The Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) was developed in 2007 as a predictor of 30-day mortality after hip fracture surgery following a neck of femur fracture. The National Hip Fracture Database is the standard used which calculated their own score using national data. The NHF score for 30-day mortality was calculated for 50 patients presenting with a fractured neck femur injury between January 2020 to March 2020. A score <5 was classified as low risk and >/=5 as high risk. Aim was to assess the accuracy in calculating the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score against the National Hip Fracture Database. To explore whether it should it be routinely included during initial assessment to aid clinical management?. There was an increase in the number of mortalities observed in patients who belonged to the high-risk group (>=5) compared to the low risk group. COVID-19 positive patients had worse outcomes with average 30-day mortality of 6.78 compared to the average of 6.06. GEH NHF score per month showed significant accuracy against the NHFD scores. The identification of high-risk groups from their NHF score can allow for targeted optimisations and elucidation of risk factors easily gathered at the point of hospitalisation. The NHFS is a valuable tool and useful predictor to stratify the risk of 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality after hip fracture surgery. Inclusion of the score should be considered as mandatory Trust policy for neck of femur fracture patients to aid clinical management and improve patient safety overall

In current practice in the UK there are three main approaches to investigating suspected scaphoid fractures not seen on initial plain film x-rays. Early MRI of all cases. Review all cases in clinic at two weeks with repeat x-rays. Hybrid model. Virtual Fracture Clinic (VFC) triage to reduce those who are seen in clinic at two weeks by:. ∘. Organising early MRI for those with high-risk presentation. ∘. Discharging those with an alternative more likely diagnosis. Our unit uses the VFC model. We aimed to evaluate its efficiency, safety, clinical outcomes and economic viability. All patients attending the emergency department with either a confirmed or suspected scaphoid fracture between March and December 2020 were included (n=305). Of these 297 were referred to the VFC: 33 had a confirmed fracture on x-ray and 264 had a suspected fracture. Of the suspected fractures reviewed in VFC 14% had an MRI organised directly owing to a high-risk presentation, 79% were brought for fracture clinic review and 17% discharged with an alternative diagnosis such as osteoarthritis. Of those subsequently reviewed in fracture clinic at two weeks: 9% were treated as scaphoid fractures (based on clinical suspicion and repeat x-rays), 17% had MRI or CT imaging organised, 5% did not attend and 69% were discharged. Overall, 17% of cases initially triaged, had further imaging – 41 MRIs and 5 CTs. MRI detected: 5% scaphoid fracture, 17% other fracture, 24% bone contusion, complete ligament tear 10%, partial ligament tear 39% and normal study 10%. The results of MRI minimally affected management. 3 patients were taken out of plaster early, 1 patient was immobilized who was not previously and no patients underwent operative management. In the following 12-month period one patient re-presented with a hand or wrist issue. This approach avoided 218 MRIs, equating to £24000 and 109 hours of scanner time. VFC triage and selective use of MRI scanning is a safe, efficient and cost-effective method for the management suspected scaphoid fractures. This can be implemented in units without the resource to MRI all suspected scaphoid fractures from the emergency department

Partial meniscectomy patients have a greater likelihood for the development of early osteoarthritis (OA). To prevent the onset of early OA, patient-specific treatment algorithms need to be created that predict patient risk to early OA after meniscectomy. The aim of this work was to identify patient-specific risk factors in partial meniscectomy patients that could potentially lead to early OA. Partial meniscectomy patients operated between 01/2017 and 12/2019 were evaluated in the study (n=317). Exclusion criteria were other pathologies or surgeries for the evaluated knee and meniscus (n = 114). Following informed consent, an online questionnaire containing demographics and the “Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score” (KOOS) questionnaire was sent to the patient. Based on the KOOS pain score, patients were classified into “low” (> 75) and “high” (< 75) risk patients, indicating risk to symptomatic OA. The “high risk” patients also underwent a follow-up including an MRI scan to understand whether they have developed early OA. From 203 participants, 96 patients responded to the questionnaire (116 did not respond) with 61 patients considered “low-risk” and 35 “high-risk” patients. Groups that showed a significant increased risk for OA were patients aged > 40 years, females, overweight (BMI >25 kg/m2 ≤ 30 kg/m2), and smokers (*p < 0.05). The “high-risk”-follow-up revealed a progression of early osteoarthritic cartilage changes in seven patients, with the remaining nineteen patients showing no changes in cartilage status or pain since time of operation. Additionally, eighteen patients in the high-risk group showed a varus or valgus axis deviation. Patient-specific factors for worse postoperative outcomes after partial meniscectomy and indicators for an “early OA” development were identified, providing the basis for a patient-specific treatment approach. Further analysis in a multicentre study and computational analysis of MRI scans is ongoing to develop a patient-specific treatment algorithm for meniscectomy patients

Acute post-operative urinary retention (POUR) is a recognized complication following lower limb arthroplasty. Its occurrence may have patient and ultimately medico-legal implications. Identifying high-risk patients and the associated risk factors pre-operatively, is vital to tackle this issue and reduce its occurrence, which ultimately, may enhance the overall success of our operations. Our aim was to assess the incidence of POUR following elective lower limb arthroplasty and analyze the related factors that could potentially predict the likelihood of developing POUR in our patient cohort. A prospective audit of 158 patients was conducted in our department. POUR was defined as inability to pass urine voluntarily within the first 24 hours following elective lower limb arthroplasty leading to the insertion of a urinary catheter. Surgical-related factors including intra-operative fluid use, type of spinal anesthetic, duration of surgery, time from surgery till insertion of a urinary catheter as well as patient-related factors including medication, urological history and Body Mass index (BMI) was collected and analyzed. 21 (13.3%) patients developed post-operative urinary retention, 11 (52%) and 10 (48%) following knee and hip replacements respectively. Of which, 19 (90.5%) were male and 2 (9.5%) were female with an average age of 66 yrs. 13 (62%) had a previous urological history and 10 (48%) were on retention associated medication. Bupivacaine as a spinal anesthetic was associated with an increased risk of developing post-operative urinary retention. The average time till catheter insertion was 14 hrs. Only 2 (10%) had an unsuccessful TWOC on discharge. Bupivacaine as a spinal anesthetic and a previous urological history can be considered as risk factors for the development of POUR. Pre-operative urinary catheterization should be considered in this high-risk group of patients

Introduction and Objective. Lower limb fractures are amongst the most common surgically managed orthopaedic injuries, with open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) as the conventional method of treatment of the fibula. In recent years, dedicated intramedullary implants have emerged for fibula fixation in tandem with the move towards minimally invasive surgery in high-risk patients. This is the largest multicentre review to date with the aim of establishing the clinical outcomes following intramedullary nail (IMN) fixation of the fibula and to identify the absolute indication for fibula IMN fixation. Materials and Methods. A retrospective study of adult patients in all UK hospitals, who underwent fibula nail fixation between 01/01/2018 and 31/10/2020 was performed. Primary outcome measures included time to union, infection rate, other post-operative complications associated with the fixation and length of hospital stay. The secondary outcome measure was to identify the indication for fibula nailing. Data tabulation was performed using Microsoft Excel and analysis was performed using SPSS Version 23 (SPSS Statistics). Results. 2 Major Trauma Centres (MTCs) and 9 Trauma Units (TUs) were eligible for inclusion. 102 patients were included and 91% were classified as ankle fractures of 68% (n=69) were Weber B, 24% (n=24) Weber C and 8% (n=9) were either distal tibial fractures with an associated fibula fracture or pilon fractures. The mean age was 64 years of which 45 were male patients and 57 were female. The average BMI was 30.03kg/m. 2. and 44% of patients were ASA 3. 74% of patients had poor pre-op skin condition including swelling and open wounds. The calculated infection rate for fibula nail was 4.9% and metal-work complication rate was 4.9%. The average time to union was 13 weeks and length of inpatient stay was 15 days (SD +/− 12 days). Conclusions. MEFNO has demonstrated that fibula nail is an ideal implant in patients who have a physiologically higher risk of surgery, poor skin condition and a complex fracture pattern. The time to union, complication and infection risks are lower than that reported in literature for ankle ORIFs

Introduction. The STarT Back trial demonstrated that targeting back pain treatment according to patient prognosis (low, medium or high-risk subgroups) is effective. However, the mechanisms leading to these improved treatment outcomes remain unknown. This study aimed to identify which psychological variables included in the study were mediating treatment outcome for all patients and within the low, medium and high-risk subgroups. Methods. Secondary analysis was conducted on 466 patients randomised to the active treatment arm with 4-month follow-up available. Psychological variables included depression (HADs), fear (TSK), catastrophising (PCS), bothersomeness and illness perception constructs (IPQ brief) e.g. personal control. Treatment outcome was characterised using change in disability score (RMDQ) at 4-months. Residualised change scores were calculated for each variable and Pearson's correlations were calculated overall and at the subgroup level to determine potential mediating variables for disability improvement. Results. Overall, correlations with RMDQ change were .62 for change in bothersomeness, .56 for change in catastrophising, .51 for change in fear, .48 for change in anxiety, .58 for change in depression, −.32 for change in personal control and .40 for change in symptom identity. The strength of correlation generally increased from low to high-risk subgroups, e.g. bothersomeness (low=.54, high=.70). However, the predominant variables mediating treatment outcome were common across risk-groups. Conclusion. The psychological variables which were highly correlated with improvements in disability were bothersomeness, depression and catastrophising. This finding was consistent across low, medium and high-risk subgroups. This study is ongoing and further mediation analysis using structural equation modelling is in progress. Conflicts of Interest. None. Source of Funding. NIHR Spinal Pain Programme grant

A suitable wound closure is an indispensable requirement for an uncomplicated and expedient recovery after an abdominal surgery. The closure technique will have a great impact on the healing process of the wound. Surgical complications, such as wound dehiscence (sometimes associated with evisceration), infection, hernia, nerve injury and incisional pain are very common in the postoperative period of an abdominal surgery. Besides, although their development can be promoted by other risk factors like age, sex, lifestyle, diet, health condition, the closure method can also influence the emergence of these undesirable complications. For this reason, and having the wellbeing and quality of life of the patients in mind, particularly high-risk patients, a closure system consisting of anchors applied on either side of the wound that aims to reduce the tension caused on the surrounding tissues of a wound and, consequently, decrease the risk of herniation was evaluated in a pilot animal study and compared with the traditional suture approach

Background. One untested back pain treatment model is to stratify management depending on prognosis (low, medium or high-risk). This 2-arm RCT investigated: (i) overall clinical and cost-effectiveness of stratified primary care (intervention), versus non-stratified current best practice (control); and (ii) whether low-risk patients had non-inferior outcomes, and medium/high-risk groups had superior outcomes. Methods. 1573 adults with back pain (+/− radiculopathy) consulting at 10 general practices in England responded to invitations to attend an assessment clinic, at which 851 eligible participants were randomised (intervention n=568; control n=283). Primary outcome using intention-to-treat analysis was the difference in change in the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score at 12 months. Secondary outcomes included 4-month RMDQ change between arms overall, and at risk-group level at both time-points. The economic evaluation estimated incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and back pain-related health care costs. Results. Overall, between-group differences in RMDQ adjusted mean change scores significantly favoured stratified care; 1·8 (95%CI 1·1, 2·6) at 4-months and 1·1 (95%CI 0·3, 1·9) at 12-months. Stratified care was associated with an increase in generic health benefit (0.039 additional QALYs) and cost savings. Low-risk patients had non-inferior outcomes compared with controls, and there were significant between-group differences in RMDQ adjusted mean change scores for medium-risk patients at 4 (1·99 [95%CI 0·75, 3·22]) and 12 months (1·33 [95%CI 0·15, 2·52]), and high-risk patients at 4 months (2·53 [95%CI 0·90, 4·16]). Conclusion. A stratified approach of prognostic screening with treatment matched pathways for patients in primary care with back pain provides significant improvements in clinical and economic outcomes compared to current best practice. Conflicts of Interest. None. Source of Funding. Arthritis Research UK. This abstract has been presented at 3 international conferences but not yet at a national conference. It has also been accepted for publication in the Lancet – but is not yet published

Objectives. Surgeons face a substantial risk of infection because of the occupational exposure to blood-borne pathogens (BBPs) from patients undergoing high-risk orthopaedic procedures. This study aimed to determine the seroprevalence of four BBPs among patients undergoing joint arthroplasty in Shanghai, China. In addition, we evaluated the significance of pre-operative screening by calculating a cost-to-benefit ratio. Methods. A retrospective observational study of pre-operative screening for BBPs, including hepatitis B and C viruses (HBV and HCV), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and Treponema pallidum (TP), was conducted for sequential patients in the orthopaedic department of a large urban teaching hospital between 01 January 2009 and 30 May 2016. Medical records were analysed to verify the seroprevalence of these BBPs among the patients stratified by age, gender, local origin, type of surgery, history of previous transfusion and marital status. Results. Of the subjects who underwent arthroplasty surgery in our institution, pre-operative screening tests were available for 96.1% (11 609 patients). The seroprevalence of HBV, HCV, HIV and TP was 5.47%, 0.45%, 0.08% and 3.6%, respectively. A total of 761 seropositive cases (68.4%) were previously undiagnosed. Pre-operative screening for HIV resulted in a low cost to benefit ratio, followed by HCV and HBV. Conclusion. Routine HCV and HIV screening prior to joint arthroplasty is not a cost-effective strategy. Considering the high rate of undiagnosed patients and the shortage of protective options, targeted pre-operative screening for HBV and syphilis should be considered for the protection of healthcare workers in China who have not been vaccinated. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2017;6:566–571

Background. The Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) is a risk stratifying score that estimates the 30-day and 12-month mortality rates of hip fracture patients. To date, it has only been validated in few centres in the UK. Our study aims to see how our mortality rates compare with those predicted by the NHFS. Methods. The Nottingham Hip Fracture Database was reviewed for patients presenting to our unit from August 2012 - March 2013 with a neck of femur fracture. Patient information was obtained from the database and our online electronic patient records for NHFS calculation. Patients with incomplete data were excluded. Results. 285 patients were identified, 11 were excluded. 69 (24%) were male. The average age was 82 years. The highest mortality was in those with a NHFS=9 (50%). The high-risk (NHFS≥5) patients had a higher mortality rate (n=19, 13%) compared to the low risk group (NHFS≤4) (n=7; 5%). Conclusions. Our study shows that most of our patients had a NHFS 4 – 6, which is comparable to other units. Mortality rates increased steeply from 5% to 16% from NHFS 5–6. A validation study of the NHFS showed that a score of greater than 6 was more closely correlated with high mortality. For NHFS=2, the mortality was 20%. The patient who died was a 48-year old female with breast cancer and 2 previous pulmonary emboli. The published co-morbidities for NHFS doesn't include PEs and may underestimate a patient's morbidity. Large-scale nationwide studies to determine the validity of the NHFS are needed. Level of Evidence. 4

Background. Since 2011, the knee service at the Nuffield Orthopaedic Centre has been offering a neutralising medial opening wedge high tibial osteotomy (HTO) to a group of patients presenting with early medial osteoarthritis of the knee, varus alignment and symptoms for more than 2 years. During development of this practice an association was observed between this phenotype of osteoarthritis and the presence of CAM deformity at the hip. Methods. A retrospective cohort study. All patients who underwent HTO since 2011 were identified (n=30). Comparator groups were used in order to establish whether meaningful observations were being made: Control group: The spouses of a high-risk osteoarthritis cohort recruited for a different study at our unit (n=20) Pre-arthroplasty group: Patients who have undergone uni-compartmental arthroplasty (UKA) for antero-medial osteoarthritis (n=20)All patients had standing bilateral full-length radiographs available for analysis using in house developed Matlab-based software for hip measurements and MediCAD for lower limb alignment measurements. Results. A total of 140 limbs from 70 gender-matched subjects were studied. The HTO group had a significantly higher prevalence of CAM lesions defined by an Alpha angle >650. They also had a significantly greater mean alpha angle than both the pre-arthroplasty and control groups [HTO (Avg. 68.3 (±16.1)) vs Pre-arthroplasty (Avg. 59.5 (±15.5)) P=0.01; HTO vs Control (Avg. 58.2 (±13.9)) P=0.007]. Conclusions. The results of this study confirm that our HTO group have a significantly greater prevalence of CAM lesions. A feature not seen in either pre-arthroplasty or control subjects. This group demonstrate independent predictors for progression of OA in both the hip and the knee. To our knowledge this is a novel observation. Level of evidence. Observational cohort study (III)

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a chronic, malignant B-cell disorder, with a less than 50% 5-year survival rate [1]. This disease is responsible for vertebral compression fractures (VCFs) in 34 to 64% of diagnosed patients [1], and at least 80% of MM patients experience pathological fractures [3]. Even though reduced DXA-derived bone mineral density (BMD) has been observed in MM patients with vertebral fractures [4], the current quantitative standard method is insufficient in MM due to the osteo-destructive bone changes. Finite-element (FE) analysis is a computational and non-destructive modeling and testing approach to determine bone strength using 3D bone models from CT images. Thus, this study aimed to assess the differences in FE-predicted critical fracture load in MM patients with and without VCFs in the thoracic and lumbar segments of the spine. Multi-detector CT (MDCT) images of two radiologically assessed MM patients (1 with VCFs and 1 without VCFs) were used to generate three-dimensional (3D) models of the whole spine. For each subject, the thoracic segments, 1 to 12 (T1-T12) and lumbar segments, 1 to 5 (L1-L5) were segmented and meshed. Heterogeneous, non-linear anisotropic material properties were applied by discretizing each vertebral segment into 10 distinct sets of materials. A compressive load was simulated by constraining the surface nodes on the inferior endplate in all directions, and a displacement load was applied on the surface nods on the superior endplate [2]. This analysis was performed using ABAQUS version 6.10 (Hibbitt, Karlsson, and Sorensen, Inc., Pawtucket, RI, USA). The MM subject with VCFs had originally experienced fractures in the T4, T5, T12, L1, and L5 segments whereas the MM subject without VCFs experienced none. The former displayed large and abrupt differences in fracture loads between adjacent vertebrae segments, unlike the latter, which exhibited progressive differences instead (no abrupt changes between adjacent vertebrae segments observed). Results from this preliminary study suggest that segments at high risk of fracture are collectively involved in an unstable network, which place the vertebral segments with high values of fracture loads (peaks) as well as the adjacent segments at risk of VCF. For instance, the high fracture load at T11 places T10, T11 and T12 at risk of fracture. Accordingly, T12 has already fractured, and T10 and T11 remain at risk. The relative changes between adjacent vertebrae segments that indicate instability (extremely high fracture load values) enables ease of identification of segments at high fracture risk. Clinicians would be able to work with pre-emptive treatment strategies in future as they can focus on more targeted therapy options at the high-risk vertebrae segments [3]

Background. Farming is regarded as a high-risk work sector for LBP. Purpose. To establish prevalence, risk factors and consequences of LBP among Irish farmers. Methods. A questionnaire survey, using quota sampling, to achieve 100 farmers from each of the six main farm enterprise systems (n=600) namely dairy, dairy and other, cattle rearing, cattle other, mainly sheep and arable. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics and Chi square tests. Results. Lifetime, annual and point prevalence of LBP were 46% (n=277), 24% (n=146) and 13% (n=78), respectively. Of those with a lifetime history of LBP, 35% attributed their LBP to a specific farm injury and 36% to repeated activities. Lifting was reported as the primary causal factor in over 50% of cases. Prevalence of LBP was significantly higher among farmers with less than 20 hectares or more than 50 hectares of land(p<0.05). Farm hours worked, farm enterprise, age, employment status, off-farm work, gender or attendance of manual handling and lifting training were not found to have a significant association with LBP. Of the LBP respondents, 36% reported needing help to carry out some of their farm tasks, in the previous year, due to LBP while 54% reported having to change work habits. Conclusion. LBP is common among farmers. Over a third of farmers with LBP attributed it to a specific farm injury and lifting is commonly perceived as a causal factor. LBP leads to work disability that necessitates farmers changing work habits and getting help to complete farm tasks. The relationship between farm size and LBP warrants further investigation. Conflicts of interest. None. Sources of Funding. Health and Safety Authority, Teagasc (Irish Agricultural Advisory Board). This abstract has not been published in whole or substantial part nor has it been presented at a national meeting

Objectives

The treatment of osteoporotic fractures is a major challenge, and the enhancement of healing is critical as a major goal in modern fracture management. Most osteoporotic fractures occur at the metaphyseal bone region but few models exist and the healing is still poorly understood. A systematic review was conducted to identify and analyse the appropriateness of current osteoporotic metaphyseal fracture animal models.

Objectives

The period of post-operative treatment before surgical wounds are completely closed remains a key window, during which one can apply new technologies that can minimise complications. One such technology is the use of negative pressure wound therapy to manage and accelerate healing of the closed incisional wound (incisional NPWT).