Aims. The aims of this study were to identify and evaluate the current literature examining the prognostic factors which are associated with failure of total elbow arthroplasty (TEA). Methods. Electronic literature searches were conducted using MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, and Cochrane. All studies reporting prognostic estimates for factors associated with the revision of a primary TEA were included. The risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool, and the quality of evidence was assessed using the modified Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) framework. Due to low quality of the evidence and the heterogeneous nature of the studies, a narrative synthesis was used. Results. A total of 19 studies met the inclusion criteria, investigating 28 possible prognostic factors. Most QUIPS domains (84%) were rated as moderate to high risk of bias. The quality of the evidence was low or very low for all prognostic factors. In low-quality evidence, prognostic factors with consistent associations with failure of TEA in more than one study were: the sequelae of trauma leading to TEA, either independently or combined with acute trauma, and male sex. Several other studies investigating sex reported no association. The evidence for other factors was of very low quality and mostly involved exploratory studies. Conclusion. The current evidence investigating the prognostic factors associated with failure of TEA is of low or very low quality, and studies generally have a moderate to high risk of bias. Prognostic factors are subject to uncertainty, should be interpreted with caution, and are of little clinical value. Higher-quality evidence is required to determine robust prognostic factors for failure of TEA. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2024;13(5):201–213

Aims. To map literature on prognostic factors related to outcomes of revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA), to identify extensively studied factors and to guide future research into what domains need further exploration. Methods. We performed a systematic literature search in MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science. The search string included multiple synonyms of the following keywords: "revision TKA", "outcome" and "prognostic factor". We searched for studies assessing the association between at least one prognostic factor and at least one outcome measure after rTKA surgery. Data on sample size, study design, prognostic factors, outcomes, and the direction of the association was extracted and included in an evidence map. Results. After screening of 5,660 articles, we included 166 studies reporting prognostic factors for outcomes after rTKA, with a median sample size of 319 patients (30 to 303,867). Overall, 50% of the studies reported prospectively collected data, and 61% of the studies were performed in a single centre. In some studies, multiple associations were reported; 180 different prognostic factors were reported in these studies. The three most frequently studied prognostic factors were reason for revision (213 times), sex (125 times), and BMI (117 times). Studies focusing on functional scores and patient-reported outcome measures as prognostic factor for the outcome after surgery were limited (n = 42). The studies reported 154 different outcomes. The most commonly reported outcomes after rTKA were: re-revision (155 times), readmission (88 times), and reinfection (85 times). Only five studies included costs as outcome. Conclusion. Outcomes and prognostic factors that are routinely registered as part of clinical practice (e.g. BMI, sex, complications) or in (inter)national registries are studied frequently. Studies on prognostic factors, such as functional and sociodemographic status, and outcomes as healthcare costs, cognitive and mental function, and psychosocial impact are scarce, while they have been shown to be important for patients with osteoarthritis. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(5):338–356

Aims. The aim of this study is to determine the predictors of overall survival (OS) and predictive factors of poor prognosis of conventional high-grade osteosarcoma of the limbs in a single-centre in South Africa. Methods. We performed a retrospective cross-sectional analysis to identify the prognostic factors that predict the OS of patients with histologically confirmed high-grade conventional osteosarcoma of the limbs over ten years. We employed the Cox proportional regression model and the Kaplan-Meier method for statistical analysis. Results. This study comprised 77 patients at a three-year minimum follow-up. The predictors of poor OS were: the median age of ≤ 19 years (hazard ratio (HR) 0.96; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92 to 0.99; p = 0.021); median duration of symptoms ≥ five months (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83 to 0.99; p < 0.037); metastasis at diagnosis (i.e. Enneking stage III) (HR 3.33; 95% CI 1.81 to 6.00; p < 0.001); increased alkaline phosphatase (HR 3.28; 95% CI 1.33 to 8.11; p < 0.010); palliative treatment (HR 7.27; 95% CI 2.69 to 19.70); p < 0.001); and amputation (HR 3.71; 95% CI 1.12 to 12.25; p < 0.032). In contrast, definitive surgery (HR 0.11; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.38; p < 0.001) and curative treatment (HR 0.18; 95% CI 0.10 to 0.33; p < 0.001) were a protective factor. The Kaplan-Meier median survival time was 24 months, with OS of 57.1% at the three years. The projected five-year event-free survival was 10.3% and OS of 29.8% (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.52 to 1.12; p = 0.128). Conclusion. In this series of high-grade conventional osteosarcoma of the appendicular skeleton from South Africa, 58.4% (n = 45) had detectable metastases at presentation; hence, an impoverished OS of five years was 29.8%. Large-scale future research is needed to validate our results. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(3):210–217

Aim. Preoperative serum CRP has been identified as an independent predictor in various malignancies. For osteosarcoma, however, the value of serological markers is unreliable. Aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic power of preoperative CRP in patients with osteosarcoma. Method. Out of our prospective database, 87 patients with osteosarcoma (43 female, 44 male with an average age of 20.4 years) have been identified with complete documentation of peri-operative CRP-levels, a minimum two year follow-up and after exclusion of concomitant infection, smoking-history or cardio-vascular disease. Pre-operative CRP before tumour resection was correlated with clinical and pathological factors, overall survival and infection rates in an uni- and multi-variate statistical model with and without landmark analysis. Results. Mean pre-operative serum CRP was 0.73mg/dL (range 0.0 to 8.5) and significantly correlated with overall survival, age at time of operation and histological subtype, but not with sex, tumour grading, response to chemotherapy, recurrent disease or post-operative infection in uni-variate analysis. Patients with CRP <1mg/dL had a five year overall survival of 70% compared to 43% for patients with CRP >1mg/dL (p=0.023). In multi-variate analysis both age and pre-operative CRP had an independent significant influence on overall survival. The hazard ratio for patients with elevated levels of CRP was 1.252. In a subgroup analysis of 60 patients with endoprosthetic replacement, pre-operative CRP was no significant predictor for deep prosthetic infection and infection was no significant predictor for overall survival with and without landmark-analysis though patients with infection showed lower levels of CRP. However, this difference was not significant. Conclusion. Pre-operative serum CRP is an independent prognostic factor for overall survival of patients with osteosarcoma, but not for infection. Its role in predicting response to established chemotherapies, as well as the controversially discussed impact of infection on survival will remain subject of multi-centre investigations

In the treatment of osteosarcoma, many reports in the literature outline that tumor response to chemotherapy directly correlates with disease-free survival and/or mortality. The aim of this study is to evaluate if the percentage of tumor necrosis is a sole prognostic indicator of overall survival in osteosarcoma patients. We retrospectively studied 33 osteosarcoma cases treated in our institution from 1997 to 2006. All patients were treated preoperatively with HDMTX chemotherapy. The percent necrosis of the excised specimen were compared with survival rates of the patients. Sixteen patients were good responders (Huvos III, IV- > 90% necrosis), 16 patients were poor responders (Huvos I, II- < 90% necrosis), and one patient died during preop. chemotherapy. With a mean follow-up of 5,48 years (3–12 years) 22 patients are NOD (not evident disease), in 8 patient disease progressed, 8 patients died. Statistical analysis could not establish a significant correlation between percent necrosis and patient survival. Outcome of osteosarcoma may be dependent on a variety of factors s.a. tumor size, location, metastasis, surgical therapy, pathologic fracture. Tumor necrosis itself may be dependent on the histological subtype of the tumor and P-glycoprotein expression. In this series we could not establish tumor necrosis as a sole prognostic factor of patient survival

Aims

Using tibial shaft fracture participants from a large, multicentre randomized controlled trial, we investigated if patient and surgical factors were associated with health-related quality of life (HRQoL) at one year post-surgery.

Introduction: We have shown that an IL6 haplotype (GGGA) associates with intervertebral disc disease (IDD) characterized by sciatica. However, its prognostic value for IDD is not known.

Materials and methods: DNA from 153 sciatica patients, who participated in a randomized controlled trial of periradicular infiltration, was analyzed for IL6 variations: c.1–597G> A, c.1–572G> C, c.1–174G> C, and c.486T> A (Genebank #NM_000600.1). Patients recorded back and leg pain intensity and duration (number of days with pain), Oswestry disability, and back-related sick leaves. Repeated measures ANCOVA with adjustment for age, gender and physical work load was used. Square root transformations of outcome data at one, two and three years after the intervention were used for skewed variables.

Results: The prevalence of the GGGA haplotype was 9% (14/153). Data was available from 10 (sick leaves) to 13 (VAS) subjects with and from 107 to 124 subjects without the haplotype. The groups did not differ with respect to pain intensities, or disability. Days with back and leg pain and sick leaves were significantly higher among subjects with the IL6 haplotype (p=0.024, 0.002 and 0.022, respectively). An interaction of the IL6 haplotype and physical work load was significant for duration of back and leg pain and sick leaves (p=0.010, 0.004 and 0.018, respectively).

Discussion: This is the first observation of any prognostic genotype among sciatica patients. The IL6 haplotype GGGA predicted the number of days with back or leg pain, and sickness absence. Subjects with the IL6 haplotype may be more vulnerable when exposed to physically demanding job.

Summary Statement

RANK is expressed in 18% of human osteosarcomas and is likely to provide additional prognostic information for clinical purposes in osteosarcoma patients at the time of diagnosis.

Purpose: Compared to paediatric cancer patients adolescents and young adults may have disadvantaged access to care. Therefore we investigated the correlation of patient, tumour and institutional characteristics with the outcome of osteosarcoma in this age group.

Method: Analysis of consecutive patients aged 15–24 years with newly diagnosed high-grade osteosarcoma entered into the Cooperative Osteosarcoma Study Group(COSS) registry 1980–2004 and treated in pediatric (PO) or medical oncology institutions (MO). Standardised multimodal therapy according to a COSS-protocol. Event-free survival rates (EFS) evaluated in relation to patient demographics and registering institution (MO vs PO and treatment volume as: < 1, 1–3 or > 3 osteosarcoma/year).

Results: 944 patients identified (median age: 17.35 years; range: 15.01–24.99; 79% aged < 20 years). Patients > 20 years were more likely than younger patients to be treated in centers with low treatment volume (p< .0001) and MO (p< .0001) but otherwise comparable. After a median follow-up of 5.59 years (range: 0.12 – 27.92) for all patients and 8.08 years (range: 0.19 – 27.92) for 617 survivors, actuarial 5/10 year event-free survival probability (EFS) was 58%/54%. Upon univariate analysis of the total cohort neither of the institutional variables correlated significantly with EFS. There was a correlation between treatment in PO and improved EFS for patients > 20 years (p=.001) and for those with primary metastases (p=.009). Upon multivariate testing type of center (odds ratio: 1.26; p=.022) but not treatment volume were significant.

Conclusion: Within a framework of standardised regimens and consultation supportby our group’s infrastructure, similar EFS-probabilites were obtained regardless of institutional treatment volumes. Observed variations in outcome between PO and MO may be partly due to different distributions of presenting factors but deserve further investigation.

Background. Clinical guidelines recommend epidural steroid injection (ESI) as a treatment option for severe disc-related sciatica, but there is considerable uncertainty about its effectiveness. Currently, we know very little about factors that might be associated with good or poor outcomes from ESI. The aim of this systematic review was to synthesize and appraise the evidence investigating prognostic factors associated with outcomes following ESI for patients with imaging confirmed disc-related sciatica. Methods. The search strategy involved the electronic databases Medline, Embase, CINAHL Plus, PsycINFO and reference lists of eligible studies. Selected papers were quality appraised independently by two reviewers using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Between study heterogeneity precluded statistical pooling of results. Results. 2726 citations were identified; 11 studies were eligible. Overall study quality was low with all judged to have moderate or high risk of bias. Forty-five prognostic factors were identified but were measured inconsistently. The most commonly assessed prognostic factors were related to pain and function (n=7 studies), imaging features (n=6 studies), health and lifestyle (n=5 studies), patient demographics (n=4 studies) and clinical assessment findings (n=4 studies). No prognostic factor was found to be consistently associated with outcomes following ESI. Most studies found no association or results that conflicted with other studies. Conclusions. There is little, and low quality, evidence to guide practice in terms of factors that predict outcomes in patients following ESI for disc-related sciatica. The results can help inform some of the decisions about potential prognostic factors that should be assessed in future well-designed prospective cohort studies. Conflicts of interest: No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding: This study is supported by Health Education England and the National Institute for Health Research (HEE/ NIHR ICA Programme Clinical Lectureship, Dr Siobhan Stynes, NIHR300441). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the National Institute for Health Research or the Department of Health and Social Care

Aims. To explore the effect of different durations of antibiotics after stage II reimplantation on the prognosis of two-stage revision for chronic periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Methods. This study involved a retrospective collection of patients who underwent two-stage revision for chronic PJI and continued to use extended antibiotic prophylaxis in two regional medical centres from January 2010 to June 2018. The patients were divided into a short (≤ one month) or a long (> one month) course of treatment based on the duration of antibiotics following stage II reimplantation. The difference in the infection control rate between the two groups was compared, and prognostic factors for recurrence were analyzed. Results. A total of 105 patients with chronic PJI were enrolled: 64 patients in the short course group and 41 patients in the long course group. For 99 of the patients, the infection was under control during a follow-up period of at least 24 months after two-stage revision. For the short course group, the mean duration of antibiotic prophylaxis after stage II reimplantation was 20.17 days (SD 5.30) and the infection control rate was 95.3%; for the long course group these were 45.02 days (SD 15.03) and 92.7%, respectively. There was no significant difference in infection control rates between the two groups (p = 0.676). Cox regression analysis found that methicillin-resistant staphylococcus infection (p = 0.015) was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence. Conclusion. After stage II reimplantation surgery of two-stage revision for chronic PJI, extended antibiotic prophylaxis for less than one month can achieve good infection control rate. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2021;10(12):790–796

Aim. The purpose of this study is to report the overall infection control rate and prognostic factors associated with acute, hematogenous and chronic PJIs treated with DAIR. Methods. All DAIR procedures performed at 2 institutions from 2009 to 2018 (n=104) were reviewed and numerous data were recorded, including demographics, preoperative laboratory tests, Charleston Comorbidity Index, surgical information and organism culture results. Treatment success was defined according to the criteria reported by Diaz-Ledezma. A multivariable analysis was utilized to identify prognostic factors associated with treatment and a Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to depict infection control rate as a function of time. Results. The overall treatment success rate in the current cohort of patients was 67.3% at a median 38.6 (23.5–90.7) months follow-up. Patients with a duration of infectious symptoms greater than 10 days were more likely to fail (P=0.035, odds ratio 8.492, 95% confidence interval 1.159–62.212). There was no difference among acute, hematogenous and chronic infections in terms of failure rate even when time was considered (p=0.161). Conclusion. With careful patient selection, DAIR is a reasonable treatment option for PJI and its use in the setting of chronic infection does not appear to be a contraindication. Performing the DAIR procedure within 10 days of the presentation of symptoms had higher rates of treatment success

Aims. Advances in treatment have extended the life expectancy of patients with metastatic bone disease (MBD). Patients could experience more skeletal-related events (SREs) as a result of this progress. Those who have already experienced a SRE could encounter another local management for a subsequent SRE, which is not part of the treatment for the initial SRE. However, there is a noted gap in research on the rate and characteristics of subsequent SREs requiring further localized treatment, obligating clinicians to extrapolate from experiences with initial SREs when confronting subsequent ones. This study aimed to investigate the proportion of MBD patients developing subsequent SREs requiring local treatment, examine if there are prognostic differences at the initial treatment between those with single versus subsequent SREs, and determine if clinical, oncological, and prognostic features differ between initial and subsequent SRE treatments. Methods. This retrospective study included 3,814 adult patients who received local treatment – surgery and/or radiotherapy – for bone metastasis between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2019. All included patients had at least one SRE requiring local treatment. A subsequent SRE was defined as a second SRE requiring local treatment. Clinical, oncological, and prognostic features were compared between single SREs and subsequent SREs using Mann-Whitney U test, Fisher’s exact test, and Kaplan–Meier curve. Results. Of the 3,814 patients with SREs, 3,159 (83%) patients had a single SRE and 655 (17%) patients developed a subsequent SRE. Patients who developed subsequent SREs generally had characteristics that favoured longer survival, such as higher BMI, higher albumin levels, fewer comorbidities, or lower neutrophil count. Once the patient got to the point of subsequent SRE, their clinical and oncological characteristics and one-year survival (28%) were not as good as those with only a single SRE (35%; p < 0.001), indicating that clinicians’ experiences when treating the initial SRE are not similar when treating a subsequent SRE. Conclusion. This study found that 17% of patients required treatments for a second, subsequent SRE, and the current clinical guideline did not provide a specific approach to this clinical condition. We observed that referencing the initial treatment, patients in the subsequent SRE group had longer six-week, 90-day, and one-year median survival than patients in the single SRE group. Once patients develop a subsequent SRE, they have a worse one-year survival rate than those who receive treatment for a single SRE. Future research should identify prognostic factors and assess the applicability of existing survival prediction models for better management of subsequent SREs. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2024;13(9):497–506

Aims. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with poor outcome following coccygectomy on patients with chronic coccydynia and instability of the coccyx. Methods. From the Danish National Spine Registry, DaneSpine, 134 consecutive patients were identified from a single centre who had coccygectomy from 2011 to 2019. Patient demographic data and patient-reported outcomes, including pain measured on a visual analogue scale (VAS), Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), EuroQol five-dimension five-level questionnaire, and 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey questionnaire (SF-36) were obtained at baseline and at one-year follow-up. Patient satisfaction was obtained at follow-up. Regression analysis, including age, sex, smoking status, BMI, duration of symptoms, work status, welfare payment, preoperative VAS, ODI, and SF-36 was performed to identify factors associated with dissatisfaction with results at one-year follow-up. Results. A minimum of one year follow-up was available in 112 patients (84%). Mean age was 41.9 years (15 to 78) and 97 of the patients were female (87%). Regression showed no statistically significant association between the investigated prognostic factors and a poor outcome following coccygectomy. The satisfied group showed a statistically significant improvement in patient-reported outcomes at one-year follow-up from baseline, whereas the dissatisfied group did not show a significant improvement. Conclusion. We did not identify factors associated with poor outcome following coccygectomy. This suggests that neither of the included parameters should be considered contraindications for coccygectomy in patients with chronic coccydynia and instability of the coccyx. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2021;2(7):540–544

Primary bone tumors are rare, complex and highly heterogeneous. Its diagnostic and treatment are a challenge for the multidisciplinary team. Developments on tumor biomarkers, immunohistochemistry, histology, molecular, bioinformatics, and genetics are fundamental for an early diagnosis and identification of prognostic factors. The personalized medicine allows an effective patient tailored treatment. The bone biopsy is essential for diagnosis. Treatment may include systemic therapy and local therapy. Frequently, a limb salvage surgery includes wide resection and reconstruction with endoprosthesis, biological or composites. The risk for local recurrence and distant metastases depends on the primary tumor and treatment response. Cancer patients are living longer and bone metastases are increasing. Bone is the third most frequently location for distant lesions. Bone metastases are associated to pain, pathological fractures, functional impairment, and neurological deficits. It impacts survival and patient quality of life. The treatment of metastatic disease is a challenge due to its complexity and heterogeneity, vascularization, reduced size and limited access. It requires a multidisciplinary treatment and depending on different factors it is palliative or curative-like treatment. For multiple bone metastases it is important to relief pain and increases function in order to provide the best quality of life and expect to prolong survival. Advances in nanotechnology, bioinformatics, and genomics, will increase biomarkers for early detection, prognosis, and targeted treatment effectiveness. We are taking the leap forward in precision medicine and personalized care

