Aims. The aim of the study was to determine if there was a direct correlation between the pain and disability experienced by patients and size of their disc prolapse, measured by the disc’s cross-sectional area on T2 axial MRI scans. Methods. Patients were asked to prospectively complete visual analogue scale (VAS) and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) scores on the day of their MRI scan. All patients with primary disc herniation were included. Exclusion criteria included recurrent disc herniation, cauda equina syndrome, or any other associated spinal pathology. T2 weighted MRI scans were reviewed on picture archiving and communications software. The T2 axial image showing the disc protrusion with the largest cross sectional area was used for measurements. The area of the disc and canal were measured at this level. The size of the disc was measured as a percentage of the cross-sectional area of the spinal canal on the chosen image. The VAS leg pain and ODI scores were each correlated with the size of the disc using the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC). Intraobserver reliability for MRI measurement was assessed using the interclass correlation coefficient (ICC). We assessed if the position of the disc prolapse (central, lateral recess, or foraminal) altered the symptoms described by the patient. The VAS and ODI scores from central and lateral recess disc prolapses were compared. Results. A total of 56 patients (mean age 41.1 years (22.8 to 70.3)) were included. A high degree of intraobserver reliability was observed for MRI measurement: single measure ICC was 0.99 (95% confidence interval (CI) from 0.97 to 0.99 (p < 0.001)). The PCC comparing VAS leg scores with canal occupancy for herniated disc was 0.056. The PCC comparing ODI for herniated disc was 0.070. We found 13 disc prolapses centrally and 43 lateral recess prolapses. There were no foraminal prolapses in this group. The position of the prolapse was not found to be related to the mean VAS score or ODI experienced by the patients (VAS, p = 0.251; ODI, p = 0.093). Conclusion. The results of the statistical analysis show that there is no direct correlation between the size or position of the disc prolapse and a patient’s symptoms. The symptoms experienced by patients should be the primary concern in deciding to perform discectomy. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(6):715–720

Background. Disability is an important multifaceted construct. The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate a brief, generic self-reported disability questionnaire: the Universal Disability Index (UDI). Methods. Convenience sampling was used to collect general population data via an online survey. Data were randomly divided into training and validation subsets. The dimensionality and structure of eight UDI questionnaire items were evaluated using exploratory factor analysis (EFA, training subset) followed by confirmatory factor analysis (CFA, validation subset). To assess concurrent validity, the UDI summed score from the full dataset was compared to the Groningen Activity Restriction Scale (GARS) and the Graded Chronic Pain Scale (GCPS) disability scores. Internal consistency was also assessed. Results. 403 participants enrolled; 364 completed at least one UDI item. Three single-factor versions of the UDI were assessed (8-item, 7-item, and 6-item). All versions performed well during EFA and CFA (182 cases assigned to each), but none met the RMSEA (Root Mean Square Error of Approximation) criterion (≤ 0.08). All versions of the UDI had high internal consistency (Cronbach's α > 0.90) and were strongly correlated (Pearson's r > 0.7) with both GARS and GCPS disability scores, indicating concurrent validity. Conclusions. A brief, generic self-reported disability questionnaire was found to be valid and to possess good psychometric properties. The UDI has a single factor structure and either a 6-item, 7-item or 8-item version can be used to measure disability. For brevity and parsimony, the 6-item UDI is recommended, but further testing of all versions is warranted. Conflicts of interest. No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding. No funding obtained

Introduction. Patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) and psychological aspects of spinal conditions play an important role in its management. Disability benefit in the social welfare system is being closely scrutinized. The PHQ9 and GAD7 are used widely in general practice to aid assessment of depression and anxiety/somatization. To date, their use in the spinal surgery out patient setting has not been assessed. Materials and Method. Over a one-year period the senior author saw 516 new patients. Each patient completed a standard spinal assessment questionnaire consisting of several demographic/aetiological questions and PROMs (VAS back, VAS leg, ODI/NDI, PHQ9 and GAD7). An analysis of these scores was performed. Results. The mean age was 54 years with 237 males and 279 females. The mean VAS Neck/Back was 6.7, VAS Limb 6, ODI/NDI 48, PHQ9 12 and GAD7 8.7. The PHQ9 and GAD7 correlated strongly with the VAS and ODI/NDI scores (r=0.3–0.4, p<0.0001). The PHQ9 correlated strongly with the GAD7 (r=0.83, p<0.0001). 163 patients (31.6%) were receiving disability benefit. Disability benefit was strongly associated with increasing age, VAS, ODI/NDI, PHQ9 and GAD7 scores (p<0.0001). Patients receiving disability benefit have more concerns regarding their pain and worse PROMs. Similar findings were found in the subgroup of 81 patients with chronic degenerative low back pain. Conclusion. The PHQ9 and GAD7 scores appear to correlate well with the standard spinal disability assessment PROMs (VAS and ODI/NDI). Patients receiving disability benefit appear to have worse PROMs including worse measures of depression and anxiety/somatization

