Aims. Spinal tuberculosis (TB) remains an important concern. Although spinal TB often has sequelae such as myelopathy after treatment, the predictive factors affecting such unfavourable outcomes are not yet established. We investigated the clinical manifestations and predictors of unfavourable treatment outcomes in patients with spinal TB. Patients and Methods. We performed a multicentre retrospective cohort study of patients with spinal TB. Unfavourable outcome was defined according to previous studies. The prognostic factors for unfavourable outcomes as the primary outcome were determined using multivariable logistic regression analysis and a linear mixed model was used to compare time course of inflammatory markers during treatment. A total of 185 patients were included, of whom 59 patients had unfavourable outcomes. Results. In multivariate regression analysis, the factors associated with unfavourable outcome were old age (odds ratio (OR) 2.51; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07 to 5.86; p = 0.034), acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear positivity in specimens obtained through biopsy (OR 3.05; 95% CI 1.06 to 8.80; p = 0.039), and elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) at the end of treatment (OR 3.85; 95% CI 1.62 to 9.13; p = 0.002). Patients with unfavourable outcomes had a significant trend toward higher ESR during treatment compared with patients with favourable outcome (p = 0.009). Duration of anti-TB and surgical treatment did not affect prognosis. Conclusion. Elevated ESR at the end of treatment could be used as a marker to identify spinal TB patients with a poor prognosis. Patients whose ESR is not normalized during treatment, as well as those with old age and AFB smear positivity, should be aware of unfavourable outcomes. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2019;101-B:1542–1549

We reviewed 87 patients who had undergone expansive cervical laminoplasty between 1999 and 2005. These were divided into two groups: those who had diabetes mellitus and those who did not. There were 31 patients in the diabetes group and 56 in the control group. Although a significant improvement in the Japanese Orthopaedic Association score was seen in both groups, the post-operative recovery rate in the control group was better than that of the diabetic group. The patients’ age and symptom duration adversely affected the rate of recovery in the diabetic group only. Smoking did not affect the outcome in either group. A logistic regression analysis found diabetes and signal changes in the spinal cord on MRI to be significant risk factors for a poor outcome (odds ratio 2.86, 3.02, respectively). Furthermore, the interaction of diabetes with smoking and/or age increased this risk.

We conclude that diabetes mellitus, or the interaction of this with old age, can adversely affect outcome after cervical laminoplasty. However, smoking alone cannot be regarded as a risk factor.

Aims. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with poor outcome following coccygectomy on patients with chronic coccydynia and instability of the coccyx. Methods. From the Danish National Spine Registry, DaneSpine, 134 consecutive patients were identified from a single centre who had coccygectomy from 2011 to 2019. Patient demographic data and patient-reported outcomes, including pain measured on a visual analogue scale (VAS), Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), EuroQol five-dimension five-level questionnaire, and 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey questionnaire (SF-36) were obtained at baseline and at one-year follow-up. Patient satisfaction was obtained at follow-up. Regression analysis, including age, sex, smoking status, BMI, duration of symptoms, work status, welfare payment, preoperative VAS, ODI, and SF-36 was performed to identify factors associated with dissatisfaction with results at one-year follow-up. Results. A minimum of one year follow-up was available in 112 patients (84%). Mean age was 41.9 years (15 to 78) and 97 of the patients were female (87%). Regression showed no statistically significant association between the investigated prognostic factors and a poor outcome following coccygectomy. The satisfied group showed a statistically significant improvement in patient-reported outcomes at one-year follow-up from baseline, whereas the dissatisfied group did not show a significant improvement. Conclusion. We did not identify factors associated with poor outcome following coccygectomy. This suggests that neither of the included parameters should be considered contraindications for coccygectomy in patients with chronic coccydynia and instability of the coccyx. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2021;2(7):540–544

Aims. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic factors for postoperative neurological recovery and survival in patients with complete paralysis due to neoplastic epidural spinal cord compression. Patients and Methods. The medical records of 135 patients with complete paralysis due to neoplastic cord compression were retrospectively reviewed. Potential factors including the timing of surgery, muscular tone, and tumour characteristics were analyzed in relation to neurological recovery using logistical regression analysis. The association between neurological recovery and survival was analyzed using a Cox model. A nomogram was formulated to predict recovery. Results. A total of 52 patients (38.5%) achieved American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) D or E recovery postoperatively. The timing of surgery (p = 0.003) was found to be significant in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, surgery within one week was associated with better neurological recovery than surgery within three weeks (p = 0.002), with a trend towards being associated with a better neurological recovery than surgery within one to two weeks (p = 0.597) and two to three weeks (p = 0.055). Age (p = 0.039) and muscle tone (p = 0.018) were also significant predictors. In Cox regression analysis, good neurological recovery (p = 0.004), benign tumours (p = 0.039), and primary tumours (p = 0.005) were associated with longer survival. Calibration graphs showed that the nomogram did well with an ideal model. The bootstrap-corrected C-index for neurological recovery was 0.72. Conclusion. In patients with complete paralysis due to neoplastic spinal cord compression, whose treatment is delayed for more than 48 hours from the onset of symptoms, surgery within one week is still beneficial. Surgery undertaken at this time may still offer neurological recovery and longer survival. The identification of the association between these factors and neurological recovery may help guide treatment for these patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2019;101-B:872–879

Background. Clinical guidelines recommend epidural steroid injection (ESI) as a treatment option for severe disc-related sciatica, but there is considerable uncertainty about its effectiveness. Currently, we know very little about factors that might be associated with good or poor outcomes from ESI. The aim of this systematic review was to synthesize and appraise the evidence investigating prognostic factors associated with outcomes following ESI for patients with imaging confirmed disc-related sciatica. Methods. The search strategy involved the electronic databases Medline, Embase, CINAHL Plus, PsycINFO and reference lists of eligible studies. Selected papers were quality appraised independently by two reviewers using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Between study heterogeneity precluded statistical pooling of results. Results. 2726 citations were identified; 11 studies were eligible. Overall study quality was low with all judged to have moderate or high risk of bias. Forty-five prognostic factors were identified but were measured inconsistently. The most commonly assessed prognostic factors were related to pain and function (n=7 studies), imaging features (n=6 studies), health and lifestyle (n=5 studies), patient demographics (n=4 studies) and clinical assessment findings (n=4 studies). No prognostic factor was found to be consistently associated with outcomes following ESI. Most studies found no association or results that conflicted with other studies. Conclusions. There is little, and low quality, evidence to guide practice in terms of factors that predict outcomes in patients following ESI for disc-related sciatica. The results can help inform some of the decisions about potential prognostic factors that should be assessed in future well-designed prospective cohort studies. Conflicts of interest: No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding: This study is supported by Health Education England and the National Institute for Health Research (HEE/ NIHR ICA Programme Clinical Lectureship, Dr Siobhan Stynes, NIHR300441). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the National Institute for Health Research or the Department of Health and Social Care

Aims. The aim of this study was to report the long-term prognosis of patients with multiple Langerhans cell histiocytosis (LCH) involving the spine, and to analyze the risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS). Methods. We included 28 patients with multiple LCH involving the spine treated between January 2009 and August 2021. Kaplan-Meier methods were applied to estimate overall survival (OS) and PFS. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify variables associated with PFS. Results. Patients with multiple LCH involving the spine accounted for 15.4% (28/182 cases) of all cases of spinal LCH: their lesions primarily involved the thoracic and lumbar spines. The most common symptom was pain, followed by neurological dysfunction. All patients presented with osteolytic bone destruction, and 23 cases were accompanied by a paravertebral soft-tissue mass. The incidence of vertebra plana was low, whereas the oversleeve-like sign was a more common finding. The alkaline phosphatase was significantly higher in patients with single-system multifocal bone LCH than in patients with multisystem LCH. At final follow-up, one patient had been lost to follow-up, two patients had died, three patients had local recurrence, six patients had distant involvement, and 17 patients were alive with disease. The median PFS and OS were 50.5 months (interquartile range (IQR) 23.5 to 63.1) and 60.5 months (IQR 38.0 to 73.3), respectively. Stage (hazard ratio (HR) 4.324; p < 0.001) and chemotherapy (HR 0.203; p < 0.001) were prognostic factors for PFS. Conclusion. Pain is primarily due to segmental instability of the spine from its destruction by LCH. Chemotherapy can significantly improve PFS, and radiotherapy has achieved good results in local control. The LCH lesions in some patients will continue to progress. It may initially appear as an isolated or single-system LCH, but will gradually involve multiple sites or systems. Therefore, long-term follow-up and timely intervention are important for patients with spinal LCH. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2023;105-B(6):679–687

Background. Low back pain can lead to neuroplastic changes in the central nervous system, known as nociplastic pain. As nociplastic pain may be provoked by premorbid sensory profiles, such profiles may be prognostic in the development of nociplastic pain over time. Objectives. To investigate whether four sensory profiles are prognostic in the development of symptoms of nociplastic pain in people with acute low back pain. Methods. A longitudinal type 2 prognostic factor research study was performed in accordance with the PROGRESS framework, using a baseline and a follow-up after 12 weeks, between the Adolescent/Adult Sensory Profile and the Central Sensitisation Inventory. Study participants were consecutively included from primary care physiotherapy practices randomly spread throughout the Netherlands. A multivariable regression analysis was performed to adjust sensory profiles by the level of pain, disability, age, and duration of low back pain. Results. After adjustment Low Registration B=0.41, 95%CI (0.37, 0.99), Sensory Seeking B=0.37, 95%CI (0.24, 0.73), Sensory Sensitive B=0.51, 95%CI (0.50, 1.06), Sensation Avoiding B=0.46, 95%CI (0.43, 0.99) were significantly associated with the development of nociplastic pain symptoms. Conclusion. Sensory profiles in people with acute low back pain predict symptoms of nociplastic pain after 12 weeks. Conflict of interest: No conflict of interest. Sources of funding: No funding obtained

Background. FORECAST is a prospective longitudinal cohort study exploring mechanism-based prognostic factors for pain persistence in sciatica. Here, we share an update on this largest deeply-phenotyped primary care sciatica cohort. Methods/results. Our cohort includes 180 people with sciatica (score >4 on Stynes’ Sum Score), aged 18–85, within 3 months of symptom onset. Psychosocial factors, self-reported sensory profiling, clinical examination, quantitative sensory testing (QST), biological samples (blood and skin samples), and Magnetic Resonance Neurography of lumbar nerve roots were collected at baseline. Pain persistence was determined at three and twelve months with the Sciatica Bothersomeness Index (SBI) and a numeric pain rating scale (NRS) as primary outcomes. Recruitment nears completion, with 160 participants enrolled to date. 127 and 96 participants have completed 3 and 12 months follow-up respectively. Overall, 56% of our cohort are female, with a mean age (SD) of 54.14yrs (16.57). Ethnicity data approximates local populations. SBI at baseline was (median [IQR]) 13[10-17], and interim longitudinal data shows stepwise improvement at 3 and 12 months. Baseline ‘average’ pain intensity was 5.56 (2.15) for leg pain, and 4.14(2.82) for low back pain (LBP). Overall, pain scores decreased at 3 and 12 months, with greater reductions in leg pain than LBP at 12 months. However, around 55–80% and 40–65% of people reported persistent pain at 3 and 12 months respectively. Conclusion. Leg pain severity was moderate and higher than LBP at baseline. All primary outcome measures demonstrate improvement over time, however 40–65% of patients report persistent pain at 12 months. Conflicts of interest. LR: Paid facilitation of post-graduate courses internationally. SK, MT, FP, KM, WS, CP, CR, SC: No conflicts of interest. GC: Editor in Chief of Health Psychology Review. Director of board of directors, MentalCHealth Care setting NoordWestVlaanderen. JF: Copyright holder of ODI (Oswestry Disability Index). Served on a data monitoring committee for a clinical trial of 2 different surgical approaches to cervical disc herniation (FORVAD). Member of HTA Prioritisation Committee B: Inside hospital Care from 2015-February 2019. Member of HTA Interventional Procedures Panel from 2010–2015. Trustee and board member of 3 spine related charities – Back to Back; British Scoliosis Research Foundation and BackCare. Expert instructed by both claimant and defendant solicitors in negligence and person injury cases. GB: Paid consultancy (RNA-seq) with Ivy Farm and Coding.bio. ABS: Paid post-graduate lecturing internationally. Co-chair NeupSig sciatica working group (unpaid). Sources of funding. This project is funded by UKRI and Versus Arthritis as part of the UKRI Strategic Priorities Fund (SPF) Advanced Pain Discovery Platform (APDP), a co-funded initiative by UKRI (MRC, BBSRC, ESRC), Versus Arthritis, the Medical Research Foundation and Eli Lilly and Company Ltd (Grant MR/W027003/1). Additional funding has been received from the back to back charity to expand longitudinal components of the study. LR has received support with PhD fees from the CSP charitable trust. ABS is supported by a Wellcome Trust Clinical Career Development Fellowship. (222101/Z/20/Z). WS is partly funded through the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre at the South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London. FP is funded by a Dorothy Hodgkin Career Development Fellowship in Chemistry in association with Somerville College. GB is supported by the Wellcome Trust (223149/Z/21/Z) and Diabetes UK (19/0005984). GC and KRM are partly funded by UKRI and Versus Arthritis as part of the Advanced Pain Discovery Platform (APDP) PAINSTORM (MR/W002388/1). The UKRI and Versus Arhthritis (APDP) are the major funders of FORECAST. All other funders provided either some people support, or funded projects with legacy data that we reuse

Purpose and background. There is lacking evidence about the prognostic role of anxiety as prognostic in acute low back pain patients. The objective of this study was to determine whether patients with acute low back pain (ALBP) are at risk to develop chronic low back pain (CLBP) and pain-related disability after 12 weeks due to high anxiety levels. Methods and results. An observational multi-centre study was conducted in primary physiotherapy care with measurements at baseline and at 12 weeks including known prognostic factors and psychological candidate predictors for CLBP. Two hundred and four participants completed both assessments of which 51 and 54 were classified as having less than 50% decrease in pain and pain-related disability, respectively. For pain, the final model contained higher pain intensity, longer pain duration, depression symptoms, and state anxiety with explained variance 0.30, sensitivity 0.74, specificity 0.82, Likelihood Ratio 4.1 (95% CI 2.0 to 6.1) and Area Under the Curve 0.78 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.85). For pain-related disability, trait anxiety, depression symptoms, and state anxiety contributed independently to the prediction with the model's explained variance of 0.19, sensitivity 0.78, specificity 0.78, Likelihood Ratio 3.0 (95% CI 2.0 to 4.5), and Area Under the Curve 0.73 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.81). Conclusion. State anxiety in patients with ALBP is an independent predictor of CLBP at 12 weeks after baseline in primary physiotherapy care and should be measured, in addition to known prognostic factors and depression symptoms, in order to intervene and potentially decrease duration of complaints. No conflict of interest. No funding obtained

Background. There is a paucity of prognosis research in patients with neuropathic low back-related leg pain (LBLP) in primary care. Purpose. To investigate the clinical course and prognostic factors in primary care LBLP patients consulting with neuropathic pain (NP). Methods. LBLP patients in a primary-care cohort study (n=606) completed the self-report version of Leeds Assessment for Neurological Symptoms and Signs (s-LANSS, score of ≥12 indicates possible NP) at baseline and 4-months. Mixed effects models compared pain-intensity (highest of mean leg or mean back pain - 0–10 NRS at baseline, 4-months, 12-months and 3-years) between those with persistent NP (s-LANSS ≥12 at baseline and 4-months) and those without (s-LANSS ≥12 at baseline and <12 at 4-months). Univariable and multivariable binary logistic regression examined association between potential prognostic factors (chosen from baseline self-report questionnaires, clinical examination, MRI scan findings) and persistent NP. Multiple imputation was used to account for missing data. Results. 44% (72/164) of patients with NP at baseline had persistent NP at 4-months. Mean pain intensity of patients with persistent NP was higher at 4-months, 12-months and 3-years compared to those without. In univariable analysis, only pain self-efficacy was significantly associated with persistent NP (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.96 to 0.998). In multivariable analysis, none of the 7 investigated factors were significantly associated with persistent NP. Conclusion. Patients with persistent NP were consistently worse-off up to 3-years follow-up compared to those without. It was difficult to identify those patients with NP at baseline who would have persistent NP at 4-months. No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding: Sarah Harrisson is a Clinical Doctoral Fellow funded through a National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Research Professorship for Nadine Foster (NIHR-RP-011-015). Nadine Foster is a NIHR Senior Investigator. Kika Konstantinou is supported by a Higher Education Funding Council for England/ National Institute for Health Research Senior Clinical Lectureship. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s), not necessarily those of the NHS, NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. This work relates to an Education and Continued Professional Development (level 2) award by the Musculoskeletal Association of Chartered Physiotherapists to Sarah Harrisson (June 2016)

Introduction. Pain is an expected and appropriate experience following traumatic musculoskeletal injury. By contrast, chronic pain and disability are unhelpful yet common sequelae of trauma-related injuries. Presently, the mechanisms that underlie the transition from acute to chronic disabling post-traumatic pain are not fully understood. The aim of this study is to identify prognostic factors for risk of developing chronic pain and disability following acute musculoskeletal trauma. Methods. A prospective observational study will recruit two temporally staggered cohorts (n=250 each cohort; 10 cases per candidate predictor) of consecutive acute musculoskeletal trauma patients aged ≥16 years, who are emergency admissions into a Major Trauma Centre in the United Kingdom, with an episode inception defined as the traumatic event. The first cohort will identify prognostic factors to develop a screening tool to predict development of chronic and disabling pain, and the second will allow evaluation of the predictive performance of the tool (validation). The outcome being predicted is an individual's absolute risk of poor outcome measured at 6-months follow-up using the Chronic Pain Grade Scale (poor outcome ≥Grade II). Candidate predictors encompass the four primary mechanisms of pain: nociceptive (e.g. injury characteristics), neuropathic (e.g. painDETECT), inflammatory (biomarkers), and central hypersensitivity (e.g. quantitative sensory testing). Concurrently, patient-reported outcome measures will assess general health and psychosocial factors. Risk of poor outcome will be calculated using multiple variable regression analysis. Conclusion. A prognostic screening tool for post-trauma pain will inform precision rehabilitation, targeting interventions to individual patients to improve clinical and cost effectiveness. Conflicts of interest: None. Sources of funding: NIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiology Research Centre

Objectives. Although vertebroplasty is very effective for relieving acute pain from an osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture, not all patients who undergo vertebroplasty receive the same degree of benefit from the procedure. In order to identify the ideal candidate for vertebroplasty, pre-operative prognostic demographic or clinico-radiological factors need to be identified. The objective of this study was to identify the pre-operative prognostic factors related to the effect of vertebroplasty on acute pain control using a cohort of surgically and non-surgically managed patients. Patients and Methods. Patients with single-level acute osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture at thoracolumbar junction (T10 to L2) were followed. If the patients were not satisfied with acute pain reduction after a three-week conservative treatment, vertebroplasty was recommended. Pain assessment was carried out at the time of diagnosis, as well as three, four, six, and 12 weeks after the diagnosis. The effect of vertebroplasty, compared with conservative treatment, on back pain (visual analogue score, VAS) was analysed with the use of analysis-of-covariance models that adjusted for pre-operative VAS scores. Results. A total of 342 patients finished the 12-week follow-up, and 120 patients underwent vertebroplasty (35.1%). The effect of vertebroplasty over conservative treatment was significant regardless of age, body mass index, medical comorbidity, previous fracture, pain duration, bone mineral density, degree of vertebral body compression, and canal encroachment. However, the effect of vertebroplasty was not significant at all time points in patients with increased sagittal vertical axis. Conclusions. For single-level acute osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures, the effect of vertebroplasty was less favourable in patients with increased sagittal vertical axis (> 5 cm) possible due to aggravation of kyphotic stress from walking imbalance. Cite this article: Y-C. Kim, D. H. Bok, H-G. Chang, S. W. Kim, M. S. Park, J. K. Oh, J. Kim, T-H. Kim. Increased sagittal vertical axis is associated with less effective control of acute pain following vertebroplasty. Bone Joint Res 2016;5:544–551. DOI: 10.1302/2046-3758.511.BJR-2016-0135.R1

Purpose of study and background. This study aimed to investigate if the PD-Q classification was predictive of outcomes at 3 and 12-months follow-up in LBP patients with associated leg pain. Identification of clinically important subgroups and targeted treatment is believed to be important in low back pain (LBP) care. The PainDETECT Questionnaire (PD-Q) is designed to classify whether a person has neuropathic pain, based on their self-reported pain characteristics. However, it is unknown whether this classification is a prognostic factor and/or predicts treatment response. Method and results. 145 participants were recruited in secondary care. Inclusion criteria were 3-12 months LBP and leg pain. Baseline PD-Q scores classified participants into three groups (likely to have neuropathic pain, uncertain, unlikely) but did not affect treatment decisions. The outcome measures were LBP, leg pain, activity limitation and self-reported general health. Scores were compared between those with ‘likely’ neuropathic pain (neuropathic group) and ‘unlikely’ (non-neuropathic group), using Mann-Whitney, Friedman and Chi Square tests. At baseline, the neuropathic group had worse scores on all outcome measures, and analgesic use, sick leave, sense of coherence and psychological profile (p=.000 to .044). At 3-months and 12-months both groups improved (p=.001 to .032). However, the groups remained different at each time point on all outcome measures (p=.000 to .033) except LBP (p=.054 to .214). Conclusions. The PD-Q classification was a prognostic factor but was not predictive of response to generic care. Further studies should investigate whether PD-Q groups are predictive of response to neuropathic pain targeted treatment

Introduction. The main challenge in management of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) is to predict which curve will progress so that appropriate treatment can be given. We previously reported that low bone mineral density (BMD) was one of the adverse prognostic factors for AIS. With advancement in imaging technology, quantitative ultrasound (QUS) becomes a useful method to assess bone density and bone quality. The objective of this study was to assess the role of QUS as a radiation-free method to predict curve progression in AIS. Methods. 294 girls with AIS were recruited at ages 11–16 years and followed up until skeletal maturity. 269 age-matched healthy girls were recruited as controls. They provided the normal reference for calculation of Z score for QUS parameters. QUS measurements, including BUA (broadband ultrasound attenuation), VOS (velocity of sound) and SI (stiffness index) of the calcaneum, BMD of femoral neck, menarche history, ages, and Cobb angle of the major curve were recorded at baseline as independent variables. The predictive outcome was curve progression defined as an increase of Cobb angle of 6° or more. Logistic regression model and the ROC curve were used for statistical analysis. Results. Mean follow-up was 3·4 years (SD 1·57). At baseline, mean age was 13·4 years (1·23), 73 (24·8%) patients were premenarchal, and mean Cobb angle was 26·3° (SD 8·2°). 202 (68·7%), 194 (66%), and 202 (68·7%) of patients with AIS had Z score of BUA, VOS, and SI of 0 or less, respectively. Initial univariate analysis indicated all independent variables had p values less than 0.2. Logistic regression analysis indicated that the p values of their regression coefficients were: age (p<0·001), menarchal status (p<0·001), Cobb angle (p=0·008), BMD (p=0·084), BUA (p=0·722), VOS (p=0·112), and SI (p=0·027). SI, age, menarchal status, and Cobb angle were therefore included in the final prediction equation. The adjusted odds ratio for Z score of SI of 0 or less was 2·00 (95% CI 1·08–3·71). The area under the ROC curve was 0·831(95% CI 0·785–0·877). The predictive model had a sensitivity of 0·847 and a specificity of 0·665 at a probability cutoff of 0·368. Conclusions. We recorded evidence of deranged bone density and bone quality in AIS, as indicated by QUS investigation. SI is an independent and significant prognostic factor for AIS. It can be used as a radiation-free parameter to predict curve progression in combination with initial Cobb angle, age, and menarchal status, especially when DXA is not available. Acknowledgments. This study is supported by Research Grant Council—The government of HKSAR (project number CUHK4498/06M)

Background:. Low Back Pain and Neck Pain rank 1 and 4 on the causes of years lost to disability (YLDs) in the UK. Treatment options are broad including popular approaches such as chiropractic care but with NHS funding limited to recent initiatives such as Any Qualified Provider (AQP). Method:. Eleven chiropractic practices with AQP contracts took part in the study. As part of routine clinical practice, patients are entered onto a web based patient reported outcome system that sends automated e mails links to questionnaires, prior to the initial visit (includes the Bournemouth Questionnaire (BQ) and STarT Back, and at 14, 30 and 90 days (BQ and Patient Global Impression of Change (PGIC)). Data from subjects consenting for such use were used in the analysis. Results:. Three thousand three hundred thirty nine patients filled out baseline questionnaires, one third of which were NHS. Response rates at 90 days were 33 and 23% in NHS and private groups respectively. NHS referral status was associated with reduced adjusted odds only at 14 days whereas at 30 and 90 days referral groups were equally likely to have improved. Chronicity, lower baseline BQ scores and not improved at previous follow up points were associated with poor recovery. High-risk STarT Back patients were associated with poorer recovery compared to low risk patients but only in the NHS group. Conclusion:. Factors predicting favourable outcomes were similar between NHS and private groups. At most only 35% of the variance was explained with dominance from non-modifiable prognostic factors

Aims

Gram-negative infections are associated with comorbid patients, but outcomes are less well understood. This study reviewed diagnosis, management, and treatment for a cohort treated in a tertiary spinal centre.