The prevalence of gluteal tendinopathy (GT) associated with osteoarthritis of the hip is difficult to determine as it is frequently undiagnosed or misdiagnosed as trochanteric bursitis. Its relationship to total hip arthroplasty (THA) outcomes is currently unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of GT at the time of hip arthroplasty and examine the relationship between GT and patient reported outcomes (PROMS) before and after THA. Patients undergoing THA for primary osteoarthritis between August 2017 and August 2020 were recruited. Tendinopathy was assessed and graded at time of surgery. PROMS included the Oxford Hip Score (OHS), HOOS JR, EQ-5D, and were collected preoperatively and at one year after THA. Satisfaction with surgery was also assessed at 1 year. 797 patients met eligibility criteria and were graded as Grade 1: normal tendons (n =496, 62%), Grade 2: gluteal tendinopathy but no tear (n=222, 28%), Grade 3: partial/full thickness tears or bare trochanter (n=79, 10%). Patients with abnormal gluteal tendons were older (p=0.001), had a higher mean BMI (p=0.01), and were predominately female (p=0.001). Patients with higher grade tendinopathy had statistically significant inferior PROMS at one year, OHS score (44.1 v 42.9 v 41.3, p 0.001) HOOS JR (89.3 V 86.3 V 85.6 p 0.005). Increasing gluteal tendon grade was associated with a greater incidence of problems with mobility (p=0.001), usual activities (p=0.001) and pain (p=0.021) on EQ5D. There was a 3 times relative risk of overall dissatisfaction with THA in the presence of gluteal tears. This study demonstrated that gluteal tendinopathy was commonly observed and associated with inferior 1-year PROMS in patients undergoing THA for OA. Increasing degree of tendinopathy was a negative prognostic factor for worse functional outcomes and patient satisfaction

The Spine Surgery Unit of IRCCS Istituto Ortopedico Rizzoli is dedicated to the diagnosis and the treatment of vertebral pathologies of oncologic, degenerative, and post-traumatic origin. To achieve increasingly challenging goals, research has represented a further strength for Spinal Surgery Unit for several years. Thanks to the close synergy with the Complex Structure Surgical Sciences and Technologies, IRCCS Istituto Ortopedico Rizzoli, extensive research was carried out. The addition of the research activities intensifies a complementary focus and provides a unique opportunity of innovation. The overall goal of spine research for the Spine Surgery Unit and for the Complex Structure Surgical Sciences and Technologies is and has been to:. - investigate the factors that influence normal spine function;. - engineer and validate new and advanced strategies for improving segmental spinal instrumentation, fusion augmentation and grafting;. - develop and characterize advanced and alternative preclinical models of vertebral bone metastasis to test drugs and innovative strategies, taking into account patient individual characteristics and specific tumour subtypes so predicting patient specific responses;. - evaluate the clinical characteristics, treatment modalities, and potential contributing and prognostic factors in patients with vertebral bone metastases;. - realize customized prosthesis to replace vertebral bodies affected by tumours or major traumatic events, specifically engineered to reduce infections, and increase patients’ surgical options. These efforts have made possible to obtain important results that favour the translation of basic research to application at the patient's bedside, and from here to routine clinical practice (without excluding the opposite pathway, in which the evidence generated by clinical practice helps to guide research). Although translational research can provide patients with valuable therapeutic resources, it is not risk-free. Thus, it is therefore necessary an always close collaboration between researchers and clinicians in order to guarantee the ethicality of translational research, by promoting the good of individuals and minimising the risks

Aims. Surgical limb sparing for knee-bearing paediatric bone sarcoma is considered to have a clinically significant influence on postoperative function due to complications and leg-length discrepancies. However, researchers have not fully evaluated the long-term postoperative functional outcomes. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to elucidate the risk factors and long-term functional prognosis associated with paediatric limb-sparing surgery. Methods. We reviewed 40 patients aged under 14 years who underwent limb-sparing surgery for knee bone sarcoma (15 cases in the proximal tibia and 25 in the distal femur) between January 2000 and December 2013, and were followed up for a minimum of five years. A total of 35 patients underwent reconstruction using artificial materials, and five underwent biological reconstruction. We evaluated the patients’ postoperative complications, survival rate of reconstruction material, and limb, limb function, and leg-length discrepancy at the final follow-up, as well as the risk factors for each. Results. Complications were observed in 55% (22/40) of patients. The limb survival and reconstruction material rates at five and ten years were 95% and 91%, and 88% and 66%, respectively. Infection was the only risk factor in both survivals (p < 0.001, p = 0.019). In the 35 patients with limb preservation, the median International Society of Limb Salvage (ISOLS) score at the final follow-up was 80 (47% to 97%). Younger age (p = 0.027) and complications (p = 0.005) were poor prognostic factors. A negative correlation was found between age and leg-length discrepancy (R = −0.426; p = 0.011). The ISOLS scores were significantly lower in patients with a leg-length discrepancy of more than 5 cm (p = 0.005). Conclusion. Young age and complications were linked to an unfavourable functional prognosis. Leg-length correction was insufficient, especially in very young children, resulting in decreased function of the affected limb. Limb-sparing surgery for these children remains a considerable challenge. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(10):868–878

Background. Low back pain can lead to neuroplastic changes in the central nervous system, known as nociplastic pain. As nociplastic pain may be provoked by premorbid sensory profiles, such profiles may be prognostic in the development of nociplastic pain over time. Objectives. To investigate whether four sensory profiles are prognostic in the development of symptoms of nociplastic pain in people with acute low back pain. Methods. A longitudinal type 2 prognostic factor research study was performed in accordance with the PROGRESS framework, using a baseline and a follow-up after 12 weeks, between the Adolescent/Adult Sensory Profile and the Central Sensitisation Inventory. Study participants were consecutively included from primary care physiotherapy practices randomly spread throughout the Netherlands. A multivariable regression analysis was performed to adjust sensory profiles by the level of pain, disability, age, and duration of low back pain. Results. After adjustment Low Registration B=0.41, 95%CI (0.37, 0.99), Sensory Seeking B=0.37, 95%CI (0.24, 0.73), Sensory Sensitive B=0.51, 95%CI (0.50, 1.06), Sensation Avoiding B=0.46, 95%CI (0.43, 0.99) were significantly associated with the development of nociplastic pain symptoms. Conclusion. Sensory profiles in people with acute low back pain predict symptoms of nociplastic pain after 12 weeks. Conflict of interest: No conflict of interest. Sources of funding: No funding obtained

Many studies report the incidence and prevalence of surgical site infections (SSIs) following open fractures; however, there is limited information on the treatment and subsequent outcomes of superficial SSIs in open fracture patients. There is also a lack of clinical studies describing the prognostic factors that are associated with failure of antibiotic treatment (non-operative) for superficial SSI. To address this gap, we used data from the FLOW (Fluid Lavage in Open Fracture Wounds) trial to determine how successful antibiotic treatment was for superficial SSIs and to identify prognostic factors that could be predictive of antibiotic treatment failure. This is a secondary analysis of the FLOW trial dataset. The FLOW trial included 2,445 operatively managed open fracture patients. FLOW participants who had a non-operatively managed superficial SSI diagnosed in the 12 months post-fracture were included in this analysis. Participants were grouped into two categories: 1) participants whose superficial SSI resolved with antibiotics alone and 2) participants whose SSI did not resolve with antibiotics alone (defined as requiring surgical management or SSI being unresolved at final follow-up (12-months post-fracture for the FLOW trial)). Antibiotic treatment success and the date when this occurred was defined by the treating surgeon. A logistic binary regression analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with superficial SSI antibiotic success. Based on biologic rationale and previous literature, a priori we identified 13 (corresponding to 14 levels) potential factors to be included in the regression model. Superficial SSIs were diagnosed in168 participants within 12 months of their fracture. Of these, 139 (82.7%) had their superficial SSI treated with antibiotics alone. The antibiotic treatment was successful in resolving the superficial SSI in 97 participants (69.8%) and unsuccessful in resolving the SSI in 42 participants (30.2%). We found that superficial SSIs that were diagnosed later in follow-up were associated with failure of treatment with antibiotic alone (Odds ratio 1.05 for every week in diagnosis delay, 95% Confidence Interval 1.004–1.099; p=0.03). Age, sex, fracture severity, fracture pattern, wound size, time from injury to initial surgical irrigation and debridement were not associated with antibiotic treatment failure. Our secondary analysis of prospectively collected FLOW data found antibiotics alone resolved superficial SSIs in 69.8% of patients diagnosed with superficial SSIs. We also found that superficial SSIs that were diagnosed earlier in follow-up were associated with successful treatment with antibiotics alone. This suggests that if superficial SSIs are diagnosed and treated promptly, there is a higher probability that they will resolve with antibiotic treatment