To develop a reliable and effective radiological score to assess the healing of isolated ulnar shaft fractures (IUSF), the Radiographic Union Score for Ulna fractures (RUSU).

Initially, 20 patients with radiographs six weeks following a non-operatively managed ulnar shaft fracture were selected and scored by three blinded observers. After intraclass correlation (ICC) analysis, a second group of 54 patients with radiographs six weeks after injury (18 who developed a nonunion and 36 who united) were scored by the same observers.

In the initial study, interobserver and intraobserver ICC were 0.89 and 0.93, respectively. In the validation study the interobserver ICC was 0.85. The median score for patients who united was significantly higher than those who developed a nonunion (11 vs 7, p<0.001). A ROC curve demonstrated that a RUSU ≤8 had a sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 86.1% in identifying patients at risk of nonunion. Patients with a RUSU ≤8 (n = 21) were more likely to develop a nonunion (n = 16/21) than those with a RUSU ≥9 (n = 2/33; OR 49.6, 95% CI 8.6–284.7). Based on a PPV of 76%, if all patients with a RUSU ≤8 underwent fixation at 6-weeks, the number of procedures needed to avoid one nonunion would be 1.3.

The RUSU shows good interobserver and intraobserver reliability and is effective in identifying patients at risk of nonunion six weeks after fracture. This tool requires external validation but may enhance the management of patients with isolated ulnar shaft fractures.

We aimed to determine the rate of and risk factors for post-traumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) requirement after operative management of tibial plateau fractures (TPF) in older adults.

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 182 operatively managed TPFs in 180 patients ≥60 years old over a 12-year period with minimum follow up 1 year. Data including patient demographics, clinical frailty scores, mechanism of injury, management, reoperation and mortality were recorded. Radiographs were reviewed for: Schatzker classification; pre-existing knee osteoarthritis (KOA); severe joint depression >15mm; and development of PTOA. Kaplan Meier survival analysis was performed. Regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for radiographic indication for TKA and actual TKA.

Forty-seven percent were Schatzker II fractures. Radiographic KOA was present at fracture in 32.6%. Fracture fixation was performed in 95.6% cases and acute TKA in 4.4%. Thirteen patients underwent late TKA (7.5%). At five-years, 11.8% (6.0-16.7 95% CI) had required TKA and 20.9% (14.4-27.4 95% CI) had a radiographic indication for TKA. Severe joint depression and pre-existing KOA were associated with worse survival for endpoints radiographic indication for TKA and actual TKA. Severe joint depression (HR 2.49(1.35-4.61 95% CI), p=0.004), pre-existing KOA (HR 2.23(1.17-4.23), p=0.015) and inflammatory arthropathy (HR 2.4(1.04-5.53), p=0.039) were independently associated with radiographic indication for TKA.

In conclusion, severe joint depression and pre-existing arthritis are independent risk factors for both severe PTOA and TKA after TPFs in older adults. These features should be considered as an indication for primary management with acute TKA.

The aims of this study in relation to distal radius fractures were to determine (1) the floor and ceiling effects for the QuickDASH and PRWE, (2) the floor and ceiling effects when defined to be within the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) of the minimal or maximal scores, (3) the degree to which patients with a floor or ceiling effect felt that their wrist was ‘normal’, and (4) patent factors associated with a floor or ceiling effect.

A retrospective cohort study of patients sustaining a distal radius fracture during a single year was undertaken. Outcome measures included the QuickDASH, PRWE, EQ-5D-3L and normal wrist score.

There were 526 patients with a mean age of 65yrs and 77% were female. Most patients were managed non-operatively (73%, n=385). The mean follow-up was 4.8yrs. A ceiling effect was observed for both the QuickDASH (22.3%) and PRWE (28.5%). When defined to be within the MCID of the best score, the effect increased to 62.8% for the QuickDASH and 60% for PRWE. Patients that achieved the best functional outcome according to the QuickDASH and PRWE felt their wrist was only 91% and 92% normal, respectively. Sex (p=0.000), age (p=0.000), dominant wrist injury (p=0.006 for QuickDASH and p=0.038 for PRWE), fracture type (p=0.015), and a better health-related quality of life (p=0.000) were independently associated with achieving a ceiling score.

The QuickDASH and PRWE demonstrated ceiling effects following a distal radius fracture. Patients achieving ceiling scores did not consider their wrist to be ‘normal’ for them.

This prospective randomised trial aimed to assess the superiority of internal fixation of well-reduced medial malleolar fractures (displacement □2mm) compared with non-fixation, following fibular stabilisation in patients undergoing surgical management of a closed unstable ankle fracture.

A total of 154 adult patients with a bi- or trimalleolar fracture were recruited from a single centre. Open injuries and vertically unstable medial malleolar fractures were excluded. Following fibular stabilisation, patients were randomised intra-operatively on a 1:1 basis to fixation or non-fixation after satisfactory fluoroscopic fracture reduction was confirmed. The primary outcome was the Olerud Molander Ankle Score (OMAS) at 12 months post-randomisation. Complications were documented over the follow-up period.

The baseline group demographics and injury characteristics were comparable. There were 144 patients reviewed at the primary outcome point (94%). The median OMAS was 80 (IQR, 60-90) in the fixation group vs. 72.5 (IQR, 55-90) in the non-fixation group (p=0.165). Complication rates were comparable, although significantly more patients (n=13, 20%) in the non-fixation group developed a radiographic non-union (p<0.001). The majority (n=8/13) were asymptomatic, with one patient requiring surgical reintervention. In the non-fixation group, a superior outcome was associated with an anatomical medial malleolar fracture reduction.

Internal fixation is not superior to non-fixation of well-reduced medial malleolar fractures when managing unstable ankle fractures. However, one in five patients following non-fixation developed a radiographic non-union and whilst the re-intervention rate to manage this was low, the longer-term consequences of this are unknown. The results of this trial may support selective non-fixation of anatomically reduced fractures.

The primary aim was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of routine operative fixation for all patients with humeral shaft fractures. The secondary aim was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of using a Radiographic Union Score for HUmeral fractures (RUSHU)<8 to facilitate selective fixation for patients at risk of nonunion.

From 2008-2017, 215 patients (mean age 57yrs [17–81], 61% female) with a non-operatively managed humeral diaphyseal fracture were retrospectively identified. Union was achieved in 77% (n=165/215) after non-operative management, with 23% (n=50/215) uniting after nonunion surgery. The EuroQol Five-Dimension (EQ-5D) Health Index was obtained via postal survey. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) <£20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained was considered cost-effective.

At a mean of 5.4yrs (1.2–11.0), the mean EQ-5D was 0.736. Multiple regression demonstrated that uniting after nonunion surgery was independently associated with an inferior EQ-5D (beta=0.103, p=0.032). Routine fixation for all patients to reduce the nonunion rate would be associated with increased treatment costs (£1,542/patient) but confer a potential EQ-5D benefit of 0.120/patient. The ICER of routine fixation was £12,850/QALY gained. Selective fixation, based upon a RUSHU<8 at 6wks post-injury, would be associated with reduced treatment costs (£415/patient) and confer a potential EQ-5D benefit of 0.335 per ‘at-risk patient’.

Routine fixation for patients with humeral shaft fractures, to reduce the nonunion rate observed after non-operative management, appears to be cost-effective at 5yrs post-injury. Selective fixation for patients at risk of nonunion based upon the RUSHU may confer greater cost-effectiveness, given the potential savings and improvement in EQ-5D.

The aim of this study was to identify factors independently associated with symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) following acute Achilles tendon rupture (ATR), and to suggest a clinical VTE risk assessment tool for patients with ATR.

From 2010–2018, 984 consecutive adults (median age 47yrs, 73% male) sustaining an ATR were retrospectively identified. There were 95% managed non-operatively (below-knee cast 52%, n=507/984; walking boot 44%, n=432/984), with 5% (n=45/984) undergoing primary operative repair (<6wks). VTE was diagnosed using medical records and national imaging archives, reviewed at a mean of 5yrs (1–10) post-injury. Regression was performed to identify factors independently associated with VTE.

Incidence of VTE within 90 days of ATR was 3.6% (n=35/984; deep vein thrombosis 2.1% [n=21/984], pulmonary embolism 1.9% [n=19/984]). Age ≥50yrs (adjusted OR [aOR] 2.3, p=0.027), personal history of VTE/thrombophilia (aOR 6.1, p=0.009) and family history of VTE (aOR 20.9, p<0.001) were independently associated with VTE. These non-modifiable risk factors were incorporated into a VTE risk assessment tool. 23% of patients developing VTE (n=8/35) had a relevant personal or family history, but incorporating age into the tool identified 69% of patients with VTE (n=24/35). Non weight-bearing ≥2wks after ATR was also independently associated with VTE (aOR 3.2, p=0.026).

Age ≥50 years, personal history of VTE/thrombophilia and a positive family history were independently associated with VTE following ATR. Incorporating age into our suggested VTE risk assessment tool enhanced sensitivity in identifying at-risk patients. Early weight-bearing in an appropriate orthosis may be beneficial in VTE risk reduction.

The primary aim was to determine the rate of complications and re-intervention rate in a consecutive series of operatively managed distal radius fractures.

Data was retrospectively collected on 304 adult distal radius fractures treated at our institution in a year. Acute unstable displaced distal radius fractures surgically managed within 28 days of injury were included. Demographic and injury data, as well as details of complications and their subsequent management were recorded.

There were 304 fractures in 297 patients. The mean age was 57yrs and 74% were female. Most patients were managed with open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) (n=278, 91%), with 6% (n=17) managed with manipulation and Kirschner wires and 3% (n=9) with bridging external fixation. Twenty-seven percent (n=81) encountered a post-operative complication. Complex regional pain syndrome was most common (5%, n=14), followed by loss of reduction (4%). Ten patients (3%) had a superficial wound infection managed with oral antibiotics. Deep infection occurred in one patient. Fourteen percent (n=42) required re-operation. The most common indication was removal of metalwork (n=27), followed by carpal tunnel decompression (n=4) and revision ORIF (n=4). Increasing age (p=0.02), male gender (p=0.02) and high energy mechanism of injury (p<0.001) were associated with developing a complication. High energy mechanism was the only factor associated with re-operation (p<0.001).

This study has documented the complication and re-intervention rates following distal radius fracture fixation. Given the increased risk of complications and the positive outcomes reported in the literature, non-operative management of displaced fractures should be considered in older patients.

The primary aim was to identify patient and injury factors independently associated with humeral diaphyseal fracture nonunion after non-operative management. The secondary aim was to determine the effect of management (operative/non-operative) on nonunion.

Over a ten-year period, 734 humeral diaphyseal fractures (732 consecutive patients) were retrospectively identified from a trauma database. Follow-up was available for 663 fractures (662 patients; median age 57yrs [16–96], 54% female [n=359/662]) which formed the study cohort. Patient and injury characteristics were recorded. There were 523 patients (79%) managed non-operatively and 139 (21%) managed operatively. Outcome (union/nonunion) was determined from medical records and radiographs.

Median follow-up was five months (1.2–74). Nonunion occurred in 22.7% of non-operatively managed injuries (n=119/524). Multivariate analysis demonstrated pre-injury NSAIDs (adjusted OR [AOR] 40.8, 95% CI 2.6–632.3; p=0.008), being underweight (BMI <18.5kg/m2; AOR 7.3, 95% CI 1.3 to 40.2; p=0.022), overweight (BMI 25–29.9kg/m2; AOR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 5.9; p=0.034) and class II obesity (BMI 35–39.9kg/m2; AOR 4.5, 95% CI 1.4 to 15.5; p=0.014) were independently associated with an increased risk of nonunion. Operative fixation was independently associated with a lower risk of nonunion (2.9%, n=4/139) than non-operative management (AOR for non-operative/operative 11.0, 95% CI 2.8 to 43.6; p=0.001). Based upon these results, five patients would need to undergo operative fixation to avoid one nonunion.

Pre-injury NSAIDs and BMI were independently associated with nonunion following non-operative management of a humeral diaphyseal fracture. Operative fixation was the independent factor most strongly associated with a lower risk of nonunion.

Risk of revision following total knee replacement is relatively high in patients under 55 years of age, but little is reported regarding non-revision outcomes. This study aims to identify predictors of dissatisfaction following TKR in patients younger than 55 years of age.

We assessed 177 TKRs (157 consecutive patients) from 2008 to 2013. Data was collected on age, sex, implant, indication, BMI, social deprivation, range of motion, and prior knee surgery in addition to Oxford Knee Score (OKS) and SF-12 score. Postoperative data included knee range of motion, complications, and OKS, SF-12 score and satisfaction measures at one year.

Overall, 24.9% of patients (44/177) were unsure or dissatisfied with their TKR. Significant predictors of dissatisfaction on univariable analysis (p<0.05) included: Kellgren-Lawrence grade 1/2 osteoarthritis; indication; poor preoperative OKS; postoperative complications; and poor improvements in OKS and pain component score (PCS) of the SF-12. Odds ratios for dissatisfaction by indication compared to primary OA: OA with previous meniscectomy 2.86; OA in multiply operated knee 2.94; OA with other knee surgery 1.7; OA with BMI>40kgm-2 2; OA post-fracture 3.3; and inflammatory arthropathy 0.23. Multivariable analysis showed poor preoperative OKS, poor improvement in OKS and postoperative stiffness, particularly flexion of <90°, independently predicted dissatisfaction (p<0.005).

Patients coming to TKR when under 55 years of age differ from the ‘average’ arthroplasty population, often having complex knee histories and indications for surgery, and an elevated risk of dissatisfaction.

Tibial plateau fractures are common intraarticular fractures. The principal long-term complication is post-traumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA) with the usual salvage procedure being total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Our aim was to define the incidence of PTOA requiring TKA following tibial plateau fractures and identify the risk factors.

We looked at all tibial plateau fractures between 1995 and 2008. There were 888 tibial plateau fractures. 23% were Schatzker I, 25% II, 14% III, 22% IV, 8% V and 8% VI. To date 25 have undergone TKA (2.8%). The mean age of patients at time of fracture was 56 in the overall cohort and 65 in those requiring TKA; this was statistically significant (p=0.04). 4% of females with tibial plateau fractures required TKA in comparison to 2% of males. The Schatzker I fractures were the least likely to require TKA at 1% with the most likely requiring arthroplasty surgery being type III at 6%. Only 1% of the patients treated non-operatively later underwent TKA

The overall incidence of TKA after tibial plateau fractures was 3%. For displaced fractures requiring internal fixation this rose to 4%. Risk factors were increasing age, split depression fractures and female gender. Although tibial plateau fractures are commonly associated with degenerative radiographic changes, we concluded that the incidence of symptomatic OA severe enough to require TKA is low.