Aims. Current levels of hip fracture morbidity contribute greatly to the overall burden on health and social care services. Given the anticipated ageing of the population over the coming decade, there is potential for this burden to increase further, although the exact scale of impact has not been identified in contemporary literature. We therefore set out to predict the future incidence of hip fracture and help inform appropriate service provision to maintain an adequate standard of care. Methods. Historical data from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit (2017 to 2021) were used to identify monthly incidence rates. Established time series forecasting techniques (Exponential Smoothing and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) were then used to predict the annual number of hip fractures from 2022 to 2029, including adjustment for predicted changes in national population demographics. Predicted differences in service-level outcomes (length of stay and discharge destination) were analyzed, including the associated financial cost of any changes. Results. Between 2017 and 2021, the number of annual hip fractures increased from 6,675 to 7,797 (15%), with a rise in incidence from 313 to 350 per 100,000 (11%) for the at-risk population. By 2029, a combined average projection forecast the annual number of hip fractures at 10,311, with an incidence rate of 463 per 100,000, representing a 32% increase from 2021. Based upon these projections, assuming discharge rates remain constant, the total overall length of hospital stay following hip fracture in Scotland will increase by 60,699 days per annum, incurring an additional cost of at least £25 million per year. Approximately five more acute hip fracture beds may be required per hospital to accommodate this increased activity. Conclusion. Projection modelling demonstrates that hip fracture burden and incidence will increase substantially by 2029, driven by an ageing population, with substantial implications for health and social care services. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(1):62–68

Fractures of the clavicle are relatively common, occurring mostly in younger patients and have historically been managed non-operatively. Recent studies have shown an advantage to surgical reduction and stabilisation of clavicle fractures with significant displacement. Currently, fracture displacement is measured using simple anterior-posterior two-dimensional x-rays of the clavicle. Since displacement can occur in all three-dimensions, however, evaluation of the amount displacement can be difficult and inaccurate. The purpose of this study was to determine the view that provides the most accurate assessment. Nine CT scans of acute displaced clavicle fractures were analysed with AmiraDEV5.2.2 Imaging software. Measurements for degrees of shortening and fracture displacement of the fracture clavicle were taken. Using a segmentation and manipulation module (ITK toolkit), five digitally reconstructed radiographs (DRRs) mimicking antero-posterior x-rays were created for every CT, with each differing by projection angle (ranging from 20° upwards tilt to 20° downwards tilt). Measurements were taken on each DRR using landmarks of entire clavicle length, distance from vertebrae to fracture (medial fragment length), distance from fracture to acromium (lateral fragment length), and horizontal shortening, and then compared to the true measurement obtained from the original CT. For all 9 samples, after comparing the measurements of clavicle fracture displacement in each 2D image, we found that an AP view with a 20° downward tilt yielded displacement measurements closest to the 3D (“gold standard”) measurements. The results agree with previous data collected from cadaveric specimens using physical X-ray film images. DDRs enable creation of multiple standard AP radiographs from which accurate tilt can be measured. The large deviation in measurements on different DRR projections motivates consideration of standardising X-ray projections. A uniform procedure would allow one to correctly evaluate the displacement of clavicular fractures if fracture displacement information is to be utilized in motivating surgical decision-making

We report two new radiographic projections for evaluating avulsion fractures at the lateral malleolus. We used seven freshly amputated legs with simulated avulsion fractures and radiopaque markers to assess their value. The projections allow accurate assessment of the displacement of fragments without superimposition, and also show whether they affect the anterior talofibular or the calcaneofibular ligament or both

Summary Statement. The current study introduced the effects of projection errors on ankle morphological measurements using CT-based simulated radiographs by correlation analysis between 2D/3D dimensions and reliability analysis with randomised perturbations while measuring planar parameters on radiographs. Introduction. Clinical success of total ankle arthroplasty (TAA) depends heavily on the available anatomy-based information of the morphology for using implants of precisely matched sizes. Among the clinically available medical imaging modalities, bi-planar projective radiographs are commonly used for this purpose owing to their convenience, low cost, and low radiation dose compared with other modalities such as MRI or CT. However, the intrinsic articular surface of the ankle joint is not symmetrical and oblique which implies that it is difficult to describe all the anatomical dimensions in detail with only one radiograph, thereby hindering the determination of accurate ankle morphometric parameters. The purposes of this study were to compare the measurements of ankle morphology using 3D CT images with those on planar 2D images; and to quantify the repeatability of the 2D measurements under simulated random perturbations. Patients & Methods. Fifty-eight fresh frozen cadaveric ankle specimens were used in the current study. Each specimen was fixed in the neutral position with a plastic frame. After fixation, the specimen-fixation construct was scanned using a 16-slice spiral CT scanner (GE BrightSpeed 16, C&G Technologies, USA) with a slice thickness of 0.625 mm. A global coordinate system was embedded in the ankle specimen with the origin at the geometric center of the talus, the anteroposterior (A/P) axis in parallel to the base-plate, the superoinferior (S/I) axis perpendicular to the base-plate, and the mediolateral (M/L) axis as the line perpendicular to both the A/P and S/I axes. Fourteen 3D morphological parameters were automatically determined using a house-developed program in MATLAB R2010a (The MathWorks, Inc., USA). A simulated standard digital radiography system, in which the X-ray focus was 1 meter away from the image plane, was also introduced to determine the planar 2D morphological parameters for comparing with those determined in 3D. Reliability with randomised perturbations during measurements was also assessed in terms of the intra-class correlation coefficients using a 2-way mixed-effects average model (ICC3, k) for intra-examiner assessments. All statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 13.0 (SPSS Inc., USA). Results. Most of the morphological parameters had high correlation and reliability, except for the maximal tibial thickness (MTiTh), distance between most vertex of tibial mortise to the level of MTiTh (MDV) and radius of trochlea tali (TaR) had moderate to low correlation which were 0.54, 0.37 and 0.09 respectively. The ICC coefficients indicated that the MDV, talus width (TaW) and inclination angle between two most vertex points of trochlea tali (MLATa) had moderate and poor reliability which were 0.59, 0.49 and 0.07 respectively. Discussion/Conclusion. The current study introduced the effects of projection errors on ankle morphological measurements using CT-based simulated radiographs by correlation analysis between 2D/3D dimensions and reliability analysis with randomised perturbations while measuring planar parameters on radiographs. MTiTh and MDV are the important parameters to help surgeon pre-surgical decision-making. TaW is one of the critical parameters for choosing accurate sise of TAA implant. It implies that the respectively accurate pose of ankle is critical during bi-planar radiography

We hypothesised that the anterior and posterior walls of the body of the first sacral vertebra could be visualised with two different angles of inlet view, owing to the conical shape of the sacrum. Six dry male cadavers with complete pelvic rings and eight dry sacrums with K-wires were used to study the effect of canting (angling the C-arm) the fluoroscope towards the head in 5° increments from 10° to 55°. Fluoroscopic images were taken in each position. Anterior and posterior angles of inclination were measured between the upper sacrum and the vertical line on the lateral view. Three authors separately selected the clearest image for overlapping anterior cortices and the upper sacral canal in the cadaveric models. The dry bone and K-wire models were scored by the authors, being sure to check whether the K-wire was in or out.

In the dry bone models the mean score of the relevant inlet position of the anterior or posterior inclination was 8.875 (standard deviation (sd) 0.35), compared with the inlet position of the opposite inclination of –5.75 (sd 4.59). We found that two different inlet views should be used separately to evaluate the borders of the body of the sacrum using anterior and posterior inclination angles of the sacrum, during placement of iliosacral screws.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2015;97-B:705–10.

Aims. The aim of this study is to evaluate whether acetabular retroversion (AR) represents a structural anatomical abnormality of the pelvis or is a functional phenomenon of pelvic positioning in the sagittal plane, and to what extent the changes that result from patient-specific functional position affect the extent of AR. Methods. A comparative radiological study of 19 patients (38 hips) with AR were compared with a control group of 30 asymptomatic patients (60 hips). CT scans were corrected for rotation in the axial and coronal planes, and the sagittal plane was then aligned to the anterior pelvic plane. External rotation of the hemipelvis was assessed using the superior iliac wing and inferior iliac wing angles as well as quadrilateral plate angles, and correlated with cranial and central acetabular version. Sagittal anatomical parameters were also measured and correlated to version measurements. In 12 AR patients (24 hips), the axial measurements were repeated after matching sagittal pelvic rotation with standing and supine anteroposterior radiographs. Results. Acetabular version was significantly lower and measurements of external rotation of the hemipelvis were significantly increased in the AR group compared to the control group. The AR group also had increased evidence of anterior projection of the iliac wing in the sagittal plane. The acetabular orientation angles were more retroverted in the supine compared to standing position, and the change in acetabular version correlated with the change in sagittal pelvic tilt. An anterior pelvic tilt of 1° correlated with 1.02° of increased cranial retroversion and 0.76° of increased central retroversion. Conclusion. This study has demonstrated that patients with symptomatic AR have both an externally rotated hemipelvis and increased anterior projection of the iliac wing compared to a control group of asymptomatic patients. Functional sagittal pelvic positioning was also found to affect AR in symptomatic patients: the acetabulum was more retroverted in the supine position compared to standing position. Changes in acetabular version correlate with the change in sagittal pelvic tilt. These findings should be taken into account by surgeons when planning acetabular correction for AR with periacetabular osteotomy. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(2):128–135

Hip fracture represents a significant challenge, placing increasing pressure on health and social care services in Scotland. This study establishes the ‘historic’ hip fracture burden, namely, the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland, and respective incidence, between 2017 – 2021. Furthermore, the ‘projected’ hip fracture burden and incidence from 2022 – 2029 was estimated, to inform future capacity and funding of health and social care services. The number of individuals with a hip fracture in Scotland between 2017 and 2021 was identified through the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit, enabling the annual number of hip fractures and respective incidence between 2017 – 2021 to be calculated. Projection modelling was performed using Exponential Smoothing and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average to estimate the number of hip fractures occurring annually from 2022 – 2029. A combined average projection was employed to provide a more accurate forecast. Accounting for predicted changes within the population demographics of Scotland, the projected hip fracture incidence up to 2029 was calculated. Between 2017 and 2021 the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland increased from 6675 to 7797 (15%), with an increase in incidence from 313 to 350 per 100,000 (11%) of the at-risk population. Hip fracture was observed to increase across all groups, notably males, and the 70–79 and 80–89 age cohorts. By 2029, the combined average projection estimated the annual number of hip fractures at 10311, with an incidence rate of 463 per 100,000, representing a 32% increase from 2021. The largest percentage increase in hip fracture by 2029 occurs in the 70–79 and 80–89 age cohorts (57% and 53% respectively). Based upon these projections, overall length of hospital stay following hip fracture will increase by 60699 days per annum by 2029, incurring an additional cost of at least £25 million. Projection modelling demonstrates the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland will increase substantially by 2029, with significant implications for health and social care services. This increase in hip fracture burden and incidence is influenced strongly by changing population demographics, primarily an ageing population

