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Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 3 | Pages 210 - 217
13 Mar 2024
Mthethwa PG Marais LC Aldous CM

Aims. The aim of this study is to determine the predictors of overall survival (OS) and predictive factors of poor prognosis of conventional high-grade osteosarcoma of the limbs in a single-centre in South Africa. Methods. We performed a retrospective cross-sectional analysis to identify the prognostic factors that predict the OS of patients with histologically confirmed high-grade conventional osteosarcoma of the limbs over ten years. We employed the Cox proportional regression model and the Kaplan-Meier method for statistical analysis. Results. This study comprised 77 patients at a three-year minimum follow-up. The predictors of poor OS were: the median age of ≤ 19 years (hazard ratio (HR) 0.96; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.92 to 0.99; p = 0.021); median duration of symptoms ≥ five months (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83 to 0.99; p < 0.037); metastasis at diagnosis (i.e. Enneking stage III) (HR 3.33; 95% CI 1.81 to 6.00; p < 0.001); increased alkaline phosphatase (HR 3.28; 95% CI 1.33 to 8.11; p < 0.010); palliative treatment (HR 7.27; 95% CI 2.69 to 19.70); p < 0.001); and amputation (HR 3.71; 95% CI 1.12 to 12.25; p < 0.032). In contrast, definitive surgery (HR 0.11; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.38; p < 0.001) and curative treatment (HR 0.18; 95% CI 0.10 to 0.33; p < 0.001) were a protective factor. The Kaplan-Meier median survival time was 24 months, with OS of 57.1% at the three years. The projected five-year event-free survival was 10.3% and OS of 29.8% (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.52 to 1.12; p = 0.128). Conclusion. In this series of high-grade conventional osteosarcoma of the appendicular skeleton from South Africa, 58.4% (n = 45) had detectable metastases at presentation; hence, an impoverished OS of five years was 29.8%. Large-scale future research is needed to validate our results. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(3):210–217


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 100-B, Issue 12 | Pages 1647 - 1654
1 Dec 2018
Shepherd KL Cool P Cribb G

Aims. The purpose of this study was to identify prognostic indicators of outcome at presentation to the orthopaedic surgeon, in patients with metastatic prostate cancer. Our aim was to use this information in a pragmatic, clinic-based approach so that surgical decision making could be optimized to benefit the patient in their remaining lifetime. Patients and Methods. A cohort analysis was undertaken of all patients with metastatic disease of the prostate who presented to a regional orthopaedic centre in the United Kingdom between 2003 and 2016. Biochemical data were collected in addition to disease and demographic data. These included: prostate-specific antigen (PSA) at orthopaedic presentation; haemoglobin (Hb); platelets (plt); alkaline phosphatase (ALP); albumin (Alb); and corrected calcium (CaC). Statistical analysis included Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, and a Cox proportional hazards model was fitted to the data. Results. From the departmental database, 137 episodes were identified in 136 patients with a median age at presentation of 72 years (interquartile range (IQR) 66 to 78). Most patients had stage IV disease (n = 98, 72%), and most did not undergo surgical intervention. At one-year follow-up, 50% of patients had died. Biomarkers found to be independently associated with poor survival were: low Hb, low Alb, relatively low PSA (< 30 mmol/l), and a raised ALP. Patients who needed surgical intervention had a poorer survival rate than patients who were managed nonoperatively. Conclusion. The study findings are important for orthopaedic clinical practice in the management of patients with metastatic prostate cancer. The interpretation of routine blood tests can help to predict survival in patients who present with orthopaedic manifestations of prostate cancer. A lower PSA is not necessarily a good prognostic sign. We believe that simple blood testing should be carried out routinely when assessing a patient, guiding potential surgical management and palliative care in the future


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 94-B, Issue SUPP_XXX | Pages 31 - 31
1 Jul 2012
Watanuki M Gaston C Li X Grimer R
Full Access

Introduction. It is generally held that blood tests are not particularly helpful in establishing the diagnosis of bone tumours but may be useful in prognosis. We reviewed the results of blood tests taken at the time of diagnosis to establish the frequency of abnormalities in common blood tests and whether this was significant in staging or prognosis. Method. Blood test results on all newly diagnosed patients with bone tumours from 2005 – 2010 were exported and abnormalities identified. This was matched to diagnosis, clinical features and prognosis. Results. There were 541 patients included in the analysis of whom 221 had osteosarcoma, 167 chondrosarcoma, 87 Ewing's, and 66 other bone tumours. 340 were adults, 103 children (under 14) and 98 TYA. The most frequently abnormal blood test was a low haemoglobin (⋋13) in 56%, raised alkaline phosphatase in 40%, and raised ESR and CRP in 32%. Patients with metastases at diagnosis tended to have higher levels of ESR (p⋋0.0001) but there was no other significant difference overall. Older patients tended to have a greater number of abnormal results apart from the CRP which was highest in the TYA group. No single blood test was related to prognosis. Conclusion. Abnormal blood tests are common in patients at the time of diagnosis of bone tumours. None are either particularly diagnostic or prognostic


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 84-B, Issue 5 | Pages 706 - 711
1 Jul 2002
Foukas AF Deshmukh NS Grimer RJ Mangham DC Mangos EG Taylor S

We studied 55 patients with stage-IIB osteosarcoma around the knee with respect to the expression of matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-9 in the surviving tumour cells in surgical resection specimens. They were followed up for a minimum of 2.5 years. Factors significantly associated with poor overall survival were a high serum level of alkaline phosphatase at diagnosis and tumour cells expressing MMP-9 in the resection specimens. The only factor strongly associated with disease-free survival was the immunohistochemical status of tumour cells for MMP-9 in the resection specimens. The percentage of necrosis after chemotherapy failed marginally to reach statistical significance. On Cox regression analysis only MMP-9 remained significant for overall and disease-free survival


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 94-B, Issue SUPP_XIV | Pages 56 - 56
1 Apr 2012
Ferrari S Serra M Longhi A Alberghini M Ruggieri P Palmerini E Staals E Mercuri M Abate M Picci P
Full Access

Prognostic stratification of patients with non-metastatic osteosarcoma may improve the clinical management and the design of clinical trials. Data from 773 patients [median age 15 years (3-40)] treated at our Institute from 1983 to 2000 with high-dose methotrexate, cisplatin, doxorubicin and ifosfamide (neoadjuvant chemotherapy) were analyzed. After multivariate analysis including age, site, tumour volume (cut-off 200 mL), serum LDH and Alkaline Phosphatase (SAP), histology (osteoblastic and chondroblastic vs others), high LDH and SAP, osteoblastic and chondroblastic histotypes resulted independent prognostic factors of DFS. Patients were grouped according to a score from 0 (absence) to 3 (one to 3 adverse factors). The scoring system was implemented by the addition of PgP expression and grade of chemotherapy-induced necrosis. A score of 0, 1, 2, 3 was given to 14%, 38%, 32% and 16% of patients respectively.10-year DFS was 80% (95%CI 72-89) for score of 0, 58% (95%CI 52-64) for 1, 53% (95%CI 46-59) for 2 and 40% (95%CI 32-50) for 3 (p= 0.001). PgP expression (168 patients) identified patients with 100% probability of DFS (score of 0 and negative PgP) and patients with 18% (95%CI 52-64) DFS (score of 3 and positive PgP). Good (GR) and poor responder (PR) patients had the same probability of DFS in case of score of 0 [GR82% (95% CI 72-91), PR79% (95% CI 65-93)] and score of 3 [GR43% (95% CI 32-55) PR36% (95% CI 21-51)]. Different probability of DFS in case of score of 1 [GR64% (95% CI 57-72) PR47% (95% CI 36-59)] and score of 2 [GR63% (95% CI 55-71) PR36% (95% CI 21-51)]. It is possible to stratify outcomes of patients with non metastatic osteosarcoma of the extremity by means of a simple score based on easily available clinical parameters. This scoring system is worth to be validated on larger series


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 13, Issue 9 | Pages 497 - 506
16 Sep 2024
Hsieh H Yen H Hsieh W Lin C Pan Y Jaw F Janssen SJ Lin W Hu M Groot O

Aims

Advances in treatment have extended the life expectancy of patients with metastatic bone disease (MBD). Patients could experience more skeletal-related events (SREs) as a result of this progress. Those who have already experienced a SRE could encounter another local management for a subsequent SRE, which is not part of the treatment for the initial SRE. However, there is a noted gap in research on the rate and characteristics of subsequent SREs requiring further localized treatment, obligating clinicians to extrapolate from experiences with initial SREs when confronting subsequent ones. This study aimed to investigate the proportion of MBD patients developing subsequent SREs requiring local treatment, examine if there are prognostic differences at the initial treatment between those with single versus subsequent SREs, and determine if clinical, oncological, and prognostic features differ between initial and subsequent SRE treatments.

Methods

This retrospective study included 3,814 adult patients who received local treatment – surgery and/or radiotherapy – for bone metastasis between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2019. All included patients had at least one SRE requiring local treatment. A subsequent SRE was defined as a second SRE requiring local treatment. Clinical, oncological, and prognostic features were compared between single SREs and subsequent SREs using Mann-Whitney U test, Fisher’s exact test, and Kaplan–Meier curve.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 94-B, Issue SUPP_XIV | Pages 42 - 42
1 Apr 2012
Machak G
Full Access

Aim. Ten years ago at the EMSOS 2000 meeting we have presented our experience concerning the non-surgical treatment of stage IIB osteosarcoma of extremities. The purpose of study was to evaluate long-term results and complications related to this non-standard and controversial treatment modality. Methods. Since 1988 definitive radiation gamma therapy (RT) in the median dose of 60 Gy was administrated to 36 patients who refused surgery after preoperative chemotherapy. Until 1999 induction consisted in 3-5 cycles of intra-arterial doxorubicin (DOX) 75 mg/m2 or cis-platin (CDDP) 120 mg/m2. Since 2000 induction comprised 4 cycles of DOX 90 mg/m2+CDDP 120 mg/m2 intra-arterially. Tumour response before local treatment was assessed non-invasively by means of X-ray, CT, MRI, angiography, 3-phase bone scans and alkaline phosphatase measurement. The end-points were overall (OS), metastases free (MFS) and local progression free (LPFS) survival at 10 years. Results. OS, MFS and LPFS by Kaplan-Meier method were 48±9%, 51±9%, and 45±11% respectively. The outcome was significantly related to response assessed before RT. In 12 good responders OS, MFS and LPFS were 74±13%, 91±9%, and 69±19% respectively compared with 29±11%, 27±11%, and 34±13% in 24 non-responders, p- value 0.03, 0.003, 0.009, respectively. In 14 patients 5 years survival after local progression and delayed surgery was 38±10%. Median survival time after local relapse was 36 months. Two types of major complications were seen: 7 pathological fractures and one osteomyelitis. 21 patients (58%) remained with a functional limb until the last examination or death. Conclusions. Long-term results were higher than expected in this radioresistant tumour. In good responders to induction chemotherapy RT could be an option for local treatment. Majority of patients had a functional limb during and long time after treatment. Isolated late local relapses did not influence considerably systemic control


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 106-B, Issue 2 | Pages 203 - 211
1 Feb 2024
Park JH Won J Kim H Kim Y Kim S Han I

Aims

This study aimed to compare the performance of survival prediction models for bone metastases of the extremities (BM-E) with pathological fractures in an Asian cohort, and investigate patient characteristics associated with survival.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 469 patients, who underwent surgery for BM-E between January 2009 and March 2022 at a tertiary hospital in South Korea. Postoperative survival was calculated using the PATHFx3.0, SPRING13, OPTIModel, SORG, and IOR models. Model performance was assessed with area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, Brier score, and decision curve analysis. Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the factors contributing to survival.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 103-B, Issue 11 | Pages 1725 - 1730
1 Nov 2021
Baumber R Gerrand C Cooper M Aston W

Aims

The incidence of bone metastases is between 20% to 75% depending on the type of cancer. As treatment improves, the number of patients who need surgical intervention is increasing. Identifying patients with a shorter life expectancy would allow surgical intervention with more durable reconstructions to be targeted to those most likely to benefit. While previous scoring systems have focused on surgical and oncological factors, there is a need to consider comorbidities and the physiological state of the patient, as these will also affect outcome. The primary aim of this study was to create a scoring system to estimate survival time in patients with bony metastases and to determine which factors may adversely affect this.

