Aims. This study aimed to investigate the risk of postoperative complications in COVID-19-positive patients undergoing common orthopaedic procedures. Methods. Using the
Total knee and hip arthroplasty (TKA and THA) are two of the highest volume and resource intensive surgical procedures. Key drivers of the cost of surgical care are duration of surgery (DOS) and postoperative inpatient length of stay (LOS). The ability to predict TKA and THA DOS and LOS has substantial implications for hospital finances, scheduling and resource allocation. The goal of this study was to predict DOS and LOS for elective unilateral TKAs and THAs using machine learning models (MLMs) constructed on preoperative patient factors using a large North American database. The American College of Surgeons (ACS) National Surgical and Quality Improvement (NSQIP) database was queried for elective unilateral TKA and THA procedures from 2014-2019. The dataset was split into training, validation and testing based on year. Multiple conventional and deep MLMs such as linear, tree-based and multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) were constructed. The models with best performance on the validation set were evaluated on the testing set. Models were evaluated according to 1) mean squared error (MSE), 2) buffer accuracy (the number of times the predicted target was within a predesignated buffer of the actual target), and 3) classification accuracy (the number of times the correct class was predicted by the models). To ensure useful predictions, the results of the models were compared to a mean regressor. A total of 499,432 patients (TKA 302,490; THA 196,942) were included. The MLP models had the best MSEs and accuracy across both TKA and THA patients. During testing, the TKA MSEs for DOS and LOS were 0.893 and 0.688 while the THA MSEs for DOS and LOS were 0.895 and 0.691. The TKA DOS 30-minute buffer accuracy and ≤120 min, >120 min classification accuracy were 78.8% and 88.3%, while the TKA LOS 1-day buffer accuracy and ≤2 days, >2 days classification accuracy were 75.2% and 76.1%. The THA DOS 30-minute buffer accuracy and ≤120 min, >120 min classification accuracy were 81.6% and 91.4%, while the THA LOS 1-day buffer accuracy and ≤2 days, >2 days classification accuracy were 78.3% and 80.4%. All models across both TKA and THA patients were more accurate than the mean regressors for both DOS and LOS predictions across both buffer and classification accuracies. Conventional and deep MLMs have been effectively implemented to predict the DOS and LOS of elective unilateral TKA and THA patients based on preoperative patient factors using a large North American database with a high level of accuracy. Future work should include using operational factors to further refine these models and improve predictive accuracy. Results of this work will allow institutions to optimize their resource allocation, reduce costs and improve surgical scheduling. Acknowledgements:. The American College of Surgeons
Total hip arthroplasty (THA) is performed under general anesthesia (GA) or spinal anesthesia (SA). The first objective of this study was to determine which patient factors are associated with receiving SA versus GA. The second objective was to discern the effect of anesthesia type on short-term postoperative complications and readmission. The third objective was to elucidate factors that impact the effect of anesthesia type on outcome following arthroplasty. This retrospective cohort study included 108,905 patients (median age, 66 years; IQR 60-73 years; 56.0% females) who underwent primary THA for treatment of primary osteoarthritis in the American College of Surgeons
This study was designed to compare atypical hip fractures with a matched cohort of standard hip fractures to evaluate the difference in outcomes. Patients from the American College of Surgeons
To describe the longitudinal trends in patients with obesity and Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) undergoing TKA and the associated impact on complications and lengths of hospital stay. We identified patients who underwent primary TKA between 2006 – 2017 within the American College of Surgeons
Delayed management of high energy femoral shaft fractures is associated with increased complication rates. It has been suggested that there is less urgency to stabilize lower energy femoral shaft fractures. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of surgical delay on 30-day complications following fixation of lower energy femoral shaft fractures. Patients ≥ 18 years who underwent either plate or nail fixation of low energy (falls from standing or up to three steps' height) femoral shaft fractures from 2005 – 2016 were identified from the American College of Surgeons
Resident involvement in the operating room is a vital component of their medical education. Conflicting and limited research exists regarding the effects of surgical resident participation on spine surgery patient outcomes. Our objective was to determine the effect of resident involvement on surgery duration, length of hospital stay and 30-day post-operative complication rates. This study was a multicenter retrospective analysis of the prospectively collected American College of Surgeons
Increased operative time has been previously identified as a risk factor for complications following total joint arthroplasty. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the influence of surgical time on 30-day complications following Total Knee Arthroplasty (TKA) and to determine if there were specific time intervals associated with worse outcomes. The American College of Surgeons
Distal radius fractures are the most common adult fractures, yet there remains some uncertainty surrounding optimal treatment modalities. Recently, the rate of operative treatment of these injuries has been increasing, however, predictors of outcomes in patients treated surgically remain poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to evaluate independent predictors of 30-day readmission and complications following internal fixation of distal radius fractures. Patients ≥18 years who underwent surgical intervention for distal radius fractures between 2005 and 2016 were identified from the American College of Surgeons
The objective of this paper is to demonstrate the difference in post-operative complication rates between Computer-assisted surgery (CAS) and conventional techniques in spine surgery. Several studies have shown that the accuracy of pedicle screw placement significantly improves with use of CAS. Yet, few studies have compared the incidence of post-operative complications between CAS and conventional techniques. The American College of Surgeons
Recent studies have described safe outcomes for short-stays in the hospital after total shoulder arthroplasty. The purpose of this study is to identify pre-operative and operative risk factors for hospital admissions exceeding 24 hours. The American College of Surgeons
Malnutrition is an important consideration during the perioperative period and albumin is the most common laboratory surrogate for nutritional status. The purpose of this study is to identify if preoperative serum albumin measurements are predictive of infection following arthroscopic procedures. Patients undergoing knee, shoulder or hip arthroscopy between 2006–2016 were identified in the American College of Surgeons
This study was designed to compare length of hospital stay, and 30-day major and minor complications between patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA) with general anesthesia, to those undergoing TKA with spinal or epidural anesthesia with or without regional nerve blocks. Patients 18 years and older undergoing TKA between the years of 2005 and 2016 were identified from the American College of Surgeons
Background. Standard preoperative protocols in total joint arthroplasty utilize the International Normalized Ratio (INR) to determine patient coagulation profiles. However, the relevance of preoperative INR values in joint arthroplasty remains controversial. Acceptable INR cutoff values for joint replacement are inconsistent, and are often based on studies of primary arthroplasty, or even non-orthopedic procedures. This analysis examined the relationship between preoperative INR values and post-operative outcomes in revision total hip arthroplasty (rTHA). Optimal cutoff INR values correlated with specific outcomes were subsequently determined. Methods. The American College of Surgeons
Previous studies have indicated that prolonged surgical time may lead to higher rates of infection following total hip arthroplasty (THA). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the influence of surgical time on 30-day complications following THA and to determine if there was a time interval associated with worse outcomes. Patients ≥18 years who underwent THA between 2005 and 2016 were identified from the American College of Surgeons
Over 300,000 total hip arthroplasties (THA) are performed annually in the USA. Surgical Site Infections (SSI) are one of the most common complications and are associated with increased morbidity, mortality and cost. Risk factors for SSI include obesity, diabetes and smoking, but few studies have reported on the predictive value of pre-operative blood markers for SSI. The purpose of this study was to create a clinical prediction model for acute SSI (classified as either superficial, deep and overall) within 30 days of THA based on commonly ordered pre-operative lab markers and using data from the American College of Surgeons
Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is the most commonly performed elective orthopaedic procedure. With an increasingly aging population, the number of TKAs performed is expected to be ∼2,900 per 100,000 by 2050. Surgical Site Infections (SSI) after TKA can have significant morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study was to construct a risk prediction model for acute SSI (classified as either superficial, deep and overall) within 30 days of a TKA based on commonly ordered pre-operative blood markers and using audited administrative data from the American College of Surgeons
Hemorrhage and transfusion requirements in spine surgery are common. This is especially true for thoracic and lumbar fusion surgeries. The purpose of this papersi to determine predictive factors for transfusion and their effect on short-term post-operative outcomes for thoracic and lumbar fusions. The American College of Surgeons
Cervical spine fusion have gained interest in the literature since these procedures are now ever more frequently being performed in an outpatient setting with few complications and acceptable results. The purpose of this study was to assess the rate of blood transfusion after cervical fusion surgery, and its effect, if any on complication rates. The American College of Surgeons
Computer assisted surgery (CAS) has gained popularity in orthopaedics for both total knee (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) in the past decades as a stereotactic device that provides the surgeon with real-time feedback on implant position based on electromagnetic or infrared based instruments. The purpose of this study was to assess the effect of CAS on 30-day complication rates following THA and TKA. The American College of Surgeons