Heterotopic ossification (HO) is a common complication after elbow trauma and can cause severe upper limb disability. Although multiple prognostic factors have been reported to be associated with the development of post-traumatic HO, no model has yet been able to combine these predictors more succinctly to convey prognostic information and medical measures to patients. Therefore, this study aimed to identify prognostic factors leading to the formation of HO after surgery for elbow trauma, and to establish and validate a nomogram to predict the probability of HO formation in such particular injuries. This multicentre case-control study comprised 200 patients with post-traumatic elbow HO and 229 patients who had elbow trauma but without HO formation between July 2019 and December 2020. Features possibly associated with HO formation were obtained. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize feature selection. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build the new nomogram: the Shanghai post-Traumatic Elbow Heterotopic Ossification Prediction model (STEHOP). STEHOP was validated by concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping validation.Aims
Methods
MicroRNAs (miRNAs ) are small non-coding RNAs
that regulate gene expression. We hypothesised that the functions
of certain miRNAs and changes to their patterns of expression may
be crucial in the pathogenesis of nonunion. Healing fractures and
atrophic nonunions produced by periosteal cauterisation were created
in the femora of 94 rats, with 1:1 group allocation. At post-fracture
days three, seven, ten, 14, 21 and 28, miRNAs were extracted from
the newly generated tissue at the fracture site. Microarray and
real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analyses of day 14 samples
revealed that five miRNAs, miR-31a-3p, miR-31a-5p, miR-146a-5p,
miR-146b-5p and miR-223-3p, were highly upregulated in nonunion.
Real-time PCR analysis further revealed that, in nonunion, the expression
levels of all five of these miRNAs peaked on day 14 and declined
thereafter. Our results suggest that miR-31a-3p, miR-31a-5p, miR-146a-5p,
miR-146b-5p and miR-223-3p may play an important role in the development
of nonunion. These findings add to the understanding of the molecular mechanism
for nonunion formation and may lead to the development of novel
therapeutic strategies for its treatment. Cite this article:
