Artificial Intelligence (AI) is becoming more powerful but is barely used to counter the growth in health care burden. AI applications to increase efficiency in orthopedics are rare. We questioned if (1) we could train machine learning (ML) algorithms, based on answers from digitalized history taking questionnaires, to predict treatment of hip osteoartritis (either conservative or surgical); (2) such an algorithm could streamline clinical consultation.

Multiple ML models were trained on 600 annotated (80% training, 20% test) digital history taking questionnaires, acquired before consultation. Best performing models, based on balanced accuracy and optimized automated hyperparameter tuning, were build into our daily clinical orthopedic practice. Fifty patients with hip complaints (>45 years) were prospectively predicted and planned (partly blinded, partly unblinded) for consultation with the physician assistant (conservative) or orthopedic surgeon (operative). Tailored patient information based on the prediction was automatically sent to a smartphone app. Level of evidence: IV.

Random Forest and BernoulliNB were the most accurate ML models (0.75 balanced accuracy). Treatment prediction was correct in 45 out of 50 consultations (90%), p<0.0001 (sign and binomial test). Specialized consultations where conservatively predicted patients were seen by the physician assistant and surgical patients by the orthopedic surgeon were highly appreciated and effective.

Treatment strategy of hip osteoartritis based on answers from digital history taking questionnaires was accurately predicted before patients entered the hospital. This can make outpatient consultation scheduling more efficient and tailor pre-consultation patient education.

Introduction. With advances in artificial intelligence, the use of computer-aided detection and diagnosis in clinical imaging is gaining traction. Typically, very large datasets are required to train machine-learning models, potentially limiting use of this technology when only small datasets are available. This study investigated whether pretraining of fracture detection models on large, existing datasets could improve the performance of the model when locating and classifying wrist fractures in a small X-ray image dataset. This concept is termed “transfer learning”. Method. Firstly, three detection models, namely, the faster region-based convolutional neural network (faster R-CNN), you only look once version eight (YOLOv8), and RetinaNet, were pretrained using the large, freely available dataset, common objects in context (COCO) (330000 images). Secondly, these models were pretrained using an open-source wrist X-ray dataset called “Graz Paediatric Wrist Digital X-rays” (GRAZPEDWRI-DX) on a (1) fracture detection dataset (20327 images) and (2) fracture location and classification dataset (14390 images). An orthopaedic surgeon classified the small available dataset of 776 distal radius X-rays (Arbeidsgmeischaft für Osteosynthesefragen Foundation / Orthopaedic Trauma Association; AO/OTA), on which the models were tested. Result. Detection models without pre-training on the large datasets were the least precise when tested on the small distal radius dataset. The model with the best accuracy to detect and classify wrist fractures was the YOLOv8 model pretrained on the GRAZPEDWRI-DX fracture detection dataset (mean average precision at intersection over union of 50=59.7%). This model showed up to 33.6% improved detection precision compared to the same models with no pre-training. Conclusion. Optimisation of machine-learning models can be challenging when only relatively small datasets are available. The findings of this study support the potential of transfer learning from large datasets to improve model performance in smaller datasets. This is encouraging for wider application of machine-learning technology in medical imaging evaluation, including less common orthopaedic pathologies