Methods

This was a retrospective study which included all patients who had presented for surgery with metastatic bone disease. The data collected included patient, surgical, and oncological variables. Univariable and multivariable analysis identified which factors were associated with a survival time of less than six months and less than one year. A model to predict survival based on these factors was developed using Cox regression.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 102-B, Issue 10 | Pages 1392 - 1398
3 Oct 2020
Zhao Y Tang X Yan T Ji T Yang R Guo W

Aims

There is a lack of evidence about the risk factors for local recurrence of a giant cell tumour (GCT) of the sacrum treated with nerve-sparing surgery, probably because of the rarity of the disease. This study aimed to answer two questions: first, what is the rate of local recurrence of sacral GCT treated with nerve-sparing surgery and second, what are the risk factors for its local recurrence?

Methods

A total of 114 patients with a sacral GCT who underwent nerve-sparing surgery at our hospital between July 2005 and August 2017 were reviewed. The rate of local recurrence was determined, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis carried out to evaluate the mean recurrence-free survival. Possible risks factors including demographics, tumour characteristics, adjuvant therapy, operation, and laboratory indices were analyzed using univariate analysis. Variables with p < 0.100 in the univariate analysis were further considered in a multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify the risk factors.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 102-B, Issue 1 | Pages 72 - 81
1 Jan 2020
Downie S Lai FY Joss J Adamson D Jariwala AC

Aims

The early mortality in patients with hip fractures from bony metastases is unknown. The objectives of this study were to quantify 30- and 90-day mortality in patients with proximal femoral metastases, and to create a mortality prediction tool based on biomarkers associated with early death.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients referred to the orthopaedic department at a UK trauma centre with a proximal femoral metastasis (PFM) over a seven-year period (2010 to 2016). The study group were compared to a matched control group of non-metastatic hip fractures. Minimum follow-up was one year.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 98-B, Issue 2 | Pages 266 - 270
1 Feb 2016
Stevenson JD McNair M Cribb GL Cool WP

Aims

Surgical intervention in patients with bone metastases from breast cancer is dependent on the estimated survival of the patient. The purpose of this paper was to identify factors that would predict survival so that specific decisions could be made in terms of surgical (or non-surgical) management.

Methods

The records of 113 consecutive patients (112 women) with metastatic breast cancer were analysed for clinical, radiological, serological and surgical outcomes. Their median age was 61 years (interquartile range 29 to 90) and the median duration of follow-up was 1.6 years (standard deviation (sd) 1.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0 to 5.9). The cumulative one- and five-year rates of survival were 68% and 16% (95% Cl 60 to 77 and 95% CI 10 to 26, respectively).


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 92-B, Issue 11 | Pages 1580 - 1585
1 Nov 2010
Wu P Chen W Lee OK Chen C Huang C Chen T

We evaluated the long-term outcome of patients with an osteosarcoma who had undergone prior manipulative therapy, a popular treatment in Asia, and investigated its effects on several prognostic factors. Of the 134 patients in this study, 70 (52%) patients had manipulative therapy and 64 (48%) did not. The age, location, and size of tumour were not significantly different between the groups. The five-year overall survival rate was 58% and 92% in the groups with and without manipulative therapy (p = 0.004). Both the primary and overall rates of lung metastasis were significantly higher in the manipulative group (primary: 32% vs 3%, p = 0.003; overall lung metastasis rate: 51.4% vs 18.8%, p < 0.001). Patients who had manipulative therapy had higher local recurrence rates in comparison to patients who did not (29% vs 6%, p = 0.011). The prognosis for patients with osteosarcoma who had manipulative therapy was significantly poorer than those who had not. Manipulative therapy was an independent factor for survival.

