To develop and externally validate a parsimonious statistical prediction model of 90-day mortality after elective total hip arthroplasty (THA), and to provide a web calculator for clinical usage. We included 53,099 patients with cemented THA due to osteoarthritis from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Registry for model derivation and internal validation, as well as 125,428 patients from England and Wales recorded in the National Joint Register for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, the Isle of Man, and the States of Guernsey (NJR) for external model validation. A model was developed using a bootstrap ranking procedure with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model combined with piecewise linear regression. Discriminative ability was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Calibration belt plots were used to assess model calibration.Aims
Methods
It has been suggested that cemented fixation of total hip arthroplasty
(THA) is associated with an increased peri-operative mortality compared
with cementless THA. Our aim was to investigate this through a nationwide
matched cohort study adjusting for age, comorbidity, and socioeconomic
background. A total of 178 784 patients with osteoarthritis who underwent
either cemented or cementless THA from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty
Register were matched with 862 294 controls from the general population.
Information about the causes of death, comorbidities, and socioeconomic
background was obtained. Mortality within the first 90 days after
the operation was the primary outcome measure.Aims
Patients and Methods
