The risk factors for recurrent instability (RI) following a primary traumatic anterior shoulder dislocation (PTASD) remain unclear. In this study, we aimed to determine the rate of RI in a large cohort of patients managed nonoperatively after PTASD and to develop a clinical prediction model. A total of 1,293 patients with PTASD managed nonoperatively were identified from a trauma database (mean age 23.3 years (15 to 35); 14.3% female). We assessed the prevalence of RI, and used multivariate regression modelling to evaluate which demographic- and injury-related factors were independently predictive for its occurrence.Aims
Methods
Vascular compromise due to arterial injury is a rare but serious complication of a proximal humeral fracture. The aims of this study were to report its incidence in a large urban population, and to identify clinical and radiological factors which are associated with this complication. We also evaluated the results of the use of our protocol for the management of these injuries. A total of 3,497 adult patients with a proximal humeral fracture were managed between January 2015 and December 2022 in a single tertiary trauma centre. Their mean age was 66.7 years (18 to 103) and 2,510 (72%) were female. We compared the demographic data, clinical features, and configuration of those whose fracture was complicated by vascular compromise with those of the remaining patients. The incidence of vascular compromise was calculated from national population data, and predictive factors for its occurrence were investigated using univariate analysis.Aims
Methods
The outcomes following nonoperative management of minimally displaced greater tuberosity (GT) fractures, and the factors which influence patient experience, remain poorly defined. We assessed the early patient-derived outcomes following these injuries and examined the effect of a range of demographic- and injury-related variables on these outcomes. In total, 101 patients (53 female, 48 male) with a mean age of 50.9 years (19 to 76) with minimally displaced GT fractures were recruited to a prospective observational cohort study. During the first year after injury, patients underwent experiential assessment using the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH) score and assessment of associated injuries using MRI performed within two weeks of injury. The primary outcome was the one-year DASH score. Multivariate analysis was used to assess the effect of patient demographic factors, complications, and associated injuries, on outcome.Aims
Methods
The open Latarjet procedure is a widely used treatment for recurrent anterior instability of the shoulder. Although satisfactory outcomes are reported, factors which influence a patient’s experience are poorly quantified. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of a range of demographic factors and measures of the severity of instability on patient-reported outcome measures in patients who underwent an open Latarjet procedure at a minimum follow-up of two years. A total of 350 patients with anterior instability of the shoulder who underwent an open Latarjet procedure between 2005 and 2018 were reviewed prospectively, with the collection of demographic and psychosocial data, preoperative CT, and complications during follow-up of two years. The primary outcome measure was the Western Ontario Shoulder Instability Index (WOSI), assessed preoperatively, at two years postoperatively, and at mid-term follow-up at a mean of 50.6 months (SD 24.8) postoperatively. The secondary outcome measure was the abbreviated version of the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (QuickDASH) score. The influence of the demographic details of the patients, measurements of the severity of instability, and the complications of surgery were assessed in a multivariate analysis.Aims
Methods
Open reduction and plate fixation (ORPF) for displaced proximal humerus fractures can achieve reliably good long-term outcomes. However, a minority of patients have persistent pain and stiffness after surgery and may benefit from open arthrolysis, subacromial decompression, and removal of metalwork (ADROM). The long-term results of ADROM remain unknown; we aimed to assess outcomes of patients undergoing this procedure for stiffness following ORPF, and assess predictors of poor outcome. Between 1998 and 2018, 424 consecutive patients were treated with primary ORPF for proximal humerus fracture. ADROM was offered to symptomatic patients with a healed fracture at six months postoperatively. Patients were followed up retrospectively with demographic data, fracture characteristics, and complications recorded. Active range of motion (aROM), Oxford Shoulder Score (OSS), and EuroQol five-dimension three-level questionnaire (EQ-5D-3L) were recorded preoperatively and postoperatively.Aims
Methods
The aim of this study was to define the complications and long-term outcome following adolescent mid-shaft clavicular fracture. We retrospectively reviewed a consecutive series of 677 adolescent fractures in 671 patients presenting to our region (age 13 to 17 years) over a ten-year period (2009 to 2019). Long-term patient-reported outcomes (abbreviated version of the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (QuickDASH) score and EuroQol five-dimension three-level (EQ-5D-3L) quality of life score) were undertaken at a mean of 6.4 years (1.2 to 11.3) following injury in severely displaced mid-shaft fractures (Edinburgh 2B) and angulated mid-shaft fractures (Edinburgh 2A2) at a minimum of one year post-injury. The median patient age was 14.8 years (interquartile range (IQR) 14.0 to 15.7) and 89% were male (n = 594/671).Aims
Methods
The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of distension arthrography in the treatment of adhesive capsulitis of the shoulder. The secondary aim was to assess which patient and procedural factors predicted the recurrence of symptoms after the procedure. All patients referred to our shoulder clinic over a ten-year period, between 2008 and 2018, with a clinical diagnosis of capsulitis and symptoms persisting for more than six months, were offered treatment with a distension arthrogram. All procedures were performed by one of five musculoskeletal radiologists, with a combination of steroid, local anaesthetic, and a distention volume of 10 ml, 30 ml, or 50 ml. Patient demographics, procedural details, recurrence of symptoms, and the need for further intervention were evaluated.Aims
Methods
The primary aim of this study was to determine if delayed clavicular fixation results in a greater risk of operative complications and revision surgery. A retrospective case series was undertaken of all displaced clavicular fractures that underwent plate fixation over a ten-year period (2007 to 2017). Patient demographics, time to surgery, complications, and mode of failure were collected. Logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors contributing towards operative complications. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine if a potential ‘safe window’ exists from injury to delayed surgery. Propensity score matching was used to construct a case control study for comparison of risk.Aims
Patients and Methods
The primary aim of this study was to establish the cost-effectiveness of the early fixation of displaced midshaft clavicle fractures. A cost analysis was conducted within a randomized controlled trial comparing conservative management (n = 92) Aims
Patients and Methods
This study identifies early risk factors for symptomatic nonunion
of displaced midshaft fractures of the clavicle that aid identification
of an at risk group who may benefit from surgery. We performed a retrospective study of 88 patients aged between
16 and 60 years that were managed non-operatively. Aims
Methods
The natural history of primary anterior dislocation
of the glenohumeral joint in adolescent patients remains unclear and
there is no consensus for management of these patients. The objectives of this study were to report the natural history
of primary anterior dislocation of the glenohumeral joint in adolescent
patients and to identify the risk factors for recurrent dislocation. We reviewed prospectively-collected clinical and radiological
data on 133 adolescent patients diagnosed with a primary anterior
dislocation of the glenohumeral joint who had been managed non-operatively
at our hospital between 1996 and 2008. There were 115 male (86.5%)
and 18 female patients (13.5%) with a mean age of 16.3 years (13
to 18) and a mean follow-up of 95.2 months (1 to 215). During follow-up, 102 (absolute incidence of 76.7%) patients
had a recurrent dislocation. The median interval between primary
and recurrent dislocation was ten months (95% CI 7.4 to 12.6). Applying
survival analysis the likelihood of having a stable shoulder one
year after the initial injury was 59% (95% CI 51.2 to 66.8), 38%
(95% CI 30.2 to 45.8%) after two years, 21% (95% CI 13.2 to 28.8)
after five years, and 7% (95% CI 1.1 to 12.9) after ten years. Neither
age nor gender significantly predicted recurrent dislocation during
follow-up. We conclude that adolescent patients with a primary anterior
dislocation of the glenohumeral joint have a high rate of recurrent
dislocation, which usually occurs within two years of their initial
injury: these patients should be considered for early operative
stabilisation. Cite this article:
Dislocation of the shoulder may occur during
seizures in epileptics and other patients who have convulsions. Following
the initial injury, recurrent instability is common owing to a tendency
to develop large bony abnormalities of the humeral head and glenoid
and a susceptibility to further seizures. Assessment is difficult
and diagnosis may be missed, resulting in chronic locked dislocations
with protracted morbidity. Many patients have medical comorbidities,
and successful treatment requires a multidisciplinary approach addressing
the underlying seizure disorder in addition to the shoulder pathology.
The use of bony augmentation procedures may have improved the outcomes
after surgical intervention, but currently there is no evidence-based
consensus to guide treatment. This review outlines the epidemiology
and pathoanatomy of seizure-related instability, summarising the
currently-favoured options for treatment, and their results.
Frozen shoulder is commonly encountered in general
orthopaedic practice. It may arise spontaneously without an obvious
predisposing cause, or be associated with a variety of local or
systemic disorders. Diagnosis is based upon the recognition of the
characteristic features of the pain, and selective limitation of
passive external rotation. The macroscopic and histological features
of the capsular contracture are well-defined, but the underlying
pathological processes remain poorly understood. It may cause protracted
disability, and imposes a considerable burden on health service
resources. Most patients are still managed by physiotherapy in primary
care, and only the more refractory cases are referred for specialist
intervention. Targeted therapy is not possible and treatment remains predominantly
symptomatic. However, over the last ten years, more active interventions
that may shorten the clinical course, such as capsular distension
arthrography and arthroscopic capsular release, have become more popular. This review describes the clinical and pathological features
of frozen shoulder. We also outline the current treatment options,
review the published results and present our own treatment algorithm.
We identified 16 patients with a mean age of
56.5 years (31 to 86) from a large consecutive series of patients
with proximal humeral fractures over a 15-year period, who had sustained
a fracture with skin compromise after a blunt injury. The study
group represented 0.2% of 7825 proximal humeral fractures treated
during this period and all had a displaced Neer two-part fracture
pattern. Two patterns of skin injury were identified: in ten patients
there was skin penetration at the time of the original injury, and
the other six patients initially had closed injuries. These six patients
had fracture fragments penetrating the muscular envelope to lie
subcutaneously producing either early skin tethering (two patients)
or delayed skin penetration and sinus formation (four patients).
The pattern of injury to the soft-tissue envelope and the fracture
pattern were similar for all injuries. Treatment of these injuries
was determined by the initial severity of the soft-tissue injury
and the medical status of the patient. We currently favour open
reduction and internal fixation of these fractures wherever possible,
owing to the high rate of nonunion with non-operative management.
Fractures and nonunions of the proximal humerus are increasingly treated by open reduction and internal fixation. The extended deltopectoral approach remains the most widely used for this purpose. However, it provides only limited exposure of the lateral and posterior aspects of the proximal humerus. We have previously described the alternative extended deltoid-splitting approach. In this paper we outline variations and extensions of this technique that we have developed in the management of further patients with these fractures.
Most proximal humeral fractures are stable injuries of the ageing population, and can be successfully treated non-operatively. The management of the smaller number of more complex displaced fractures is more controversial and new fixation techniques have greatly increased the range of fractures that may benefit from surgery. This article explores current concepts in the classification and clinical aspects of these injuries, reviewing the indications, innovations and outcomes for the most common methods of treatment.
The results of the treatment of 31 open femoral fractures (29 patients) with significant bone loss in a single trauma unit were reviewed. A protocol of early soft-tissue and bony debridement was followed by skeletal stabilisation using a locked intramedullary nail or a dynamic condylar plate for diaphyseal and metaphyseal fractures respectively. Soft-tissue closure was obtained within 48 hours then followed, if required, by elective bone grafting with or without exchange nailing. The mean time to union was 51 weeks (20 to 156). The time to union and functional outcome were largely dependent upon the location and extent of the bone loss. It was achieved more rapidly in fractures with wedge defects than in those with segmental bone loss. Fractures with metaphyseal defects healed more rapidly than those of comparable size in the diaphysis. Complications were more common in fractures with greater bone loss, and included stiffness of the knee, malunion and limb-length discrepancy. Based on our findings, we have produced an algorithm for the treatment of these injuries. We conclude that satisfactory results can be achieved in most femoral fractures with bone loss using initial debridement and skeletal stabilisation to maintain length, with further procedures as required.
We present two cases of metastatic lung cancer which occurred at the site of a previously united tibial fracture. Both patients were treated with a locked intramedullary nail. The patients presented with metastases at the site of their initial fracture approximately 16 and 13 months after injury respectively. We discuss this unusual presentation and review the relevant literature. We are unaware of any previous reports of a metastatic tumour occurring at the site of an orthopaedic implant used to stabilise a non-pathological fracture. These cases demonstrate the similar clinical presentation of infection and malignancy: a diagnosis which should always be considered in such patients.
Displaced fractures of the lateral end of the clavicle in young patients have a high incidence of nonunion and a poor functional outcome after conservative management. Operative treatment is therefore usually recommended. However, current techniques may be associated with complications which require removal of the fixation device. We have evaluated the functional and radiological outcomes using a novel technique of open reduction and internal fixation. A series of 16 patients under 60 years of age with displaced fractures of the lateral end were treated by open reduction and fixation using a twin coracoclavicular endobutton technique. They were followed up for the first year after their injury. At one year the mean Constant score was 87.1 and the median Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand score was 3.3. All fractures had united, except in one patient who developed an asymptomatic fibrous union. One patient had post-traumatic stiffness of the shoulder, which resolved with physiotherapy. None required re-operation. This technique produces good functional and radiological outcomes with a low prevalence of complications and routine implant removal is not necessary.