Background. Disability is an important multifaceted construct. Identifying sources of disability could help optimise patient care. The aim of this study was to test an approach that not only estimates severity of disability, but also identifies the source(s) of this disability. Methods. An online survey was used to collect data from a convenience sample, recruited via email and social media invitations. Two generic measures of disability, the 8-item Universal Disability Index (UDI8) and Groningen Activity Restriction Scale (GARS) were used to estimate the prevalence and severity of disability in this sample. Non-zero UDI8 item responses generated conditional sub-questions, in which participants could attribute their activity limitations to one or more sources (pain, fatigue, worry, mood, and other). This allowed for a decomposition of UDI8 scores into source components. Results. 403 participants enrolled; 334 completed all UDI8 and GARS items. Of these, 85.3% (285/334) reported at least one restricted activity via the UDI8, while 43.4% (145/334) reported some reduced independence via the GARS. Disability severity increased with age until approximately 40 years, after which it decreased gradually. Pain component scores were high in all individuals with higher and lower disability severity, whereas fatigue component scores were highest in individuals reporting higher disability severity. Worry, mood, and other component scores were not high at any level of disability severity. Conclusions. This approach should be used to identify the prevalence, severity and sources of disability in the general population and in specific patient groups. Conflicts of interest. No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding. No funding obtained

Aims. To study the associations of lumbar developmental spinal stenosis (DSS) with low back pain (LBP), radicular leg pain, and disability. Methods. This was a cross-sectional study of 2,206 subjects along with L1-S1 axial and sagittal MRI. Clinical and radiological information regarding their demographics, workload, smoking habits, anteroposterior (AP) vertebral canal diameter, spondylolisthesis, and MRI changes were evaluated. Mann-Whitney U tests and chi-squared tests were conducted to search for differences between subjects with and without DSS. Associations of LBP and radicular pain reported within one month (30 days) and one year (365 days) of the MRI, with clinical and radiological information, were also investigated by utilizing univariate and multivariate logistic regressions. Results. Subjects with DSS had higher prevalence of radicular leg pain, more pain-related disability, and lower quality of life (all p < 0.05). Subjects with DSS had 1.5 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0 to 2.1; p = 0.027) and 1.8 (95% CI 1.3 to 2.6; p = 0.001) times higher odds of having radicular leg pain in the past month and the past year, respectively. However, DSS was not associated with LBP. Although, subjects with a spondylolisthesis had 1.7 (95% CI 1.1 to 2.5; p = 0.011) and 2.0 (95% CI 1.2 to 3.2; p = 0.008) times greater odds to experience LBP in the past month and the past year, respectively. Conclusion. This large-scale study identified DSS as a risk factor of acute and chronic radicular leg pain. DSS was seen in 6.9% of the study cohort and these patients had narrower spinal canals. Subjects with DSS had earlier onset of symptoms, more severe radicular leg pain, which lasted for longer and were more likely to have worse disability and poorer quality of life. In these patients there is an increased likelihood of nerve root compression due to a pre-existing narrowed canal, which is important when planning surgery as patients are likely to require multi-level decompression surgery. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(1):131–140

Background. The aim of the Groningen Spine Center (GSC) is to provide personalized and effective interventions to patients with spine-related disorders. The GSC comprises a multidisciplinary team to triage and treat patients most optimally. Aim. To investigate the patient reported clinical results of the treatments of the GSC during seven years of its existence. Patients and methods. The basis of this study is a natural cohort of all patients admitted to the GSC. Treatments existed of rehabilitation, surgery, anesthesiology, medication, referral to else, advice and self-management, or any combination of the above. Baseline characteristics, pain (Numeric Rating Scale; NRS), disability (Pain Disability Index; PDI) and quality of life (Euroqol 5-D;EQ5D) were obtained at baseline and discharge. Per calendar year, effects will be presented. Descriptive statistics, effect sizes and t-tests were calculated. Results are compared to the minimal clinically important change (MCIC) of the corresponding scales. Results. In total, 9.897 patients (43% male, mean age 49.2±16.1 yrs) were analyzed on T0, of whom 1.373 filled in a discharge questionnaire. All measures showed statistically significant changes (p<0.01), but for pain and disability mean changes were not always higher than the clinical important change. Effect sizes (d) for pain ranged between 0.44 and 1.01, for disability between 0.40 and 0.80, and for quality of life between 0.41 and 0.76. Conclusion. The Groningen Spine Center provides positive patient reported results over the past 7 years Effect sizes are moderate to high. The results are considered to be clinically important to patients. Non-response and regression to the mean may be sources for bias and should be topic for further research. No conflicts of interest. No funding obtained

Background. Serious traumatic injury is a leading cause of death and disability globally, with the majority of survivors developing chronic pain. Methods. The aims of this study were to describe early predictors of poor long-term outcome for post-trauma pain. We conducted a prospective observational study, recruiting patients admitted to a Major Trauma Centre hospital in England within 14 days of their injuries, and followed them for 12 months. We defined a poor outcome as Chronic Pain Grade ≥ II and measured this at both 6-months and 12-months. A broad range of candidate predictors were used, including surrogates for pain mechanisms, quantitative sensory testing, and psychosocial factors. Univariate models were used to identify the strongest predictors of poor outcome, which were entered into multivariate models. Results. 124 eligible participants were recruited. At 6-months, 19 (23.2%) of 82 respondents reported a good outcome, whereas at 12-months 27 (61.4%) of 44 respondents reported a good outcome. The multivariate model for 6-months produced odds ratios for a unit increase in: number of fractures, 3.179 (0.52 to 19.61); average pain intensity, 1.611 (0.96 to 2.7); pain extent, 1.138 (0.92 to 1.41) and post-traumatic stress symptoms, 1.044 (0.10 to 1.10). At 12-months, equivalent values were: number of fractures, 1.653 (0.77 to 3.55); average pain intensity, 0.967 (0.67 to 1.40); pain extent, 1.062 (0.92 to 1.23) and post-traumatic stress symptoms, 1.025 (0.99 to 1.07). Conclusion. A poor long-term pain outcome from musculoskeletal traumatic injuries can be predicted by measures recorded within days of injury. Conflicts of interest: No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding: This study was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiology Research Centre (SRMRC)

Purpose and background. Lumbar spinal fusion (LSF) is frequently and increasingly used in lumbar degenerative disorders despite conflicting results and recommendations. Further understanding of patient outcomes after LSF is required to inform decisions regarding surgery and to improve post-surgery management. The objective was to evaluate the course of pain and disability in patients with degenerative disorders of the lumbar spine (spinal stenosis, spondylolisthesis, disc herniation, discogenic low back pain) after first-time LSF. Methods and results. A systematic review and meta-analysis of pain and disability outcomes in prospective cohort studies after first time LSF for degenerative disorders. Two independent researchers searched key databases, determined study eligibility, extracted data and assessed risk of bias (modified Quality in Prognostic Studies tool). A third reviewer mediated at each stage. N weighted pooled estimates were calculated. Twenty-five articles (n=1,777 participants) were included. 17 studies were at unclear risk of bias and 8 at high risk. Back pain (12 studies) decreased modestly and irregularly at follow-up intervals. The n weighted mean VAS back pain decreased from 65.4 (±3.3) pre-surgery to 22.2 (±3.1) at 23 months, but then 45.0 (±not reported; 2 studies at risk of bias) at 42 months. In contrast, leg pain (12 studies) improved substantially short and long-term. Disability (20 studies) improved steadily over time with the exception of the 42-months and 48-months intervals. Conclusion. The overall improvement of leg pain and disability after first-time LSF in degenerative disorders is promising in contrast to back pain outcomes. Further research is needed to analyse outcomes in patients of different diagnostic subgroups. Conflicts of interest. None. Sources of funding. None

Background. We have developed a LBP (low back pain) repository with IPD (individual patient data) from therapist-delivered intervention RCT's from various institutions, nationally and internationally (19 trials, 9328 patients). We will perform IPD meta-analyses to identify and determine the most effective and cost-effective treatments for subgroups of patients. Disability due to LBP is a key outcome of interest. However, there was no common disability measurement that was used in all the RCT's. We report here our assessment as to whether different disability measures are sufficiently comparable to allow pooling across trials. Method. We used data from seven trials (n = 5015 patients) that had at least two of the following measurements: RMDQ (Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire), MVK (Modified Von Korff disability score), physical component scale of SF-12/36, Patient Specific Functional Scale, and Hannover Functional Ability Questionnaire. Within each trial, the change score between baseline and short-term follow-up was computed. These change scores were then converted from one outcome measure to another with linear regression and ridge-reroughed linear models. They were also tested for correlation and responsiveness (the ability to detect changes in condition, measured by standardised response means). Conclusion. Most of the correlations between outcome measurements were high (>0.5), but responsiveness was often significantly different. Moreover, the accuracy of the conversions was poor, e.g. >40% of predictions from the conversion of RMDQ to MVK were incorrect by more than 10 points. The lack of agreement between different outcome measures suggests that conversion between different disability measurements is not recommended

Purpose and background. There is lacking evidence about the prognostic role of anxiety as prognostic in acute low back pain patients. The objective of this study was to determine whether patients with acute low back pain (ALBP) are at risk to develop chronic low back pain (CLBP) and pain-related disability after 12 weeks due to high anxiety levels. Methods and results. An observational multi-centre study was conducted in primary physiotherapy care with measurements at baseline and at 12 weeks including known prognostic factors and psychological candidate predictors for CLBP. Two hundred and four participants completed both assessments of which 51 and 54 were classified as having less than 50% decrease in pain and pain-related disability, respectively. For pain, the final model contained higher pain intensity, longer pain duration, depression symptoms, and state anxiety with explained variance 0.30, sensitivity 0.74, specificity 0.82, Likelihood Ratio 4.1 (95% CI 2.0 to 6.1) and Area Under the Curve 0.78 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.85). For pain-related disability, trait anxiety, depression symptoms, and state anxiety contributed independently to the prediction with the model's explained variance of 0.19, sensitivity 0.78, specificity 0.78, Likelihood Ratio 3.0 (95% CI 2.0 to 4.5), and Area Under the Curve 0.73 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.81). Conclusion. State anxiety in patients with ALBP is an independent predictor of CLBP at 12 weeks after baseline in primary physiotherapy care and should be measured, in addition to known prognostic factors and depression symptoms, in order to intervene and potentially decrease duration of complaints. No conflict of interest. No funding obtained

Aims. Chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease is sometimes treated with fusion. We compared the outcome of three different fusion techniques in the Swedish Spine Register: noninstrumented posterolateral fusion (PLF), instrumented posterolateral fusion (IPLF), and interbody fusion (IBF). Patients and Methods. A total of 2874 patients who were operated on at one or two lumbar levels were followed for a mean of 9.2 years (3.6 to 19.1) for any additional lumbar spine surgery. Patient-reported outcome data were available preoperatively (n = 2874) and at one year (n = 2274), two years (n = 1958), and a mean of 6.9 years (n = 1518) postoperatively and consisted of global assessment and visual analogue scales of leg and back pain, Oswestry Disability Index, EuroQol five-dimensional index, 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey, and satisfaction with treatment. Statistical analyses were performed with competing-risks proportional hazards regression or analysis of covariance, adjusted for baseline variables. Results. The number of patients with additional surgery were 32/183 (17%) in the PLF group, 229/1256 (18%) in the IPLF group, and 439/1435 (31%) in the IBF group. With the PLF group as a reference, the hazard ratio for additional lumbar surgery was 1.16 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78 to 1.72) for the IPLF group and 2.13 (95% CI 1.45 to 3.12) for the IBF group. All patient-reported outcomes improved after surgery (p < 0.001) but were without statistically significant differences between the groups at the one-, two- and 6.9-year follow-ups (all p ≥ 0.12). Conclusion. The addition of interbody fusion to posterolateral fusion was associated with a higher risk for additional surgery and showed no advantages in patient-reported outcome. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2019;101-B:1526–1533

Purposes of the study and background. Characteristics of muscle activity, represented by surface electromyography (EMG), have shown differences between patients with low back pain and healthy adults; how they relate to functional/clinical scales remains unclear. The purpose of the current study was to examine the correlation between frequency characteristics of EMG and patients' self-rated score of disability using continuous wavelet transform (CWT) analysis. Methods and Results. Fifteen patients with chronic mechanical low back pain (LBP) and 10 healthy adults were recruited. Patients completed the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) and bilateral EMG activity was obtained from erector spinae at vertebral level L4 and T12. Subjects performed 3 brief maximal voluntary contractions (MVCs) of the back extensors and the torque was measured using a dynamometer. CWT was applied to the EMG signals of each muscle in a 200ms window centred around the peak torque obtained during the MVCs. The ratio (low/high frequencies) of the energy, the peak energy, and the frequency of the peak energy were calculated for each muscle and then averaged and correlated with the individual's RMDQ score. Patients had significantly lower peak power than the controls (p=0.04). Additionally, RMDQ positively correlated to the average ratio of energy (rho=0.71; p=0.01), meaning higher disability corresponded to a dominant distribution of energy in the lower-frequencies; but negatively correlated to the average frequency of peak energy (rho=-0.61; p=0.035), meaning lower frequency of peak energy corresponded to higher levels of disability. Conclusion. The current findings support anatomical evidence of changes in muscle fibre composition of back muscles in subjects with chronic LBP. Conflicts of interest: No conflicts of interest. Sources of funding: No funding obtained

Background. Social context may be important in chronic pain. One focus is reactions to pain between persons with LBP and their partners. Researchers have investigated partner reactions and found influences on pain levels and psychological outcomes, but little is known about factors underpinning these reactions. Aim. To investigate the associations of relationship quality and perceived partner responses with LBP intensity and disability. Method. Participants with partners (n=174) in a cohort study of LBP in primary care were included. Data on pain intensity, disability (RMDQ), perceptions of negative or solicitous partner responses (MPI), relationship quality (RDAS) and depression and anxiety (HADS) was collected. Results. Consensus (e.g. agreement about affection and sex) and satisfaction (frequency of arguments/disagreements) were significantly associated with pain intensity (p 0.01 and p 0.02). Solicitous partner responses (e.g. providing comfort, physical assistance) were significantly associated with patient disability (p 0.04). These significant associations only became apparent when depression was entered into the model, suggesting effect modification. Stratification by depression revealed associations between consensus and pain among those with high depression levels (p 0.04) and associations between solicitousness and disability in those with low depression levels (p 0.01). Overall, the models accounted for 14-17% of the variance in pain intensity and 26-29% of the variance in disability. Conclusion. Results show associations of solicitousness, satisfaction and consensus with pain intensity and disability. However the effect varies by the presence of depression. Further research should investigate further the pathway of relationship quality, depression and pain

Aim. To compare spinal outcome measures between patients reviewed for medico-legal compensation claims relating to perceived injury at work to those having sustained serious structural injury in the form of unstable thoraco-lumbar fractures requiring internal fixation. Method. Two consecutive cohorts of 23 patients with healed spinal fractures and 21 patients with a perception of work related soft tissue injury were compared. Patient demographics and a range of outcome measures including Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), Low Back Outcome score (LBOS), Modified Somatic Perception (MSP) and Modified Zung Depression (MZD) indices were measured. Results. 23 patients (8F; 15M) with spinal fractures (group 1) of average age 42 years (range 22-66) were followed up for a mean of 41 months (range 14-89, SD 23.3) post trauma and compared to 21 patients (6 females; 15 males) with self reported back pain (group 2) of average age 47 years (range 37-63), mean time since perceived injury of 42 months (range 12-62, SD 14.5). Both groups were comparable in terms of age and sex (P = 0.254 and 0.752 respectively). The average ODI was 28% (SD 18.5) compared to 52% (SD 17.1) in group 1 and 2 respectively (P value: 0.000087); LBOS 40 Vs 20 (P=0.000189); MSP 4 Vs 10 (0.01069); and MZD 20 Vs 36 (P=0.000296). Conclusion. Despite high energy trauma and significant structural damage to the spine, post-traumatic patients had better spinal outcome scores in all measures (ODI, LBO, MSP, MZD). This thereby defies 8 of the 9 Bradford Hill criteria of causation. The reasons for such differences are primarily psychosocial. Addressing obstacles to recovery may improve outcomes. There is no ‘dose-response’ curve to functional outcomes. In fact, uniquely the disability seems greater in the lower energy injury which is unique in trauma care

Aims

People with severe, persistent low back pain (LBP) may be offered lumbar spine fusion surgery if they have had insufficient benefit from recommended non-surgical treatments. However, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) 2016 guidelines recommended not offering spinal fusion surgery for adults with LBP, except as part of a randomized clinical trial. This survey aims to describe UK clinicians’ views about the suitability of patients for such a future trial, along with their views regarding equipoise for randomizing patients in a future clinical trial comparing lumbar spine fusion surgery to best conservative care (BCC; the FORENSIC-UK trial).

Background and purpose. It is likely that the most common method for calculating a Roland Morris Disability Index (RMDQ) sum score is to simply ignore any unanswered questions. In contrast, the raw sum score on the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) is converted to a 0-100 scale, with the advantage of allowing missing data to be accommodated by proportional recalculation. The aim of this study was to quantify the calculation error in RMDQ scores when one or more questions were unanswered and compare this with the error present when the ODI was scored in the same way. Methods and results. The prevalence of unanswered RMDQ questions was measured in a research and a routine care setting. The accuracy of the RMDQ proportional recalculation method was measured using 311 fully completed RMDQ and matching ODI questionnaire sets. Raw sum scores were calculated, and questions systematically dropped. At each stage, sum scores were converted to a score on a 0-100 scale and the error calculated. Wilcoxon Tests were used to compare the magnitude of the error scores. The prevalence of unanswered questions was 29.5% (RMDQ) in routine care, and 13.9% (ODI) and 20.3% (RMDQ) in a research project. Proportional recalculation was a more accurate method to calculate RMDQ sum scores than simply ignoring missing data. Conclusions. The practice of expressing RMDQ scores as a standardized score allows missing data to be accommodated by proportional recalculation and is as valid for the RMDQ as it is for the ODI

Background. Current policy and practice aimed at tackling work disability due to low back pain is largely aligned with the Psychosocial Flags Framework, which focuses on addressing individual beliefs and behaviours (yellow and blue flags). However, our understanding of the systemic and contextual factors (black flags) that are also proposed to act as obstacles within this Framework is under-represented, resulting in a disproportionate evidence base and suboptimal interventions. Methods. A ‘best-evidence’ synthesis was conducted to collate the evidence on those ‘black flags’ proposed to be the most important: compensatory systems (worker's compensation and disability benefits), healthcare provider systems and ‘significant others’ (spouse/partner/close family members). A systematic search of scientific and grey literature databases was performed, and the validity and merit of the available evidence was assessed using a system adapted from previous large-scale policy reviews conducted in this field. Results. Following a systematic exclusion process, 65 articles were selected from 1,762 records. Robust, credible and meaningful evidence was found to show that inflexible compensatory systems, a lack of ‘work-focused’ healthcare and communication amongst return-to-work stakeholders, along with inappropriate support from ‘significant others’ are obstacles to work participation for those with low back pain. Conclusions. This is the first attempt at synthesising the evidence on the ‘social’ factors proposed to be important influences on work disability due to low back pain within the Psychosocial Flags Framework. Results have relevance to researchers, policy makers, clinicians and employers, with wider implications for the revision of current psychosocial policy and practice. No conflicts of interest; no funding obtained

Introduction. Pain is an expected and appropriate experience following traumatic musculoskeletal injury. By contrast, chronic pain and disability are unhelpful yet common sequelae of trauma-related injuries. Presently, the mechanisms that underlie the transition from acute to chronic disabling post-traumatic pain are not fully understood. The aim of this study is to identify prognostic factors for risk of developing chronic pain and disability following acute musculoskeletal trauma. Methods. A prospective observational study will recruit two temporally staggered cohorts (n=250 each cohort; 10 cases per candidate predictor) of consecutive acute musculoskeletal trauma patients aged ≥16 years, who are emergency admissions into a Major Trauma Centre in the United Kingdom, with an episode inception defined as the traumatic event. The first cohort will identify prognostic factors to develop a screening tool to predict development of chronic and disabling pain, and the second will allow evaluation of the predictive performance of the tool (validation). The outcome being predicted is an individual's absolute risk of poor outcome measured at 6-months follow-up using the Chronic Pain Grade Scale (poor outcome ≥Grade II). Candidate predictors encompass the four primary mechanisms of pain: nociceptive (e.g. injury characteristics), neuropathic (e.g. painDETECT), inflammatory (biomarkers), and central hypersensitivity (e.g. quantitative sensory testing). Concurrently, patient-reported outcome measures will assess general health and psychosocial factors. Risk of poor outcome will be calculated using multiple variable regression analysis. Conclusion. A prognostic screening tool for post-trauma pain will inform precision rehabilitation, targeting interventions to individual patients to improve clinical and cost effectiveness. Conflicts of interest: None. Sources of funding: NIHR Surgical Reconstruction and Microbiology Research Centre

Aims. The surgical treatment of tuberculosis (TB) of the spine consists of debridement and reconstruction of the anterior column. Loss of correction is the most significant challenge. Our aim was to report the outcome of single-stage posterior surgery using bone allografts in the management of this condition. Patients and Methods. The study involved 24 patients with thoracolumbar TB who underwent single-stage posterior spinal surgery with a cortical bone allograft for anterior column reconstruction and posterior instrumentation between 2008 and 2015. A unilateral approach was used for 21 patients with active TB, and a bilateral approach with decompression and closing-opening wedge osteotomy was used for three patients with healed TB. Results. A median of 1.25 vertebrae were removed (interquartile range (IQR) 1 to 1.75) and the median number of levels that were instrumented was five (IQR 3 to 6). The median operating time was 280 minutes (IQR 230 to 315) and the median blood loss was 700 ml (IQR 350 to 900). The median postoperative kyphosis was 8.5° (IQR 0° to 15°) with a mean correction of the kyphosis of 71.6%. Good neurological recovery occurred, with only two patients (8%) requiring assistance to walk at a mean follow-up of 24 months (9 to 50), at which time there was a mean improvement in disability, as assessed by the Oswestry Disability Index, of 83% (90% to 72%). Conclusion. The posterior-only approach using cortical allografts for anterior column reconstruction achieved good clinical and radiological outcomes. Differentiation should be made between flexible (active) and rigid (healed) TB spine. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2018;100-B:1208–13

Purpose and Background. Strengthening the lumbar extensor musculature is a common recommendation for CLBP. Although reported as effective, variability in response in CLBP populations is not well investigated. This study investigated variability in responsiveness to isolated lumbar extension (ILEX) resistance training in CLBP participants by retrospective analysis of 3 RCTS. Methods and Results. Data from 77 intervention participants was available (males = 43, females = 34) 37 control participants (males = 20, females = 17). Intervention participants all underwent 12wks of ILEX resistance training and changes in ILEX strength, pain (VAS) and disability (ODI) measured. True inter-individual response variability was examined through calculation of difference in the standard deviation of change scores for both control and intervention. Intervention participants were classified into using k-means cluster analysis for strength changes and using MCIC cut-offs for VAS and ODI. Analysis suggested true inter-individual responses to the intervention existed. Participants were classified for strength changes as low (n = 31), medium (n = 36), and high responders (n = 10). Participants were classified for VAS changes as negative (n = 3), non-responders (n = 34), responders (n = 15), and high responders (n = 19). Participants were classified for ODI changes as negative (n = 2), non-responders (n = 21), responders (n = 29), and high responders (n = 25). Conclusion. Considerable variation exists in response to ILEX resistance training in CLBP. Future work should identify factors prognostic of successful outcomes. Conflicts of interest: None. Funding obtained: None