Distal radius fractures (DRFs) are common injuries that represent 17% of all adult upper extremity fractures. Some fractures deemed appropriate for nonsurgical management following closed reduction and casting exhibit delayed secondary displacement (greater than two weeks from injury) and require late surgical intervention. This can lead to delayed rehabilitation and functional outcomes. This study aimed to determine which demographic and radiographic features can be used to predict delayed fracture displacement.

This is a multicentre retrospective case-control study using radiographs extracted from our Analytics Data Integration, Measurement and Reporting (DIMR) database, using diagnostic and therapeutic codes. Skeletally mature patients aged 18 years of age or older with an isolated DRF treated with surgical intervention between two and four weeks from initial injury, with two or more follow-up visits prior to surgical intervention, were included. Exclusion criteria were patients with multiple injuries, surgical treatment with fewer than two clinical assessments prior to surgical treatment, or surgical treatment within two weeks of injury. The proportion of patients with delayed fracture displacement requiring surgical treatment will be reported as a percentage of all identified DRFs within the study period. A multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis was used to assess case-control comparisons, in order to determine the parameters that are mostly likely to predict delayed fracture displacement leading to surgical management. Intra- and inter-rater reliability for each radiographic parameter will also be calculated.

A total of 84 age- and sex-matched pairs were identified (n=168) over a 5-year period, with 87% being female and a mean age of 48.9 (SD=14.5) years. Variables assessed in the model included pre-reduction and post-reduction radial height, radial inclination, radial tilt, volar cortical displacement, injury classification, intra-articular step or gap, ulnar variance, radiocarpal alignment, and cast index, as well as the difference between pre- and post-reduction parameters. Decreased pre-reduction radial inclination (Odds Ratio [OR] = 0.54; Confidence Interval [CI] = 0.43 – 0.64) and increased pre-reduction volar cortical displacement (OR = 1.31; CI = 1.10 – 1.60) were significant predictors of delayed fracture displacement beyond a minimum of 2-week follow-up. Similarly, an increased difference between pre-reduction and immediate post reduction radial height (OR = 1.67; CI = 1.31 – 2.18) and ulnar variance (OR = 1.48; CI = 1.24 – 1.81) were also significant predictors of delayed fracture displacement.

Cast immobilization is not without risks and delayed surgical treatment can result in a prolong recovery. Therefore, if reliable and reproducible radiographic parameters can be identified that predict delayed fracture displacement, this information will aid in earlier identification of patients with DRFs at risk of late displacement. This could lead to earlier, appropriate surgical management, rehabilitation, and return to work and function.

Paget's disease of bone (PDB) is the second most common metabolic bone disease. Osteoarthritis (OA) affects one-third of patients with PDB. The incidence of THR (total hip replacement) and TKR (total knee replacement) is 3.1- and 1.7-fold higher in PDB patients compared to non-affected age-matched controls. No large studies or joint registry reports exist describing the outcomes following THR or TKR in patients with PDB.

The objectives of this study were to investigate the outcomes following THR and TKR in patients with PDB using national joint registry data. 144 THR and 43 TKR were identified using the Scottish Arthroplasty Project from 1996–2013.

For THR, the most common early post-operative surgical complications were haematoma formation (1.4%), and surgical site infection (1.4%). The absolute incidence during follow-up of dislocation was 2.8%, and revision hip arthroplasty was performed in 2.8% of cases. Implant survival of the primary prosthesis was 96.3% (CI: 92.8 – 99.8) at 10-years, and patient survival was 50.0% (39.6 – 60.4) at 10-years.

For TKR, the most common early post-operative surgical complication was surgical site infection (2.3%). The absolute incidence during follow-up of revision knee arthroplasty was 4.7%. On survival analysis, implant survival of the primary prosthesis was 94.5% (CI: 87.1 – 100) at 10-years, and patient survival was 38.3% (16.7 – 59.9) at 10-years.

This is the largest reported series of outcomes following primary THR and TKR in patients with PDB. PDB patients are not at increased risk of surgical complications following primary THR or TKR compared to non-PDB patients.