Abstract
Posterior lumbar fusion is one of the most frequent procedures in spinal surgery. This study examined which factors predict physician-based outcomes in posterior lumbar fusion within the international spine registry Spine Tango.
This study used prospective consecutive hospital based documentation. Between May 2005 and October 2007 720 patients had been treated with posterior lumbar fusion for degenerative disease or spondylolisthesis. McNab criteria as commonly used physician-based outcomes were chosen as dependent outcome variable. We dichotomised the original McNab criteria combining “excellent” with “good” to “good”, and “fair” with “poor” to “poor”. Multivariate logistic regression was performed on following potential predictor-variables: age, gender, main pathology, number of previous spinal surgeries, number of spinal segments of posterior fusion, operation time, surgeon credentials, follow-up interval.
Median age was 63 years (range 13–90 yrs) with a female to male ratio of 6.3:3.7. Number of previous spinal surgeries (p< 0.001) and follow-up interval (p< 0.001) were found to be predictors of the dichotomised McNab criteria. Patients without previous spinal surgery showed the highest ratio of “good” to “poor” outcome (80.5%:19.5%). This ratio was almost consistently decreasing with the number of previous spinal surgeries to 40%:60% in patients with more than five previous surgeries. At six and twelve-weeks follow-up outcomes were significantly better than after one year, without significant differences between other follow-up intervals. Other examined co-variables showed no influence on the outcomes.
Predictors of physician-based outcomes in posterior lumbar fusion are “number of previous spinal surgeries” and “follow-up interval”. In patients with more than five previous spinal surgeries a higher likelihood of “poor” outcomes should be taken into consideration. A too positive outcome may occur at six or twelve-week’s follow-up.
Correspondence should be addressed to Associate Professor N. Susan Stott, Orthopaedic Department, Starship Children’s Hospital, Private Bag 92024, Auckland, New Zealand.
