Abstract
The defining weapon of the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan has been the Improvised Explosive Device (IEDs). When detonated under a vehicle, they result in significant axial loading to the lower limbs, resulting in devastating injuries. Due to the absence of clinical blast data, automotive injury data using the Abbreviated Injury Score (AIS) has been extrapolated to define current NATO injury thresholds for Anti-vehicle (AV) mine tests. We hypothesized that AIS, being a marker of fatality rather than disability would be a worse predictor of poor clinical outcome compared to the lower limb specific Foot and Ankle Severity Score (FASS).
Using a prospectively collected trauma database, we identified UK Service Personnel sustaining lower leg injuries from under-vehicle explosions from Jan 2006–Dec 2008. A full review of all medical documentation was performed to determine patient demographics and the severity of lower leg injury, as assessed by AIS and FASS. Clinical endpoints were defined as (i) need for amputation or (ii) poor clinical outcome. Statistical models were developed in order to explore the relationship between the scoring systems and clinical endpoints.
63 UK casualties (89 limbs) were identified with a lower limb injury following under-vehicle explosion. The mean age of the casualty was 26.0 yrs. At 33.6 months follow-up, 29.1% (26/89) required an amputation and a further 74.6% (41/89) having a poor clinical outcome (amputation or ongoing clinical problems). Only 9(14%) casualties were deemed medically fit to return to full military duty. ROC analysis revealed that both AIS=2 and FASS=4 could predict the risk of amputation, with FASS = 4 demonstrating greater specificity (43% vs 20%) and greater positive predictive value (72% vs 32%). In predicting poor clinical outcome, FASS was significantly superior to AIS (p<0.01). Probit analysis revealed that a relationship could not be developed between AIS and the probability of a poor clinical outcome (p=0.25).
Foot and ankle injuries following AV mine blast are associated with significant morbidity. Our study clearly demonstrates that AIS is not a predictor of long-term clinical outcome and that FASS would be a better quantitative measure of lower limb injury severity. There is a requirement to reassess the current injury criteria used to evaluate the potential of mitigation technologies to help reduce long-term disability in military personnel. Our study highlights the critical importance of utilising contemporary battlefield injury data in order to ensure that the evaluation of mitigation measures is appropriate to the injury profile and their long-term effects.
