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The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 101-B, Issue 7_Supple_C | Pages 3 - 9
1 Jul 2019
Shohat N Tarabichi M Tan TL Goswami K Kheir M Malkani AL Shah RP Schwarzkopf R Parvizi J

Aims

The best marker for assessing glycaemic control prior to total knee arthroplasty (TKA) remains unknown. The purpose of this study was to assess the utility of fructosamine compared with glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) in predicting early complications following TKA, and to determine the threshold above which the risk of complications increased markedly.

Patients and Methods

This prospective multi-institutional study evaluated primary TKA patients from four academic institutions. Patients (both diabetics and non-diabetics) were assessed using fructosamine and HbA1c levels within 30 days of surgery. Complications were assessed for 12 weeks from surgery and included prosthetic joint infection (PJI), wound complication, re-admission, re-operation, and death. The Youden’s index was used to determine the cut-off for fructosamine and HbA1c associated with complications. Two additional cut-offs for HbA1c were examined: 7% and 7.5% and compared with fructosamine as a predictor for complications.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_13 | Pages 33 - 33
7 Aug 2023
Myatt D Marshall M Franklin M Robb C
Full Access

Abstract. High tibial osteotomy (HTO) is a well-recognised procedure to address medial compartment osteoarthritis (OA). There remains dispute on the impact of pre-operative patient factors on patient related outcome measures (PROMS). Does BMI and age affect > 2 year and > 5 year oxford knee scores (OKS) and Knee injury and osteoarthritis outcome scores (KOOS). A retrospective review of a prospectively collected database was performed. Timeframe was 26/6/2014 and 25/8/2022. BMI and age were recorded. OKS and KOOS were collected at > 2 years and > 5 years. There were 81 procedures included, of these 50 had OKS and KOOS scores at > 2 years and 35 at > 5 years. Median BMI was 28.5kg/m. 2. , range was 18.6–40.8kg/m. 2. Spearman's rank for >2 year OKS was p(df)=−0.210 p=0.157, > 5 year OKS p(df)=−0.215 p=0.230. For > 2 year and > 5 year KOOS subscales there were no statistically significant associations on Spearman's rank. For age, median age was 52.5, range 26–71 years old. OKS at >2 year p(df)=0.068 p=0.664, OKS >5 years p(df)=0.065 p= 0.709. For >2 year and > 5 year KOOS subscales there were no statistically significant associations on Spearman's rank. There were no adverse outcome in patients up-to the age of 71. There were no statistically significant Spearman's rank correlations between PROMS and OKS/KOOS scores. This supports recent KOG consensus statement highlighting physiological age importance vs chronological age. Of note there were more negative associations in the BMI group compared with age


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 103-B, Issue 10 | Pages 1578 - 1585
1 Oct 2021
Abram SGF Sabah SA Alvand A Price AJ

Aims. To compare rates of serious adverse events in patients undergoing revision knee arthroplasty with consideration of the indication for revision (urgent versus elective indications), and compare these with primary arthroplasty and re-revision arthroplasty. Methods. Patients undergoing primary knee arthroplasty were identified in the national Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) between 1 April 1997 to 31 March 2017. Subsequent revision and re-revision arthroplasty procedures in the same patients and same knee were identified. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality and a logistic regression model was used to investigate factors associated with 90-day mortality and secondary adverse outcomes, including infection (undergoing surgery), pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Urgent indications for revision arthroplasty were defined as infection or fracture, and all other indications (e.g. loosening, instability, wear) were included in the elective indications cohort. Results. A total of 939,021 primary knee arthroplasty procedures were included (939,021 patients), of which 40,854 underwent subsequent revision arthroplasty, and 9,100 underwent re-revision arthroplasty. Revision surgery for elective indications was associated with a 90-day rate of mortality of 0.44% (135/30,826; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37 to 0.52) which was comparable to primary knee arthroplasty (0.46%; 4,292/939,021; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.47). Revision arthroplasty for infection was associated with a much higher mortality of 2.04% (184/9037; 95% CI 1.75 to 2.35; odds ratio (OR) 3.54; 95% CI 2.81 to 4.46), as was revision for periprosthetic fracture at 5.25% (52/991; 95% CI 3.94 to 6.82; OR 6.23; 95% CI 4.39 to 8.85). Higher rates of pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and stroke were also observed in the infection and fracture cohort. Conclusion. Patients undergoing revision arthroplasty for urgent indications (infection or fracture) are at higher risk of mortality and serious adverse events in comparison to primary knee arthroplasty and revision arthroplasty for elective indications. These findings will be important for patient consent and shared decision-making and should inform service design for this patient cohort. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(10):1578–1585


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 104-B, Issue SUPP_7 | Pages 34 - 34
1 Jul 2022
Abram S Sabah S Alvand A Price A
Full Access

Abstract. Introduction. The objective of this study was to determine rates of serious adverse events in patients undergoing revision knee arthroplasty with consideration of the indication for revision and compare these with primary knee arthroplasty. Methodology. Primary and revision arthroplasty procedures were identified in the national Hospital Episode Statistics and were linked by patient and side. A logistic regression model was used to investigate factors associated with 90-day mortality (primary outcome) and secondary serious adverse outcomes. Urgent indications for revision arthroplasty were defined as infection or fracture; other indications (e.g. loosening, instability, wear) were included in the elective cohort. Results. 939,021 primary knee arthroplasty and 40,584 revision cases were included. Revision surgery for elective indications was associated with a 90-day rate of mortality of 0.44% (95% CI 0.37-0.52) which was comparable to primary knee arthroplasty (0.46%; 95% CI 0.44-0.47). Revision arthroplasty for infection, however, was associated with a much higher mortality of 2.04% (95% CI 1.75-2.35; odds ratio [OR] 3.54; 95% CI 2.81-4.46), as was revision for periprosthetic fracture at 5.25% (95% CI 3.94-6.82; OR 6.23; 95% CI 4.39-8.85). Higher rates of PE, MI, and stroke were observed in the infection and fracture cohort. Conclusion. Patients presenting with infection of a knee arthroplasty or a periprosthetic fracture are at very high risk of adverse events. It is important that acute hospital services and tertiary referral centres caring for these patients are appropriately supported to ensure appropriate urgency with an anticipation for increased care requirements


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 103-B, Issue 6 Supple A | Pages 45 - 50
1 Jun 2021
Kerbel YE Johnson MA Barchick SR Cohen JS Stevenson KL Israelite CL Nelson CL

Aims. It has been shown that the preoperative modification of risk factors associated with obesity may reduce complications after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, the optimal method of doing so remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate whether a preoperative Risk Stratification Tool (RST) devised in our institution could reduce unexpected intensive care unit (ICU) transfers and 90-day emergency department (ED) visits, readmissions, and reoperations after TKA in obese patients. Methods. We retrospectively reviewed 1,614 consecutive patients undergoing primary unilateral TKA. Their mean age was 65.1 years (17.9 to 87.7) and the mean BMI was 34.2 kg/m. 2. (SD 7.7). All patients underwent perioperative optimization and monitoring using the RST, which is a validated calculation tool that provides a recommendation for postoperative ICU care or increased nursing support. Patients were divided into three groups: non-obese (BMI < 30 kg/m. 2. , n = 512); obese (BMI 30 kg/m. 2. to 39.9 kg/m. 2. , n = 748); and morbidly obese (BMI > 40 kg/m. 2. , n = 354). Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the outcomes among the groups adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and diabetes. Results. Obese patients had a significantly increased rate of discharge to a rehabilitation facility compared with non-obese patients (38.7% (426/1,102) vs 26.0% (133/512), respectively; p < 0.001). When stratified by BMI, discharge to a rehabilitation facility remained significantly higher compared with non-obese (26.0% (133)) in both obese (34.2% (256), odds ratio (OR) 1.6) and morbidly obese (48.0% (170), OR 3.1) patients (p < 0.001). However, there was no significant difference in unexpected ICU transfer (0.4% (two) non-obese vs 0.9% (seven) obese (OR 2.5) vs 1.7% (six) morbidly obese (OR 5.4); p = 0.054), visits to the ED (8.6% (44) vs 10.3% (77) (OR 1.3) vs 10.5% (37) (OR 1.2); p = 0.379), readmissions (4.5% (23) vs 4.0% (30) (OR 1.0) vs 5.1% (18) (OR 1.4); p = 0.322), or reoperations (2.5% (13) vs 3.3% (25) (OR 1.2) vs 3.1% (11) (OR 0.9); p = 0.939). Conclusion. With the use of a preoperative RST, morbidly obese patients had similar rates of short-term postoperative adverse outcomes after primary TKA as non-obese patients. This supports the assertion that morbidly obese patients can safely undergo TKA with appropriate perioperative optimization and monitoring. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(6 Supple A):45–50


Background. The evaluation and management of outcomes risk has become an essential element of a modern total joint replacement program. Our multidisciplinary team designed an evidence-based tool to address modifiable risk factors for adverse outcomes after primary hip and knee arthroplasty surgery. Methods. Our protocols were designed to identify, intervene, and mitigate risk through evidence-based patient optimization. Nurse navigators screened patients preoperatively, identified and treated risk factors, and followed patients for 90 days postoperatively. We compared patients participating in our optimization program (N=104) to both a historical cohort (N=193) and a contemporary cohort (N=166). Results. Risk factor identification and optimization resulted in lower hospital length of stay and post-operative emergency department visits. Patients in the optimization cohort had a statistically significant decrease in mean LOS as compared to both the historical cohort (2.55 vs 1.81 days, P<0.001) and contemporary cohort (2.56 vs 1.81 days, p<0.001). Patients in the optimization cohort had a statistically significant decrease in 30- and 90-day ED visits compared to the historical cohort (P. 30-day. =0.042, P. 90-day. =0.003). When compared with the contemporary cohort, the optimization cohort had a statistically significant decrease in 90-day ED visits (21.08% vs. 10.58%, P=0.025). The optimization cohort had a statistically significant increase in the percentage of patients discharged home. We noted nonsignificant reductions in readmission rate, transfusion rate, and surgical site infections. Conclusion. Optimization of patients prior to elective primary THA and TKA reduced average LOS, ED visits, and drove tele-rehabilitation use. Our results add to the limited body of literature supporting this patient-centered approach


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 100-B, Issue SUPP_12 | Pages 50 - 50
1 Oct 2018
Browne JA Casp A Cancienne JM Werner BC
Full Access

Introduction. Dialysis has been associated with increased complication rates following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, the current literature on this topic is limited and does not distinguish between hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD). It is unknown if the type of dialysis influences the risks of adverse outcome. The purpose of this study was to determine if infection and complication rates after TKA differ based on the mode of dialysis. Methods. Patients undergoing primary TKA from 2005 to 2014 were identified in the Medicare database. Patients with PD were matched 1:1 to patients with HD and 1:3 with patients who were not receiving either form of dialysis. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to examine several adverse events including the incidence of infection at 1 year and readmission to the hospital at 30 days. Results. PD was identified in 531 patients undergoing TKA. Infection rates were significantly lower in patients receiving PD compared to HD (3.39% versus 6.03%; p=0.026; odds ratio, 0.67; 95% CI 0.49 – 0.93). PD appeared to result in a similar infection rates when compared to matched controls who were not receiving dialysis. Other assessed outcomes (mortality rates, emergency room visits, hospital readmission rates) were very similar between PD and HD but noted to all be significantly higher than non-dialysis dependent controls. Discussion and Conclusions. The increased risk of complications in dialysis-dependent patients following TKA depends upon the type of dialysis. Whereas patients with HD have a significantly higher risk of infection, patients with PD do not appear to have this same risk when compared to non-dialysis dependent patients. To our knowledge, this is the only study to date to distinguish patients by the type of dialysis and suggests the type of dialysis should be used to assess risk when considering TKA


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 4, Issue 6 | Pages 399 - 407
1 Jun 2023
Yeramosu T Ahmad W Satpathy J Farrar JM Golladay GJ Patel NK

Aims

To identify variables independently associated with same-day discharge (SDD) of patients following revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA) and to develop machine learning algorithms to predict suitable candidates for outpatient rTKA.

Methods

Data were obtained from the American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Programme (ACS-NSQIP) database from the years 2018 to 2020. Patients with elective, unilateral rTKA procedures and a total hospital length of stay between zero and four days were included. Demographic, preoperative, and intraoperative variables were analyzed. A multivariable logistic regression (MLR) model and various machine learning techniques were compared using area under the curve (AUC), calibration, and decision curve analysis. Important and significant variables were identified from the models.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 3, Issue 5 | Pages 383 - 389
1 May 2022
Motesharei A Batailler C De Massari D Vincent G Chen AF Lustig S

Aims

No predictive model has been published to forecast operating time for total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The aims of this study were to design and validate a predictive model to estimate operating time for robotic-assisted TKA based on demographic data, and evaluate the added predictive power of CT scan-based predictors and their impact on the accuracy of the predictive model.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 1,061 TKAs performed from January 2016 to December 2019 with an image-based robotic-assisted system. Demographic data included age, sex, height, and weight. The femoral and tibial mechanical axis and the osteophyte volume were calculated from CT scans. These inputs were used to develop a predictive model aimed to predict operating time based on demographic data only, and demographic and 3D patient anatomy data.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 104-B, Issue 5 | Pages 613 - 619
2 May 2022
Ackerman IN Busija L Lorimer M de Steiger R Graves SE

Aims

This study aimed to describe the use of revision knee arthroplasty in Australia and examine changes in lifetime risk over a decade.

Methods

De-identified individual-level data on all revision knee arthroplasties performed in Australia from 2007 to 2017 were obtained from the Australian Orthopaedic Association National Joint Replacement Registry. Population data and life tables were obtained from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The lifetime risk of revision surgery was calculated for each year using a standardized formula. Separate calculations were undertaken for males and females.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 104-B, Issue 4 | Pages 444 - 451
1 Apr 2022
Laende EK Mills Flemming J Astephen Wilson JL Cantoni E Dunbar MJ

Aims

Thresholds of acceptable early migration of the components in total knee arthroplasty (TKA) have traditionally ignored the effects of patient and implant factors that may influence migration. The aim of this study was to determine which of these factors are associated with overall longitudinal migration of well-fixed tibial components following TKA.

Methods

Radiostereometric analysis (RSA) data over a two-year period were available for 419 successful primary TKAs (267 cemented and 152 uncemented in 257 female and 162 male patients). Longitudinal analysis of data using marginal models was performed to examine the associations of patient factors (age, sex, BMI, smoking status) and implant factors (cemented or uncemented, the size of the implant) with maximum total point motion (MTPM) migration. Analyses were also performed on subgroups based on sex and fixation.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 103-B, Issue 6 Supple A | Pages 13 - 17
1 Jun 2021
Park KJ Chapleau J Sullivan TC Clyburn TA Incavo SJ

Aims

Infection complicating primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a common reason for revision surgery, hospital readmission, patient morbidity, and mortality. Increasing incidence of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is a particular concern. The use of vancomycin as prophylactic agent alone or in combination with cephalosporin has not demonstrated lower periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) rates, partly due to timing and dosing of intravenous (IV) vancomycin administration, which have proven important factors in effectiveness. This is a retrospective review of a consecutive series of primary TKAs examining incidence of PJI, adverse reactions, and complications using IV versus intraosseous (IO) vancomycin at 30-day, 90-day, and one-year follow-up.

