Heterotopic ossification (HO) is a common complication after elbow trauma and can cause severe upper limb disability. Although multiple prognostic factors have been reported to be associated with the development of post-traumatic HO, no model has yet been able to combine these predictors more succinctly to convey prognostic information and medical measures to patients. Therefore, this study aimed to identify prognostic factors leading to the formation of HO after surgery for elbow trauma, and to establish and validate a nomogram to predict the probability of HO formation in such particular injuries. This multicentre case-control study comprised 200 patients with post-traumatic elbow HO and 229 patients who had elbow trauma but without HO formation between July 2019 and December 2020. Features possibly associated with HO formation were obtained. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to optimize feature selection. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to build the new nomogram: the Shanghai post-Traumatic Elbow Heterotopic Ossification Prediction model (STEHOP). STEHOP was validated by concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping validation.Aims
Methods
We retrospectively reviewed 89 consecutive patients
(45 men and 44 women) with a mean age at the time of injury of 58
years (18 to 97) who had undergone external fixation after sustaining
a unilateral fracture of the distal humerus. Our objectives were
to determine the incidence of heterotopic ossification (HO); identify
risk factors associated with the development of HO; and characterise
the location, severity and resultant functional impairment attributable
to the presence of HO. . HO was identified in 37 elbows (42%), mostly around the humerus
and along the course of the medial collateral ligament. HO was hazy
immature in five elbows (13.5%), mature discrete in 20 (54%), extensive
mature in 10 (27%), and complete bone bridges were present in two
elbows (5.5%). Mild functional impairment occurred in eight patients,
moderate in 27 and severe in two. HO was associated with less extension
(p = 0.032) and less overall flexion-to-extension movement (p =
0.022); the flexion-to-extension arc was <
100º in 21 elbows
(57%) with HO compared with 18 elbows (35%) without HO (p = 0.03).
HO was removed surgically in seven elbows. . The development of HO was significantly associated with sustaining
a head injury (p = 0.015), delayed internal fixation (p = 0.027),
the method of fracture fixation (p = 0.039) and the use of bone
graft or substitute (p = 0.02).HO continues to be a substantial
complication after internal fixation for
We reviewed 59 bone graft substitutes marketed
by 17 companies currently available for implantation in the United Kingdom,
with the aim of assessing the peer-reviewed literature to facilitate
informed decision-making regarding their use in clinical practice.
After critical analysis of the literature, only 22 products (37%)
had any clinical data. Norian SRS (Synthes), Vitoss (Orthovita),
Cortoss (Orthovita) and Alpha-BSM (Etex) had Level I evidence. We question
the need for so many different products, especially with limited
published clinical evidence for their efficacy, and conclude that
there is a considerable need for further prospective randomised
trials to facilitate informed decision-making with regard to the
use of current and future bone graft substitutes in clinical practice. Cite this article:
