Recent analyses of failure mechanisms continue to show aseptic loosening as the predominant mechanism of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) failure. Evaluation for aseptic loosening begins with careful assessment of plain films radiographs, however the utility of examining lucent lines under a cemented tibial tray remains unclear. The purpose of this study is to examine the distribution of lucent lines under cemented tibial components on single-series anteroposterior (AP) and lateral plain radiographs and to determine their significance in the prediction of aseptic loosening found during revision TKA surgery.

Retrospective chart and radiographic review of all patients that underwent revision TKA between 2001–2014 at a single academic hospital center. Revision TKA for periprosthetic fracture, stem fracture, implant dissociation and periprosthetic joint infection were excluded. The most recent pre-revision surgery AP and lateral knee radiographs were assessed by two fellowship trained adult reconstruction surgeons blinded to patient demographics and intraoperative details. Lucent lines under the tibia tray defined as >2mm were documented according to the new KSS radiographic scoring system. Demographic details and the surgeon's assessment whether the tibia tray was loose intraoperatively were extracted from chart review and the operative note, respectively. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to predict the outcome of aseptic loosening.

Between 2001 and 2014, 312 revision TKAs were performed that met our inclusion criteria. Of these, 84 (26.9%) had intraoperative loose tibia trays. We observed a significantly increased risk of aseptic tibia loosening among older patients at time of surgery (odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% CI 1.02, 1.08). Posterior stabilised primary TKA components conferred a significantly decreased risk of aseptic tibia loosening (OR 0.36, 95% 0.21, 0.60). On an AP radiograph, after adjustment for other zones, the presence of a lucent line in zone 1, 2 or 3 were all significantly associated with tibia loosening, OR 7.35, 8.69 and 22.26 (p<0.0001) respectively. On a lateral radiograph, after adjustment for other zones, the presence of a lucent line in zone 1, 2 or 3 were all significantly associated with tibia loosening, OR 12.89, 18.03, and 11.63 (p<0.004) respectively. The complete absence of lucent lines under a tibia tray on an AP or lateral radiograph were associated with 96% (CI 0.02, 0.07) and 95% (CI 0.02, 0.09) reduced odds of aseptic tibia loosening.

Careful examination of lucent lines under a tibia component can be highly predictive of aseptic loosening. The areas associated with highest risk of tibia loosening occur in zone 3 on the AP radiograph (medial or lateral to the keel) and zone 2 on the lateral radiograph (posteriorly). The risk of loosening in the absence of lucent line findings on plain films is significantly low.