Total hip arthroplasty (THA) has high rates of patient satisfaction; however patient expectations for recreational and sporting activities are not always met. Our study aimed to identify preoperative factors that predict whether patient expectations for sporting or recreational activity are met 12 months following THA.

Patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) were collected prospectively from 2015-2018 at one private hospital in Sydney. Age, gender, postcode, weight, and height were recorded preoperatively. Included participants underwent primary THA by one of the investigating surgeons. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed with an expectation fulfilment score used as the primary outcome variable. Preoperative predictor variables included: age, gender, BMI, Socio-economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), Oxford Hip Score, Hip Osteoarthritis Outcome Score, EQ-5D-5L and EQ Visual Analogue Scale (EQ VAS).

1019 participants were eligible and included. 13% reported that preoperative expectations of sport or recreation were not met at 12 months. Younger age, lower preoperative EQ VAS, and higher BMI were associated with failed expectations on multivariable analysis. Odds of failed expectations increased by 2% for every one year younger in age (OR= 0.98, 95% CI = 0.96 to 1.00, p=.048), by 2% for every one point lower on EQ VAS (OR=0.98, 95% CI = 0.98 to 0.99, p=.002), and by 4% for every one-point increase in BMI (OR = 1.04, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.09, p=.042).

Failure to have expectations met for sporting or recreational activity was associated with younger age, poorer general health, and high BMI. With a rise in younger patients who likely have higher physical demands, a tailored preoperative education is preferable to generic models to better manage patient expectations.

Younger age, higher BMI, and poorer health may predict unmet expectations for sport and recreation after THA. Tailored education in these groups should be considered.