Aims

The aim of this study was to determine whether early surgical treatment results in better neurological recovery 12 months after injury than late surgical treatment in patients with acute traumatic spinal cord injury (tSCI).

Study Purpose. To review systematically review literature on the early diagnosis of spinal metastases and prediction of spinal cord compression (SCC) due to spinal metastases. Methods and results. From 13 electronic bibliographic databases were searched we identified 2,425 potentially relevant articles of which 31 met the inclusion criteria. These were quality appraised. Seventeen studies reported retrospective data, 10 were prospective studies, and three were other study designs. There was one systematic review. There were no randomised controlled trials. There were approximately 7,900 participants in the included studies and 5,782 participants were analysed. The sample sizes ranged from 41 to 859. Cancers reported were: lung alone (n=3); prostate alone (n=6); breast alone (n=7); mixed cancers (n=13); and unclear (n=1). Ninety-three prognostic factors were identified as potentially significant in predicting risk of SCC or collapse. Many of the included studies provided limited information about patient population and selection criteria and they varied in methodological quality, rigour and transparency. Several studies with mixed case populations identified type of cancer (e.g. breast, lung or prostate cancer) as a significant factor in predicting SCC, but determining the risk differential is difficult because of residual bias in studies. Overall the quality of the research was poor. The only predictors identified for SCC were number of spinal metastases, duration of disease, total disease burden and immediate symptomatology of cord involvement. Conclusion. It is disappointing that no factors other than duration, disease burden, and immediate symptomatology predict SCC. Early appropriate identification remains a clinical challenge

To assess how effective are the prognostic scores and the role of delayed presentation in predicting the outcomes in patients with metastatic spine disease. Retrospectively data collected from December 2006 to December 2009. Medical records review included types of tumours, duration of symptoms, duration from referral to definitive treatment, expected survival, functional status before and after treatment. Karnofsky performance score and Modified Tokuhashi were used. Results: 50 patients underwent surgical stabilisation for metastatic spine disease with or with out cord compression. Age ranged from 39 to 87 years (Avg: 64). Patients had four main types of tumours; (Myeloma 30%, Lymphoma 22% Lung CA 16% and Renal 12 %). Inpatients without cord compression, the average time from referral to definitive treatment is 17 days. Over all fictional status improved in 70% of cases following surgical intervention. Patients who presented with cord compression had surgery with in 49 hours. Patients with high prognostic scores did not survive as long as expected. On the contrary, patients with poor prognostic scores survived longer than expected. This discrepancy is significant in patients with lung and renal malignancies. Patients with Myeloma did well as per the prognostic scores. Prognostic scores are not uniformly effective in all types of malignancies. Factors like delayed presentation and general condition were not included in the prognostic factors. Hence, we conclude that we cannot make a decision purely based on the prognostic scores to perform either palliative or definitive surgery

Purpose. To compare the contribution of physical, psychological and social indicators to predicting disability after one year between consulters with low back pain (LBP) of less than 3 months duration and more than 3 months duration. Methods. Data from two large prospective cohort studies of consecutive patients consulting with LBP in general practices were merged, with disability measured by the Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ). There were complete data for 258 cases with acute/subacute LBP and 668 cases with chronic LBP at 12 months follow-up. Univariate and adjusted multivariate regression analyses of various potential prognostic indicators for disability at 12 months were carried out. Results. There were significant differences between those with acute/subacute versus chronic LBP with regard to baseline characteristics and clinical course of disability during the year of follow-up. The final multivariate regression models, adjusting for baseline disability scores, age, gender, and study sample, showed that being non-employed, having widespread pain, a high level of Chronic Pain Grade, and catastrophising were the strongest prognostic indicators for disability at 12 months in both those with acute/subacute and those with chronic LBP. Fear of pain was significantly associated with disability in chronic LBP but not in acute/subacute LBP. Conclusion. Despite significant differences between acute/subacute and chronic LBP in baseline characteristics and clinical course over one year, a similar set of prognostic indicators influence long-term disability in both groups. This provides further evidence that chronicity is determined early in an episode of LBP and highlights again the potential for prevention if these prognostic factors can be systematically identified and targeted