Redisplacement is the most common complication
of immobilisation in a cast for the treatment of diaphyseal fractures
of the forearm in children. We have previously shown that the three-point
index (TPI) can accurately predict redisplacement of fractures of
the distal radius. In this prospective study we applied this index
to assessment of diaphyseal fractures of the forearm in children
and compared it with other cast-related indices that might predict
redisplacement. A total of 76 children were included. Their ages,
initial displacement, quality of reduction, site and level of the
fractures and quality of the casting according to the TPI, Canterbury
index and padding index were analysed. Logistic regression analysis
was used to investigate risk factors for redisplacement. A total
of 18 fractures (24%) redisplaced in the cast. A TPI value of >
0.8 was the only significant risk factor for redisplacement (odds
ratio 238.5 (95% confidence interval 7.063 to 8054.86); p <
0.001). The TPI was far superior to other radiological indices, with
a sensitivity of 84% and a specificity of 97% in successfully predicting
redisplacement. We recommend it for routine use in the management
of these fractures in children. Cite this article:
