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The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 78-B, Issue 3 | Pages 395 - 399
1 May 1996
van Laarhoven CJHM Meeuwis JD van der Werken C

In a prospective, randomised trial of 81 patients with fractures of the ankle of AO types A, B and C we compared two regimes of postoperative management after internal fixation. The patients were mobilised either non-weight-bearing with crutches or weight-bearing in a below-knee walking plaster. We found a temporary benefit in subjective evaluation only (65 v 50 points, Mann-Whitney test, cft, p = 0.02) for those with a below-knee walking plaster. There were no significant differences between the groups in the loaded dorsal range of movement (25° v 23°, Mann-Whitney test, cft, p = 0.16) or in the overall clinical result. Both treatments were considered to be satisfactory and their choice depends on the ability to mobilise non-weight-bearing, wound healing, the type of work and personal preference


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 99-B, Issue 11 | Pages 1526 - 1532
1 Nov 2017
Tarride JE Hopkins RB Blackhouse G Burke N Bhandari M Johal H Guyatt GH Busse JW

Aims. This 501-patient, multi-centre, randomised controlled trial sought to establish the effect of low-intensity, pulsed, ultrasound (LIPUS) on tibial shaft fractures managed with intramedullary nailing. We conducted an economic evaluation as part of this trial. Patients and Methods. Data for patients’ use of post-operative healthcare resources and time taken to return to work were collected and costed using publicly available sources. Health-related quality of life, assessed using the Health Utilities Index Mark-3 (HUI-3), was used to derive quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and QALYs were compared between LIPUS and control (a placebo device) from a payer and societal perspective using non-parametric bootstrapping. All costs are reported in 2015 Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated. Results. With a cost per device of $3,995, the mean cost was significantly higher for patients treated with LIPUS versus placebo from a payer (mean increase = $3647, 95% confidence interval (CI) $3244 to $4070; p < 0.001) or a societal perspective (mean increase = $3425, 95% CI $1568 to $5283; p < 0.001). LIPUS did not provide a significant benefit in terms of QALYs gained (mean difference = 0.023 QALYs, 95% CI -0.035 to 0.069; p = 0.474). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of LIPUS compared with placebo were $155 433/QALY from a payer perspective and $146 006/QALY from a societal perspective. Conclusion. At the current price, LIPUS is not cost-effective for fresh tibial fractures managed with intramedullary nailing. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B:1526–32


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 76-B, Issue 1 | Pages 99 - 102
1 Jan 1994
Rubinstein E Findler G Amit P Shaked I

We investigated the efficacy of a single dose of 1 g of cephazolin in reducing postoperative infections in patients undergoing 'clean' operations on the lumbar spine. In a double-blind, randomised, trial there were 21 wound or urinary infections in the 71 patients who received placebo and nine in the 70 who received cephazolin (p < 0.05). Nine of the placebo patients (12.7%) developed wound infections (complicated by bacteraemia in two) compared with three (4.3%) in the cephazolin group (p = 0.07). Hospital stay was longer for infected patients than for non-infected patients (p < 0.05). Cephazolin-resistant pathogens were isolated more frequently from patients who received cephazolin than from those who received placebo


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 83-B, Issue 5 | Pages 650 - 654
1 Jul 2001
Graham B Detsky AS

Osteoarthritis of the wrist is a complication of a number of common traumatic conditions. Arthrodesis of the radiocarpal joint, proximal row carpectomy and excision of the scaphoid, combined with midcarpal arthrodesis, have all been reported as surgical options. There have been no randomised studies comparing these procedures, and the feasibility of conducting this type of trial is limited. We used decision analysis to compare the three surgical techniques. The variables for the model used were based principally on data from the literature. Extensive sensitivity analyses were carried out to test the impact of the values given to these variables on the outcome of the model. The model indicated that the preferred treatment is proximal row carpectomy. Decision analysis allows a comparison between alternative treatments, when evidence from a randomised trial is lacking or unobtainable. The decision-analysis model may also provide insight into aspects of a problem which would be difficult, or impossible, to evaluate by a cohort study


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 63-B, Issue 3 | Pages 357 - 361
1 Aug 1981
Sikorski J Barrington R

A prospective randomised trial of surgical treatment for the displaced subcapital femoral fracture in patients of 70 years or more is presented. Two hundred and eighteen patients were randomly allocated into one of three treatment groups: manipulative reduction and internal fixation using Garden screws; Thompson hemiarthroplasty through a posterior (Moore) approach; and Thompson hemiarthroplasty through an anterolateral (McKee) approach. There is no significant difference in the mortality of the internal fixation and posterior arthroplasty groups. Both groups showed a significantly higher mortality than patients operated on through the anterior approach. The technical results of operation were worse in the internally fixed group, with only 40 per cent being satisfactory. Mobilisation was best achieved after the posterior approach. It is concluded that Thompson hemiarthroplasty, using an anterolateral approach, is the safest operation in this group of patients


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 98-B, Issue 11 | Pages 1497 - 1504
1 Nov 2016
Dingemans SA Rammelt S White TO Goslings JC Schepers T

Aims. In approximately 20% of patients with ankle fractures, there is an concomitant injury to the syndesmosis which requires stabilisation, usually with one or more syndesmotic screws. The aim of this review is to evaluate whether removal of the syndesmotic screw is required in order for the patient to obtain optimal functional recovery. Materials and Methods. A literature search was conducted in Medline, Embase and the Cochrane Library for articles in which the syndesmotic screw was retained. Articles describing both removal and retaining of syndesmotic screws were included. Excluded were biomechanical studies, studies not providing patient related outcome measures, case reports, studies on skeletally immature patients and reviews. No restrictions regarding year of publication and language were applied. Results. A total of 329 studies were identified, of which nine were of interest, and another two articles were added after screening the references. In all, two randomised controlled trials (RCT) and nine case-control series were found. The two RCTs found no difference in functional outcome between routine removal and retaining the syndesmotic screw. All but one of the case-control series found equal or better outcomes when the syndesmotic screw was retained. However, all included studies had substantial methodological flaws. Conclusions. The currently available literature does not support routine elective removal of syndesmotic screws. However, the literature is of insufficient quality to be able to draw definitive conclusions. Secondary procedures incur a provider and institutional cost and expose the patient to the risk of complications. Therefore, in the absence of high quality evidence there appears to be little justification for routine removal of syndesmotic screws. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:1497–1504


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 84-B, Issue 5 | Pages 716 - 719
1 Jul 2002
Wilkinson AG Sherlock DA Murray GD

We have reviewed the outcome of 134 hips in 96 children with Graf type-III or type-IV dysplasia of the hip on ultrasound examination. We treated 28 affected hips in 22 children with the Craig splint, 43 hips in 30 children with the Pavlik harness, and 26 hips in 16 children with the von Rosen splint. A total of 37 affected hips in 28 children was not splinted. All children were less than three months of age at referral. Those treated with the von Rosen splint had a significantly better ultrasound appearance at 12 to 20 weeks of age and fewer radiological abnormalities than those not splinted or treated with the Pavlik harness. In the von Rosen group no hip required further treatment with an abduction plaster or operation compared with ten in the Pavlik harness group, three in the Craig splint group and eight in the group without splintage. Our results suggest that the von Rosen splint is more likely to improve the outcome of neonatal dysplasia of the hip and a definitive, large-scale randomised trial is therefore indicated


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 98-B, Issue 12 | Pages 1620 - 1624
1 Dec 2016
Pailhé R Cognault J Massfelder J Sharma A Rouchy R Rubens-Duval B Saragaglia D

Aims. The role of high tibial osteotomy (HTO) is being questioned by the use of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) in the treatment of medial compartment femorotibial osteoarthritis. Our aim was to compare the outcomes of revision HTO or UKA to a total knee arthroplasty (TKA) using computer-assisted surgery in matched groups of patients. Patients and Methods. We conducted a retrospective study to compare the clinical and radiological outcome of patients who underwent revision of a HTO to a TKA (group 1) with those who underwent revision of a medial UKA to a TKA (group 2). All revision procedures were performed using computer-assisted surgery. We extracted these groups of patients from our database. They were matched by age, gender, body mass index, follow-up and pre-operative functional score. The outcomes included the Knee Society Scores (KSS), radiological outcomes and the rate of further revision. Results. There were 20 knees in 20 patients in each group. The mean follow-up was 4.1 years (2 to 18.7). The mean total KSS at last follow-up was 185.7 (standard deviation (. sd. ) 5) in group 1 compared with 176.5 (. sd. 11) for group 2 (p = 0.003). The mean hip-knee-ankle angle was 180.2° (. sd. 3.2°) in group 1 and 179.0° (. sd. 2.2°) in group 2. No revision was required. Conclusion. We found that good functional and radiological outcomes followed revision of both HTO and UKA to TKA. Revision of HTO showed significantly better functional outcomes. These results need to be further investigated by a prospective randomised controlled trial involving a larger group of patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:1620–4


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 86-B, Issue 4 | Pages 566 - 573
1 May 2004
Van der Linden YM Dijkstra PDS Kroon HM Lok JJ Noordijk EM Leer JWH Marijnen CAM

A number of risk factors based upon mostly retrospective surgical data, have been formulated in order to identify impending pathological fractures of the femur from low-risk metastases. We have followed up patients taking part in a randomised trial of radiotherapy, prospectively, in order to determine if these factors were effective in predicting fractures. In 102 patients with 110 femoral lesions, 14 fractures occurred during follow-up. The risk factors studied were increasing pain, the size of the lesion, radiographic appearance, localisation, transverse/axial/circumferential involvement of the cortex and the scoring system of Mirels. Only axial cortical involvement > 30 mm (p = 0.01), and circumferential cortical involvement > 50% (p = 0.03) were predictive of fracture. Mirels’ scoring system was insufficiently specific to predict a fracture (p = 0.36). Our results indicate that most conventional risk factors overestimate the actual occurrence of pathological fractures of the femur. The risk factor of axial cortical involvement provides a simple, objective tool in order to decide which treatment is appropriate


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 78-B, Issue 2 | Pages 217 - 219
1 Mar 1996
Hubbard MJS

In a prospective randomised trial 76 knees with isolated degenerative changes in the medial femoral condyle of grades 3 or 4 were treated by either arthroscopic debridement (40) or washout (36). All knees were followed up for at least one year and 58 for five years. The mean follow-up time was 4.5 years in the debridement group and 4.3 years in the washout group. At one year 32 of the debridement group and five of the washout group were painfree and at five years 19 of a total of 32 survivors in the debridement group and three of the 26 in the washout group were also free from pain. The mean improvement in a modified Lysholm score was 28 for the debridement group at one year and 21 at five years. In the washout group it was only 5 at one year and 4 at five years. For knees with lesions of the medial femoral condyle of grades 3 or 4, arthroscopic debridement appears to be the treatment of choice with over half the patients free from pain after five years


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 77-B, Issue 6 | Pages 870 - 874
1 Nov 1995
Koo K Kim R Ko G Song H Jeong S Cho S

We performed a randomised trial on 37 hips (33 patients) with early-stage osteonecrosis (ON). After the initial clinical evaluation, including plain radiography and MRI, 18 hips were randomly assigned to a core-decompression group and 19 to a conservatively-treated group. All the patients were regularly followed up by clinical evaluation, plain radiography and MRI at intervals of three months. Hip pain was relieved in nine out of ten initially symptomatic hips in the core-decompression group but persisted in three out of four initially painful hips in the conservatively-treated group at the second assessment (p < 0.05). At a minimum follow-up of 24 months, 14 of the 18 core-decompressed hips (78%) and 15 of the 19 non-operated hips (79%) developed collapse of the femoral head. By survival analysis, there was no significant difference in the time to collapse between the two groups (log-rank test p = 0.79). Core decompression may be effective tin symptomatic relief, but is of no greater value than conservative management in preventing collapse in early osteonecrosis of the femoral head


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 83-B, Issue 8 | Pages 1173 - 1175
1 Nov 2001
Davidson JS Brown DJ Barnes SN Bruce CE

Torus (buckle) fractures of the distal radius are common in childhood. Based on the results of a postal questionnaire and a prospective, randomised trial, we describe a simple treatment for this injury, which saves both time and money. Over a six-month period, we randomised 201 consecutive patients with this injury to treatment with either a traditional forearm plaster-of-Paris cast or a ‘Futura-type’ wrist splint. All patients were treated for a period of three weeks, followed by clinical and radiological review. There was no difference in outcome between the two groups, and all patients had a good result. Only one patient did not tolerate the splint which was replaced by a cast. The questionnaire showed a marked variation in the way in which these injuries are treated with regard to the method and period of immobilisation, the number of follow-up visits and radiographs taken. We suggest that a ‘Futura-type’ wrist splint can be used to treat these fractures. The patient should be reviewed on the following day to confirm the diagnosis and to give appropriate advice. There is no evidence that further follow-up is required. This simple treatment has major benefits in terms of cost and reduction of the number of attendances


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 98-B, Issue 8 | Pages 1043 - 1049
1 Aug 2016
Huijbregts HJTAM Khan RJK Fick DP Hall MJ Punwar SA Sorensen E Reid MJ Vedove SD Haebich S

Aims. We conducted a randomised controlled trial to assess the accuracy of positioning and alignment of the components in total knee arthroplasty (TKA), comparing those undertaken using standard intramedullary cutting jigs and those with patient-specific instruments (PSI). Patients and Methods. There were 64 TKAs in the standard group and 69 in the PSI group. The post-operative hip-knee-ankle (HKA) angle and positioning was investigated using CT scans. Deviation of > 3° from the planned position was regarded as an outlier. The operating time, Oxford Knee Scores (OKS) and Short Form-12 (SF-12) scores were recorded. Results. There were 14 HKA-angle outliers (22%) in the standard group and nine (13%) in the PSI group (p = 0.251). The mean HKA-angle was 0.5° varus in the standard group and 0.2° varus in the PSI group (p = 0.492). The accuracy of alignment in the coronal and axial planes and the proportion of outliers was not different in the two groups. The femoral component was more flexed (p = 0.035) and there were significantly more tibial slope outliers (29% versus 13%) in the PSI group (p = 0.032). Operating time and the median three-month OKS were similar (p = 0.218 and p = 0.472, respectively). Physical and mental SF-12 scores were not significantly different at three months (p = 0.418 and p = 0.267, respectively) or at one year post-operatively (p = 0.114 and p = 0.569). The median one-year Oxford knee score was two points higher in the PSI group (p = 0.049). Conclusion. Compared with standard intramedullary jigs, the use of PSI did not significantly reduce the number of outliers or the mean operating time, nor did it clinically improve the accuracy of alignment or the median Oxford Knee Scores. Our data do not support the routine use of PSI when undertaking TKA. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:1043–9


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 83-B, Issue 2 | Pages 206 - 212
1 Mar 2001
Davison JNS Calder SJ Anderson GH Ward G Jagger C Harper WM Gregg PJ

We performed a prospective, randomised trial comparing three treatments for displaced intracapsular fractures of the hip in 280 patients aged 65 to 79 years. The mean patient survival was significantly higher in the group undergoing reduction and internal fixation (79 months) compared with that with a cemented Thompson hemiarthroplasty or a cemented Monk bipolar hemiarthroplasty (61 months and 68 months, respectively). After three years, 32 of 93 patients (34.4%) who had undergone fixation had local complications, necessitating further intervention in 28 (30%). There were no significant differences in the functional outcome in survivors, who were reviewed annually to five years. Either reduction and internal fixation or cemented hemiarthroplasty may be offered as alternative treatments for a displaced intracapsular fracture in a mobile and mentally competent patient under the age of 80 years. The choice of procedure by the patient and the surgeon should be determined by the realisation that the use of internal fixation is associated with a 30% risk of failure requiring further surgery. If this is accepted, however, hemiarthroplasty is avoided, which, in our study has a significantly shorter mean survival time. The use of a bipolar prosthesis has no significant advantage


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 99-B, Issue 2 | Pages 151 - 158
1 Feb 2017
Huang T Long Y George D Wang W

Aims. There are two techniques widely used to determine the rotational alignment of the components in total knee arthroplasty (TKA); gap balancing (GB) and measured resection (MR). Which technique is the best remains controversial. We aimed to investigate this in a systematic review and meta-analysis. Materials and Methods. In accordance with the methods of Cochrane, databases were searched for all randomised controlled trials in the literature between January 1986 and June 2015 comparing radiographic and clinical outcomes between the use of these two tecniques. Meta-analysis involved the use of the Revman5.3 software provided by Cochrane collaboration. Results. A total of 1464 papers were initially identified, and after the application of rigourous inclusion and exclusion critera, eight were included in the study. In total they inolved 980 TKAs. The meta-analysis showed that GB techniques resulted in statistically significant improvements in the restoration of mechanical and rotational alignment and mean Knee Society Scores and Knee Society Function scores two years post-operatively, but resulted in greater elevation of the position of the joint line. There is no significant difference in the other radiographic data. Conclusion. This study suggests that GB may provide better radiographic and clinical outcomes than MR when used to determine mechanical rotation in TKAs. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B:151–8


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 67-B, Issue 2 | Pages 305 - 309
1 Mar 1985
Pini M Spadini E Carluccio L Giovanardi C Magnani E Ugolotti U Uggeri E

In a randomised trial we compared the effects of two different antithrombotic regimens on the incidence of venographically established deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in 83 patients undergoing surgery for fracture of the femoral neck. Group A received dextran 40 peroperatively plus 0.5 g aspirin a day beginning before operation and continuing for 10 days after. Group B received heparin calcium 5000 iu subcutaneously plus dihydroergotamine (DHE) 0.5 mg intramuscularly, given 8-hourly, beginning before operation and continuing for 10 days after. Two patients in Group A and three in Group B developed proximal DVT, while the incidence of all DVT was 33% in Group A and 29% in Group B, a difference which was not significant. Haemorrhagic complications were much more common in the dextran/aspirin group: the volume of drainage fluid, the number of patients transfused and quantity of blood transfused, and the drop in haemoglobin level were all significantly greater in Group A. We conclude that the DHE/heparin regime is preferable to dextran/aspirin because it is safer and no less effective


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 85-B, Issue 5 | Pages 671 - 674
1 Jul 2003
Straw R Kulkarni S Attfield S Wilton TJ

We report the results of a prospective randomised trial which assessed the role of the posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) following total knee replacement (Genesis I; Smith and Nephew, Memphis, Tennessee). Over a four-year period, 211 patients underwent total knee replacement by the senior author (TJW). They were randomised at surgery to have the PCL either retained, excised or substituted with a posterior stabilised insert. If it was not possible to retain the ligament due to soft-tissue imbalance, it was released from its tibial insertion until suitable tension was obtained. This created a fourth group, those who were intended preoperatively to have the ligament retained, but in whom it was partially released as a result of findings at the time of surgery. All patients were evaluated using the Knee Society rating system (adapted from Insall). A total of 188 patients (212 knees) was available for follow-up at a mean of 3.5 years after surgery. Preoperatively, there was a varus deformity in 191 knees (90%) and a valgus deformity in 21 (10%). There were no statistical differences in the knee or function scores or the range of movement between the excised, retained and substituted groups. There were, however, significantly worse knee and function scores in the group in whom the PCL was released (p = 0.002)


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 84-B, Issue 6 | Pages 886 - 890
1 Aug 2002
Holen KJ Tegnander A Bredland T Johansen OJ Sæther OD Eik-Nes SH Terjesen T

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether universal (all neonates) or selective (neonates belonging to the risk groups) ultrasound screening of the hips should be recommended at birth. We carried out a prospective, randomised trial between 1988 and 1992, including all newborn infants at our hospital. A total of 15 529 infants was randomised to either clinical screening and ultrasound examination of all hips or clinical screening of all hips and ultrasound examination only of those at risk. The effect of the screening was assessed by the rate of late detection of congenital or developmental hip dysplasia in the two groups. During follow-up of between six and 11 years, only one late-detected hip dysplasia was seen in the universal group, compared with five in the subjective group, representing a rate of 0.13 and 0.65 per 1000, respectively. The difference in late detection between the two groups was not statistically significant (p = 0.22). When clinical screening is of high quality, as in our study, the effect of an additional ultrasound examination, measured as late-presenting hip dysplasia, is marginal. Under such circumstances, we consider that universal ultrasound screening is not necessary, but recommend selective ultrasound screening for neonates with abnormal or suspicious clinical findings and those with risk factors for hip dysplasia


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 94-B, Issue 11_Supple_A | Pages 153 - 156
1 Nov 2012
Su EP Perna M Boettner F Mayman DJ Gerlinger T Barsoum W Randolph J Lee G

Pain, swelling and inflammation are expected during the recovery from total knee arthroplasty (TKA) surgery. The severity of these factors and how a patient copes with them may determine the ultimate outcome of a TKA. Cryotherapy and compression are frequently used modalities to mitigate these commonly experienced sequelae. However, their effect on range of motion, functional testing, and narcotic consumption has not been well-studied. A prospective, multi-center, randomised trial was conducted to evaluate the effect of a cryopneumatic device on post-operative TKA recovery. Patients were randomised to treatment with a cryopneumatic device or ice with static compression. A total of 280 patients were enrolled at 11 international sites. Both treatments were initiated within three hours post-operation and used at least four times per day for two weeks. The cryopneumatic device was titrated for cooling and pressure by the patient to their comfort level. Patients were evaluated by physical therapists blinded to the treatment arm. Range of motion (ROM), knee girth, six minute walk test (6MWT) and timed up and go test (TUG) were measured pre-operatively, two- and six-weeks post-operatively. A visual analog pain score and narcotic consumption was also measured post-operatively. At two weeks post-operatively, both the treatment and control groups had diminished ROM and function compared to pre-operatively. Both groups had increased knee girth compared to pre- operatively. There was no significant difference in ROM, 6MWT, TUG, or knee girth between the 2 groups. We did find a significantly lower amount of narcotic consumption (509 mg morphine equivalents) in the treatment group compared with the control group (680 mg morphine equivalents) at up to two weeks postop, when the cryopneumatic device was being used (p < 0.05). Between two and six weeks, there was no difference in the total amount of narcotics consumed between the two groups. At six weeks, there was a trend toward a greater distance walked in the 6MWT in the treatment group (29.4 meters versus 7.9 meters, p = 0.13). There was a significant difference in the satisfaction scores of patients with their cooling regimen, with greater satisfaction in the treatment group (p < 0.0001). There was no difference in ROM, TUG, VAS, or knee girth at six weeks. There was no difference in adverse events or compliance between the two groups. A cryopneumatic device used after TKA appeared to decrease the need for narcotic medication from hospital discharge to 2 weeks post-operatively. There was also a trend toward a greater distance walked in the 6MWT. Patient satisfaction with the cryopneumatic cooling regimen was significantly higher than with the control treatment.


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 77-B, Issue 6 | Pages 875 - 880
1 Nov 1995
Koo K Kim R

In a randomised trial comparing core decompression with conservative treatment we tested the hypothesis that the extent of necrosis at the initial MRI predicts the subsequent risk of collapse of the femoral head. After the initial clinical evaluation, including plain radiography and MRI, 37 hips with early-stage osteonecrosis (ON) in 33 patients were randomly assigned to a core-decompression group or a conservatively-treated group. All were followed regularly by clinical evaluation, plain radiography and MRI at intervals of three months. The extent of ON was estimated on the basis of abnormal signal intensity in the weight-bearing portion of the femoral head as determined from a combination of coronal and sagittal MRIs. The arc of the necrotic portion in the mid-coronal image (A) and that in the mid-sagittal image (B) were used to quantify the extent of necrosis by the formula: (A/180) x (B/180) x 100. There was a strong correlation between this index and the risk of collapse before and after adjustment for age, gender, stage and treatment group. We conclude that the extent of the necrotic portion ascertain by this method is a major predictor of future collapse. We propose a systematic method of determining the index of the necrotic portion which may be clinically useful in the management of early-stage ON of the femoral head