Abstract. OBJECTIVE. Changes in subchondral bone are one of few disease characteristics to correlate with pain in OA. 1. Profound neuroplasticity and nociceptor sprouting is displayed within osteoarthritic (OA) subchondral bone and is associated with pain and pathology. 2. The cause of these neural changes remains unestablished. Correct innervation patterns are indispensable for bone growth, homeostasis, and repair. Axon guidance signalling factor, Sema3A is essential for the correct innervation patterning of bony tissues. 3. , expressed in osteocytes. 4. and known to be downregulated in bone OA mechanical loading. 5. Bioinformatic analysis has also shown Sema3a as a differentially expressed pathway by bone in human OA patients. 6. HYPOTHESIS: Pathological mechanical load and inflammation of bone causes dysregulation of Sema3A signalling leading to perturbed sensory nerve plasticity and pain. METHODS. Human KOLF2-C1 iPSC derived nociceptors were generated by TALEN-mediated insertion of transcription factors NGN2+Brn3A and modified chambers differentiation protocol to produce nociceptor-like cells. Nociceptor phenotype was confirmed by immunocytochemistry. Human Y201-MSC cells were embedded in 3D type-I collagen gels (0.05 × 106 cell/gel), in 48-well plates and silicone plates, were differentiated to osteocytes for 7 days before stimulation with IL-6 (5ng/ml) and soluble IL-6 receptor (sIL-6r (40ng/ml), IL6/sIL6r and mechanical load mimetic Yoda1 (5μM) or unstimulated (n=5/group) (48-well plates) or were mechanically loaded in silicone plates (5000μstrain, 10Hz, 3000 cycles) or not loaded (n=5/group). Conditioned media transfer was performed from osteocyte to nociceptor cultures assessed by continuous 24-hour phase contrast confocal microscopy. 24-hours after stimulation RNA was quantified by RT-qPCR (IL6) or RNAseq whole transcriptome analysis/DEseq2 analysis (Load). Protein release was quantified by ELISA. Normally distributed data with homogenous variances was analysed by two-tailed t test. RESULTS. IPSC-derived nociceptor-like cells display elongated (>5mm) dendritic projections and nociceptive molecular markers such as TUJ1, PrPH and Neun and TrkA. Sema3A signalling ligands were expressed in 100% of osteocyte cultures. Mechanical loading regulated the Sema3 pathway; Sema3A (0.4-fold, p<0.001), Sema3B (13-fold, p<0.001), Sema3C (0.4-fold, p<0.001). Under inflammatory stimulation by IL6/IL6sR, SEMA3A (7-fold, p=0.01) and receptor Plexin1 (3-fold, p=0.03) show significant regulation. Sema3A protein release showed a significant downregulation of Sema3A release by IL6/sIL6r+Yoda1 (2-fold, p=0.02). Continuous 24-hour phase contrast confocal microscopy measuring the number of extending/retreating dendritic projections revealed that sensory nerve cultures exposed to media from osteocytes stimulated with IL-6/sIL-6R+Yoda1 displayed significantly more invading dendritic projections (p=0.0175, 12-fold±SEM 3.5) across 3 random fields of view within a single stimulated neural culture and significantly fewer retracting dendritic projections (p=0.0075, 2-fold±SEM 0.33) compared to controls. CONCLUSIONS. Here we show osteocytic regulation of Sema3A under pathological mechanical loading and the ability of media pathologically loaded osteocyte cultures to induce the branching and invasion of cultured nociceptor-like cells as displayed in OA subchondral bone. Declaration of Interest. (b) declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research reported:I declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research project

The hip fracture burden on health and social care services in Scotland is anticipated to increase significantly, primarily driven by an ageing population. This study forecasts future hip fracture incidence and the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland until 2029. The monthly number of patients with hip fracture aged ≥ 50 admitted to a Scottish hospital between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2021 was identified through data collected by the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit. This data was analysed using Exponential Smoothing and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average forecast modelling to project future hip fracture incidence and the annual number of hip fractures until 2029. Adjustments for population change were accounted for by integrating population projections published by National Records of Scotland. Between 2017 and 2021 the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland increased from 6675 to 7797, with a respective increase in hip fracture incidence from 313 to 350 per 100,000. By 2029, the averaged projected annual number of hip fractures is 10311, with an incidence rate of 463 per 100,000. The largest percentage increase in hip fracture occurs in the 70-79 age group (57%), with comparable increases in both sexes (30%). Based upon these projections, overall length of stay following hip fracture will increase from 142713 bed days per annum in 2021, to 203412 by 2029, incurring an additional cost of over £25 million. Forecast modelling demonstrates that the annual number of hip fractures in Scotland will rise substantially by 2029, with considerable implications for health and social care services

Aims. Traditionally, total hip arthroplasty (THA) templating has been performed on anteroposterior (AP) pelvis radiographs. Recently, additional AP hip radiographs have been recommended for accurate measurement of the femoral offset (FO). To verify this claim, this study aimed to establish quantitative data of the measurement error of the FO in relation to leg position and X-ray source position using a newly developed geometric model and clinical data. Methods. We analyzed the FOs measured on AP hip and pelvis radiographs in a prospective consecutive series of 55 patients undergoing unilateral primary THA for hip osteoarthritis. To determine sample size, a power analysis was performed. Patients’ position and X-ray beam setting followed a standardized protocol to achieve reproducible projections. All images were calibrated with the KingMark calibration system. In addition, a geometric model was created to evaluate both the effects of leg position (rotation and abduction/adduction) and the effects of X-ray source position on FO measurement. Results. The mean FOs measured on AP hip and pelvis radiographs were 38.0 mm (SD 6.4) and 36.6 mm (SD 6.3) (p < 0.001), respectively. Radiological view had a smaller effect on FO measurement than inaccurate leg positioning. The model showed a non-linear relationship between projected FO and femoral neck orientation; at 30° external neck rotation (with reference to the detector plane), a true FO of 40 mm was underestimated by up to 20% (7.8 mm). With a neutral to mild external neck rotation (≤ 15°), the underestimation was less than 7% (2.7 mm). The effect of abduction and adduction was negligible. Conclusion. For routine THA templating, an AP pelvis radiograph remains the gold standard. Only patients with femoral neck malrotation > 15° on the AP pelvis view, e.g. due to external rotation contracture, should receive further imaging. Options include an additional AP hip view with elevation of the entire affected hip to align the femoral neck more parallel to the detector, or a CT scan in more severe cases. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2022;3(10):795–803

The rising prevalence of osteoarthritis, associated with an ageing population, is expected to deliver increasing demand across Scotland for arthroplasty services in the future. Understanding the scale of potential change to operative workflow is essential to ensure adequate provision of services and prevent prolonged waiting times that can cause patient harm. This future service demand for primary and revision hip arthroplasty across Scotland, and the rest of the U.K., is hitherto unknown. We set out to provide projections of future primary & revision hip arthroplasty out to 2038 utilising historical trend data (2008–2018) from the Scottish Arthroplasty Project. All analyses were performed using the Holt's exponential smoothing projection method with the forecast package in R statistics. Results were adjusted for projected future population estimates provided by National Records of Scotland. Independent age & sex group predictions were also performed. All results are presented per 100,000 population at-risk per year (/100k/year). The predicted rise of primary hip arthroplasty for all ages is from 120/100k/year in 2018 to 152/100k/year in 2038, a 27% increase. Based on a static 3 day length of stay average this would see 4280 additional patient bed days required for primary hip arthroplasty patients per annum. The number of revision hip arthroplasty procedures for all ages is projected to fall from 14/100k/year to 4/100k/year based on historical trend data. This does not however take into account the suspect increase in primary arthroplasty numbers that is likely to influence future revision rates. Anticipated future demand for primary hip arthroplasty will require significant additional resource and funding to prevent deterioration in quality of care and an increase in patient wait times. Demand for revision arthroplasty is set to decrease, likely on account of improved implant materials, technique, and understanding of best practice to minimise complication risk. This doesn't however take into account the impact of the complex interaction between an increasing primary arthroplasty rate and revision risk. Understanding presented projections of changes to arthroplasty demand is key to future service delivery

Aims. In computer simulations, the shape of the range of motion (ROM) of a stem with a cylindrical neck design will be a perfect cone. However, many modern stems have rectangular/oval-shaped necks. We hypothesized that the rectangular/oval stem neck will affect the shape of the ROM and the prosthetic impingement. Methods. Total hip arthroplasty (THA) motion while standing and sitting was simulated using a MATLAB model (one stem with a cylindrical neck and one stem with a rectangular neck). The primary predictor was the geometry of the neck (cylindrical vs rectangular) and the main outcome was the shape of ROM based on the prosthetic impingement between the neck and the liner. The secondary outcome was the difference in the ROM provided by each neck geometry and the effect of the pelvic tilt on this ROM. Multiple regression was used to analyze the data. Results. The stem with a rectangular neck has increased internal and external rotation with a quatrefoil cross-section compared to a cone in a cylindrical neck. Modification of the cup orientation and pelvic tilt affected the direction of projection of the cone or quatrefoil shape. The mean increase in internal rotation with a rectangular neck was 3.4° (0° to 7.9°; p < 0.001); for external rotation, it was 2.8° (0.5° to 7.8°; p < 0.001). Conclusion. Our study shows the importance of attention to femoral implant design for the assessment of prosthetic impingement. Any universal mathematical model or computer simulation that ignores each stem’s unique neck geometry will provide inaccurate predictions of prosthetic impingement. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2021;10(12):780–789

Evaluate precisely and reproducibly tridimensional positioning of bone tunnels in anterior cruciate ligament reconstructions (ACL). To propose biplanar stereoradiographic imaging as a new reference in tridimensional evaluation of ACL reconstruction (ACLR). Comparing knee 3D models issued from EOStm low-irradiation biplanar X-Ray with those issued from computed tomography (CT-Scan) high definition images will allow a bone morphological description of a previously unseen precision. We carried out the transfer of 3D models from EOStm X-Ray images obtained from 10 patients in the same reference frame with models issued from CT-Scan. Two evaluators reconstructed both pre-operative and post-operative knees, using two different stereoradiographic projections, for a total of 144 knee 3D models from EOStm. A surface analysis by distance mapping allowed us to know the differences or errors between the homologous points of the EOStm and CT reconstructions, the latter being our “bronze-standard”. At the femur, we obtained a mean (95% confidence level) error of 1.5 mm (1.3–1.6) between the EOStm models compared to the Arthro-CT segmentations when using AP-LAT incidences, compared to 1 mm (1.0 – 1.1) with oblique projections. For the tunnels placement analysis, the total radius difference between EOStm and Arthro-CT's femoral tunnel apertures was 0.8 mm (0.4–1.2) in AP-LAT and 0.6 mm (0.0–1.2) in oblique views. These femoral apertures positioning on EOStm models were within 4.3 mm (3.0–5.7) of their homologues on CT-Scan models, 4.6 mm (3.5–5.6) with the oblique views. Furthermore, 9.3o (7.2–11.4) of difference in direction between femoral tunnels from EOStm models and CT reconstructions is obtained with AP-LAT projections, 8.3o (6.6–10) with obliques views. Measures of these parameters were also performed at the tibia. According to the intra and inter-reproducibility analysis of our knee 3D models, EOStm biplanar X-Ray images prove to be fast, efficient and precise in the design of ACLR 3D models with respect to CT-Scan. Our results also propose the recourse of oblique stereoradiographic projections for the realization of knee 3D models. These models will be subjects of further analysis and will allow us eventually to propose a new frame of reference guiding the positioning of the tunnels in the ACLR

Osteotomies in the musculoskeletal system are joint preserving procedures to correct the alignment of the patient. In the lower limb, most of the pre-operative planning is performed on full leg weightbearing radiographs. However, these images contain a 2-dimensional projection of a 3-dimensional deformity, lack a clear visualization of the joint surface and are prone to rotational errors during patient positioning. Weightbearing CT imaging has demonstrated to overcome these shortcomings during the first applications of this device at level of the foot and ankle. Recent advances allow to scan the entire lower limb and novel applications at the level of the knee and hip are on the rise. Here, we will demonstrated the current techniques and 3-dimensional measurements used in supra- and inframalleolar osteotomies around the ankle. Several of these techniques will be transposed to other parts in the lower limb to spark future studies in this field

The rising prevalence of osteoarthritis, associated with an ageing population, is expected to deliver increasing demand across Scotland for primary hip and knee arthroplasty in the future. Understanding the scale of potential change to operative workflow is essential to ensure adequate provision of services, and prevent prolonged waiting times that can cause patient harm. We therefore set out to provide projections of future primary hip and knee arthroplasty out to 2038 utilising historical trend data (2008–2018) from the Scottish Arthroplasty Project. All analyses were performed using the Holt's exponential smoothing projection method with the forecast package in R statistics. Results were adjusted for projected future population estimates provided by National Records of Scotland. Independent age & sex group predictions were also performed. All results are presented per 100,000 population at-risk per year (/100k/year). The predicted rise of primary hip arthroplasty for all ages is from 120/100k/year in 2018 to 152/100k/year in 2038, a 27% increase. The predicted rise of primary knee arthroplasty for all ages is from 164/100k/year in 2018 to 220/100k/year in 2038, a 34% increase. Based on a static 3 day length of stay average this would see 4280 additional patient bed days for hips, and 7392 for knees, required nationally per year by 2038. The associated supplementary cost to the NHS is anticipated to be around £21 million per annum. Knowledge of increasing resource utilisation and cost associated with predicted future demand for primary hip and knee arthroplasty provides key information for service organisation and delivery

Aims. The current study aimed to compare robotic arm-assisted (RA-THA), computer-assisted (CA-THA), and manual (M-THA) total hip arthroplasty regarding in-hospital metrics including length of stay (LOS), discharge disposition, in-hospital complications, and cost of RA-THA versus M-THA and CA-THA versus M-THA, as well as trends in use and uptake over a ten-year period, and future projections of uptake and use of RA-THA and CA-THA. Methods. The National Inpatient Sample was queried for primary THAs (2008 to 2017) which were categorized into RA-THA, CA-THA, and M-THA. Past and projected use, demographic characteristics distribution, income, type of insurance, location, and healthcare setting were compared among the three cohorts. In-hospital complications, LOS, discharge disposition, and in-hospital costs were compared between propensity score-matched cohorts of M-THA versus RA-THA and M-THA versus CA-THA to adjust for baseline characteristics and comorbidities. Results. RA-THA and CA-THA did not exhibit any clinically meaningful reduction in mean LOS (RA-THA 2.2 days (SD 1.4) vs 2.3 days (SD 1.8); p < 0.001, and CA-THA 2.5 days (SD 1.9) vs 2.7 days (SD 2.3); p < 0.001, respectively) compared to their respective propensity score-matched M-THA cohorts. RA-THA, but not CA-THA, had similar non-home discharge rates to M-THA (RA-THA 17.4% vs 18.5%; p = 0.205, and 18.7% vs 24.9%; p < 0.001, respectively). Implant-related mechanical complications were lower in RA-THA (RA-THA 0.5% vs M-THA 3.1%; p < 0.001, and CA-THA 1.2% vs M-THA 2.2%; p < 0.001), which was associated with a significantly lower in-hospital dislocation (RA-THA 0.1% vs M-THA 0.8%; p < 0.001). Both RA-THA and CA-THA demonstrated higher mean higher index in-hospital costs (RA-THA $18,416 (SD $8,048) vs M-THA $17,266 (SD $8,396); p < 0.001, and CA-THA $20,295 (SD $8,975) vs M-THA $18,624 (SD $9,226); p < 0.001, respectively). Projections indicate that 23.9% and 3.2% of all THAs conducted in 2025 will be robotic arm- and computer-assisted, respectively. Projections indicated that RA-THA use may overtake M-THA by 2028 (48.3%) and reach 65.8% of all THAs by 2030. Conclusion. Technology-assisted THA, particularly RA-THA, may provide value by lowering in-hospital early dislocation rates and and other in-hospital metrics compared to M-THA. Higher index-procedure and hospital costs warrant further comprehensive cost analyses to determine the true added value of RA-THA in the episode of care, particularly since we project that one in four THAs in 2025 and two in three THA by 2030 will use RA-THA technology. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(9):1488–1496

Unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) is associated with a higher risk of revision compared with total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The outcomes of knee arthroplasty are typically presented as implant survival or incidence of revision after a set number of years, which can be difficult for patients and clinicians to conceptualise. We aimed to calculate the ‘lifetime risk’ of revision for UKA as a more relatable estimate of risk projection over a patient's remaining lifetime, and make comparisons to TKA. All primary UKAS performed from 1999 to 2019 (n=13,481) captured by the New Zealand Joint Registry (NZJR) were included. The lifetime risk of revision was calculated and stratified by age, gender and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) status. The lifetime risk of revision for UKA was highest in the youngest patients (46-50 years; 40.4%) and lowest in the oldest patients (86-90 years; 3.7%). Lifetime risk of revision was higher for females (range 4.3%-43.4% cf. males 2.9%-37.4%) and patients with higher ASA status (ASA 3-4 range 8.8%-41.2% cf. ASA 1 1.8%-29.8%), regardless of age. The lifetime risk of UKA was two-fold higher than TKA (ranging from 3.7%-40.4% UKA, 1.6%-22.4% TKA) across all age groups. Increased risk of revision in the younger patients was associated with aseptic loosening in both males and females, and pain in females. Periprosthetic joint infections (PJI) accounted for 4% of all UKA revisions, in contrast to 27% for TKA; risk of PJI was higher for males than females for both procedures. The lifetime risk of revision is a more meaningful measure of arthroplasty outcomes and can aid with patient counselling prior to UKA. Findings from this study show the increased lifetime risk of UKA revision for younger patients, females and those with higher ASA status

Though dentin matrix protein 1 (Dmp1) is known to play critical role in mediating bone mineralization, it has also been validated to be expressed in brain and helps maintain blood brain barrier (BBB). Our study aims to clarify the expression pattern of Dmp1 in mouse brain and explore whether intercellular mitochondrial transfer occurs between Dmp1 positive astrocytes (DPAs) and endothelial cells, and thus acting as a mechanism in maintaining BBB during aging. Single cell RNA sequencing (scRNAseq) of 1 month, 6 month, and 20 month old mice brain (n=1, respectively) was employed to identify Dmp1 positive cell types. Dmp1. Cre. -mGmT and Dmp1. Cre. -COX8a fluorescent mice were generated to visualize DPAs and investigate their mitochondrial activities. A 3D noncontact coculture system and mitochondrial transplantation were applied to study the role of mitochondrial transfer between astrocytes and bEnd.3 endothelial cells. Dmp1. Cre. -Mfn2. f/f. mice were generated by depleting the ER-mitochondria tethering protein Mfn2 in DPAs. Dmp1 was mainly expressed in astrocytes at different ages. GO analysis revealed that cell projection and adhesion of DPAs were upregulated. Confocal imaging on Dmp1. Cre. -mGmT mice indicated that DPAs are a cluster of astrocytes that closely adhere to blood vessels (n=3). Bioinformatics analysis revealed that mitochondrial activity of DPAs were compromised during aging. Enriched scRNAseq of fluorescent cells from Dmp1. Cre. -COX8a mice (n=2) and immunofluorescent imaging (n=3) validated the acquisition of extrinsic mitochondria in endothelial cells. 3D coculture of astrocytes and bEnd.3 and direct mitochondrial transplantation revealed the rescue effect of mitochondrial transfer on damaged bEnd.3. BBB was impaired after depleting Mfn2 in DPAs, expressing a similar phenotype with aging brain. Astrocytes that express Dmp1 play a significant role in maintaining BBB via transferring mitochondria to vascular endothelial cells. Compromised mitochondrial transfer between DPAs and endothelial cells might be the potential mechanism of impaired BBB during aging

The aim was to determine reliability in treatment threshold based on USS angular measurements between observers involved in the DDH hip screening programme at the NOC and assess the effect of image orientation on the accuracy of these measurements. 3 independent observers measured alpha and beta angles on bilateral hips in 10 consecutive patients seen in the DDH hip screening clinic. All scans were performed by a single radiographer and observers used the same set of USS images for a given patient. Each observer measured alpha and beta angles a total of 4 times: conventional ultrasound image projection (with the ilium horizontal) (round 1), Graf's anatomical projection (round 2), and both techniques repeated 1 month later (round 3 and 4 respectively) to assess intra-observer reliability. To determine its effect on treatment threshold taking into account alpha and beta angles and patient's age, the consistency between observers' management recommendations was evaluated for each round. Possible outcomes were: 1) patient discharged, 2) no treatment needed yet, but follow-up required, 3) start treatment. Intra-observer reliability for conventional projection was moderate (Kappa 0.58), and improved for anatomical projection (Kappa 0.65). Inter-observer reliability, as a surrogate measure of consistency in management recommendations between observers, ranged from fair to moderate across the 4 rounds (Kappa 0.30 – 0.50). However, contrary to previous recommendations, reliability was better with conventional projection (Kappa 0.41 (95% CI 0.11–0.72)) compared to anatomical projection (Kappa 0.36 (95% CI −0.01–0.73)). The overall agreement in management recommendations, pooling all results across 4 rounds, was 51.3% (Kappa 0.39 (95%CI 0.15–0.63)). This audit supports the argument that anatomical image projection improves intra-observer consistency. However, as with all USS measurements, angular measurements were highly user dependent and treatment threshold based on USS may not be as consistent as anticipated