Aims. The aim of this study is to determine the predictors of overall survival (OS) and predictive factors of poor prognosis of conventional high-grade osteosarcoma of the limbs in a single-centre in South Africa. Methods. We performed a retrospective cross-sectional analysis to identify the prognostic factors that predict the OS of patients with histologically confirmed high-grade conventional osteosarcoma of the limbs over ten years. We employed the Cox proportional regression model and the Kaplan-Meier method for statistical analysis. Results. This study comprised 77 patients at a three-year minimum follow-up. The predictors of poor OS were: the median age of ≤ 19 years (hazard ratio (HR) 0.96; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92 to 0.99; p = 0.021); median duration of symptoms ≥ five months (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83 to 0.99; p < 0.037); metastasis at diagnosis (i.e. Enneking stage III) (HR 3.33; 95% CI 1.81 to 6.00; p < 0.001); increased alkaline phosphatase (HR 3.28; 95% CI 1.33 to 8.11; p < 0.010); palliative treatment (HR 7.27; 95% CI 2.69 to 19.70); p < 0.001); and amputation (HR 3.71; 95% CI 1.12 to 12.25; p < 0.032). In contrast, definitive surgery (HR 0.11; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.38; p < 0.001) and curative treatment (HR 0.18; 95% CI 0.10 to 0.33; p < 0.001) were a protective factor. The Kaplan-Meier median survival time was 24 months, with OS of 57.1% at the three years. The projected five-year event-free survival was 10.3% and OS of 29.8% (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.52 to 1.12; p = 0.128). Conclusion. In this series of high-grade conventional osteosarcoma of the appendicular skeleton from South Africa, 58.4% (n = 45) had detectable metastases at presentation; hence, an impoverished OS of five years was 29.8%. Large-scale future research is needed to validate our results. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(3):210–217

Aims. The purpose of this study was to identify prognostic indicators of outcome at presentation to the orthopaedic surgeon, in patients with metastatic prostate cancer. Our aim was to use this information in a pragmatic, clinic-based approach so that surgical decision making could be optimized to benefit the patient in their remaining lifetime. Patients and Methods. A cohort analysis was undertaken of all patients with metastatic disease of the prostate who presented to a regional orthopaedic centre in the United Kingdom between 2003 and 2016. Biochemical data were collected in addition to disease and demographic data. These included: prostate-specific antigen (PSA) at orthopaedic presentation; haemoglobin (Hb); platelets (plt); alkaline phosphatase (ALP); albumin (Alb); and corrected calcium (CaC). Statistical analysis included Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, and a Cox proportional hazards model was fitted to the data. Results. From the departmental database, 137 episodes were identified in 136 patients with a median age at presentation of 72 years (interquartile range (IQR) 66 to 78). Most patients had stage IV disease (n = 98, 72%), and most did not undergo surgical intervention. At one-year follow-up, 50% of patients had died. Biomarkers found to be independently associated with poor survival were: low Hb, low Alb, relatively low PSA (< 30 mmol/l), and a raised ALP. Patients who needed surgical intervention had a poorer survival rate than patients who were managed nonoperatively. Conclusion. The study findings are important for orthopaedic clinical practice in the management of patients with metastatic prostate cancer. The interpretation of routine blood tests can help to predict survival in patients who present with orthopaedic manifestations of prostate cancer. A lower PSA is not necessarily a good prognostic sign. We believe that simple blood testing should be carried out routinely when assessing a patient, guiding potential surgical management and palliative care in the future

Aims. Surgical intervention in patients with bone metastases from breast cancer is dependent on the estimated survival of the patient. The purpose of this paper was to identify factors that would predict survival so that specific decisions could be made in terms of surgical (or non-surgical) management. . Methods. The records of 113 consecutive patients (112 women) with metastatic breast cancer were analysed for clinical, radiological, serological and surgical outcomes. Their median age was 61 years (interquartile range 29 to 90) and the median duration of follow-up was 1.6 years (standard deviation (. sd. ) 1.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0 to 5.9). The cumulative one- and five-year rates of survival were 68% and 16% (95% Cl 60 to 77 and 95% CI 10 to 26, respectively). . Results. Linear discriminant analysis identified a ‘quadruple A’ predictor of survival by reclassifying the sum of the albumin, adjusted calcium, alkaline phosphatase and age covariates each multiplied by a determined factor. The accuracy of this ‘quadruple A’ predictor was 90% with a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 88%. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve revealed an area under the curve of 79%. Survival analysis for this ‘quadruple A’ predictor (<  = one or > one year survival) was statistically significant using the log rank test (p = 0.0004) and Cox proportional hazard (p = 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed the 'quadruple A' predictor to be the only independent predictor of survival (p = 0.01). . Discussion. The 'quadruple A' predictor, together with other positive predictors of survival, can be used by oncologists, orthopaedic and breast surgeons to estimate survival and therefore guide management. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:266–70

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Advances in treatment have extended the life expectancy of patients with metastatic bone disease (MBD). Patients could experience more skeletal-related events (SREs) as a result of this progress. Those who have already experienced a SRE could encounter another local management for a subsequent SRE, which is not part of the treatment for the initial SRE. However, there is a noted gap in research on the rate and characteristics of subsequent SREs requiring further localized treatment, obligating clinicians to extrapolate from experiences with initial SREs when confronting subsequent ones. This study aimed to investigate the proportion of MBD patients developing subsequent SREs requiring local treatment, examine if there are prognostic differences at the initial treatment between those with single versus subsequent SREs, and determine if clinical, oncological, and prognostic features differ between initial and subsequent SRE treatments.

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This study aimed to compare the performance of survival prediction models for bone metastases of the extremities (BM-E) with pathological fractures in an Asian cohort, and investigate patient characteristics associated with survival.

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The incidence of bone metastases is between 20% to 75% depending on the type of cancer. As treatment improves, the number of patients who need surgical intervention is increasing. Identifying patients with a shorter life expectancy would allow surgical intervention with more durable reconstructions to be targeted to those most likely to benefit. While previous scoring systems have focused on surgical and oncological factors, there is a need to consider comorbidities and the physiological state of the patient, as these will also affect outcome. The primary aim of this study was to create a scoring system to estimate survival time in patients with bony metastases and to determine which factors may adversely affect this.

Introduction. It is generally held that blood tests are not particularly helpful in establishing the diagnosis of bone tumours but may be useful in prognosis. We reviewed the results of blood tests taken at the time of diagnosis to establish the frequency of abnormalities in common blood tests and whether this was significant in staging or prognosis. Method. Blood test results on all newly diagnosed patients with bone tumours from 2005 – 2010 were exported and abnormalities identified. This was matched to diagnosis, clinical features and prognosis. Results. There were 541 patients included in the analysis of whom 221 had osteosarcoma, 167 chondrosarcoma, 87 Ewing's, and 66 other bone tumours. 340 were adults, 103 children (under 14) and 98 TYA. The most frequently abnormal blood test was a low haemoglobin (⋋13) in 56%, raised alkaline phosphatase in 40%, and raised ESR and CRP in 32%. Patients with metastases at diagnosis tended to have higher levels of ESR (p⋋0.0001) but there was no other significant difference overall. Older patients tended to have a greater number of abnormal results apart from the CRP which was highest in the TYA group. No single blood test was related to prognosis. Conclusion. Abnormal blood tests are common in patients at the time of diagnosis of bone tumours. None are either particularly diagnostic or prognostic

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There is a lack of evidence about the risk factors for local recurrence of a giant cell tumour (GCT) of the sacrum treated with nerve-sparing surgery, probably because of the rarity of the disease. This study aimed to answer two questions: first, what is the rate of local recurrence of sacral GCT treated with nerve-sparing surgery and second, what are the risk factors for its local recurrence?

We studied 55 patients with stage-IIB osteosarcoma around the knee with respect to the expression of matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-9 in the surviving tumour cells in surgical resection specimens. They were followed up for a minimum of 2.5 years. Factors significantly associated with poor overall survival were a high serum level of alkaline phosphatase at diagnosis and tumour cells expressing MMP-9 in the resection specimens. The only factor strongly associated with disease-free survival was the immunohistochemical status of tumour cells for MMP-9 in the resection specimens. The percentage of necrosis after chemotherapy failed marginally to reach statistical significance. On Cox regression analysis only MMP-9 remained significant for overall and disease-free survival

Prognostic stratification of patients with non-metastatic osteosarcoma may improve the clinical management and the design of clinical trials. Data from 773 patients [median age 15 years (3-40)] treated at our Institute from 1983 to 2000 with high-dose methotrexate, cisplatin, doxorubicin and ifosfamide (neoadjuvant chemotherapy) were analyzed. After multivariate analysis including age, site, tumour volume (cut-off 200 mL), serum LDH and Alkaline Phosphatase (SAP), histology (osteoblastic and chondroblastic vs others), high LDH and SAP, osteoblastic and chondroblastic histotypes resulted independent prognostic factors of DFS. Patients were grouped according to a score from 0 (absence) to 3 (one to 3 adverse factors). The scoring system was implemented by the addition of PgP expression and grade of chemotherapy-induced necrosis. A score of 0, 1, 2, 3 was given to 14%, 38%, 32% and 16% of patients respectively.10-year DFS was 80% (95%CI 72-89) for score of 0, 58% (95%CI 52-64) for 1, 53% (95%CI 46-59) for 2 and 40% (95%CI 32-50) for 3 (p= 0.001). PgP expression (168 patients) identified patients with 100% probability of DFS (score of 0 and negative PgP) and patients with 18% (95%CI 52-64) DFS (score of 3 and positive PgP). Good (GR) and poor responder (PR) patients had the same probability of DFS in case of score of 0 [GR82% (95% CI 72-91), PR79% (95% CI 65-93)] and score of 3 [GR43% (95% CI 32-55) PR36% (95% CI 21-51)]. Different probability of DFS in case of score of 1 [GR64% (95% CI 57-72) PR47% (95% CI 36-59)] and score of 2 [GR63% (95% CI 55-71) PR36% (95% CI 21-51)]. It is possible to stratify outcomes of patients with non metastatic osteosarcoma of the extremity by means of a simple score based on easily available clinical parameters. This scoring system is worth to be validated on larger series

Aim. Ten years ago at the EMSOS 2000 meeting we have presented our experience concerning the non-surgical treatment of stage IIB osteosarcoma of extremities. The purpose of study was to evaluate long-term results and complications related to this non-standard and controversial treatment modality. Methods. Since 1988 definitive radiation gamma therapy (RT) in the median dose of 60 Gy was administrated to 36 patients who refused surgery after preoperative chemotherapy. Until 1999 induction consisted in 3-5 cycles of intra-arterial doxorubicin (DOX) 75 mg/m2 or cis-platin (CDDP) 120 mg/m2. Since 2000 induction comprised 4 cycles of DOX 90 mg/m2+CDDP 120 mg/m2 intra-arterially. Tumour response before local treatment was assessed non-invasively by means of X-ray, CT, MRI, angiography, 3-phase bone scans and alkaline phosphatase measurement. The end-points were overall (OS), metastases free (MFS) and local progression free (LPFS) survival at 10 years. Results. OS, MFS and LPFS by Kaplan-Meier method were 48±9%, 51±9%, and 45±11% respectively. The outcome was significantly related to response assessed before RT. In 12 good responders OS, MFS and LPFS were 74±13%, 91±9%, and 69±19% respectively compared with 29±11%, 27±11%, and 34±13% in 24 non-responders, p- value 0.03, 0.003, 0.009, respectively. In 14 patients 5 years survival after local progression and delayed surgery was 38±10%. Median survival time after local relapse was 36 months. Two types of major complications were seen: 7 pathological fractures and one osteomyelitis. 21 patients (58%) remained with a functional limb until the last examination or death. Conclusions. Long-term results were higher than expected in this radioresistant tumour. In good responders to induction chemotherapy RT could be an option for local treatment. Majority of patients had a functional limb during and long time after treatment. Isolated late local relapses did not influence considerably systemic control

Aims

The early mortality in patients with hip fractures from bony metastases is unknown. The objectives of this study were to quantify 30- and 90-day mortality in patients with proximal femoral metastases, and to create a mortality prediction tool based on biomarkers associated with early death.

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The aims of this study were to evaluate the long-term outcome of surgery for bone or soft-tissue metastases from renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and to determine factors that affect prognosis.

We evaluated the long-term outcome of patients with an osteosarcoma who had undergone prior manipulative therapy, a popular treatment in Asia, and investigated its effects on several prognostic factors. Of the 134 patients in this study, 70 (52%) patients had manipulative therapy and 64 (48%) did not. The age, location, and size of tumour were not significantly different between the groups. The five-year overall survival rate was 58% and 92% in the groups with and without manipulative therapy (p = 0.004). Both the primary and overall rates of lung metastasis were significantly higher in the manipulative group (primary: 32% vs 3%, p = 0.003; overall lung metastasis rate: 51.4% vs 18.8%, p < 0.001). Patients who had manipulative therapy had higher local recurrence rates in comparison to patients who did not (29% vs 6%, p = 0.011). The prognosis for patients with osteosarcoma who had manipulative therapy was significantly poorer than those who had not. Manipulative therapy was an independent factor for survival.

This form of therapy may serve as a mechanism to accelerate the spread of tumour cells, and therefore must be avoided in order to improve the outcome for patients with an osteosarcoma.

Between 1986 and 2002, 42 patients with synchronous multifocal osteosarcoma were treated with two different protocols of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. When feasible, the primary and secondary tumours were excised as a combined procedure.

After initial chemotherapy 26 patients were excluded from simultaneous excision of all their secondary bone lesions as their disease was too advanced. In 12 patients only isolated excision of the primary lesion was possible. For 16 patients simultaneous operations were conducted to excise the primary and secondary lesions. This involved two supplementary sites in 15 patients and four additional sites in one patient. Of these, 15 attained remission but 12 relapsed and died (11 within two years). Three patients remained disease-free at five, six and 17 years. The histological response to pre-operative chemotherapy of the primary and secondary lesions was concordant in 13 of the 16 patients who underwent simultaneous operations at more than one site.

The prognosis for synchronous multifocal osteosarcoma remains poor despite combined chemotherapy and surgery. The homogeneous histological responses in a large proportion of the primary and secondary lesions implies that synchronous multifocal osteosarcoma tumours are not multicentric in origin, but probably represent bone-to-bone metastases from a single tumour.

Opinion remains divided as to whether the development of pathological fracture affects the prognosis of patients with an osteosarcoma of the extremities.

We conducted a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis of papers which reported the outcomes of osteosarcoma patients with and without a pathological fracture. There were eight eligible papers for final analysis which reported on 1713 patients, of whom 303 (17.7%) had a pathological fracture. The mean age for 1464 patients in six studies was 23.2 years old (2 to 82). The mean follow-up for 1481 patients in seven studies was 90.1 months (6 to 240).

The pooled estimates of local recurrence rates in osteosarcoma patients with and without pathological fractures were 14.4% (8.7 to 20.0) versus 11.4% (8.0 to 14.8). The pooled estimate of relative risk was 1.39 (0.89 to 2.20). The pooled estimates of five-year event-free survival rates in osteosarcoma patients with and without a pathological fracture were 49.3% (95% CI 43.6 to 54.9) versus 66.8% (95% CI 60.7 to 72.8). The pooled estimate of relative risk was 1.33 (1.12 to 1.59). There was no significant difference in the rate of local recurrence between patients who were treated by amputation or limb salvage.

The development of a pathological fracture is a negative prognostic indicator in osteosarcoma and is associated with a reduced five-year event-free survival and a possibly higher rate of local recurrence. Our findings suggest that there is no absolute indication for amputation, as similar rates of local recurrence can be achieved in patients who are carefully selected for limb salvage.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014; 96-B:1396–1403