-operatively. In some cases despite being outside the articular surface it may still be low enough to pass through the capsular attachment of the hip joint on the anterior inferior iliac spine. We aim to provide radiological markers for the most superior fibres of the capsule to help accurate extra-capsular pin placement within the supra-acetabular bone tunnel. Materials and Methods. Thirteen cadaveric pelves, embalmed with the method of Thiel, were used for this study. An image intensifier was positioned to acquire an iliac oblique outlet view, such that the supra acetabular bone tunnel was visualised. This was achieved by positioning the beam 30 degrees cephalad and 20 degrees medial. Both left and right hemipelves were examined in this way. A standard size metallic disc was included in all images with in the acetabulum to allow for image calibration. The proximal most fibres of the hip joint capsule were marked with a K-wire so that their relation to the bone tunnel could be clearly seen on the images. Once all images were acquired they were calibrated and analysed using ImageJ Software to estimate the height and maximum width of the bone tunnel as seen on the images and the vertical distance of the superior most fibres of the capsule from the dome of the acetabulum. Results. The mean height of the bone tunnel was 24.9 mm (SD 4.3 mm, Range 18.9–33.2 mm) and the maximum width of the tunnel was 11.7 mm (SD 2.6 mm, Range 7.6–16.3 mm). The inferior margin of the bone tunnel was on average 7.4 mm (SD 3.4 mm, Range 1.1–14.4 mm) superior to the acetabular dome and the most proximal fibres of the capsule were on average 9.2 mm (SD 2.4 mm, Range 4.7–16.1 mm) superior to the acetabular dome. This meant that on average 3.6 mm (SD 2.1 mm, Range 0.3–8.9 mm) of the inferior portion of the tunnel is within the joint. There was no statistically significant difference between the left and right sides. Conclusion. There is adequate space for two long external fixator pins within the described tunnel. These should be placed in the upper half of the anterior inferior iliac spine. Below this level there is risk of being intra-capsular which can lead to septic arthritis. For this reason we recommend that supra-acetabular pins should be placed at least 16 mm superior to the acetabular dome as visualised on the iliac oblique outlet view

Aims

Patients receiving cemented hemiarthroplasties after hip fracture have a significant risk of deep surgical site infection (SSI). Standard UK practice to minimize the risk of SSI includes the use of antibiotic-loaded bone cement with no consensus regarding type, dose, or antibiotic content of the cement. This is the protocol for a randomized clinical trial to investigate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of high dose dual antibiotic-loaded cement in comparison to low dose single antibiotic-loaded cement in patients 60 years and over receiving a cemented hemiarthroplasty for an intracapsular hip fracture.

Aims

Dual plating of distal femoral fractures with medial and lateral implants has been performed to improve construct mechanics and alignment, in cases where isolated lateral plating would be insufficient. This may potentially compromise vascularity, paradoxically impairing healing. This study investigates effects of single versus dual plating on distal femoral vascularity.

Aims

Hip fractures are associated with high morbidity, mortality, and costs. One strategy for improving outcomes is to incentivize hospitals to provide better quality of care. We aimed to determine whether a pay-for-performance initiative affected hip fracture outcomes in England by using Scotland, which did not participate in the scheme, as a control.

Objectives

Accurate characterisation of fractures is essential in fracture management trials. However, this is often hampered by poor inter-observer agreement. This article describes the practicalities of defining the fracture population, based on the Neer classification, within a pragmatic multicentre randomised controlled trial in which surgical treatment was compared with non-surgical treatment in adults with displaced fractures of the proximal humerus involving the surgical neck.

Aims

The anterior pelvic internal fixator is increasingly used for the treatment of unstable, or displaced, injuries of the anterior pelvic ring. The evidence for its use, however, is limited. The aim of this paper is to describe the indications for its use, how it is applied and its complications.

Aims

Our aim in this study was to describe the long-term survival of the native hip joint after open reduction and internal fixation of a displaced fracture of the acetabulum. We also present long-term clinical outcomes and risk factors associated with a poor outcome.

Objectives

The monitoring of fracture healing is a complex process. Typically, successive radiographs are performed and an emerging calcification of the fracture area is evaluated. The aim of this study was to investigate whether different bone healing patterns can be distinguished using a telemetric instrumented femoral internal plate fixator.

A total of 20 patients with a depressed fracture of the lateral tibial plateau (Schatzker II or III) who would undergo open reduction and internal fixation were randomised to have the metaphyseal void in the bone filled with either porous titanium granules or autograft bone. Radiographs were undertaken within one week, after six weeks, three months, six months, and after 12 months.

The primary outcome measure was recurrent depression of the joint surface: a secondary outcome was the duration of surgery.

The risk of recurrent depression of the joint surface was lower (p < 0.001) and the operating time less (p < 0.002) when titanium granules were used.

The indication is that it is therefore beneficial to use porous titanium granules than autograft bone to fill the void created by reducing a depressed fracture of the lateral tibial plateau. There is no donor site morbidity, the operating time is shorter and the risk of recurrent depression of the articular surface is less.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2015; 97-B:836–41

Fracture-dislocations of the tarsometatarsal (Lisfranc) joints are frequently overlooked or misdiagnosed at initial presentation. This is a comparative cohort study over a period of five years comparing primary open reduction and internal fixation in 22 patients (23 feet) with secondary corrective arthrodesis in 22 patients (22 feet) who presented with painful malunion at a mean of 22 months (1.5 to 45) after injury. In the first group primary treatment by open reduction and internal fixation for eight weeks with Kirschner-wires or screws was undertaken, in the second group treatment was by secondary corrective arthrodesis. There was one deep infection in the first group. In the delayed group there was one complete and one partial nonunion.

In each group 20 patients were available for follow-up at a mean of 36 months (24 to 89) after operation. The mean American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society midfoot score was 81.4 (62 to 100) after primary treatment and 71.8 (35 to 88) after corrective arthrodesis (t-test; p = 0.031).

We conclude that primary treatment by open reduction and internal fixation of tarsometatarsal fracture-dislocations leads to improved functional results, earlier return to work and greater patient satisfaction than secondary corrective arthrodesis, which remains a useful salvage procedure providing significant relief of pain and improvement in function.