Over 500 supracondylar humerus fractures (SCHF) are treated at our institution each year. Our standard post-operative pathway includes a 3-week visit for splint removal, wire removal, and radiographs. Subsequent follow-up occurs at 12 weeks for a clinical examination. In an effort to minimize unnecessary follow-up visits, we investigated whether photographs and/or patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) scores could identify patients who do not need routine 3-month in-person follow-up.

At the 3-month visit, 248 SCHF patients (mean 6.2 yrs; 0.75-11yrs) had bilateral elbow motion (ROM) and carrying angles measured; and photographs documenting frontal and sagittal alignment of both injured and uninjured upper extremities, in both maximum elbow flexion and extension. Two independent assessors made the same measurements off the clinical photographs to compare these with the clinical measurements. Two PROMs: Self-Assessment Questionnaire (SAQ: 0 best to 14 worst) and QuickDASH (0 best to 100 worst) were completed at the 3-month visit.

Inter-rater reliability of the photograph measurements was excellent (Kappa: 0.88-0.93), but weakly concordant with clinical measurements (carrying angle Kappa=0.51;max flexion Kappa=0.68;max extension Kappa=0.64). SAQ moderately correlated with QuickDASH (Kappa=0.59) and performed better at identifying patients with abnormalities. SAQ score ≥ 4 identified patients meeting 3-month follow-up criteria, with sensitivity: 36.1%; specificity: 96.8% and negative-predictive-value (NPV): 87%.

We did not find that photographs were reliable. Although SAQ-score has high NPV, a more sensitive fracture-specific PROM is needed to identify patients who do not need a 3-month follow-up visit.