This form of therapy may serve as a mechanism to accelerate the spread of tumour cells, and therefore must be avoided in order to improve the outcome for patients with an osteosarcoma.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 100-B, Issue 9 | Pages 1241 - 1248
1 Sep 2018
Higuchi T Yamamoto N Hayashi K Takeuchi A Abe K Taniguchi Y Kato S Murakami H Tsuchiya H

Aims

The aims of this study were to evaluate the long-term outcome of surgery for bone or soft-tissue metastases from renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and to determine factors that affect prognosis.

Patients and Methods

Between 1993 and 2014, 58 patients underwent surgery for bone or soft-tissue metastases from RCC at our hospital. There were 46 men and 12 women with a mean age of 60 years (25 to 84). The mean follow-up period was 52 months (1 to 257). The surgical sites included the spine (33 patients), appendicular skeleton (ten patients), pelvis (eight patients), thorax (four patients), and soft tissue (three patients). The surgical procedures were en bloc metastasectomy in 46 patients (including 33 patients of total en bloc spondylectomy (TES)) and intralesional curettage in 12 patients. These patients were retrospectively evaluated for factors associated with prognosis.


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 88-B, Issue 8 | Pages 1071 - 1075
1 Aug 2006
Bacci G Fabbri N Balladelli A Forni C Palmerini E Picci P

Between 1986 and 2002, 42 patients with synchronous multifocal osteosarcoma were treated with two different protocols of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. When feasible, the primary and secondary tumours were excised as a combined procedure.

After initial chemotherapy 26 patients were excluded from simultaneous excision of all their secondary bone lesions as their disease was too advanced. In 12 patients only isolated excision of the primary lesion was possible. For 16 patients simultaneous operations were conducted to excise the primary and secondary lesions. This involved two supplementary sites in 15 patients and four additional sites in one patient. Of these, 15 attained remission but 12 relapsed and died (11 within two years). Three patients remained disease-free at five, six and 17 years. The histological response to pre-operative chemotherapy of the primary and secondary lesions was concordant in 13 of the 16 patients who underwent simultaneous operations at more than one site.

The prognosis for synchronous multifocal osteosarcoma remains poor despite combined chemotherapy and surgery. The homogeneous histological responses in a large proportion of the primary and secondary lesions implies that synchronous multifocal osteosarcoma tumours are not multicentric in origin, but probably represent bone-to-bone metastases from a single tumour.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 96-B, Issue 10 | Pages 1396 - 1403
1 Oct 2014
Salunke AA Chen Y Tan JH Chen X Khin LW Puhaindran ME

Opinion remains divided as to whether the development of pathological fracture affects the prognosis of patients with an osteosarcoma of the extremities.

We conducted a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis of papers which reported the outcomes of osteosarcoma patients with and without a pathological fracture. There were eight eligible papers for final analysis which reported on 1713 patients, of whom 303 (17.7%) had a pathological fracture. The mean age for 1464 patients in six studies was 23.2 years old (2 to 82). The mean follow-up for 1481 patients in seven studies was 90.1 months (6 to 240).

The pooled estimates of local recurrence rates in osteosarcoma patients with and without pathological fractures were 14.4% (8.7 to 20.0) versus 11.4% (8.0 to 14.8). The pooled estimate of relative risk was 1.39 (0.89 to 2.20). The pooled estimates of five-year event-free survival rates in osteosarcoma patients with and without a pathological fracture were 49.3% (95% CI 43.6 to 54.9) versus 66.8% (95% CI 60.7 to 72.8). The pooled estimate of relative risk was 1.33 (1.12 to 1.59). There was no significant difference in the rate of local recurrence between patients who were treated by amputation or limb salvage.

The development of a pathological fracture is a negative prognostic indicator in osteosarcoma and is associated with a reduced five-year event-free survival and a possibly higher rate of local recurrence. Our findings suggest that there is no absolute indication for amputation, as similar rates of local recurrence can be achieved in patients who are carefully selected for limb salvage.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014; 96-B:1396–1403