The authors present the results of a cohort study of 60 adult
patients presenting sequentially over a period of 15 years from
1997 to 2012 to our hospital for treatment of thoracic and/or lumbar
vertebral burst fractures, but without neurological deficit. All patients were treated by early mobilisation within the limits
of pain, early bracing for patient confidence and all progress in
mobilisation was recorded on video. Initial hospital stay was one
week. Subsequent reviews were made on an outpatient basis. Aims
Method
The revised Tokuhashi, Tomita and modified Bauer
scores are commonly used to make difficult decisions in the management
of patients presenting with spinal metastases. A prospective cohort
study of 199 consecutive patients presenting with spinal metastases,
treated with either surgery and/or radiotherapy, was used to compare
the three systems. Cox regression, Nagelkerke’s R2 and
Harrell’s concordance were used to compare the systems and find their
best predictive items. The three systems were equally good in terms
of overall prognostic performance. Their most predictive items were
used to develop the Oswestry Spinal Risk Index (OSRI), which has
a similar concordance, but a larger coefficient of determination
than any of these three scores. A bootstrap procedure was used to
internally validate this score and determine its prediction optimism. The OSRI is a simple summation of two elements: primary tumour
pathology (PTP) and general condition (GC): OSRI = PTP + (2 – GC). This simple score can predict life expectancy accurately in patients
presenting with spinal metastases. It will be helpful in making
difficult clinical decisions without the delay of extensive investigations. Cite this article:
