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Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 10 | Pages 911 - 919
21 Oct 2024
Clement N MacDonald DJ Hamilton DF Gaston P

Aims

The aims were to assess whether joint-specific outcome after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) was influenced by implant design over a 12-year follow-up period, and whether patient-related factors were associated with loss to follow-up and mortality risk.

Methods

Long-term follow-up of a randomized controlled trial was undertaken. A total of 212 patients were allocated a Triathlon or a Kinemax TKA. Patients were assessed preoperatively, and one, three, eight, and 12 years postoperatively using the Oxford Knee Score (OKS). Reasons for patient lost to follow-up, mortality, and revision were recorded.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_17 | Pages 7 - 7
11 Oct 2024
Bell K Yapp L White T Molyneux S Clement N Duckworth A
Full Access

The aim was to predict the number and incidence of distal radius fractures in Scotland over the next two decades according to age group, categorised into under 65yrs(65) and 65yrs and older (65), and estimate the potential increased operative burden.

The number of distal radius fractures in Scotland was isolated from the Global Burden of Disease database and this was used, in addition to historic population data and published population estimates, to create a multivariable model allowing incorporation of age group, sex and time. A Negative Binomial distribution was used to predict incidence in 2030 and 2040 and calculate projected number of fractures. A 20.4% operative intervention rate was assumed (local data).

In terms of number of fractures, there was a projected 61% rise in the 65 group with an overall increase of 2099 fractures per year from 3417 in 2020 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2960 – 3463) to 5516 in 2040 (95% CI 4155 – 5675). This was associated with 428 additional operative interventions per year for those 65yrs. The projected increase between 2020 and 2040 was similar in both sexes (60% in females, 63% in males), however the absolute increase in fracture number was higher in females. There was a 4% projected fall in the number of fractures in those 65.

Incidence of distal radius fractures is expected to considerably increase over the next two decades due to a projected increase in the number of fractures in the elderly. This has implications for associated morbidity and healthcare resource use.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_13 | Pages 7 - 7
17 Jun 2024
Heinz N Bugler K Clement N Low X Duckworth A White T
Full Access

Background

Studies have compared open reduction internal fixation (ORIF) with fibular nail fixation (FNF) and shown reduced wound complications with minimal difference to PROMS in the short term. Our aim is to compare long-term outcomes for unstable ankle fractures at 10 year follow up.

Methods

Patients from a previously conducted RCT were contacted at a minimum of 10 years post intervention at a single study centre. Case notes were reviewed, and patient reported outcome measures acquired at 10 years.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_6 | Pages 60 - 60
2 May 2024
Farrow L Clement N Meek D
Full Access

Given the prolonged waits for hip arthroplasty seen across the U.K. it is important that we optimise priority systems to account for potential disparities in patient circumstances and impact. We set out to achieve this through a two-stage approach. This included a Delphi-study of patient and surgeon preferences to determine what should be considered when determining patient priority, followed by a Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) to decide relative weighting of included attributes.

The study was conducted according to the published protocol ([https://boneandjoint.org.uk/article/10.1302/2633-1462.310.BJO-2022-0071](https://boneandjoint.org.uk/article/10.1302/2633-1462.310.BJO-2022-0071)). The Delphi study was performed online over 3 rounds with anonymous ranking and feedback. Included factors were voted as either Consensus in, Consensus out, or No Consensus• following an established scoring criterion. A final consensus meeting determined the prioritisation factors (and their levels) to be included in the DCE. The DCE was then conducted using an online platform, with surgeons performing 18 choice sets regarding which merited greater priority between two hypothetical patients. Results were collated and analysed using multinomial logit regression analysis (MNL).

For the Delphi study there were 43 responses in the first round, with a subsequent 91% participation rate. Final consensus inclusion was achieved for Pain; Mobility/Function; Activities of Daily Living; Inability to Work/Care; Length of Time Waited; Radiological Severity and Mental Wellbeing. 70 individuals subsequently contributed to the DCE, with radiological severity being the most significant factor (Coefficient 2.27 \[SD 0.31\], p<0.001), followed by pain (Coefficient 1.08 \[SD 0.13\], p<0.001) and time waited (Coefficient for 1-month additional wait 0.12 \[SD 0.02\], p<0.001). The calculated trade-off in waiting time for a 1-level change in pain (e.g., moderate to severe pain) was 9.14 months.

These results present a new method of determining comparative priority for those on primary hip arthroplasty waiting lists. Evaluation of potential implementation in clinical practice is now required.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_6 | Pages 3 - 3
2 May 2024
Bayram JM Kanesan H Clement N
Full Access

The aims were to assess whether vitamin D deficiency influenced mortality risk for patients presenting with a hip fracture.

A retrospective study was undertaken including all patients aged over 50 years that were admitted with a hip fracture to a single centre during a 24-month period. Serum vitamin D levels were assessed. Patient demographics and perioperative variables and mortality were collected. Cox regression analysis (adjusting for confounding) was utilised to determine the independent association between serum vitamin D level and patient mortality.

The cohort consisted of 2075 patients with a mean age of 80.7 years and 1471 (70.9%) were female. 1510 (72.8%) patients had a serum vitamin D level taken, of which 876 (58.0%) were deficient (50nmol/l). The median follow up was 417 (IQR 242 to 651) days. During follow up there were 464 (30.7%) deaths. Survival at 1 year was significantly (p=0.003) lower for patients who were vitamin D deficient (71.7%, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 68.6 to 74.9) compared to those who were not (79.0%, 95% CI 75.9 to 82.3). Vitamin D deficiency was also independently associated with an increased mortality risk at 2-years (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.53, p=0.025), but not at 1-year (p=0.057).

Hip fracture patients with vitamin D deficiency had an increased mortality risk. This risk was independent of confounders at 2 years. The role of measuring vitamin D levels in these patients is unclear. Improved public health policy about vitamin D may be required to reduce deficiency in this patient population.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_15 | Pages 74 - 74
7 Nov 2023
Bell K Yapp L White T Molyneux S Clement N Duckworth A
Full Access

The aim was to predict the number and incidence of distal radius fractures in Scotland over the next two decades according to age group, categorised into under 65yrs(<65) and 65yrs and older (≥65), and estimate the potential increased operative burden of this.

The number of distal radius fracture in Scotland was isolated from the Global Burden of Disease database and this was used, in addition to historic population data and population estimates, to create a multivariable model allowing incorporation of age group, sex and time. A Negative Binomial distribution was used to predict incidence in 2030 and 2040 and calculate projected number of fractures according to the population at risk. A 20.4% operative intervention rate was assumed in the ≥65 group (local data).

In terms of number of fractures, there was a projected 61% rise in the ≥65 group with an overall increase of 2099 fractures per year from 3417 in 2020 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2960 – 3463) to 5516 in 2040 (95% CI 4155–5675). This was associated with 428 additional operative interventions per year for those ≥65yrs. The projected increase between 2020 and 2040 was similar in both sexes (60% in females, 63% in males), however the absolute increase in fracture number was higher in females (2256 in 2020 [95% CI 1954–2287] to 3620 in 2040 [95% CI 2727–3721]) compared to males (1160 [95% CI 1005–1176] to 1895 [95% CI 1427–1950]). There was a 4% projected fall in the number of fractures in those <65.

Incidence of distal radius fractures is expected to considerably increase over the next two decades due to a projected increase in the number of fractures in the elderly. This has implications for the associated morbidity and healthcare resource use.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_15 | Pages 76 - 76
7 Nov 2023
Bell K Oliver W White T Molyneux S Clement N Duckworth A
Full Access

The aim of this study was to determine the floor and ceiling effects for both the QuickDASH and PRWE following a fracture of the distal radius. Secondary aims were to determine the degree to which patients with a floor or ceiling effect felt that their wrist was ‘normal’, and if there were patient factors associated with achieving a floor or ceiling effect.

A retrospective cohort study of patients sustaining a distal radius fracture and managed at the study centre during a single year was undertaken. Outcome measures included the QuickDASH, the PRWE, EuroQol-5 Dimension-3 Levels (EQ-5D-3L), and the normal wrist score.

There were 526 patients with a mean age of 65yrs (20–95) and 421 (77%) were female. Most patients were managed non-operatively (73%, n=385). The mean follow-up was 4.8yrs (4.3–5.5). A ceiling effect was observed for both the QuickDASH (22.3%) and PRWE (28.5%). When defined to be within the minimum clinical important difference of the best available score, the ceiling effect increased to 62.8% for the QuickDASH and 60% for the PRWE. Patients that achieved a ceiling score for the QuickDASH and PRWE subjectively felt their wrist was only 91% and 92% normal, respectively. On logistic regression analysis, a dominant hand injury and better health-related quality of life were the common factors associated with achieving a ceiling score for both the QuickDASH and PRWE (all p<0.05).

The QuickDASH and PRWE demonstrate ceiling effects when used to assess the outcome of fractures of the distal radius. Patients achieving ceiling scores did not consider their wrist to be ‘normal’. Future patient-reported outcome assessment tools for fractures of the distal radius should aim to limit the ceiling effect, especially for individuals or groups that are more likely to achieve a ceiling score.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_15 | Pages 19 - 19
7 Nov 2023
Hackney R Toland G Crosbie G Mackenzi S Clement N Keating J
Full Access

A fracture of the tuberosity is associated with 16% of anterior glenohumeral dislocations. Manipulation of these injuries in the emergency department is safe with less than 1% risk of fracture propagation. However, there is a risk of associated neurological injury, recurrent instability and displacement of the greater tuberosity fragment. The risks and outcomes of these complications have not previously been reported. The purpose of this study was to establish the incidence and outcome of complications associated with this pattern of injury.

We reviewed 339 consecutive glenohumeral dislocations with associated greater tuberosity fractures from a prospective trauma database. Documentation and radiographs were studied and the incidence of neurovascular compromise, greater tuberosity fragment migration and intervention and recurrent instability recorded.

The mean age was 61 years (range, 18–96) with a female preponderance (140:199 male:female). At presentation 24% (n=78) patients had a nerve injury, with axillary nerve being most common (n=43, 55%). Of those patients with nerve injuries 15 (19%) did not resolve. Greater tuberosity displacement >5mm was observed in 36% (n=123) of patients with 40 undergoing acute surgery, the remainder did not due to comorbidities or patient choice. Persistent displacement after reduction accounted for 60 cases, later displacement within 6 weeks occurred in 63 patients. Recurrent instability occurred in 4 (1%) patients. Patient reported outcomes were poor with average EQ5D being 0.73, QDASH score of 16 and Oxford Shoulder Score of 41.

Anterior glenohumeral dislocation with associated greater tuberosity fracture is common with poor long term patient reported outcomes. Our results demonstrate there is a high rate of neurological deficits at presentation with the majority resolving spontaneously. Recurrent instability is rare. Late tuberosity fragment displacement occurs in 18% of patients and regular follow-up for 6 weeks is recommended to detect this.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_15 | Pages 50 - 50
7 Nov 2023
Bell K Oliver W White T Molyneux S Clement N Duckworth A
Full Access

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the outcome of operative and non-operative management in adults with distal radius fractures, with an additional elderly subgroup analysis. The main outcome was 12-month PRWE score. Secondary outcomes included DASH score, grip strength, complications and radiographic parameters.

Randomised controlled trials of patients aged ≥18yrs with a dorsally displaced distal radius fractures were included. Studies compared operative intervention with non-operative management. Operative management included open reduction and internal fixation, Kirschner-wiring or external fixation. Non-operative management was cast/splint immobilisation with/without closed reduction. Version 2 of the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool was used.

After screening 1258 studies, 16 trials with 1947 patients (mean age 66yrs, 76% female) were included in the meta-analysis. Eight studies reported PRWE score and there was no clinically significant difference at 12 weeks (MD 0.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] −0.75 to 1.07, p=0.73) or 12 months (mean difference [MD] 3.30, 95% CI −5.66 to −0.94, p=0.006). Four studies reported on scores in the elderly and there was no clinically significant difference at 12 weeks (MD 0.59, 95% CI −0.35 to 1.53, p=0.22) or 12 months (MD 2.60, 95% CI −5.51 to 0.30, p=0.08). There was a no clinically significant difference in DASH score at 12 weeks (MD 10.18, 95% CI −14.98 to −5.38, p<0.0001) or 12 months (MD 3.49, 95% CI −5.69 to −1.29, p=0.002). Two studies featured only elderly patients, with no clinically important difference at 12 weeks (MD 7.07, 95% CI −11.77 to −2.37, p=0.003) or 12 months (MD 3.32, 95% CI −7.03 to 0.38, p=0.08).

There was no clinically significant difference in patient-reported outcome according to PRWE or DASH at either timepoint in the adult group as a whole or in the elderly subgroup.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_14 | Pages 2 - 2
10 Oct 2023
Heinz N Bugler K Clement N Low X Duckworth A White T
Full Access

To compare the long-term outcomes of fibular nailing and plate fixation for unstable ankle fractures in a cohort of patients under the age of 65 years.

Patients from a previously conducted randomized control trial comparing fibular nailing and plate fixation were contacted at a minimum of 10 years post intervention at a single study centre. Short term data were collected prospectively and long-term data were collected retrospectively using an electronic patient record software.

Ninety-nine patients from one trauma centre were included (48 fibular nails and 51 plate fixations). Groups were matched for gender (p = 0.579), age (p = 0.811), body mass index (BMI)(p = 0.925), smoking status (p = 0.209), alcohol status (p = 0.679) and injury type (p = 0.674). Radiographically at an average of 2 years post-injury, there was no statistically significant difference between groups for development of osteoarthritis (p = 0.851). Both groups had 1 tibio-talar fusion (2% of both groups) secondary to osteoarthritis with no statistically significant difference in overall re-operation rate between groups identified (p = 0.518,). Forty-five percent (n=42) of patients had so far returned patient reported outcome measures at a minimum of 10 years (Fibular nail n=19, plate fixation n=23). No significant difference was found between groups at 10 years for the Olerud and Molander Ankle Score (p = 0.990), the Manchester-Oxford Foot Questionnaire (p = 0.288), Euroqol-5D Index (p = 0.828) and Euroqol-5D Visual Analogue Score (p = 0.769).

The current study illustrates no difference between fibular nail fixation and plate fixation at a long-term follow up of 10 years in patients under 65 years old, although the study is currently under powered.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_14 | Pages 8 - 8
10 Oct 2023
Leow J Oliver W Bell K Molyneux S Clement N Duckworth A
Full Access

To develop a reliable and effective radiological score to assess the healing of isolated ulnar shaft fractures (IUSF), the Radiographic Union Score for Ulna fractures (RUSU).

Initially, 20 patients with radiographs six weeks following a non-operatively managed ulnar shaft fracture were selected and scored by three blinded observers. After intraclass correlation (ICC) analysis, a second group of 54 patients with radiographs six weeks after injury (18 who developed a nonunion and 36 who united) were scored by the same observers.

In the initial study, interobserver and intraobserver ICC were 0.89 and 0.93, respectively. In the validation study the interobserver ICC was 0.85. The median score for patients who united was significantly higher than those who developed a nonunion (11 vs 7, p<0.001). A ROC curve demonstrated that a RUSU ≤8 had a sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 86.1% in identifying patients at risk of nonunion. Patients with a RUSU ≤8 (n = 21) were more likely to develop a nonunion (n = 16/21) than those with a RUSU ≥9 (n = 2/33; OR 49.6, 95% CI 8.6–284.7). Based on a PPV of 76%, if all patients with a RUSU ≤8 underwent fixation at 6-weeks, the number of procedures needed to avoid one nonunion would be 1.3.

The RUSU shows good interobserver and intraobserver reliability and is effective in identifying patients at risk of nonunion six weeks after fracture. This tool requires external validation but may enhance the management of patients with isolated ulnar shaft fractures.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_14 | Pages 10 - 10
10 Oct 2023
Hall A Clement N Maclullich A White T Duckworth A
Full Access

COVID-19 confers a three-fold increased mortality risk among hip fracture patients. The aims were to investigate whether vaccination was associated with: i) lower mortality risk, and ii) lower likelihood of contracting COVID-19 within 30 days of fracture.

This nationwide cohort study included all patients aged >50 years with a hip fracture between 01/03/20-31/12/21. Data from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit were collected and included: demographics, injury and management variables, discharge destination, and 30-day mortality status. These variables were linked to population-level records of COVID-19 vaccination and testing.

There were 13,345 patients with a median age of 82.0 years (IQR 74.0–88.0), and 9329/13345 (69.9%) were female. Of 3022/13345 (22.6%) patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 606/13345 (4.5%) were COVID-positive within 30 days of fracture. Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that vaccinated patients were less likely to be COVID-positive (odds ratio (OR) 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34–0.48, p<0.001) than unvaccinated patients. 30-day mortality rate was higher for COVID-positive than COVID-negative patients (15.8% vs 7.9%, p < 0.001). Controlling for confounders (age, sex, comorbidity, deprivation, pre-fracture residence), unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 had a greater mortality risk than COVID-negative patients (OR 2.77, CI 2.12–3.62, p < 0.001), but vaccinated COVID19-positive patients were not at increased risk (OR 0.93, CI 0.53–1.60, p = 0.783).

Vaccination was associated with lower COVID-19 infection risk. Vaccinated COVID-positive patients had a similar mortality risk to COVID-negative patients, suggesting a reduced severity of infection. This study demonstrates the efficacy of vaccination in this vulnerable patient group, and presents essential data for future outbreaks.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_14 | Pages 5 - 5
10 Oct 2023
Bayram J Kanesan H Clement N
Full Access

The aims were to assess whether vitamin D deficiency influenced mortality risk for patients presenting with a hip fracture.

A retrospective study was undertaken including all patients aged over 50 years that were admitted with a hip fracture to a single centre during a 24-month period. Serum vitamin D levels were assessed. Patient demographics and perioperative variables and mortality were collected. Cox regression analysis (adjusting for confounding) was utilised to determine the independent association between serum vitamin D level and patient mortality.

The cohort consisted of 2075 patients with a mean age of 80.7 years and 1471 (70.9%) were female. 1510 (72.8%) patients had a serum vitamin D level taken, of which 876 (58.0%) were deficient (<50nmol/l). The median follow up was 417 (IQR 242 to 651) days. During follow up there were 464 (30.7%) deaths. Survival at 1 year was significantly (p = 0.003) lower for patients who were vitamin D deficient (71.7%, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 68.6 to 74.9) compared to those who were not (79.0%, 95% CI 75.9 to 82.3). Vitamin D deficiency was also independently associated with an increased mortality risk at 2-years (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.71, p = 0.03), but not at 1-year (p = 0.08).

Hip fracture patients with vitamin D deficiency had an increased mortality risk. This risk was independent of confounders at 2 years. The role of measuring vitamin D levels in these patients is unclear. Improved public health policy about vitamin D may be required to reduce deficiency in this patient population.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_13 | Pages 62 - 62
7 Aug 2023
Khatri C Harrison C Scott C Clement N MacDonald D Metcalfe A Rodrigues J
Full Access

Abstract

Background

The Forgotten Joint Score (FJS) is a 12-item patient reported outcome measurement instrument. It was developed with classical test theory, without testing assumptions such as unidimensionality (all items reflect one underlying factor), appropriate weighting of each item, no differential item function (DIF, different groups answer the same way), and monotonicity (people with higher function have higher score). We applied item response theory (IRT) to improve the validity of FJS to contemporary standards to optimise it for ongoing use.

Research Questions

Does the FJS reflect one latent trait? Can an IRT model be fitted to the FJS to provide interval-scaled measurement?


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_11 | Pages 13 - 13
7 Jun 2023
Diffley T Ferry J Sumarlie R Beshr M Chen B Clement N Farrow L
Full Access

Appropriate surgical management of hip fractures has major clinical and economic consequences. Recently IMN use has increased compared to SHS constructs, despite no clear evidence demonstrating superiority of outcome. We therefore set out to provide further evidence about the clinical and economic implications of implant choice when considering hip fracture fixation strategies.

A retrospective cohort study using Scottish hip fracture audit (SHFA) data was performed for the period 2016–2022. Patients ≥50 with a hip fracture and treated with IMN or SHS constructs at Scottish Hospitals were included. Comparative analyses, including adjustment for confounders, were performed utilising Multivariable logistic regression for dichotomous outcomes and Mann-Whitney-U tests for non-parametric data. A sub-group analysis was also performed focusing on AO-A1/A2 configurations which utilised additional regional data. Cost differences in Length of Stay (LOS) were calculated using defined costs from the NHS Scotland Costs book. In all analyses p<0.05 denoted significance.

13638 records were included (72% female). 9867 received a SHS (72%).

No significant differences were identified in 30 or 60-day survival (Odds Ratio [OR] 1.05, 95%CI 0.90–1.23; p=0.532), (OR 1.10, 95%CI 0.97–1.24; p=0.138) between SHS and IMN's.

There was however a significantly lower early mobilisation rate with IMN vs SHS (OR 0.64, 95%CI 0.59–0.70; p<0.001), and lower likelihood of discharge to domicile by day-30 post-admission (OR 0.77, 95%CI 0.71–0.84; p<0.001). Acute and overall, LOS were significantly lower for SHS vs IMN (11 vs 12 days and 20 vs 24 days respectively; p<0.001). Findings were similar across a sub-group analysis of 559 AO A1/A2 fracture configurations.

Differences in LOS potentially increases costs by £1230 per-patient, irrespective of the higher costs of IMN's v SHS.

Appropriate SHS use is associated with early mobilisation, reduced LOS and likely with reduced cost of treatment. Further research exploring potential reasons for the identified differences in early mobilisation are warranted.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_11 | Pages 1 - 1
7 Jun 2023
Gaston P Clement N Ohly N Macpherson G Hamilton D
Full Access

In this RCT the primary aim was to assess whether a short (125mm) Exeter V40 stem offered an equivalent hip specific function compared to the standard (150mm) stem when used for cemented total hip arthroplasty (THA). Secondary aims were to evaluate health-related quality of life (HRQoL), patient satisfaction, stem height and alignment, radiographic loosening, and complications between the two stems.

A prospective multicentre double-blind randomised control trial was conducted. During a 15-month period, 220 patients undergoing THA were randomised to either a standard (n=110) or short (n=110) stem Exeter. There were no significant (p≥0.065) differences in preoperative variables between the groups. Functional outcomes and radiographic assessment were undertaken at 1- and 2-years.

There were no differences (p=0.428) in hip specific function according to the Oxford hip score at 1-year (primary endpoint) or at 2-years (p=0.767) between the groups. The short stem group had greater varus angulation (0.9 degrees, p=0.003) when compared to the standard group and were more likely (odds ratio 2.42, p=0.002) to have varus stem alignment beyond one standard deviation from the mean. There were no significant (p≥0.083) differences in the Forgotten joint scores, EuroQol-5-Dimension, EuroQol-VAS, Short form 12, patient satisfaction, complications, stem height or radiolucent zones at 1 or 2-years between the groups.

The Exeter short stem offers equivalent hip specific function, HRQoL, patient satisfaction, and limb length when compared to the standard stem at 2-years post-operation. However, the short stem was associated with a greater rate of varus malalignment which may influence future implant survival.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_8 | Pages 112 - 112
11 Apr 2023
Oliver W Nicholson J Bell K Carter T White T Clement N Duckworth A Simpson H
Full Access

The primary aim was to assess the reliability of ultrasound in the assessment of humeral shaft fracture healing. The secondary aim was to estimate the accuracy of ultrasound assessment in predicting humeral shaft nonunion.

Twelve patients (mean age 54yrs [20–81], 58% [n=7/12] female) with a non-operatively managed humeral diaphyseal fracture were prospectively recruited and underwent ultrasound scanning at six and 12wks post-injury. Scans were reviewed by seven blinded observers to evaluate the presence of sonographic callus. Intra- and inter-observer reliability were determined using the weighted kappa and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Accuracy of ultrasound assessment in nonunion prediction was estimated by comparing scans for patients that united (n=10/12) with those that developed a nonunion (n=2/12).

At both six and 12wks, sonographic callus was present in 11 patients (10 united, one developed a nonunion) and sonographic bridging callus (SBC) was present in seven patients (all united). Ultrasound assessment demonstrated substantial intra- (6wk kappa 0.75, 95% CI 0.47-1.03; 12wk kappa 0.75, 95% CI 0.46-1.04) and inter-observer reliability (6wk ICC 0.60, 95% CI 0.38-0.83; 12wk ICC 0.76, 95% CI 0.58-0.91). Absence of sonographic callus demonstrated a sensitivity of 50%, specificity 100%, positive predictive value (PPV) 100% and negative predictive value (NPV) 91% in nonunion prediction (accuracy 92%). Absence of SBC demonstrated a sensitivity of 100%, specificity 70%, PPV 40% and NPV 100% (accuracy 75%). Of three patients at risk of nonunion based on reduced radiographic callus formation (Radiographic Union Score for HUmeral fractures <8), one had SBC on 6wk ultrasound (and united) and the other two had non-bridging or absent sonographic callus (both developed a nonunion).

Ultrasound assessment of humeral shaft fracture healing was reliable and predictive of nonunion, and may be a useful tool in defining the risk of nonunion among patients with reduced radiographic callus formation.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_6 | Pages 6 - 6
20 Mar 2023
Hall A Penfold R Duckworth A Clement N MacLullich A
Full Access

Hip fracture patients are vulnerable to delirium. This study examined the associations between delirium and outcomes including mortality, length of stay, post-discharge care requirements, and readmission.

This cohort study collected validated healthcare data for all hip fracture patients aged ≥50 years that presented to a high-volume centre between March 2020-November 2021. Variables included: demographics, delirium status, COVID-19 status, treatment factors, and outcome measures. Wilcoxon rank sum or Chi-squared tests were used for baseline differences, Cox proportional hazard regression for mortality, logistic regression for post-discharge care requirements and readmission, and linear regression for length of stay. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, pre-fracture residence type and COVID-19.

There were 1822 patients (mean age 81 years; 72% female) of which 496/1822 (27.2%) had delirium (4AT score ≥4). Of 371/1822 (20.4%) patients that died within 180 days of admission, 177/371 (47.7%) had delirium during the acute stay. Delirium was associated with an increased 30- and 180-day mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.74 (95%CI 1.15-2.64; p=0.009 and 1.74 (1.36-2.22; p<0.001), respectively), ten day longer total inpatient stay [adj. B.coef 9.80 (standard error 2.26); p<0.001] and three-fold greater odds of higher care requirements on discharge [Odds Ratio 3.07 (95% Confidence Interval 2.27-4.15; p<0.001)].

More than a quarter of patients had delirium during the hip fracture stay, and this was independently associated with increased mortality, longer length of stay, and higher post-discharge care requirements. These findings are relevant for prognostication and service planning, and emphasise the importance of effective delirium screening and evidence-based interventions in this vulnerable population.


The aims of this study in relation to distal radius fractures were to determine (1) the floor and ceiling effects for the QuickDASH and PRWE, (2) the floor and ceiling effects when defined to be within the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) of the minimal or maximal scores, (3) the degree to which patients with a floor or ceiling effect felt that their wrist was ‘normal’, and (4) patent factors associated with a floor or ceiling effect.

A retrospective cohort study of patients sustaining a distal radius fracture during a single year was undertaken. Outcome measures included the QuickDASH, PRWE, EQ-5D-3L and normal wrist score.

There were 526 patients with a mean age of 65yrs and 77% were female. Most patients were managed non-operatively (73%, n=385). The mean follow-up was 4.8yrs. A ceiling effect was observed for both the QuickDASH (22.3%) and PRWE (28.5%). When defined to be within the MCID of the best score, the effect increased to 62.8% for the QuickDASH and 60% for PRWE. Patients that achieved the best functional outcome according to the QuickDASH and PRWE felt their wrist was only 91% and 92% normal, respectively. Sex (p=0.000), age (p=0.000), dominant wrist injury (p=0.006 for QuickDASH and p=0.038 for PRWE), fracture type (p=0.015), and a better health-related quality of life (p=0.000) were independently associated with achieving a ceiling score.

The QuickDASH and PRWE demonstrated ceiling effects following a distal radius fracture. Patients achieving ceiling scores did not consider their wrist to be ‘normal’ for them.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_5 | Pages 10 - 10
13 Mar 2023
Rankin C Coleman S Robinson P Murray I Clement N
Full Access

We aim to determine the differences in lower limb joint kinematics during the golf swing of patients who had undergone Total Knee Arthroplasty (TKA) and a control group of native knee golfers.

A case-control study was undertaken with ten golfers who had undergone TKA (cruciate retaining single radius implant) and five age and matched golfers with native knees. Each golfer performed five swings with a driver whilst being recorded at 200Hz by a ten-camera motion capture system. Knee and hip three-dimensional joint angles (JA) and joint angular velocities (JAV) were calculated and statistically compared between the groups at six swing events.

The only significant differences in knee joint kinematics between TKA and control groups was a lower external rotation JA in the left knee during the backswing (p=0.010). There was no significant difference in knee JAV between the groups. Both hips demonstrated significantly (p=0.023 for left and p=0.037 for right) lower flexion in the TKA group during the takeaway swing event, and there was lower internal rotation in the backswing and greater external rotation in the downswing of the right hip. There was also slower left hip extension JAV in the downswing.

Normal knee kinematics were observed during the golf swing following TKA, with the exception of reduced external rotation in the left knee during the back swing and the right during the down swing. The differences demonstrated in the hip motion indicate that they may make compensatory movements to adjust to the reduced external rotation demonstrated in the knee.