We treated 47 patients with a mean age of 57 years (22 to 88) who had a proximal humeral fracture in which there was a severe varus deformity, using a standard operative protocol of anatomical reduction, fixation with a locking plate and supplementation by structural allografts in unstable fractures. The functional and radiological outcomes were reviewed. At two years after operation the median Constant score was 86 points and the median Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand score 17 points. Seven of the patients underwent further surgery, two for failure of fixation, three for dysfunction of the rotator cuff, and two for shoulder stiffness. The two cases of failure of fixation were attributable to violation of the operative protocol. In the 46 patients who retained their humeral head, all the fractures healed within the first year, with no sign of collapse or narrowing of the joint space. Longer follow-up will be required to confirm whether these initially satisfactory results are maintained.
Injuries to the acromioclavicular joint are common but underdiagnosed. Sprains and minor subluxations are best managed conservatively, but there is debate concerning the treatment of complete dislocations and the more complex combined injuries in which other elements of the shoulder girdle are damaged. Confusion has been caused by existing systems for classification of these injuries, the plethora of available operative techniques and the lack of well-designed clinical trials comparing alternative methods of management. Recent advances in arthroscopic surgery have produced an even greater variety of surgical options for which, as yet, there are no objective data on outcome of high quality. We review the current concepts of the treatment of these injuries.
The sternoclavicular joint is vulnerable to the same disease processes as other synovial joints, the most common of which are instability from injury, osteoarthritis, infection and rheumatoid disease. Patients may also present with other conditions, which are unique to the joint, or are manifestations of a systemic disease process. The surgeon should be aware of these possibilities when assessing a patient with a painful, swollen sternoclavicular joint.
Fractures of the distal humeral articular surface which do not involve the medial and lateral columns are often more extensive than is apparent from plain radiographs. This retrospective study describes the epidemiology of this injury using modern classification systems and compares pre-operative radiography with operative findings. The study group included 79 patients with a mean age of 47 years (13 to 91). The annual incidence was 1.5 per 100 000 population, and was highest in women over the age of 60. The majority of the fractures (59; 75%) were sustained in falls from standing height. Young males tended to sustain more high-energy injuries with more complex fracture patterns. In 24% of cases (19) there was a concomitant radial head fracture. Classification from plain radiographs often underestimates the true extent of the injury and computed tomography may be of benefit in pre-operative planning, especially in those over 60 years of age.
Although the use of constrained cemented arthroplasty to treat distal femoral fractures in elderly patients has some practical advantages over the use of techniques of fixation, concerns as to a high rate of loosening after implantation of these prostheses has raised doubts about their use. We evaluated the results of hinged total knee replacement in the treatment of 54 fractures in 52 patients with a mean age of 82 years (55 to 98), who were socially dependent and poorly mobile. Within the first year after implantation 22 of the 54 patients had died, six had undergone a further operation and two required a revision of the prosthesis. The subsequent rate of further surgery and revision was low. A constrained knee prosthesis offers a useful alternative treatment to internal fixation in selected elderly patients with these fractures, and has a high probability of surviving as long as the patient into whom it has been implanted.
The stress response to trauma is the summation of the physiological response to the injury (the ‘first hit’) and by the response to any on-going physiological disturbance or subsequent trauma surgery (the ‘second hit’). Our animal model was developed in order to allow the study of each of these components of the stress response to major trauma. High-energy, comminuted fracture of the long bones and severe soft-tissue injuries in this model resulted in a significant tropotropic (depressor) cardiovascular response, transcardiac embolism of medullary contents and activation of the coagulation system. Subsequent stabilisation of the fractures using intramedullary nails did not significantly exacerbate any of these responses.
Over a seven-year period we treated a consecutive series of 58 patients, 20 men and 38 women with a mean age of 66 years (21 to 87) who had an acute complex anterior fracture-dislocation of the proximal humerus. Two patterns of injury are proposed for study based upon a prospective assessment of the pattern of soft-tissue and bony injury and the degree of devascularisation of the humeral head. In 23 patients, the head had retained capsular attachments and arterial back-bleeding (type-I injury), whereas in 35 patients the head was devoid of significant soft-tissue attachments with no active arterial bleeding (type-II injury). Following treatment by open reduction and internal fixation, only two of 23 patients with type-I injuries developed radiological evidence of osteonecrosis of the humeral head, compared with four of seven patients with type-II injuries. A policy of primary treatment by open reduction and internal fixation of type-I injuries is justified, whereas most elderly patients (aged 60 years or over) with type-II injuries are best treated by hemiarthroplasty. The best treatment for younger patients (aged under 60 years) who sustain type-II injuries is controversial and an individualised approach to their management is advocated.
We reviewed 286 consecutive patients with a fracture of a pubic ramus. The overall incidence was 6.9/100 000/year in the total population and 25.6/100 000/year in individuals aged over 60 years. The mean age of the patients was 74.7 years and 24.5% suffered from dementia. Women were affected 4.2 times more often than men. After injury, geriatric rehabilitation was frequently required and although most surviving patients returned to their original place of residence, their level of mobility was often worse. The overall survival rates at one and five years were 86.7% and 45.6%, respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that age and dementia were the only independent significant factors to be predictive of mortality (p <
0.05). Patients with a fracture of a pubic ramus had a significantly worse survival than an age-matched cohort from the general population (log-rank test, p <
0.001), but this was better than patients with a fracture of the hip during the first year after injury, although their subsequent mortality was higher. Five years after the fracture there was no significant difference in survival between the two groups.
We measured the changes during operation in seven markers of coagulation in a prospective series of 84 patients with fractures of the tibia or femur who were undergoing reamed intramedullary nailing. All patients were also continually monitored using transoesophageal echocardiography to assess marrow embolism. In a subset of 40 patients, intraoperative cardiopulmonary function was monitored, using pulmonary and systemic arterial catheterisation. The procedure produced a significant increase in prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time, the level of prothrombin fragments F1+2 and D-dimers, and a decrease in the fibrinogen level, suggesting activation of both the coagulation and fibrinolytic pathways. There was evidence of both platelet hyper-reactivity and depletion, as estimated by an increase in β-thromboglobulin levels and a decrease in the platelet count. In the patients who had invasive monitoring there was an incremental increase in mean pulmonary arterial pressure, with the changes being greatest during insertion of the guide-wire and reaming. The change in markers of coagulation, pulmonary artery pressure and arterial oxygen partial pressures correlated with the intraoperative embolic response. Greater changes in these parameters were observed during stabilisation of pathological fractures and in those patients in whom surgery had been delayed for more than 48 hours. Seven patients with pathological fractures developed more severe hypoxic episodes during reaming, which were associated with significantly greater arterial hypoxaemia, a fall in the right ventricular ejection fraction and an increase in the mean pulmonary artery pressure, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, central venous pressure and the pulmonary vascular resistance index. These changes suggested that the patients had transient intraoperative right heart strain. Eight patients developed significant postoperative respiratory compromise. They all had severe intraoperative embolic responses and, in the three who had invasive monitoring, there was a significantly greater increase in pulmonary artery pressure and alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient, and a fall in the ratio of arterial partial pressure of oxygen to the inspired oxygen concentration. Operative delay, intraoperative paradoxical embolisation and the scores for the severity of the coagulative and embolic responses were predictive of the development of postoperative respiratory complications on univariate logistic regression analysis. On multivariate analysis, however, only the embolic and coagulative scores were significant independent predictors of respiratory complications.
In a consecutive series of 498 patients with 528 fractures of the femur treated by conventional interlocking intramedullary nailing, 14 fractures of the femoral neck (2.7%) occurred in 13 patients. The fracture of the hip was not apparent either before operation or on the immediate postoperative radiographs. It was diagnosed in the first two weeks after operation in three patients and after three months in the remainder. Age over 60 years at the time of the femoral fracture and female gender were significantly predictive of hip fracture on bivariate logistic regression analysis, but on multivariate analysis only the location of the original fracture in the proximal third of the femur (p = 0.0022, odds ratio = 6.96, 95% CI 2.01 to 24.14), low-energy transfer (p = 0.0264, odds ratio = 15.56, 95% CI 1.38 to 75.48) and the severity of osteopenia on radiographs (p = 0.0128, odds ratio = 7.55, 95% CI 1.54 to 37.07) were significant independent predictors of later fracture. Five of the 19 women aged over 60 years, who sustained an osteoporotic proximal diaphyseal fracture of the femur during a simple fall, subsequently developed a fracture of the neck. Eleven of the hip fractures were displaced and intracapsular and, in view of the advanced age of most of these patients, were usually treated by replacement arthroplasty. Reduction and internal fixation was used to treat the remaining three intertrochanteric fractures. Three patients developed complications requiring further surgery; five died within two years of their fracture.
We made a prospective study of 208 patients with tibial fractures treated by reamed intramedullary nailing. Of these, 11 (5.3%) developed dysfunction of the peroneal nerve with no evidence of a compartment syndrome. The patients with this complication were significantly younger (mean age 25.6 years) and most had closed fractures of the forced-varus type with relatively minor soft-tissue damage. The fibula was intact in three, fractured in the distal or middle third in seven, with only one fracture in the proximal third. Eight of the 11 patients showed a ‘dropped hallux’ syndrome, with weakness of extensor hallucis longus and numbness in the first web space, but no clinical involvement of extensor digitorum longus or tibialis anterior. This was confirmed by nerve-conduction studies in three of the eight patients. There was good recovery of muscle function within three to four months in all cases, but after one year three patients still had some residual tightness of extensor hallucis longus, and two some numbness in the first web space. No patient required further treatment.
From 1988 to 1994 a consecutive series of 1000 fractures of the adult clavicle was treated in the Orthopaedic Trauma Clinic of the Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh. In males, the annual incidence was highest under 20 years of age, decreasing in each subsequent cohort until the seventh decade. In females, the incidence was more constant, but relatively frequent in teenagers and the elderly. In young patients, fractures usually resulted from road-traffic accidents or sport and most were diaphyseal. Fractures in the outer fifth were produced by simple domestic falls and were more common in the elderly. A new classification was developed based on radiological review of the anatomical site and the extent of displacement, comminution and articular extension. There were satisfactory levels of inter- and intraobserver variation for reliability and reproducibility. Fractures of the medial fifth (type 1), undisplaced diaphyseal fractures (type 2A) and fractures of the outer fifth (type 3A) usually had a benign prognosis. The incidence of complications of union was higher in displaced diaphyseal (type 2B) and displaced outer-fifth (type 3B) fractures. In addition to displacement, the extent of comminution in type-2B fractures was a risk factor for delayed and nonunion.
We report a prospective study of the incidence of fractures in the adult population of Edinburgh, related to age and gender. Over a two-year period, 15 293 adults, 7428 males and 7865 females, sustained a fracture, and 5208 (34.0%) required admission. Between 15 and 49 years of age, males were 2.9 times more likely to sustain a fracture than females (95% CI 2.7 to 3.1). Over the age of 60 years, females were 2.3 times more likely to sustain a fracture than males (95% CI 2.1 to 2.4). There were three main peaks of fracture distribution: the first was in young adult males, the second was in elderly patients of both genders, mainly in metaphyseal bone such as the proximal femur, although diaphyseal fractures also showed an increase in incidence. The third increase in the incidence of fractures, especially of the wrist, was seen to start at 40 years of age in women. Our study has also shown that ‘osteoporotic’ fractures became evident in women earlier than expected, and that they were not entirely a postmenopausal phenomenon.
We reviewed 1567 elective knee replacements performed between 1980 and 1990, using either the Total Condylar prosthesis with an all-plastic tibial component, or the Kinematic prosthesis which has a metal tibial tray. The ten-year probability of survival was 92.1% for the Total Condylar design and 87.9% for the Kinematic. The difference was mainly due to 16 revisions required in the Kinematic series for fracture of the metal base-plate. This was the most common cause of aseptic failure in this group. These fractures were strongly associated with a preoperative varus deformity (hazard ratio (HR) 8.8) and there was a slightly increased risk in males (HR 1.9) and in osteoarthritic knees (HR 1.8). In the nine fractures which occurred within four years of primary implantation (group 1), failure to correct adequately a preoperative varus deformity and the use of a bone graft to correct such a deformity were both strongly associated with fracture (HR 13.9 and 15.8, respectively). In eight fractures which occurred more than five years after primary replacement (group 2) we could detect no significant risk factors. Early complications occurred in two patients after the 16 revision procedures for tray fracture. One had a deep infection and the other refracture of the tray.