Methods

A retrospective review of 1,060 patients who underwent TKA between May 2016 to July 2020 was performed. There were 572 patients in the IV group and 488 in the IO group, with minimal 30 days of follow-up. Patients were followed up at regularly scheduled intervals (two, six, and 12 weeks). No differences between groups for age, sex, BMI, or baseline comorbidities existed. The IV group received an IV dose of 15 mg/kg vancomycin given over an hour preceding skin incision. The IO group received a 500 mg dose of vancomycin mixed in 150 ml of normal saline, injected into proximal tibia after tourniquet inflation, before skin incision. All patients received an additional dose of first generation cephalosporin. Evaluation included preoperative and postoperative serum creatinine values, tourniquet time, and adverse reactions attributable to vancomycin.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 103-B, Issue 6 Supple A | Pages 126 - 130
1 Jun 2021
Chalmers BP Goytizolo E Mishu MD Westrich GH

Aims

Manipulation under anaesthesia (MUA) remains an effective intervention to address restricted range of motion (ROM) after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and occurs in 2% to 3% of primary TKAs at our institution. Since there are few data on the outcomes of MUA with different anaesthetic methods, we sought to compare the outcomes of patients undergoing MUA with intravenous (IV) sedation and neuraxial anaesthesia.

Methods

We identified 548 MUAs after primary TKA (136 IV sedation, 412 neuraxial anaesthesia plus IV sedation) from March 2016 to July 2019. The mean age of this cohort was 62 years (35 to 88) with a mean body mass index of 31 kg/m2 (18 to 49). The mean time from primary TKA to MUA was 10.2 weeks (6.2 to 24.3). Pre-MUA ROM was similar between groups; overall mean pre-MUA extension was 4.2° (p = 0.452) and mean pre-MUA flexion was 77° (p = 0.372). We compared orthopaedic complications, visual analogue scale (VAS) pain scores, length of stay (LOS), and immediate and three-month follow-up knee ROM between these groups.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 102-B, Issue 6 Supple A | Pages 91 - 95
1 Jun 2020
Johnson, Jr. WB Engh, Jr. CA Parks NL Hamilton WG Ho PH Fricka KB

Aims

It has been hypothesized that a unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) is more likely to be revised than a total knee arthroplasty (TKA) because conversion surgery to a primary TKA is a less complicated procedure. The purpose of this study was to determine if there is a lower threshold for revising a UKA compared with TKA based on Oxford Knee Scores (OKSs) and range of movement (ROM) at the time of revision.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 619 aseptic revision cases performed between December 1998 and October 2018. This included 138 UKAs that underwent conversion to TKA and 481 initial TKA revisions. Age, body mass index (BMI), time in situ, OKS, and ROM were available for all patients.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 102-B, Issue 6 | Pages 727 - 735
1 Jun 2020
Burger JA Dooley MS Kleeblad LJ Zuiderbaan HA Pearle AD

Aims

It remains controversial whether patellofemoral joint pathology is a contraindication to lateral unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA). This study aimed to evaluate the effect of preoperative radiological degenerative changes and alignment on patient-reported outcome scores (PROMs) after lateral UKA. Secondarily, the influence of lateral UKA on the alignment of the patellofemoral joint was studied.

Methods

A consecutive series of patients who underwent robotic arm-assisted fixed-bearing lateral UKA with at least two-year follow-up were retrospectively reviewed. Radiological evaluation was conducted to obtain a Kellgren Lawrence (KL) grade, an Altman score, and alignment measurements for each knee. Postoperative PROMs were assessed using the Kujala (Anterior Knee Pain Scale) score, Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score Joint Replacement (KOOS JR), and satisfaction levels.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 101-B, Issue 9 | Pages 1071 - 1080
1 Sep 2019
Abram SGF Judge A Beard DJ Carr AJ Price AJ

Aims

The aim of this study was to determine the long-term risk of undergoing knee arthroplasty in a cohort of patients with meniscal tears who had undergone arthroscopic partial meniscectomy (APM).

Patients and Methods

A retrospective national cohort of patients with a history of isolated APM was identified over a 20-year period. Patients with prior surgery to the same knee were excluded. The primary outcome was knee arthroplasty. Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted by patient age, sex, year of APM, Charlson comorbidity index, regional deprivation, rurality, and ethnicity. Risk of arthroplasty in the index knee was compared with the patient’s contralateral knee (with vs without a history of APM). A total of 834 393 patients were included (mean age 50 years; 37% female).


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 101-B, Issue 6 | Pages 675 - 681
1 Jun 2019
Gabor JA Padilla JA Feng JE Anoushiravani AA Slover J Schwarzkopf R

Aims

Revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA) accounts for approximately 5% to 10% of all TKAs. Although the complexity of these procedures is well recognized, few investigators have evaluated the cost and value-added with the implementation of a dedicated revision arthroplasty service. The aim of the present study is to compare and contrast surgeon productivity in several differing models of activity.

Materials and Methods

All patients that underwent primary or revision TKA from January 2016 to June 2018 were included as the primary source of data. All rTKA patients were categorized by the number of components revised (e.g. liner exchange, two or more components). Three models were used to assess the potential surgical productivity of a dedicated rTKA service : 1) work relative value unit (RVU) versus mean surgical time; 2) primary TKA with a single operating theatre (OT) versus rTKA with a single OT; and 3) primary TKA with two OTs versus rTKA with a single OT.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 100-B, Issue 11 | Pages 1463 - 1470
1 Nov 2018
Murphy BPD Dowsey MM Spelman T Choong PFM

Aims

As the population ages, there is projected to be an increase in the level of demand for total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in octogenarians. We aimed to explore whether those aged ≥ 80 years achieved similar improvements in physical function to younger patients while also comparing the rates of length of stay (LOS), discharge to rehabilitation, postoperative complications, and mortality following TKA in older and younger patients.

Patients and Methods

Patients from one institution who underwent primary elective TKA between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2014 were dichotomized into those ≥ 80 years old (n = 359) and those < 80 years old (n = 2479) for comparison. Multivariable regression was used to compare the physical status component of the 12-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-12), LOS, discharge to rehabilitation, complications, and mortality between the two groups.


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 7, Issue 7 | Pages 468 - 475
1 Jul 2018
He Q Sun H Shu L Zhu Y Xie X Zhan Y Luo C

Objectives

Researchers continue to seek easier ways to evaluate the quality of bone and screen for osteoporosis and osteopenia. Until recently, radiographic images of various parts of the body, except the distal femur, have been reappraised in the light of dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) findings. The incidence of osteoporotic fractures around the knee joint in the elderly continues to increase. The aim of this study was to propose two new radiographic parameters of the distal femur for the assessment of bone quality.

Methods

Anteroposterior radiographs of the knee and bone mineral density (BMD) and T-scores from DXA scans of 361 healthy patients were prospectively analyzed. The mean cortical bone thickness (CBTavg) and the distal femoral cortex index (DFCI) were the two parameters that were proposed and measured. Intra- and interobserver reliabilities were assessed. Correlations between the BMD and T-score and these parameters were investigated and their value in the diagnosis of osteoporosis and osteopenia was evaluated.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 98-B, Issue 4 | Pages 490 - 497
1 Apr 2016
Maempel JF Wickramasinghe NR Clement ND Brenkel IJ Walmsley PJ

Aims

The pre-operative level of haemoglobin is the strongest predictor of the peri-operative requirement for blood transfusion after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). There are, however, no studies reporting a value that could be considered to be appropriate pre-operatively.

This study aimed to identify threshold pre-operative levels of haemoglobin that would predict the requirement for blood transfusion in patients who undergo TKA.

Patients and Methods

Analysis of receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves of 2284 consecutive patients undergoing unilateral TKA was used to determine gender specific thresholds predicting peri-operative transfusion with the highest combined sensitivity and specificity (area under ROC curve 0.79 for males; 0.78 for females).