Aims. The aim of this study was to examine the association between postoperative glycaemic variability and adverse outcomes following orthopaedic surgery. Patients and Methods. This retrospective study analyzed data on 12 978 patients (1361 with two operations) who underwent orthopaedic surgery at a single institution between 2001 and 2017. Patients with a minimum of either two postoperative measurements of blood glucose levels per day, or more than three measurements overall, were included in the study. Glycaemic variability was assessed using a coefficient of variation (CV). The length of stay (LOS), in-hospital complications, and 90-day readmission and mortality rates were examined. Data were analyzed with linear and generalized linear mixed models for linear and binary outcomes, adjusting for various covariates. Results. The cohort included 14 339 admissions, of which 3302 (23.0%) involved diabetic patients. Patients with CV values in the upper tertile were twice as likely to have an in-hospital complication compared with patients in the lowest tertile (19.4% versus 9.0%, p < 0.001), and almost five times more likely to die compared with those in the lowest tertile (2.8% versus 0.6%, p < 0.001). Results of the adjusted analyses indicated that the mean LOS was 1.28 days longer in the highest versus the lowest CV tertile (p < 0.001), and the odds of an in-hospital complication and 90-day mortality in the highest CV tertile were respectively 1.91 (p < 0.001) and 2.10 (p = 0.001) times larger than the odds of these events in the lowest CV tertile. These associations were significant even for non-diabetic patients. After adjusting for hypoglycaemia, the relationships remained significant, except that the CV tertile no longer predicted mortality in diabetics. Conclusion. These results indicate that higher glycaemic variability is associated with longer LOS and in-hospital complications. Glycaemic variability also predicted death, although that primarily held for non-diabetic patients in the highest CV tertile following orthopaedic surgery. Prospective studies should examine whether ensuring low postoperative glycaemic variability may reduce complication rates and mortality. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2018;100-B:1125–32

Aims

The risk to patients and healthcare workers of resuming elective orthopaedic surgery following the peak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic has been difficult to quantify. This has prompted governing bodies to adopt a cautious approach that may be impractical and financially unsustainable. The lack of evidence has made it impossible for surgeons to give patients an informed perspective of the consequences of elective surgery in the presence of SARS-CoV-2. This study aims to determine, for the UK population, the probability of a patient being admitted with an undetected SARS-CoV-2 infection and their resulting risk of death; taking into consideration the current disease prevalence, reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing, and preassessment pathway.