Aims. Postoperative length of stay (LOS) and discharge dispositions following arthroplasty can be used as surrogate measurements for improvements in patients’ pathways and costs. With the increasing use of robotic technology in arthroplasty, it is important to assess its impact on LOS. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with decreased LOS following robotic arm-assisted total hip arthroplasty (RO THA) compared with the conventional technique (CO THA). Methods. This large-scale, single-institution study included 1,607 patients of any age who underwent 1,732 primary THAs for any indication between May 2019 and January 2023. The data which were collected included the demographics of the patients, LOS, type of anaesthetic, the need for treatment in a post-anaesthesia care unit (PACU), readmission within 30 days, and discharge disposition. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify factors and the characteristics of patients which were associated with delayed discharge. Results. The multivariate model identified that age, female sex, admission into a PACU, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade > II, and CO THA were associated with a significantly higher risk of a LOS of > two days. The median LOS was 54 hours (interquartile range (IQR) 34 to 78) in the RO THA group compared with 60 hours (IQR 51 to 100) in the CO THA group (p < 0.001). The discharge dispositions were comparable between the two groups. A higher proportion of patients undergoing CO THA required PACU admission postoperatively, although without reaching statistical significance (7.2% vs 5.2%, p = 0.238). Conclusion. We found that among other baseline characteristics and comorbidities, RO THA was associated with a significantly shorter LOS, with no difference in discharge destination. With the increasing demand for THA, these findings suggest that robotic assistance in THA could reduce costs. However, randomized controlled trials are required to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this technology. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(3 Supple A):24–30

Aims. In-hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge dispositions following arthroplasty could act as surrogate measures for improvement in patient pathways, and have major cost saving implications for healthcare providers. With the ever-growing adoption of robotic technology in arthroplasty, it is imperative to evaluate its impact on LOS. The objectives of this study were to compare LOS and discharge dispositions following robotic arm-assisted total knee arthroplasty (RO TKA) and unicompartmental arthroplasty (RO UKA) versus conventional technique (CO TKA and UKA). Methods. This large-scale, single-institution study included patients of any age undergoing primary TKA (n = 1,375) or UKA (n = 337) for any cause between May 2019 and January 2023. Data extracted included patient demographics, LOS, need for post anaesthesia care unit (PACU) admission, anaesthesia type, readmission within 30 days, and discharge dispositions. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were also employed to identify factors and patient characteristics related to delayed discharge. Results. The median LOS in the RO TKA group was 76 hours (interquartile range (IQR) 54 to 104) versus 82.5 (IQR 58 to 127) in the CO TKA group (p < 0.001) and 54 hours (IQR 34 to 77) in the RO UKA versus 58 (IQR 35 to 81) in the CO UKA (p = 0.031). Discharge dispositions were comparable between the two groups. A higher percentage of patients undergoing CO TKA required PACU admission (8% vs 5.2%; p = 0.040). Conclusion. Our study showed that robotic arm assistance was associated with a shorter LOS in patients undergoing primary UKA and TKA, and no difference in the discharge destinations. Our results suggest that robotic arm assistance could be advantageous in partly addressing the upsurge of knee arthroplasty procedures and the concomitant healthcare burden; however, this needs to be corroborated by long-term cost-effectiveness analyses and data from randomized controlled studies. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(10):791–800

Aims. The aim of this study was to describe the demographic details of patients who sustain a femoral periprosthetic fracture (PPF), the epidemiology of PPFs, PPF characteristics, and the predictors of PPF types in the UK population. Methods. This is a multicentre retrospective cohort study including adult patients presenting to hospital with a new PPF between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018. Data collected included: patient characteristics, comorbidities, anticoagulant use, social circumstances, level of mobility, fracture characteristics, Unified Classification System (UCS) type, and details of the original implant. Descriptive analysis by fracture location was performed, and predictors of PPF type were assessed using mixed-effects logistic regression models. Results. In total, 720 femoral PPFs from 27 NHS sites were included. PPF patients were typically elderly (mean 79.9 years (SD 10.6)), female (n = 455; 63.2%), had at least one comorbidity (n = 670; 93.1%), and were reliant on walking aids or bed-/chair-bound prior to admission (n = 419; 61.7%). The study population included 539 (74.9%) hip PPFs, 151 (21.0%) knee PPFs, and 30 (4.2%) dividing type PPFs. For hip (n = 407; 75.5%) and knee (n = 88; 58.3%) arthroplasty UCS B type fractures were most common. Overall, 556 (86.2%) were treated in the presenting hospital and 89 (13.8%) required transfer for treatment. Female sex was the only significant predictor of fracture type (A/B1/C type versus B2/B3) for femoral hip PPFs (odds ratio 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.41 to 0.91); p = 0.014). Sex, residence type, primary versus revision implant PPF, implant fixation, and time between arthroplasty and PPF were not found to predict fracture type for hip PPFs. Conclusion. This multicentre analysis describes patient and injury factors for patients presenting with femoral PPFs to centres across the UK. These patients are generally elderly and frail, comparable to those sustaining a hip fracture. These data can be useful in planning future services and clinical trials. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(8):987–996

Aims. The current evidence comparing the two most common approaches for reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (rTSA), the deltopectoral and anterosuperior approach, is limited. This study aims to compare the rate of loosening, instability, and implant survival between the two approaches for rTSA using data from the Dutch National Arthroplasty Registry with a minimum follow-up of five years. Methods. All patients in the registry who underwent a primary rTSA between January 2014 and December 2016 using an anterosuperior or deltopectoral approach were included, with a minimum follow-up of five years. Cox and logistic regression models were used to assess the association between the approach and the implant survival, instability, and glenoid loosening, independent of confounders. Results. In total, 3,902 rTSAs were included. A deltopectoral approach was used in 54% (2,099/3,902) and an anterosuperior approach in 46% (1,803/3,902). Overall, the mean age in the cohort was 75 years (50 to 96) and the most common indication for rTSA was cuff tear arthropathy (35%; n = 1,375), followed by osteoarthritis (29%; n = 1,126), acute fracture (13%; n = 517), post-traumatic sequelae (10%; n = 398), and an irreparable cuff rupture (5%; n = 199). The two high-volume centres performed the anterosuperior approach more often compared to the medium- and low-volume centres (p < 0.001). Of the 3,902 rTSAs, 187 were revised (5%), resulting in a five-year survival of 95.4% (95% confidence interval 94.7 to 96.0; 3,137 at risk). The most common reason for revision was a periprosthetic joint infection (35%; n = 65), followed by instability (25%; n = 46) and loosening (25%; n = 46). After correcting for relevant confounders, the revision rate for glenoid loosening, instability, and the overall implant survival did not differ significantly between the two approaches (p = 0.494, p = 0.826, and p = 0.101, respectively). Conclusion. The surgical approach used for rTSA did not influence the overall implant survival or the revision rate for instability or glenoid loosening. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2023;105-B(9):1000–1006

Aims

It is unclear whether mortality outcomes differ for patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA) or total knee arthroplasty (TKA) surgery who are readmitted to the index hospital where their surgery was performed, or to another hospital.

Aims. Iliopsoas impingement occurs in 4% to 30% of patients after undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA). Despite a relatively high incidence, there are few attempts at modelling impingement between the iliopsoas and acetabular component, and no attempts at modelling this in a representative cohort of subjects. The purpose of this study was to develop a novel computational model for quantifying the impingement between the iliopsoas and acetabular component and validate its utility in a case-controlled investigation. Methods. This was a retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent THA surgery that included 23 symptomatic patients diagnosed with iliopsoas tendonitis, and 23 patients not diagnosed with iliopsoas tendonitis. All patients received postoperative CT imaging, postoperative standing radiography, and had minimum six months’ follow-up. 3D models of each patient’s prosthetic and bony anatomy were generated, landmarked, and simulated in a novel iliopsoas impingement detection model in supine and standing pelvic positions. Logistic regression models were implemented to determine if the probability of pain could be significantly predicted. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated to determine the model’s sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). Results. Highly significant differences between the symptomatic and asymptomatic cohorts were observed for iliopsoas impingement. Logistic regression models determined that the impingement values significantly predicted the probability of groin pain. The simulation had a sensitivity of 74%, specificity of 100%, and an AUC of 0.86. Conclusion. We developed a computational model that can quantify iliopsoas impingement and verified its accuracy in a case-controlled investigation. This tool has the potential to be used preoperatively, to guide decisions about optimal cup placement, and postoperatively, to assist in the diagnosis of iliopsoas tendonitis. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(1):3–12

Aims

Patients with proximal femoral fractures (PFFs) are often multimorbid, thus unplanned readmissions following surgery are common. We therefore aimed to analyze 30-day and one-year readmission rates, reasons for, and factors associated with, readmission risk in a cohort of patients with surgically treated PFFs across Austria.

Aims. This study used an artificial neural network (ANN) model to determine the most important pre- and perioperative variables to predict same-day discharge in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Methods. Data for this study were collected from the National Surgery Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database from the year 2018. Patients who received a primary, elective, unilateral TKA with a diagnosis of primary osteoarthritis were included. Demographic, preoperative, and intraoperative variables were analyzed. The ANN model was compared to a logistic regression model, which is a conventional machine-learning algorithm. Variables collected from 28,742 patients were analyzed based on their contribution to hospital length of stay. Results. The predictability of the ANN model, area under the curve (AUC) = 0.801, was similar to the logistic regression model (AUC = 0.796) and identified certain variables as important factors to predict same-day discharge. The ten most important factors favouring same-day discharge in the ANN model include preoperative sodium, preoperative international normalized ratio, BMI, age, anaesthesia type, operating time, dyspnoea status, functional status, race, anaemia status, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Six of these variables were also found to be significant on logistic regression analysis. Conclusion. Both ANN modelling and logistic regression analysis revealed clinically important factors in predicting patients who can undergo safely undergo same-day discharge from an outpatient TKA. The ANN model provides a beneficial approach to help determine which perioperative factors can predict same-day discharge as of 2018 perioperative recovery protocols. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(8):1358–1366

Aims. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a swift adoption of telehealth in orthopaedic surgery. This study aimed to analyze the satisfaction of patients and surgeons with the rapid expansion of telehealth at this time within the division of adult reconstructive surgery at a major urban academic tertiary hospital. Methods. A total of 334 patients underging arthroplasty of the hip or knee who completed a telemedicine visit between 30 March and 30 April 2020 were sent a 14-question survey, scored on a five-point Likert scale. Eight adult reconstructive surgeons who used telemedicine during this time were sent a separate 14-question survey at the end of the study period. Factors influencing patient satisfaction were determined using univariate and multivariate ordinal logistic regression modelling. Results. A total of 68 patients (20.4%) and 100% of the surgeons completed the surveys. Patients were “Satisfied” with their telemedicine visits (4.10/5.00 (SD 0.98)) and 19 (27.9%) would prefer telemedicine to in-person visits in the absence of COVID-19. Multivariate ordinal logistic regression modelling revealed that patients were more likely to be satisfied if their surgeon effectively responded to their questions or concerns (odds ratio (OR) 3.977; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.260 to 13.190; p = 0.019) and if their visit had a high audiovisual quality (OR 2.46; 95% CI 1.052 to 6.219; p = 0.042). Surgeons were “Satisfied” with their telemedicine experience (3.63/5.00 (SD 0.92)) and were “Fairly Confident” (4.00/5.00 (SD 0.53)) in their diagnostic accuracy despite finding the physical examinations to be only “Slightly Effective” (1.88/5.00 (SD 0.99)). Most adult reconstructive surgeons, seven of eight (87.5%) would continue to use telemedicine in the future. Conclusion. Telemedicine emerged as a valuable tool during the COVID-19 pandemic. Patients undergoing arthroplasty and their surgeons were satisfied with telemedicine and see a role for its use after the pandemic. The audiovisual quality and the responsiveness of physicians to the concerns of patients determine their satisfaction. Future investigations should focus on improving the physical examination of patients through telemedicine and strategies for its widespread implementation. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(6 Supple A):196–204

The ‘Best Practice Tariff‘ (BPT) was developed to improve hip fracture care by incentivising hospitals to provide timely multidisciplinary care to patients sustaining these injuries. The current literature examining the association between BPT and patient outcomes is conflicting and underpowered. We aimed to determine if achieving BPT has an impact on 30-day mortality and postoperative length of stay. A retrospective analysis for patients admitted to a major trauma centre (MTC) was performed between 01/01/2013 to 31/12/2020. Data were extracted from the National Hip Fracture Database. The study population was divided into two groups: those who achieved all BPT criteria (BPT-passed) and those who did not (BPT-failed). The primary outcomes of interest included the 30-day mortality rate and postoperative length of stay (LOS). As a secondary objective, we aimed to assess factors that predict perioperative mortality by utilising a logistic regression model. 4397 cases were included for analysis. 3422 (78%) met the BPT criteria, whereas 973 (22%) did not. The mean LOS in the BPT-achieving group was 17.2 days compared with 18.6 in the BPT-failed group, p<0.001. 30-day mortality was significantly lower in the BPT-achieving group i.e., 4.3% in BPT-achieved vs. 12.1% in BPT-failed, p<0.001. Logistic regression modelling demonstrated that attainment of BPT was associated with significantly lower 30-day mortality (OR: 0.32; 95% CI:0.24–0.41; p<0.001). To our knowledge, this is the largest study to investigate the association between BPT attainment and 30-day mortality as well as the length of stay. The present study demonstrates that achieving BPT in hip fracture patients is associated with a significant reduction in the average length of stay and 30-day mortality rates. Our crude calculations revealed that achieving BPT for 3422 patients earned our hospital trust >£4 million over 8 years. Findings from this study suggest that achieving BPT not only improves 30-day survival in patients with hip fractures but also aids cost-effectiveness by reducing LOS and helps generate NHS Trusts a significant amount of financial reward

Objectives. The objective of this study was to investigate the association of four single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the cannabinoid receptor 2 (CNR2) gene, gene-obesity interaction, and haplotype combination with osteoporosis (OP) susceptibility. Methods. Chinese patients with OP were recruited between March 2011 and December 2015 from our hospital. In this study, a total of 1267 post-menopausal female patients (631 OP patients and 636 control patients) were selected. The mean age of all subjects was 69.2 years (sd 15.8). A generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction (GMDR) model and logistic regression model were used to examine the interaction between SNP and obesity on OP. For OP patient-control haplotype analyses, the SHEsis online haplotype analysis software (. http://analysis.bio-x.cn/. ) was employed. Results. The logistic regression model revealed that the C allele of rs2501431 and the G allele of rs3003336 were associated with increased OP risk, compared with those with wild genotype. However, no significant correlations were found when analyzing the association of rs4237 and rs2229579 with OP risk. The GMDR analysis suggested that the interaction model composed of two factors, rs3003336 and abdominal obesity (AO), was the best model with statistical significance (p-value from sign test (P. sign. ) = 0.012), indicating a potential gene-environment interaction between rs3003336 and AO. Overall, the two-locus models had a cross-validation consistency of 10/10 and had a testing accuracy of 0.641. Abdominally obese subjects with the AG or GG genotype have the highest OP risk, compared with subjects with the AA genotype and normal waist circumference (WC) (odds ratio (OR) 2.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.54 to 3.51). Haplotype analysis also indicated that the haplotype containing the rs3003336-G and rs2501431-C alleles was associated with a statistically increased OP risk. Conclusion. Our results suggested that the C allele of rs2501431 and the G allele of rs3003336 of the CNR2 gene, interaction between rs3003336 and AO, and the haplotype containing the rs3003336-G and rs2501431-C alleles were all associated with increased OP risk. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2019;8:544–549

Aims. This study aimed to describe practice variation in the use of total hip arthroplasty (THA) for older patients with femoral neck fracture and to determine the association between patient, surgeon, and institution factors and treatment with THA. Methods. We performed a cross-sectional analysis of 49,597 patients aged 60 years and older from Ontario, Canada, who underwent hemiarthroplasty or THA for femoral neck fracture between 2002 and 2017. This population-based study used routinely collected healthcare databases linked through ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences). Multilevel logistic regression modelling was used to quantify the association between patient, surgeon, and institution-level variables and whether patients were treated with THA. Variance partition coefficient and median odds ratios were used to estimate the variation attributable to higher-level variables and the magnitude of effect of higher-level variables, respectively. Results. Over the study period, 9.4% of patients (n = 4,638) were treated with THA. Patient factors associated with higher likelihood of treatment by THA included: younger age, male sex, and diagnosis with rheumatoid arthritis. Long-term care residence, use of home care services prior to hip fracture, diagnosis of dementia, higher comorbidity burden, and the most marginalized group were negatively associated with treatment by THA. Treating surgeon and institution accounted for 54.2% and 17.8% of the total variation in treatment with THA, respectively. Surgeon volume of THA procedures in the 365 days prior to surgery was the strongest higher-level predictor of treatment with THA. Specific treating surgeons and institutions still accounted for significant proportions of the variability in treatment with THA (40.3% and 19.5% of total observed variation, respectively) after controlling for available patient, surgeon, and institution-level variables. Conclusion. The strongest predictors for treatment of patients with femoral neck fracture with THA were patient age, treating surgeon, and treating institution. This practice variation highlights differential access to care for patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2023;105-B(2):180–189

Aims. The aim of this study is to report the implant survival and factors associated with revision of total elbow arthroplasty (TEA) using data from the Dutch national registry. Methods. All TEAs recorded in the Dutch national registry between 2014 and 2020 were included. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis, and a logistic regression model was used to assess the factors associated with revision. Results. A total of 514 TEAs were included, of which 35 were revised. The five-year implant survival was 91%. Male sex, a higher BMI, and previous surgery to the same elbow showed a statistically significant association with revision (p < 0.036). Of the 35 revised implants, ten (29%) underwent a second revision. Conclusion. This study reports a five-year implant survival of TEA of 91%. Patient factors associated with revision are defined and can be used to optimize informed consent and shared decision-making. There was a high rate of secondary revisions. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(2):110–119

Aims. We aimed to develop a gene signature that predicts the occurrence of postmenopausal osteoporosis (PMOP) by studying its genetic mechanism. Methods. Five datasets were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Unsupervised consensus cluster analysis was used to determine new PMOP subtypes. To determine the central genes and the core modules related to PMOP, the weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WCGNA) was applied. Gene Ontology enrichment analysis was used to explore the biological processes underlying key genes. Logistic regression univariate analysis was used to screen for statistically significant variables. Two algorithms were used to select important PMOP-related genes. A logistic regression model was used to construct the PMOP-related gene profile. The receiver operating characteristic area under the curve, Harrell’s concordance index, a calibration chart, and decision curve analysis were used to characterize PMOP-related genes. Then, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to verify the expression of the PMOP-related genes in the gene signature. Results. We identified three PMOP-related subtypes and four core modules. The muscle system process, muscle contraction, and actin filament-based movement were more active in the hub genes. We obtained five feature genes related to PMOP. Our analysis verified that the gene signature had good predictive power and applicability. The outcomes of the GSE56815 cohort were found to be consistent with the results of the earlier studies. qRT-PCR results showed that RAB2A and FYCO1 were amplified in clinical samples. Conclusion. The PMOP-related gene signature we developed and verified can accurately predict the risk of PMOP in patients. These results can elucidate the molecular mechanism of RAB2A and FYCO1 underlying PMOP, and yield new and improved treatment strategies, ultimately helping PMOP monitoring. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2022;11(8):548–560

Introduction. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a swift adoption of telehealth in orthopedic surgery. The purpose of this study was to analyze patient and surgeon satisfaction with a rapid expansion of telehealth use during COVID-19 pandemic within the division of adult reconstructive surgery at a major urban academic hospital. Methods. 334 hip and knee arthroplasty patients who completed a telemedicine visit from March 30th, 2020 through April 30th, 2020 were sent a 14-question survey. Eight adult reconstructive surgeons who used telemedicine were sent a separate 14-question survey at the end of the study period. Factors influencing patient satisfaction were determined using univariate and multivariate ordinal logistic regression modeling. Results. 20.4% of patients (68/334) and 100% of surgeons (8/8) completed the surveys. Patients were on average “Satisfied” with their telemedicine visits (4.10/5.00 ± 0.98), 54.4% considered themselves high-risk for COVID-19 complications, and 27.9% reported that they preferred future visits to be conducted using telemedicine for reasons unrelated to COVID-19. Multivariate ordinal logistic regression modeling revealed that patients reported higher satisfaction if their surgeon effectively responded to their questions/concerns (OR 3.977; 95% CI 1.260 to 13.190, p=0.019) and if their visit had higher audiovisual quality (OR 2.46; 95% CI 1.052 to 6.219, p=0.042). Surgeons were “Satisfied” with their telemedicine experience (3.63/5.00 ± 0.92), felt that physical exams conducted via telemedicine were “Slightly Effective” (1.88/5.00 ± 0.99), and believed that 43.5% of visits required an in-person component. Most adult reconstructive surgeons would continue to use telemedicine in the future (87.5%). Conclusion. Telehealth emerged as a valuable tool during the COVID-19 pandemic. Arthroplasty patients and surgeons were generally satisfied with telehealth and see a role for telehealth after the pandemic. Future investigations should explore how to improve telehealth physical examinations and identify which types of visits and patient concerns are reliably addressed using telehealth

Aims. Proximal femur fractures treatment can involve anterograde nailing with a single or double cephalic screw. An undesirable failure for this fixation is screw cut-out. In a single-screw nail, a tip-apex distance (TAD) greater than 25 mm has been associated with an increased risk of cut-out. The aim of the study was to examine the role of TAD as a risk factor in a cephalic double-screw nail. Methods. A retrospective study was conducted on 112 patients treated for intertrochanteric femur fracture with a double proximal screw nail (Endovis BA2; EBA2) from January to September 2021. The analyzed variables were age, sex, BMI, comorbidities, fracture type, side, time of surgery, quality of reduction, pre-existing therapy with bisphosphonate for osteoporosis, screw placement in two different views, and TAD. The last follow-up was at 12 months. Logistic regression was used to study the potential factors of screw cut-out, and receiver operating characteristic curve to identify the threshold value. Results. A total of 98 of the 112 patients met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 65 patients were female (66.3%), the mean age was 83.23 years (SD 7.07), and the mean follow-up was 378 days (SD 36). Cut-out was observed in five patients (5.10%). The variables identified by univariate analysis with p < 0.05 were included in the multivariate logistic regression model were screw placement and TAD. The TAD was significant with an odds ratio (OR) 5.03 (p = 0.012) as the screw placement with an OR 4.35 (p = 0.043) in the anteroposterior view, and OR 10.61 (p = 0.037) in the lateral view. The TAD threshold value identified was 29.50 mm. Conclusion. Our study confirmed the risk factors for cut-out in the double-screw nail are comparable to those in the single screw. We found a TAD value of 29.50 mm to be associated with a risk of cut-out in double-screw nails, when good fracture reduction is granted. This value is higher than the one reported with single-screw nails. Therefore, we suggest the role of TAD should be reconsidered in well-reduced fractures treated with double-screw intramedullary nail. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(6):457–463

We have reviewed our experience of the removal of deep extremity orthopaedic implants in children to establish the nature, rate and risk of complications associated with this procedure. A retrospective review was performed of 801 children who had 1223 implants inserted and subsequently removed over a period of 17 years. Bivariate analysis of possible predictors including clinical factors, complications associated with implant insertion and indications for removal and the complications encountered at removal was performed. A logistical regression model was then constructed using those predictors which were significantly associated with surgical complications from the bivariate analyses. Odds ratios estimated in the logistical regression models were converted to risk ratios. The overall rate of complications after removal of the implant was 12.5% (100 complications in 801 patients), with 48 (6.0%) major and 52 (6.5%) minor. Children with a complication after insertion of the initial implant or with a non-elective indication for removal, a neuromuscular disease associated with a seizure disorder or a neuromuscular disease in those unable to walk, had a significantly greater chance of having a major complication after removal of the implant. Children with all four of these predictors were 14.6 times more likely to have a major complication

Aims. The aim of this study was to evaluate the optimal deep tissue specimen sample number for histopathological analysis in the diagnosis of periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Methods. In this retrospective diagnostic study, patients undergoing revision surgery after total hip or knee arthroplasty (n = 119) between January 2015 and July 2018 were included. Multiple specimens of the periprosthetic membrane and pseudocapsule were obtained for histopathological analysis at revision arthroplasty. Based on the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) 2013 criteria, the International Consensus Meeting (ICM) 2018 criteria, and the European Bone and Joint Infection Society (EBJIS) 2021 criteria, PJI was defined. Using a mixed effects logistic regression model, the sensitivity and specificity of the histological diagnosis were calculated. The optimal number of periprosthetic tissue specimens for histopathological analysis was determined by applying the Youden index. Results. Based on the EBJIS criteria (excluding histology), 46 (39%) patients were classified as infected. Four to six specimens showed the highest Youden index (four specimens: 0.631; five: 0.634; six: 0.632). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of five tissue specimens were 76.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 67.6 to 81.4), 86.8% (95% CI 81.3 to 93.5), 66.0% (95% CI 53.2 to 78.7), and 84.3% (95% CI 79.4 to 89.3), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated with 0.81 (as a function of the number of tissue specimens). Applying the ICM and IDSA criteria (excluding histology), 40 (34%) and 32 (27%) patients were categorized as septic. Three to five specimens had the highest Youden index (ICM 3: 0.648; 4: 0.651; 5: 0.649) (IDSA 3: 0.627; 4: 0.629; 5: 0.625). Conclusion. Three to six tissue specimens of the periprosthetic membrane and pseudocapsule should be collected at revision arthroplasty and analyzed by a pathologist experienced and skilled in interpreting periprosthetic tissue. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2023;105-B(2):158–165

Aims. This study aims to assess the relationship between history of pseudotumour formation secondary to metal-on-metal (MoM) implants and periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) rate, as well as establish ESR and CRP thresholds that are suggestive of infection in these patients. We hypothesized that patients with a pseudotumour were at increased risk of infection. Methods. A total of 1,171 total hip arthroplasty (THA) patients with MoM articulations from August 2000 to March 2014 were retrospectively identified. Of those, 328 patients underwent metal artefact reduction sequence MRI and had minimum two years’ clinical follow-up, and met our inclusion criteria. Data collected included demographic details, surgical indication, laterality, implants used, history of pseudotumour, and their corresponding preoperative ESR (mm/hr) and CRP (mg/dl) levels. Multivariate logistic regression modelling was used to evaluate PJI and history of pseudotumour, and receiver operating characteristic curves were created to assess the diagnostic capabilities of ESR and CRP to determine the presence of infection in patients undergoing revision surgery. Results. The rate of PJI for all identified MoM THAs was 3.5% (41/1,171), with a mean follow-up of 10.9 years (2.0 to 20.4). Of the patients included in the final cohort, 8.2% (27/328) had PJI, with a mean follow-up of 12.2 years (2.3 to 20.4). Among this cohort, 31.1% (102/328) had a history of pseudotumour. The rate of PJI in these patients was 14.7% (15/102), which was greater than those without pseudotumour, 5.3% (12/226) (p = 0.008). Additionally, logistic regression analysis showed an association between history of pseudotumour and PJI (odds ratio 4.36 (95% confidence interval 1.77 to 11.3); p = 0.002). Optimal diagnostic cutoffs for PJI in patients with history of pseudotumour versus those without were 33.1 mm/hr and 24.5 mm/hr for ESR and 7.37 mg/dl and 1.88 mg/dl for CRP, respectively. Conclusion. Patients with history of pseudotumour secondary to MoM THA had a higher likelihood of infection than those without. While suspicion of infection should be high for these patients, ESR and CRP cutoffs published by the European Bone and Joint Infection Society may not be appropriate for patients with a history of pseudotumour, as ESR and CRP levels suggestive of PJI are likely to be higher than for those without a pseudotumour. Additional investigation, such as aspiration, is highly recommended for these patients unless clinical suspicion and laboratory markers are low. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(6):555–564

Aims. The impact of concomitant injuries in patients with proximal femoral fractures has rarely been studied. To date, the few studies published have been mostly single-centre research focusing on the influence of upper limb fractures. A retrospective cohort analysis was, therefore, conducted to identify the impact and distribution of concomitant injuries in patients with proximal femoral fractures. Methods. A retrospective, multicentre registry-based study was undertaken. Between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2019, data for 24,919 patients from 100 hospitals were collected in the Registry for Geriatric Trauma. This information was queried and patient groups with and without concomitant injury were compared using linear and logistic regression models. In addition, we analyzed the influence of the different types of additional injuries. Results. A total of 22,602 patients met the inclusion criteria. The overall prevalence of a concomitant injury was 8.2% with a predominance of female patients (8.7% vs 6.9%; p < 0.001). Most common were fractures of the ipsilateral upper limb. Concomitant injuries resulted in prolonged time-to-surgery (by 3.4 hours (95 confidence interval (CI) 2.14 to 4.69)) and extended length of stay in hospital by 2.2 days (95% CI 1.74 to 2.61). Mortality during the admission was significantly higher in the concomitant injury group (7.4% vs 5.3%; p < 0.001). Additionally, walking ability and quality of life were reduced in these patients at discharge. More patients were discharged to a nursing home instead of their own home compared to patients without additional injuries (25.8% vs 30.3%; p < 0.001). Conclusion. With a prevalence of 8.2%, the appearance of a concomitant injury is common in elderly patients with hip fracture. These patients are at a greater risk for death during the admission, longer hospital stays, and delayed surgery. This knowledge is clinically important for all who are involved in the treatment of proximal femur fractures. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(9):1526–1533

Aims. We evaluated a large database with mechanical failure of a single uncemented modular femoral component, used in revision hip arthroplasty, as the end point and compared them to a control group treated with the same implant. Patient- and implant-specific risk factors for implant failure were analyzed. . Methods. All cases of a fractured uncemented modular revision femoral component from one manufacturer until April 2017 were identified and the total number of implants sold until April 2017 was used to calculate the fracture rate. The manufacturer provided data on patient demographics, time to failure, and implant details for all notified fractured devices. Patient- and implant-specific risk factors were evaluated using a logistic regression model with multiple imputations and compared to data from a previously published reference group, where no fractures had been observed. The results of a retrieval analysis of the fractured implants, performed by the manufacturer, were available for evaluation. Results. There were 113 recorded cases with fracture at the modular junction, resulting in a calculated fracture rate of 0.30% (113/37,600). The fracture rate of the implant without signs of improper use was 0.11% (41/37,600). In 79% (89/113) of cases with a failed implant, either a lateralized (high offset) neck segment, an extralong head, or the combination of both were used. Logistic regression analysis revealed male sex, high body mass index (BMI), straight component design, and small neck segments were significant risk factors for failure. Investigation of the implants (76/113) showed at least one sign of improper use in 72 cases. Conclusion. Implant failure at the modular junction is associated with patient- and implant-specific risk factors as well as technical errors during implantation. Whenever possible, the use of short and lateralized neck segments should be avoided with this revision system. Implantation instructions and contraindications need to be adhered to and respected. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(5):573–579

Aims. The aim of this study was to screen the entire genome for genetic markers associated with risk for anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) and posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) injury. Methods. Genome-wide association (GWA) analyses were performed using data from the Kaiser Permanente Research Board (KPRB) and the UK Biobank. ACL and PCL injury cases were identified based on electronic health records from KPRB and the UK Biobank. GWA analyses from both cohorts were tested for ACL and PCL injury using a logistic regression model adjusting for sex, height, weight, age at enrolment, and race/ethnicity using allele counts for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The data from the two GWA studies were combined in a meta-analysis. Candidate genes previously reported to show an association with ACL injury in athletes were also tested for association from the meta-analysis data from the KPRB and the UK Biobank GWA studies. Results. There was a total of 2,214 cases of ACL and PCL injury and 519,869 controls within the two cohorts, with three loci demonstrating a genome-wide significant association in the meta-analysis: INHBA, AEBP2, and LOC101927869. Of the eight candidate genes previously studied in the literature, six were present in the current dataset, and only COL3A1 (rs1800255) showed a significant association (p = 0.006). Conclusion. Genetic markers in three novel loci in this study and one previously-studied candidate gene were identified as potential risk factors for ACL and PCL injury and deserve further validation and investigation of molecular mechanisms. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2021;2(6):414–421

Aims. This study evaluated variation in the surgical treatment of stable (A1) and unstable (A2) trochanteric hip fractures among an international group of orthopaedic surgeons, and determined the influence of patient, fracture, and surgeon characteristics on choice of implant (intramedullary nailing (IMN) versus sliding hip screw (SHS)). Methods. A total of 128 orthopaedic surgeons in the Science of Variation Group evaluated radiographs of 30 patients with Type A1 and A2 trochanteric hip fractures and indicated their preferred treatment: IMN or SHS. The management of Type A3 (reverse obliquity) trochanteric fractures was not evaluated. Agreement between surgeons was calculated using multirater kappa. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess whether patient, fracture, and surgeon characteristics were independently associated with choice of implant. Results. The overall agreement between surgeons on implant choice was fair (kappa = 0.27 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.25 to 0.28)). Factors associated with preference for IMN included USA compared to Europe or the UK (Europe odds ratio (OR) 0.56 (95% CI 0.47 to 0.67); UK OR 0.16 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.22); p < 0.001); exposure to IMN only during training compared to surgeons that were exposed to both (only IMN during training OR 2.6 (95% CI 2.0 to 3.4); p < 0.001); and A2 compared to A1 fractures (Type A2 OR 10 (95% CI 8.4 to 12); p < 0.001). Conclusion. In an international cohort of orthopaedic surgeons, there was a large variation in implant preference for patients with A1 and A2 trochanteric fractures. This is due to surgeon bias (country of practice and aspects of training). The observation that surgeons favoured the more expensive implant (IMN) in the absence of convincing evidence of its superiority suggests that surgeon de-biasing strategies may be a useful focus for optimizing patient outcomes and promoting value-based healthcare. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(4):775–781

Aims. To analyze the potential role of synovial fluid peptidase activity as a measure of disease burden and predictive biomarker of progression in knee osteoarthritis (KOA). Methods. A cross-sectional study of 39 patients (women 71.8%, men 28.2%; mean age of 72.03 years (SD 1.15) with advanced KOA (Ahlbäck grade ≥ 3 and clinical indications for arthrocentesis) recruited through the (Orthopaedic Department at the Complejo Asistencial Universitario de León, Spain (CAULE)), measuring synovial fluid levels of puromycin-sensitive aminopeptidase (PSA), neutral aminopeptidase (NAP), aminopeptidase B (APB), prolyl endopeptidase (PEP), aspartate aminopeptidase (ASP), glutamyl aminopeptidase (GLU) and pyroglutamyl aminopeptidase (PGAP). Results. Synovial fluid peptidase activity varied significantly as a function of clinical signs, with differences in levels of PEP (p = 0.020), ASP (p < 0.001), and PGAP (p = 0. 003) associated with knee locking, PEP (p = 0.006), ASP (p = 0.001), GLU (p = 0.037), and PGAP (p = 0.000) with knee failure, and PEP (p = 0.006), ASP (p = 0.001), GLU (p = 0.037), and PGAP (p < 0.001) with knee effusion. Further, patients with the greatest functional impairment had significantly higher levels of APB (p = 0.005), PEP (p = 0.005), ASP (p = 0.006), GLU (p = 0.020), and PGAP (p < 0.001) activity, though not of NAP or PSA, indicating local alterations in the renin-angiotensin system. A binary logistic regression model showed that PSA was protective (p = 0.005; Exp (B) 0.949), whereas PEP (p = 0.005) and GLU were risk factors (p = 0.012). Conclusion. These results suggest synovial fluid peptidase activity could play a role as a measure of disease burden and predictive biomarker of progression in KOA. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2020;9(11):789–797

Abstract. Introduction. Previous research has demonstrated no clinically significant benefit of arthroscopic meniscectomy in patients with a meniscal tear, however, patients included in these studies would not meet current treatment recommendations. Prior to further randomised controlled trials (RCTs) research is needed to understand a younger population in more detail. Aim. To describe the baseline characteristics of patients with a meniscal tear and explore any association between baseline characteristics and outcome. Methodology. A prospective, national multicentre cohort study was performed recruiting patients aged 18 to 55 presenting to secondary care. MRI analysis of arthritis was performed using Whole Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Score (WORMS) and bone shape analysis. Outcomes included the Western Ontario Meniscal Evaluation Tool (WOMET) and Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS4) at 12 months. Results. 150 participants were recruited across eight sites with a mean age of 43.47 (SD 9.63). MRI analysis using WORMS score and bone shape analysis revealed no or early osteoarthritis. At 12 months, 67 (44.67%) of participants were managed non-operatively and 68 (45.33%) were operatively. Participants in the operative group were significantly younger with a lower BMI (p<0.05). A stepwise logistic regression model including 17 characteristics revealed that only baseline score and surgery significantly affected 12-month WOMET and KOOS4. Conclusion. This study in contrast to previous trials demonstrated a benefit of surgery for patients with a meniscal tear. The METRO study demonstrates that it is feasible to recruit younger patients and a future RCT is required using the study population included in this cohort

Aims. Routinely collected patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) have been useful to quantify and quality-assess provision of total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in the UK for the past decade. This study aimed to explore whether the outcome following primary THA and TKA had improved over the past seven years. Methods. Secondary data analysis of 277,430 primary THAs and 308,007 primary TKAs from the NHS PROMs programme was undertaken. Outcome measures were: postoperative Oxford Hip/Knee Score (OHS/OKS); proportion of patients achieving a clinically important improvement in joint function (responders); quality of life; patient satisfaction; perceived success; and complication rates. Outcome measures were compared based on year of surgery using multiple linear and logistic regression models. Results. For primary THA, multiple linear regression modelling found that more recent year of surgery was associated with higher postoperative OHS (unstandardized coefficient (B) 0.15 points (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14 to 0.17); p < 0.001) and higher EuroQol five-dimension index (EQ-5D) utility (B 0.002 (95% CI 0.001 to 0.002); p < 0.001). The odds of being a responder (odds ratio (OR) 1.02 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.03); p < 0.001) and patient satisfaction (OR 1.02 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.03); p < 0.001) increased with year of surgery, while the odds of any complication reduced (OR 0.97 (95% CI 0.97 to 0.98); p < 0.001). No trend was found for perceived success (p = 0.555). For primary TKA, multiple linear regression modelling found that more recent year of surgery was associated with higher postoperative OKS (B 0.21 points (95% CI 0.19 to 0.22); p < 0.001) and higher EQ-5D utility (B 0.002 (95% CI 0.002 to 0.003); p < 0.001). The odds of being a responder (OR 1.04 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.04); p < 0.001), perceived success (OR 1.02 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.02); p < 0.001), and patient satisfaction (OR 1.02 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.02); p < 0.001) all increased with year of surgery, while the odds of any complication reduced (OR 0.97 (95% CI 0.97 to 0.97); p < 0.001). Conclusion. Nearly all patient-reported outcomes following primary THA/TKA improved by a small amount over the past seven years. Due to the high proportion of patients achieving good outcomes, PROMs following THA and TKA may need to focus on better discrimination of patients achieving high scores to be able to continue to measure improvement in outcomes. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(6):687–695

In-hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge disposition following arthroplasty could act as surrogate measures for improvement in patient pathways, and have major cost saving implications for healthcare providers. With the ever-growing adoption of robotic technology in arthroplasty, we wished to evaluate its impact on LOS. The objectives of this study were to compare LOS and discharge disposition following robotic-arm assisted (RO THA) versus conventional technique Total Hip Arthroplasty (CO THA). This large-scale, single institution study included patients of any age undergoing primary THA (N = 1,732) for any cause between May 2019 and January 2023. Data extracted included patient demographics, LOS, need for Post Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU) admission, anaesthesia type, readmission within 30 days and discharge dispositions. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were also employed to identify factors and patient characteristics related to delayed discharge. The median LOS in the RO THA group was 54 hours (34, 78) versus 60 (51, 100) in the CO THA group, p<0.001. Discharge disposition was comparable between the two groups. In the multivariate model, age, need for PACU admission, ASA score > 2, female gender, general anaesthesia and utilisation of the conventional technique were significantly associated with LOS > 2 days. Our study showed that robotic-arm assistance was associated with a shorter LOS in patients undergoing primary THA and no difference in discharge destination. Our results suggest that robotic-arm assistance could be advantageous in partly addressing the upsurge of hip arthroplasty procedures and the concomitant health care burden; however, this needs to be corroborated by long-term cost effectiveness analyses and data from randomised controlled studies

Introduction. Debridement, antibiotics irrigation and implant retention (DAIR) is a common management strategy for hip and knee prosthetic joint infections (PJI). However, failure rates remain high, which has led to the development of predictive tools to help determine success. These tools include KLIC and CRIME80 for acute-postoperative (AP) and acute haematogenous (AH) PJI respectively. We investigated whether these tools were applicable to a Waikato cohort. Method. We performed a retrospective cohort study that evaluated patients who underwent DAIR between January 2010 and June 2020 at Waikato Hospital. Pre-operative KLIC and CRIME80 scores were calculated and compared to success of operation. Failure was defined as: (i) need for further surgery, (ii) need for suppressive antibiotics, (iii) death due to the infection. Logistic regression models were used to calculate the area under the curve (AUC). Results. 117 eligible patients underwent DAIR, 53 in the AP cohort and 64 in the AH cohort. Failure rate at 2 years post-op was 43% in the AP cohort and 59% in the AH cohort. In the AP cohort a KLIC score of <4 had a DAIR failure rate of 28.6%, while those who scored ³4 had a failure rate of 72.2% (p=0.002). In the AH cohort a CRIME80 score of <3 had a DAIR failure rate of 48% while those who scored ³3 had a 100% failure rate (p<0.001). Discussion. This study represents the first external validation of the KLIC and CRIME80 scores for predicting DAIR failure in an Australasian population. The results indicate that both KLIC and CRIME80 scoring tools are valuable aids for the clinician seeking to determine the optimal management strategy in patients with AP or AH PJI

Abstract. Aims. Whilst short and mid-term activity levels after a Total Knee Replacement (TKR) have been reported in the literature; there is an over simplification of the reporting and longer-term activity levels are unknown. The aim of this study was to map the long-term trajectories of patients’ physical activity levels postoperatively to identify meaningful subgroups and explore associations with preoperative variables. Methods. This was a secondary analysis of a single centre longitudinal cohortstudy using group-based trajectory modelling (GBTM) of the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) physical activity score over ten years. Multinomial logistic regression models (both adjusted and unadjusted) were used to test associations between preoperative variables and trajectory group membership. Results. 266 of the 904 eligible patients were recruited (29%). Data from 260 patients was available for analysis. Four trajectory groups were identified with good fit of the model (average posterior probability 0.79 to 0.93). Of the four groups, the two more active groups had a peak activity level between two-three years postoperatively; the less active groups had a peak activity level at between three months and one year. Preoperative UCLA, participation in sports in the three years prior to surgery and male gender showed trends towards association with a higher activity group. Conclusions. Four trajectory groups were identified giving a more detailed understanding of temporal trends in physical activity levels post TKR. There was weak evidence to show an association between patient expectation, preoperative UCLA score and participation in sports in the prior three years and group membership

Abstract. Introduction. The objective of this study was to determine rates of serious adverse events in patients undergoing revision knee arthroplasty with consideration of the indication for revision and compare these with primary knee arthroplasty. Methodology. Primary and revision arthroplasty procedures were identified in the national Hospital Episode Statistics and were linked by patient and side. A logistic regression model was used to investigate factors associated with 90-day mortality (primary outcome) and secondary serious adverse outcomes. Urgent indications for revision arthroplasty were defined as infection or fracture; other indications (e.g. loosening, instability, wear) were included in the elective cohort. Results. 939,021 primary knee arthroplasty and 40,584 revision cases were included. Revision surgery for elective indications was associated with a 90-day rate of mortality of 0.44% (95% CI 0.37-0.52) which was comparable to primary knee arthroplasty (0.46%; 95% CI 0.44-0.47). Revision arthroplasty for infection, however, was associated with a much higher mortality of 2.04% (95% CI 1.75-2.35; odds ratio [OR] 3.54; 95% CI 2.81-4.46), as was revision for periprosthetic fracture at 5.25% (95% CI 3.94-6.82; OR 6.23; 95% CI 4.39-8.85). Higher rates of PE, MI, and stroke were observed in the infection and fracture cohort. Conclusion. Patients presenting with infection of a knee arthroplasty or a periprosthetic fracture are at very high risk of adverse events. It is important that acute hospital services and tertiary referral centres caring for these patients are appropriately supported to ensure appropriate urgency with an anticipation for increased care requirements

Abstract. Introduction. Anterolateral procedures can reduce the risk of re-rupture after ACL reconstruction in high risk patients however, this effectiveness has never been evaluated in elite athletes. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of lateral extra-articular tenodesis in reducing revision rates in ACL reconstructions in elite athletes. Methodology. A consecutive cohort of elite athletes between 2005 and 2018 undergoing ACLR reconstruction with or without modified Lemaire lateral extra-articular tenodesis were analysed. A minimum of 2 years of follow-up was required. The association between the use of LET and ACL graft failure was evaluated with univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. Results. 455 elite athletes (83% male; 22.5±4.7 years) underwent primary ACL reconstruction with (n=117) or without (n=338) a LET procedure. Overall, 36 athletes (7.9%) experienced ACL graft failure including 32 (9.5%) reconstructions without a LET and 4 (3.4%) with a LET. Utilization of LET during primary ACL reconstruction reduced the risk of graft failure by 2.8 times with 16.5 athletes needing to be treated with LET to prevent a single ACL graft failure. Multivariate models showed that LET significantly reduced the risk of graft rupture (RR=0.325; p=.029) as compared to ACL reconstruction alone after controlling for age at ACL reconstruction and gender. Including graft type in the model did not significantly change the risk profile. Conclusion. The addition of LET in elite athletes undergoing primary ACL reconstruction reduced the risk of undergoing revision by 2.8 times

Iliopsoas tendonitis occurs in up to 30% of patients after hip resurfacing arthroplasty (HRA) and is a common reason for revision. The primary purpose of this study was to validate our novel computational model for quantifying iliopsoas impingement in HRA patients using a case-controlled investigation. Secondary purpose was to compare these results with previously measured THA patients. We conducted a retrospective search in an experienced surgeon's database for HRA patients with iliopsoas tendonitis, confirmed via the active hip flexion test in supine, and control patients without iliopsoas tendonitis, resulting in two cohorts of 12 patients. The CT scans were segmented, landmarked, and used to simulate the iliopsoas impingement in supine and standing pelvic positions. Three discrete impingement values were output for each pelvic position, and the mean and maximum of these values were reported. Cup prominence was measured using a novel, nearest-neighbour algorithm. The mean cup prominence for the symptomatic cohort was 10.7mm and 5.1mm for the asymptomatic cohort (p << 0.01). The average standing mean impingement for the symptomatic cohort was 0.1mm and 0.0mm for the asymptomatic cohort (p << 0.01). The average standing maximum impingement for the symptomatic cohort was 0.2mm and 0.0mm for the asymptomatic cohort (p << 0.01). Impingement significantly predicted the probability of pain in logistic regression models and the simulation had a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 91%, and an AUC ROC curve of 0.95. Using a case-controlled investigation, we demonstrated that our novel simulation could detect iliopsoas impingement and differentiate between the symptomatic and asymptomatic cohorts. Interestingly, the HRA patients demonstrated less impingement than the THA patients, despite greater cup prominence. In conclusion, this tool has the potential to be used preoperatively, to guide decisions about optimal cup placement, and postoperatively, to assist in the diagnosis of iliopsoas tendonitis

OpenPredictor, a machine learning-enabled clinical decision aid, has been developed to manage backlogs in elective surgeries. It aims to optimise the use of high volume, low complexity surgical pathways by accurately stratifying patient risk, thereby facilitating the allocation of patients to the most suitable surgical sites. The tool augments elective surgical pathways by providing automated secondary opinions for perioperative risk assessments, enhancing decision-making. Its primary application is in elective sites utilising lighter pre-assessment methods, identifying patients with minimal complication risks and those high-risk individuals who may benefit from early pre-assessment. The Phase 1 clinical evaluation of OpenPredictor entailed a prospective analysis of 156 patient records from elective hip and knee joint replacement surgeries. Using a polynomial logistic regression model, patients were categorised into high, moderate, and low-risk groups. This categorisation incorporated data from various sources, including patient demographics, co-morbidities, blood tests, and overall health status. In identifying patients at risk of postoperative complications, OpenPredictor demonstrated parity with consultant-led preoperative assessments. It accurately flagged 70% of patients who later experienced complications as moderate or high risk. The tool's efficiency in risk prediction was evidenced by its balanced accuracy (75.6%), sensitivity (70% with a 95% confidence interval of 62.05% to 76.91%), and a high negative predictive value (96.7%). OpenPredictor presents a scalable and consistent solution for managing elective surgery pathways, comparable in performance to secondary consultant opinions. Its integration into pre-assessment workflows assists in efficient patient categorisation, reduces late surgery cancellations, and optimises resource allocation. The Phase 1 evaluation of OpenPredictor underscores its potential for broader clinical application and highlights the need for ongoing data refinement and system integration to enhance its performance

There is very limited literature describing the outcomes of management for proximal humerus fractures with more than 100% displacement of the head and shaft fragments as a separate entity. This study aimed to compare operative and non-operative management of the translated proximal humerus fracture. A prospective cohort study was performed including patients managed at a Level 1 trauma centre between January 2010 to December 2018. Patients with 2, 3 and 4-part fractures were included based on the degree of translation of the shaft fragment (≥100%), resulting in no cortical contact between the head and shaft fragments. Outcome measures were the Oxford Shoulder Score (OSS), EQ-5D-5L, and radiological outcomes. Complications recorded included further surgery, loss of position/fixation, and non-union/malunion. Linear and logistic regression models were used to compare management options. There were 108 patients with a proximal humerus fracture with ≥100% translation; 76 underwent operative management and 32 were managed non-operatively with sling immobilisation. The mean (SD) age in the operative group was 54.3 (±20.2) and in the non-operative group was 73.3 (±15.3) (p<0.001). There was no association between OSS and management options (mean 38.5(±9.5) operative vs mean 41.3 (±8.5) non-operative, p=0.48). Operative management was associated with improved health status outcomes; EQ-5D utility score adjusted mean difference 0.16 (95%CI 0.04-0.27, p=0.008); EQ-5D VAS adjusted mean difference 19.2 (95%CI 5.2-33.2, p=0.008). Operative management was further associated with a lower odds of non-union (adjusted OR 0.30, 95%CI 0.09-0.97, p=0.04), malunion (adjusted OR 0.14, 95%CI 0.04-0.51, p=0.003) and complications (adjusted OR 0.07, 95%CI 0.02-0.32, p=0.001). Translated proximal humerus fractures with ≥100% displacement demonstrate improved health status and radiological outcomes following surgical fixation. Patients with this injury should be considered for operative intervention

Introduction. There are nearly 500,000 people with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus in the UK. The incidental finding vascular calcification on plain radiographs in patients with undiagnosed diabetes has the potential to alter patient management in those presenting with pathology. We hypothesised that the presence of vascular calcification on plain radiographs of the foot may predict the diagnosis of diabetes. The primary aim of this case control study was to determine the positive predictive value of vascular calcification to diagnose diabetes. Secondary aims were to determine the odds of having diabetes dependent on other known risk factors for calcification. Methods. A retrospective case control study of 130 diabetic patients were compared to 130 non-diabetic patients that were matched for age and gender. The presence of vascular calcification in anterior, posterior or plantar vessels, and length of calcification were measured on plain radiographs. McNemar's Chi-squared test and positive predictive values were calculated. Conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between calcification and diabetes. Results. 28 patients had type I diabetes and 102 had type II diabetes. The mean age was 58.0 in both groups and 31.5% were females. 89.2% of those with diabetes had calcification present, and 23.1% in those without (p < 0.0001). Calcification in two vessels predicts diabetes with a positive predictive value of 91.2% (95% CI 82.1%–100%). The odds ratio for having diabetes is 78 (95% CI: 7.8 – 784) times higher in a person who has calcification in the blood vessels of their foot than in a person without calcification after adjusting for confounders. Conclusion. This study has demonstrated that vascular calcification in 2 vessels is over 90% predictive of a diagnosis of diabetes. This screening test could be used in future clinics when interpreting radiographs, aiding in the diagnosis of diabetes and altering patient management

Approximately 20% of patients feel unsatisfied 12 months after primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Current predictive tools for TKA focus on the clinician as the intended user rather than the patient. The aim of this study is to develop a tool that can be used by patients without clinician assistance, to predict health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes 12 months after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). All patients with primary TKAs for osteoarthritis between 2012 and 2019 at a tertiary institutional registry were analysed. The predictive outcome was improvement in Veterans-RAND 12 utility score at 12 months after surgery. Potential predictors included patient demographics, co-morbidities, and patient reported outcome scores at baseline. Logistic regression and three machine learning algorithms were used. Models were evaluated using both discrimination and calibration metrics. Predictive outcomes were categorised into deciles from 1 being the least likely to improve to 10 being the most likely to improve. 3703 eligible patients were included in the analysis. The logistic regression model performed the best in out-of-sample evaluation for both discrimination (AUC = 0.712) and calibration (gradient = 1.176, intercept = -0.116, Brier score = 0.201) metrics. Machine learning algorithms were not superior to logistic regression in any performance metric. Patients in the lowest decile (1) had a 29% probability for improvement and patients in the highest decile (10) had an 86% probability for improvement. Logistic regression outperformed machine learning algorithms in this study. The final model performed well enough with calibration metrics to accurately predict improvement after TKA using deciles. An ongoing randomised controlled trial (ACTRN12622000072718) is evaluating the effect of this tool on patient willingness for surgery. Full results of this trial are expected to be available by April 2023. A free-to-use online version of the tool is available at . smartchoice.org.au.

Aims. Several previously identified patient-, injury-, and treatment-related factors are associated with the development of nonunion in distal femur fractures. However, the predictive value of these factors is not well defined. We aimed to assess the predictive ability of previously identified risk factors in the development of nonunion leading to secondary surgery in distal femur fractures. Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with traumatic distal femur fracture treated with lateral locking plate between 2009 and 2018. The patients who underwent secondary surgery due to fracture healing problem or plate failure were considered having nonunion. Background knowledge of risk factors of distal femur fracture nonunion based on previous literature was used to form an initial set of variables. A logistic regression model was used with previously identified patient- and injury-related variables (age, sex, BMI, diabetes, smoking, periprosthetic fracture, open fracture, trauma energy, fracture zone length, fracture comminution, medial side comminution) in the first analysis and with treatment-related variables (different surgeon-controlled factors, e.g. plate length, screw placement, and proximal fixation) in the second analysis to predict the nonunion leading to secondary surgery in distal femur fractures. Results. We were able to include 299 fractures in 291 patients. Altogether, 31/299 fractures (10%) developed nonunion. In the first analysis, pseudo-R. 2. was 0.27 and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.81. BMI was the most important variable in the prediction. In the second analysis, pseudo-R. 2. was 0.06 and AUC was 0.67. Plate length was the most important variable in the prediction. Conclusion. The model including patient- and injury-related factors had moderate fit and predictive ability in the prediction of distal femur fracture nonunion leading to secondary surgery. BMI was the most important variable in prediction of nonunion. Surgeon-controlled factors had a minor role in prediction of nonunion. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(8):584–593

Aims. To develop and externally validate a parsimonious statistical prediction model of 90-day mortality after elective total hip arthroplasty (THA), and to provide a web calculator for clinical usage. Methods. We included 53,099 patients with cemented THA due to osteoarthritis from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Registry for model derivation and internal validation, as well as 125,428 patients from England and Wales recorded in the National Joint Register for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, the Isle of Man, and the States of Guernsey (NJR) for external model validation. A model was developed using a bootstrap ranking procedure with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model combined with piecewise linear regression. Discriminative ability was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Calibration belt plots were used to assess model calibration. Results. A main effects model combining age, sex, American Society for Anesthesiologists (ASA) class, the presence of cancer, diseases of the central nervous system, kidney disease, and diagnosed obesity had good discrimination, both internally (AUC = 0.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.75 to 0.81) and externally (AUC = 0.75, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.76). This model was superior to traditional models based on the Charlson (AUC = 0.66, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.70) and Elixhauser (AUC = 0.64, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.68) comorbidity indices. The model was well calibrated for predicted probabilities up to 5%. Conclusion. We developed a parsimonious model that may facilitate individualized risk assessment prior to one of the most common surgical interventions. We have published a web calculator to aid clinical decision-making. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(3):469–478

Aims. It can be extremely challenging to determine whether to perform reimplantation in patients who have contradictory serum inflammatory markers and frozen section results. We investigated whether patients with a positive frozen section at reimplantation were at a higher risk of reinfection despite normal ESR and CRP. Methods. We retrospectively reviewed 163 consecutive patients with periprosthetic joint infections (PJIs) who had normal ESR and CRP results pre-reimplantation in our hospital from 2014 to 2018. Of these patients, 26 had positive frozen sections at reimplantation. The minimum follow-up time was two years unless reinfection occurred within this period. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the association between positive frozen sections and treatment failure. Results. Treatment failure occurred in eight (30.77%) of the 26 PJI patients with positive frozen sections at reimplantation, compared with 13 (9.49%) of 137 patients with negative results. In the multivariate analysis, positive frozen section increased the risk of failure (odds ratio 4.70; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64 to 13.45). The mean number of months to reinfection was lower in the positive frozen section group than in the control group (p = 0.041). While there were nine (34.62%) patients with positive frozen section and 25 (18.25%) patients with negative frozen section who had prolonged antibiotic use (p = 0.042), the mean duration of antibiotic use was comparable in two groups. Synovial white blood cell count (p = 0.137) and polymorphonuclear leucocyte percentage (p = 0.454) were not associated with treatment failure in logistic regression model. Conclusion. Positive frozen section at reimplantation was independently associated with subsequent failure and earlier reinfection, despite normal ESR and CRP levels pre-reimplantation. Surgeons should be aware of the risk of treatment failure in patients with positive frozen sections and carefully consider benefits of reimplantation. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(5):916–922

Aims. Porous metaphyseal cones can be used for fixation in revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA) and complex TKAs. This metaphyseal fixation has led to some surgeons using shorter cemented stems instead of diaphyseal engaging cementless stems with a potential benefit of ease of obtaining proper alignment without being beholden to the diaphysis. The purpose of this study was to evaluate short term clinical and radiographic outcomes of a series of TKA cases performed using 3D-printed metaphyseal cones. Methods. A retrospective review of 86 rTKAs and nine complex primary TKAs, with an average age of 63.2 years (SD 8.2) and BMI of 34.0 kg/m. 2. (SD 8.7), in which metaphyseal cones were used for both femoral and tibial fixation were compared for their knee alignment based on the type of stem used. Overall, 22 knees had cementless stems on both sides, 52 had cemented stems on both sides, and 15 had mixed stems. Postoperative long-standing radiographs were evaluated for coronal and sagittal plane alignment. Adjusted logistic regression models were run to assess malalignment hip-knee-ankle (HKA) alignment beyond ± 3° and sagittal alignment of the tibial and femoral components ± 3° by stem type. Results. No patients had a revision of a cone due to aseptic loosening; however, two had revision surgery due to infection. In all, 26 (27%) patients had HKA malalignment; nine (9.5%) patients had sagittal plane malalignment, five (5.6%) of the tibia, and four (10.8%) of the femur. After adjusting for age, sex, and BMI, there was a significantly increased risk for malalignment when a cone was used and both the femur and tibia had cementless compared to cemented stems (odds ratio 3.19, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 10.05). Conclusion. Porous 3D-printed cones provide excellent metaphyseal fixation. However, these central cones make the use of offset couplers difficult and may generate malalignment with cementless stems. We found 3.19-times higher odds of malalignment in our TKAs performed with metaphyseal cones and both femoral and tibial cementless stems. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(6 Supple A):150–157

Aim. Smoking is known to impair wound healing and to increase the risk of peri-operative adverse events and is associated with orthopaedic infection and fracture non-union. Understanding the magnitude of the causal effect on orthopaedic infection recurrence may improve pre-operative patient counselling. Methods. Four prospectively-collected datasets including 1173 participants treated in European centres between 2003 and 2021, followed up to 12 months after surgery for clinically diagnosed orthopaedic infections, were included in logistic regression modelling with Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting for current smoking status [1–3]. Host factors including age, gender and ASA score were included as potential confounding variables, interacting through surgical treatment as a collider variable in a pre-specified structural causal model informed by clinical experience. The definition of infection recurrence was identical and ascertained separately from baseline factors in three contributing cohorts. A subset of 669 participants with positive histology, microbiology or a sinus at the time of surgery, were analysed separately. Results. Participants were 64% male, with a median age of 60 years (range 18–95); 16% of participants experienced treatment failure by 12 months. 1171 of 1173 participants had current smoking status recorded. As expected for the European population, current smoking was less frequent in older participants (Table 1). There was no baseline association between Charlson score or ASA score and smoking status (p=0.9, p=1, Chi squared test). The estimated adjusted odds ratio for treatment failure at 12 months, resulting from current smoking at the time of surgery, was 1.37 for all participants (95% CI 0.75 to 2.50) and 1.53 for participants with recorded confirmatory criteria (95% CI 1.14 to 6.37). Conclusions. Smoking contributes to infection recurrence, particularly in people with unequivocal evidence of osteomyelitis or PJI. People awaiting surgery for orthopaedic infection should be supported to cease smoking, not only to reduce anaesthetic risk, but to improve treatment outcomes. Limitations of this study include unmeasured socioeconomic confounding and social desirability bias resulting in uncertainty in true smoking status, resulting in underestimated effect size

The documentation of deep infection rates in joint replacement is fraught with multiple difficulties. Deep infections acquired in theatre may present late, but some later presenting deep infections are clearly haematogenous, and not related to surgical management. The effect of Ultra Clean Air on infection rates was published by Charnley in 1972 (CORR,87:167–187). The data is valuable because large numbers of THRs were performed in standard and Ultra Clean theatres, and detailed microbiology of the air was also recorded. No IV antibiotics were used, so only the effect of air quality was studied. We extracted the data on theatre type and numbers from Table 3, and numbers and intervals from surgery of deep infections from Table 7. Theatre types with 300 air changes per hour and 3.5 CFU/M. 3. were classified as Ultra Clean. A logistic regression model was used to examine the effect of theatre type and time elapsed after procedure on the probability of becoming infected. The model suggests that, controlling for time period, Ultra Clean Air is associated with a significantly lower probability of infection, with an OR of 0.30, p = 2.74 × 10. −6. The effect is larger earlier post-surgery, but it does persist. The results are best reviewed as a graphic, which shows that Ultra Clean Air clearly affects the deep infection rate for up to four years post-surgery. Ultra Clean Air reduces infection rates for up to four years post-surgery, so it is safe to assume that infections presenting after this are haematogenous. Ultra Clean Air does not eliminate early deep infection, so some early infections are not related to air quality. It is not practical to undertake widespread detailed retrospective analyses of cases. When monitoring infection rates there needs to be a balance between failing to record infections related to surgical technique and waiting many years to record low numbers of very late presenting problems. We suggest that registries should regard infections documented within three years of surgery as treatment complications. For any figures or tables, please contact the authors directly

With the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, remote working has been ubiquitously implemented to reduce disease transmission via minimization of in-person interactions. Low back pain (LBP) is the first cause of disability worldwide and is frequently reported by workers with sedentary occupations. This cross-sectional study aimed to assess the role of remote working in a population of adults affected by LBP through an online questionnaire. We enrolled 136 teleworkers affected by LBP. A total of 101 responses were received and 93 suitable questionnaires were included in the final analysis. Demographic data, remote working features and tasks, and LBP burden were analysed. The psychological burden of remote working was evaluated with the World Health Organization Five Well-Being Index (WHO-5) and the Patient Health Questionnaire-2 (PHQ-2). LBP severity was evaluated using a visual analog scale (VAS). LBP-related disability was assessed using the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI). The effect of LBP on working capacity was examined with the Occupational Role Questionnaire (ORQ). Independent risk factors related to LBP worsening were identified using a multivariate logistic regression model. LBP severity was significantly higher compared to previous in-person working (p<0.0001) as well as average weekly work hours (p<0.001). Furthermore, the risk of LBP deterioration was associated with being divorced (OR: 4.28, 95% CI: 1.27-14.47; p=0.019) or living with others (OR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.07-0.81; p=0.021), higher ill-being (OR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.83-0.99; p=0.035) and depression scores (OR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.00-1.91; p=0.048), as well as having reported unchanged (OR: 0.22, 95% CI: 0.08-0.65; p=0.006) or decreased job satisfaction (OR: 0.16, 95% CI: 0.05-0.54; p=0.003) and increased stress levels (OR: 3.00, 95% CI: 1.04-8.65; p=0.042). These findings highlight key factors to consider for improving remote workers’ physical and mental wellbeing and decrease their LBP burden

A hot swollen joint is a commonly encountered condition in clinical practice. With a broad range of differentials, septic arthritis (SA) is perhaps one of the most concerning. Treated by culture-specific antibiotics and arthroscopic lavage, some patients require multiple washouts. We aimed to determine:. (1) What are the risk factors for development of SA?. (2) What are the risk factors for repeat washout in SA patients?. (3) What are the important clinical differences between a periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) and SA cohort?. All patients presenting to the emergency department, orthopaedic, and rheumatology clinics between January 2020 to January 2021 with a hot, swollen joint were retrospectively evaluated. Patients with previous trauma on the ipsilateral joint, with data missing from their medical records in any of the variables required for analysis, <24 months follow-up were excluded. Variables of interest in the three-month period preceding the diagnosis of SA were compared between SA and non-SA patients. Factors with a p-value of p<0.100 in univariate analysis were included in a stepwise multivariate logistic regression model. Similar analyses were performed to compare SA patients with multiple washouts with those needing one washout. Demographical and clinical data for PJI patients were collected to delineate important differences with SA cohort. 211 patients were included (SA:28;PJI:24;pseudogout:32;gout:26;others:101). Multivariate analysis showed rheumatoid arthritis (RA), skin infection, and liver disease were risk factors for SA. Amongst patients with septic arthritis, multivariate analysis showed that WBC levels above normal limits (3.6-10.5×109 cells/L) and RA were risk factors for multiple washouts. Between the SA and PJI cohorts, BMI (p=0.002) was significantly lower in the former, whilst WBC level (p=0.023) and CRP (p<0.0001) was significantly higher in the former. Early diagnosis of septic arthritis requires understanding the risk factors, namely RA, skin infection, and liver disease. Considering PJI and septic arthritis as the same entity can lead to wrong clinical judgement, and clinicians should be aware of important differences. We believe that the models in this study are of prognostic value to clinicians who are presented with the common presenting compliant of a hot swollen joint

Simultaneous bilateral total hip arthroplasty (THA) in patients with bilateral hip osteoarthritis is gradually becoming attractive, as it requires a single anesthesia and hospitalization. However, there are concerns about the potential complications following this surgical option. The purpose of this study is to compare the short-term major and minor complications and assess the readmission rate, between patients treated with same-day bilateral THA and those with staged procedures within a year. We retrospectively reviewed the charts of all patients with bilateral hip osteoarthritis that underwent simultaneous or staged (within a year) bilateral total THA in our institution, between 2016-2020. Preoperative patient variables between the two groups were compared using the 2-sample t-test for continuous variables, the Fisher's exact test for binary variables, or the chi-square test for multiple categorical variables. Similarly, differences in the 30-day major and minor complications and readmission rates were assessed. A logistic regression model was also developed to identify potential risk factors. A total of 160 patients (mean age: 64.3 years, SD: ±11.7) that underwent bilateral THA was identified. Seventy-nine patients were treated with simultaneous and eighty-one patients with staged procedures. There were no differences in terms of preoperative laboratory values, gender, age, Body Mass Index (BMI), or American Society of Anesthesiologists Scores (ASA) (p>0.05) between the two groups. Patients in the simultaneous group were more likely to receive general anesthesia (43% vs 9.9%, p0.05). After controlling for potential confounders, the multivariable logistic regression analysis showed similar odds of having a major (odds ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval [0.30-2.88], p=0.29) or minor (odds ratio 1.714, 95% confidence interval [0.66-4.46], p=0.27) complication after simultaneous compared to staged bilateral THA. No differences in emergency department visits or readmission for reasons related to the procedure were recorded (p>0.05). This study shows that similar complication and readmission rates are expected after simultaneous and staged THAs. Simultaneous bilateral THA is a safe and effective procedure, that should be sought actively and counselled by surgeons, for patients that present with radiologic and clinical bilateral hip disease

Revision knee arthroplasty is a complex procedure with the number and cost of knee revision procedures performed per year expected to rise. Few studies have examined adverse events following revision arthroplasty. The objective of this study was to determine rates of serious adverse events in patients undergoing revision knee arthroplasty with consideration of the indication for revision (urgent versus elective indications) and to compare these with primary arthroplasty and re-revision arthroplasty. Patients undergoing primary knee arthroplasty were identified in the UK Hospital Episode Statistics. Subsequent revision and re-revision arthroplasty procedures in the same patients and same knee were identified. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality and a logistic regression model was used to investigate factors associated with 90-day mortality and secondary adverse outcomes including infection (undergoing surgery), pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, stroke. Urgent indications for revision arthroplasty were defined as infection or fracture, and all other indications were included in the elective indications cohort. 939,021 primary knee arthroplasty cases were included of which 40,854 underwent subsequent revision arthroplasty, and 9,100 underwent re-revision arthroplasty. Revision surgery for elective indications was associated with a 90-day rate of mortality of 0.44% (135/30,826; 95% CI 0.37-0.52) which was comparable to primary knee arthroplasty (0.46%; 4,292/939,021; 95% CI 0.44-0.47). Revision arthroplasty for infection, however, was associated with a much higher mortality of 2.04% (184/9037; 95% CI 1.75-2.35; odds ratio [OR] 3.54; 95% CI 2.81-4.46), as was revision for periprosthetic fracture at 5.25% (52/991; 95% CI 3.94-6.82; OR 6.23; 95% CI 4.39-8.85). Higher rates of pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and stroke were also observed in the infection and fracture cohort. These findings highlight the burden of complications associated with revision knee arthroplasty. They will inform shared decision-making for patients considering revision knee arthroplasty for elective indications. Patients presenting with infection of a knee arthroplasty or a periprosthetic fracture are at very high risk of adverse events. It is important that acute hospital services and tertiary referral centres caring for these patients are appropriately supported to ensure appropriate urgency and an anticipation for increased care requirements

Aims. Rates of readmission and reoperation following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are under scrutiny due to new payment models, which penalize these negative outcomes. Some risk factors are more modifiable than others, and some conditions considered modifiable such as obesity may not be as modifiable in the setting of advanced arthritis as many propose. We sought to determine whether controlling for hypoalbuminaemia would mitigate the effect that prior authors had identified in patients with obesity. Methods. We reviewed the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database for the period of January 2008 to December 2016 to evaluate the rates of reoperation and readmission within 30 days following primary TKA. Multivariate logistic regression modelling controlled for preoperative albumin, age, sex, and comorbidity status. Results. Readmission rates only differed significantly between patients with Normal Weight and Obesity Class II, with a decreased rate of readmission in this group (odds ratio (OR) 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71 to 0.96; p = 0.010). The only group demonstrating association with increased risk of reoperation within 30 days was the Obesity Class III group (OR 1.38; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.82; p = 0.022). Hypoalbuminaemia (preoperative albumin < 35 g/L) was significantly associated with readmission (OR 1.62; 95% CI 1.41 to 1.86; p < 0.001) and reoperation (OR 1.52; 95% CI 1.18 to 1.96; p = 0.001) within 30 days. Conclusion. In this study, hypoalbuminaemia appears to be a more significant risk factor for readmission and reoperation than even the highest obesity categories. Future studies may assess whether preoperative albumin restoration or weight loss may improve outcomes for patients with hypoalbuminaemia. The implications of this study may allow surgeons to discuss risk of surgery with obese patients planning to undergo primary TKA procedures if other comorbidities are adequately controlled. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(6 Supple A):31–35

Aims. Fracture-Related Infection (FRI) is a severe complication caused by microbial infection of bone. It is imperative to gain more insight into the potentials and limitations of Debridement, Antibiotics and Implant Retention (DAIR) to improve future FRI treatment. The aims of this study were to: 1) determine how time to surgery affects the success rate of DAIR procedures of the lower leg performed within 12 weeks after the initial fracture fixation operation and 2) evaluate whether appropriate systemic antimicrobial therapy affects the success rate of a DAIR procedure. Methods. This multinational retrospective cohort study included patients of at least 18-years of age who developed an FRI of the lower leg within 12 weeks after the initial fracture fixation operation, between January 1st 2015 to July 1st 2020. DAIR success was defined by the absence of recurrence of infection, preservation of the affected limb and retention of implants during the initial treatment. The antimicrobial regimen was considered appropriate if the pathogen(s) was susceptible to the given treatment at the correct dose as per guideline. Logistic regression modelling was used to assess factors that could contribute to the DAIR success rate. Results. A total of 120 patients were included, of whom 70 DAIR patients and 50 non-DAIR patients. Within a median follow-up of 35.5 months, 21.4% of DAIR patients developed a recurrent FRI compared to 12.0% of non-DAIR patients. The DAIR procedure was successful in 45 patients (64.3%). According to the Willenegger and Roth classification, DAIR success was achieved in 66.7% (n=16/24) of patients with an early infection (<2 weeks), 64.4% (n=29/45) of patients with a delayed infection (2–10 weeks) and 0.0% (0/1) of patients with a late infection (>10 weeks). Univariate analysis showed that the duration of infection was not associated with DAIR success in this cohort (p=0.136; OR: 0.977; 95%CI: [0.947–1.007]). However, an appropriate antimicrobial regimen was associated with success of DAIR (p=0.029; OR: 3.231; 95%CI: [1.138–9.506]). Conclusions. Although the results should be interpreted with caution, an increased duration of infection was not associated with a decreased success rate of a DAIR procedure in patients with FRI of the lower leg. The results of this study highlight the multifactorial contribution to the success of a DAIR procedure and emphasize the importance of adequate antimicrobial treatment. Therefore, time to surgery should not be the only key-factor when considering a DAIR procedure to treat FRI

Prolonged length of stay (LOS) is a significant contributor to the variation in surgical health care costs and resource utilization after elective spine surgery. The primary goal of this study was to identify patient, surgical and institutional variables that influence LOS. The secondary objective is to examine variability in institutional practices among participating centers. This is a retrospective study of a prospectively multicentric followed cohort of patients enrolled in the CSORN between January 2015 and October 2020. A logistic regression model and bootstrapping method was used. A survey was sent to participating centers to assessed institutional level interventions in place to decrease LOS. Centers with LOS shorter than the median were compared to centers with LOS longer than the median. A total of 3734 patients were included (979 discectomies, 1102 laminectomies, 1653 fusions). The median LOS for discectomy, laminectomy and fusion were respectively 0.0 day (IQR 1.0), 1.0 day (IQR 2.0) and 4.0 days (IQR 2.0). Laminectomy group had the largest variability (SD=4.4, Range 0-133 days). For discectomy, predictors of LOS longer than 0 days were having less leg pain, higher ODI, symptoms duration over 2 years, open procedure, and AE (p< 0.05). Predictors of longer LOS than median of 1 day for laminectomy were increasing age, living alone, higher ODI, open procedures, longer operative time, and AEs (p< 0.05). For posterior instrumented fusion, predictors of longer LOS than median of 4 days were older age, living alone, more comorbidities, less back pain, higher ODI, using narcotics, longer operative time, open procedures, and AEs (p< 0.05). Ten centers (53%) had either ERAS or a standardized protocol aimed at reducing LOS. In this study stratifying individual patient and institutional level factors across Canada, several independent predictors were identified to enhance the understanding of LOS variability in common elective lumbar spine surgery. The current study provides an updated detailed analysis of the ongoing Canadian efforts in the implementation of multimodal ERAS care pathways. Future studies should explore multivariate analysis in institutional factors and the influence of preoperative patient education on LOS

To systematically review the literature regarding post-surgical treatment regimens on ankle fractures, specifically whether there is a benefit to early weightbearing or early mobilization (6 weeks form surgery). The PubMed, MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched from inception to May 24, 2020. All randomized controlled trials that analyzed the effects of early weightbearing and mobilization following an ankle surgery were included. The primary outcome measure was the Olerud Molander Ankle Score (OMAS). Secondary outcomes included return to work (RTW) and complications. Logistic regression models with random intercepts were used to pool complication data by protocol clustered by study. Twelve RCT's were included, with a total of 1177 patients (41.8 ± 8.4 years). In total, 413 patients underwent early weightbearing and early mobilization (35%), 338 patients underwent early weightbearing and delayed mobilization (29%), 287 patients underwent delayed weightbearing and early mobilization (24%), and 139 patients underwent delayed weightbearing and delayed mobilization (12%). In total, 81 patients had a complication (7%), including 53 wound complications (5%), 11 deep vein thromboses (1%), and 2 failures/nonunions (0%). Early ankle mobilization resulted in statistically significant increases in OMAS scores compared to delayed mobilization (3 studies [222 patients], 12.65; 95% CI, 7.07-18.22; P < 0.00001, I2 = 49%). No significant differences were found between early and delayed weightbearing at a minimum of one-year follow-up (3 studies [377 patients], 1.91; 95% CI, −0.73-4.55, P = 0.16, I2 = 0%). Patients treated with early weightbearing and early mobilization were at higher odds of facing any complication (OR 3.6, 95%CI 1.05-12.1, p=0.041) or wound complications (OR 4.9, 95%CI 1.3-18.8, p=0.022) compared to those with delayed weightbearing and delayed mobilization. Early mobilization following surgical treatment for an ankle fracture resulted in improved ankle function scores compared to delayed mobilization regimens. There were no significant differences between early and delayed weightbearing with respect to patient reported outcomes. Patients who were treated with early mobilization and early weightbearing had an increased odds of postoperative complications

Aim. Recurrence of bone and joint infection, despite appropriate therapy, is well recognised and stimulates ongoing interest in identifying host factors that predict infection recurrence. Clinical prediction models exist for those treated with DAIR, but to date no models with a low risk of bias predict orthopaedic infection recurrence for people with surgically excised infection and removed metalwork. The aims of this study were to construct and internally validate a risk prediction model for infection recurrence at 12 months, and to identify factors that predict recurrence. Predictive factors must be easy to check in pre-operative assessment and relevant across patient groups. Methods. Four prospectively collected datasets including 1173 participants treated in European centres between 2003 and 2021, followed up to 12 months after surgery for orthopaedic infections, were included in logistic regression modelling [1–3]. The definition of infection recurrence was identical and ascertained separately from baseline factors in three contributing cohorts. Eight predictive factors were investigated following a priori sample size calculation: age, gender, BMI, ASA score, the number of prior operations, immunosuppressive medication, glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c), and smoking. Missing data, including systematically missing predictors, were imputed using Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations. Weekly alcohol intake was not included in modelling due to low inter-observer reliability (mean reported intake 12 units per week, 95% CI for mean inter-rater error −16.0 to +15.4 units per week). Results. Participants were 64% male, with a median age of 60 years (range 18–95). 86% of participants had lower limb orthopaedic infections. 732 participants were treated for osteomyelitis, including FRI, and 432 for PJI. 16% of participants experienced treatment failure by 12 months. The full prediction model had moderate apparent discrimination: AUROC (C statistic) 0.67, Brier score 0.13, and reasonable apparent calibration. Of the predictors of interest, associations with failure were seen with prior operations at the same anatomical site (odds ratio for failure 1.51 for each additional prior surgery; 95% CI 1.02 to 2.22, p=0.06), and the current use of immunosuppressive medications (odds ratio for failure 2.94; 95% CI 0.89 to 9.77, p=0.08). Conclusions. This association between number of prior surgeries and treatment failure supports the urgent need to streamline referral pathways for people with orthopaedic infection to specialist multidisciplinary units

Abstract. Objectives. The aim of this study was to investigate whether mechanical loading induced by physical activity can reduce risk of sarcopenia in middle-aged adults. Methods. This was a longitudinal study based on a subset of UK Biobank data consisting of 1,918 participants (902 men and 1,016 women, mean age 56 years) who had no sarcopenia at baseline (assessed between 2006 and 2010). The participants were assessed again after 6 years at follow-up, and were categorized into no sarcopenia, probable sarcopenia, or sarcopenia according to the definition and algorithm developed in 2018 by European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP). Physical activity was assessed at a time between baseline and follow-up using 7-day acceleration data obtained from wrist worn accelerometers. Raw acceleration data were then analysed to study the mechanical loading of physical activity at different intensities (i.e. very light, light, moderate-to-vigorous). Multinominal logistic regression was employed to examine the association between the incidence of sarcopenia and physical activity loading, between baseline and follow up, controlled for other factors at baseline including age, gender, BMI, smoking status, intake of alcohol, vitamin D and calcium, history of rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis, secondary osteoporosis, and type 2 diabetes. Results. Among the 1918 participants with no sarcopenia at baseline, 230 (69 men and 161 women) developed probable sarcopenia and 37 (14 men and 23 women) developed sarcopenia at follow-up. Physical activity loading at moderate-to-vigorous intensity was higher in men (p<0.05), while women had higher physical activity loading at very light intensity (p<0.05). No significant difference was found in physical activity loading at light intensity between men and women (p>0.05). Logistic regression models showed that increase in physical activity loading at moderate-to-vigorous intensity significantly reduced the risk of sarcopenia (odds ratio = 0.368, p<0.05), but not probable sarcopenia (odds ratio = 0.974, p>0.05), while loading at light or very light activity intensity were not associated with the risk of sarcopenia or probable sarcopenia (p>0.05). Conclusion. Loading of physical activity at moderate-to-vigorous intensity could reduce risk of sarcopenia in middle-aged adults. Declaration of Interest. (b) declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research reported:I declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research project

Fracture related infections (FRI) are debilitating complications of musculoskeletal trauma surgery that can result in permanent functional loss or amputation. This study aims to determine risk factors associated with FRI treatment failure, allowing clinicians to optimise them prior to treatment and identify patients at higher risk. A major trauma centre database was retrospectively reviewed over a six-year period. Of the 102 patients identified with a FRI (66 male, 36 female), 29.4% (n=30) had acute infections (onset <6 weeks post-injury), 34.3% (n=35) had an open fracture. Open fractures were classified using Gustilo-Anderson (GA) classification (type 2:n=6, type 3A:n=16, type 3B:n=10, type 3C:n=3). Patients with periprosthetic infections of the hip and knee joint, those without prior fracture fixation, soft tissue infections, diabetic foot ulcers, pressure sore infections, patients who died within one month of injury, <12 months follow-up were excluded. FRI treatment failure was defined as either infection recurrence, non-union, or amputation. Lifestyle, clinical, and intra-operative data were documented via retrospective review of medical records. Factors with a P-value of p<0.05 in univariate analysis were included in a stepwise multivariate logistic regression model. FRI treatment failure was encountered in 35.3% (n=36). The most common FRI site was the femoral shaft (16.7%; n=17), and 15.7% (n=16) presented with signs of systemic sepsis. 20.6% (n=21) had recurrent infection, 9.8% (n=10) had non-union, and 4.9% (n=5) required an amputation. The mean age at injury was 49.71 years old. Regarding cardiovascular risk factors, 37 patients were current smokers (36.3%), 31 patients were diabetics (30.4%), and 32 patients (31.4%) were obese (BMI≥30.0). Average follow-up time was 2.37 (range: 1.04-5.14) years. Risk factors for FRI treatment failure were BMI>30, GA type 3c, and implant retention. Given that FRI treatment in 35.3% (36/102) ended up in failure, clinicians need to take into account the predictive variables analysed in this study, and implement a multidisciplinary team approach to optimise these factors. This study could aid clinicians to redirect efforts to improve high risk patient management, and prompt future studies to trial adjuvant technologies for patients at higher risk of failure

Clinically significant proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) occurs in 20% of children treated with posterior distraction-based growth friendly surgery. In an effort to identify modifiable risk factors, it has been theorized biomechanically that low radius of curvature (ROC) implants (i.e., more curved rods) may increase post-operative thoracic kyphosis, and thus may pose a higher risk of developing PJK. We sought to test the hypothesis that EOS patients treated with low ROC (more curved rods) distraction-based treatment will have a greater risk of developing PJK as compared to those treated with high ROC (straighter) implants. This is a retrospective review of prospectively collected data obtained from a multi-centre EOS database on children treated with rib-based distraction with minimum 2-year follow-up. Variables of interest included: implant ROC at index (220 mm or 500 mm), patient age, pre-operative scoliosis, pre-operative kyphosis, and scoliosis etiology. In the literature, PJK has been defined as clinically significant if revision surgery with superior extension of the upper instrumented vertebrae was performed. In 148 scoliosis patients, there was a higher risk of clinically significant PJK with low ROC (more curved) rods (OR: 2.6 (95%CI 1.09-5.99), χ2 (1, n=148) = 4.8, p = 0.03). Patients had a mean pre-operative age of 5.3 years (4.6y 220 mm vs 6.2y 500 mm, p = 0.002). A logistic regression model was created with age as a confounding variable, but it was determined to be not significant (p = 0.6). Scoliosis etiologies included 52 neuromuscular, 52 congenital, 27 idiopathic, 17 syndromic with no significant differences in PJK risk between etiologies (p = 0.07). Overall, patients had pre-op scoliosis of 69° (67° 220mm vs 72° 500mm, p = 0.2), and kyphosis of 48° (45° 220mm vs 51° 500mm, p = 0.1). The change in thoracic kyphosis pre-operatively to final follow up (mean 4.0 ± 0.2 years) was higher in patients treated with 220 mm implants compared to 500 mm implants (220 mm: 7.5 ± 2.6° vs 500 mm: −4.0 ± 3.0°, p = 0.004). Use of low ROC (more curved) posterior distraction implants is associated with a significantly greater increase in thoracic kyphosis which likely led to a higher risk of developing clinically-significant PJK in EOS patients

Aims. We aimed to examine the long-term mechanical survivorship, describe the modes of all-cause failure, and identify risk factors for mechanical failure of all-polyethylene tibial components in endoprosthetic reconstruction. Methods. This is a retrospective database review of consecutive endoprosthetic reconstructions performed for oncological indications between 1980 and 2019. Patients with all-polyethylene tibial components were isolated and analyzed for revision for mechanical failure. Outcomes included survival of the all-polyethylene tibial component, revision surgery categorized according to the Henderson Failure Mode Classification, and complications and functional outcome, as assessed by the Musculoskeletal Tumor Society (MSTS) score at the final follow-up. Results. A total of 278 patients were identified with 289 all-polyethylene tibial components. Mechanical survival was 98.4%, 91.1%, and 85.2% at five, ten and 15 years, respectively. A total of 15 mechanical failures were identified at the final follow-up. Of the 13 all-polyethylene tibial components used for revision of a previous tibial component, five (38.5%) failed mechanically. Younger patients (< 18 years vs > 18 years; p = 0.005) and those used as revision components (p < 0.001) had significantly increased rates of failure. Multivariate logistic regression modelling showed revision status to be a positive risk factor for failure (odds ratio (OR) 19.498, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.598 to 82.676) and increasing age was a negative risk factor for failure (OR 0.927, 95% CI 0.872 to 0.987). Age-stratified risk analysis showed that age > 24 years was no longer a statistically significant risk factor for failure. The final mean MSTS score for all patients was 89% (8.5% to 100.0%). Conclusion. The long-term mechanical survivorship of all-polyethylene tibial components when used for tumour endoprostheses was excellent. Tumour surgeons should consider using these components for their durability and the secondary benefits of reduced cost and ease of removal and revision. However, caution should be taken when using all-polyethylene tibial components in the revision setting as a significantly higher rate of mechanical failure was seen in this group of patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J. 2020;102-B(2):170–176

Identification of patients at risk of not achieving minimally clinically important differences (MCID) in patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) is important to ensure principled and informed pre-operative decision making. Machine learning techniques may enable the generation of a predictive model for attainment of MCID in hip arthroscopy. Aims: 1) to determine whether machine learning techniques could predict which patients will achieve MCID in the iHOT-12 PROM 6 months after arthroscopic management of femoroacetabular impingement (FAI), 2) to determine which factors contribute to their predictive power. Data from the UK Non-Arthroplasty Hip Registry database was utilised. We identified 1917 patients who had undergone hip arthroscopy for FAI with both baseline and 6 month follow up iHOT-12 and baseline EQ-5D scores. We trained three established machine learning algorithms on our dataset to predict an outcome of iHOT-12 MCID improvement at 6 months given baseline characteristics including demographic factors, disease characteristics and PROMs. Performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) statistics with 5-fold cross validation. The three machine learning algorithms showed quite different performance. The linear logistic regression model achieved AUROC = 0.59, the deep neural network achieved AUROC = 0.82, while a random forest model had the best predictive performance with AUROC 0.87. Of demographic factors, we found that BMI and age were key predictors for this model. We also found that removing all features except baseline responses to the iHOT-12 questionnaire had little effect on performance for the random forest model (AUROC = 0.85). Disease characteristics had little effect on model performance. Machine learning models are able to predict with good accuracy 6-month post-operative MCID attainment in patients undergoing arthroscopic management for FAI. Baseline scores from the iHOT-12 questionnaire are sufficient to predict with good accuracy whether a patient is likely to reach MCID in post-operative PROMs

Lower-extremity orthopaedic procedures may be performed under either regional or general anaesthesia, or a combination of both techniques. There is a growing body of evidence supporting the benefits of regional anaesthesia, with meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials and registry data suggesting decreases in deep surgical site infections, thromboembolic events, cardiopulmonary complications and length of stay associated with use of regional anaesthesia. In patients undergoing foot and ankle surgery specifically, there is evidence demonstrating decreased post-operative pain, nausea, vomiting, opioid use and unplanned hospital admission. This supports an increased role for the use in regional anaesthesia in patients undergoing foot and ankle surgery. However, the type of anaesthetic used is dependent on surgeon, patient, anaesthesiologist and institutional factors. The purpose of this study is to investigate pre-operative factors that predict the type of anaesthetic used in patients undergoing foot and ankle surgery. Data was collected prospectively on 888 patients undergoing foot or ankle surgery at a single institution. The primary method of anaesthesia for each procedure was recorded. Ten additional variables were recorded and analysed: age, BMI, gender, diabetes, ASA status, procedure length, procedure start time, elective vs. trauma procedure, primary vs. revision procedure and preoperative anticoagulation. Logistic regression modelling was performed to identify factors that independently predict the type of anaesthetic used. General anaesthetic was employed in 280 patients (32%), and regional anaesthesia was the primary anaesthetic type used in 608 (68%). Logistic regression modelling demonstrated that factors that independently predict use of general anaesthetic include younger age (p<0.0001; Odds Ratio 0.97/year), male sex (0.0033; 1.618), procedure start time (0.0319; 1.066/hour) and length of procedure (<0.0001; 1.520/hour). Patients who underwent general anaesthetic had a mean length of procedure of 108 +/− 77 minutes, whereas patients provided with regional anaesthesia had a mean length of procedure 83 +/− 64 minutes. With increasing evidence supporting the benefits of regional anaesthesia in patients undergoing lower extremity surgery, it is important to identify modifiable factors that contribute to patients receiving alternative treatments. Since later procedure start time was identified as an independent predictor of general anaesthetic use, there may be a role for identifying patients at increased risk of complications associated with general anaesthesia and scheduling earlier start times. Furthermore, while it is logical that extended length of procedure may be a contraindication to regional anaesthesia, the mean procedure time of 108 minutes in the general anaesthesia group indicates that many of these patients should still be considered candidates for regional anaesthesia

Aim. Whether laminar airflow (LAF) in the operating room (OR) is effective for decreasing periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following total joint arthroplasty (TJA) remains a clinically significant yet controversial issue. This study investigated the association between operating room ventilation systems and the risk of PJI in TJA patients. Method. We performed a retrospective observational study on consecutive patients undergoing primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) from January 2013-September 2017 in two surgical facilities within a single institution, with a minimum 1-year follow-up. All procedures were performed by five board-certified arthroplasty surgeons. The operating rooms at the facilities were equipped with LAF and turbulent ventilation systems, respectively. Patient characteristics were extracted from clinical records. PJI was defined according to Musculoskeletal Infection Society criteria within 1-year of the index arthroplasty. A multivariate logistic regression model was performed to explore the association between LAF and risk of 1-year PJI, and then a sensitivity analysis using propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to further validate the findings. Results. A total of 6,972 patients (2,797 TKA, 4,175 THA) were included. The incidence of PJI within 1 year for patients from the facility without laminar flow was similar at 0·4% to that of patients from the facility with laminar flow at 0·5%. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, after all confounding factors were taken into account, the use of LAF was not significantly associated with reduction of the risk of PJI. After propensity score matching, there was no significant difference in the incidence of PJI within 1 year for patients between the two sites. Conclusions. The use of LAF in the operating room was not associated with a reduced incidence of PJI following primary TJA. With an appropriate perioperative protocol for infection prevention, LAF does not seem to play a protective role in PJI prevention

Purpose. Although total knee replacement (TKR) has a high reported success rate, the pain relief and functional improvement after surgery varies. We asked what is the prevalence of patients showing no clinically significant improvement 1-year after TKR, and what are the patient level factors that may predict this outcome. Method. We reviewed primary TKR registry data that were collected from two academic hospitals: the Toronto Western Hospital (TWH) and the Henderson Hospital(HH) in Ontario. Relevant covariates including demographic data, body mass index, and comorbidity were recorded. Knee joint pain and functional status were assessed at baseline and at 1-year follow-up with the Western Ontario McMaster University Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) and Oxford knee score (OKS) to measure the change using the minimal clinically important difference (MCID). Logistic regression modeling was used to identify the predictors of interest. Results. Overall, 11.7% (373/3177) of patients reported no clinically significant improvement 1-year after surgery. Logistic regression modeling showed that a greater patient age independently predicted no clinically significant improvement on the WOMAC scale 1-year after surgery (p=0.0003), while male gender independently predicted no clinically significant improvement on the OKS 1-year after surgery (p=0.008). Conclusion. Awareness of the prevalence of patients who may show no clinically significant improvement and factors that predict this outcome will help patients and surgeons to set realistic expectations of surgery

Objectives: To formulate a scoring system enabling decision making for prophylactic stabilization of the femur following surgical resection of a soft tissue sarcoma (STS) of the thigh. Methods: A logistic regression model was developed using patient variables collected from a prospective database. The test group included 22 patients with radiation-related pathological femur fracture following surgery and radiation for a thigh STS. The control group of 79 patients had similar treatment but without a fracture. No patients received chemotherapy. Mean follow-up was 8.6 years. Variables examined were: Age (< 49, 50–70, > 70 years), gender, tumor size (0–7, 8–14, > 14 cm), radiation dose (low=5000 cGy, high> 6000 cGy), extent of periosteal stripping (< 10, 10–20, > 20 cm) and thigh compartment (posterior, adductor, anterior). A score was assigned to each variable category based on the coefficients obtained in the logistic regression model. Results: Based on the regression model and an optimal cut-point, the ability to predict radiation associated fracture risk was 91% sensitive and 86% specific. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.9, which supports this model as a very accurate predictor. Conclusions: Radiation-related femur fractures following combined surgery and radiation treatment for STS are uncommon, but are difficult to manage and their non-union rate is extremely high. These results suggest that it is possible to predict radiation-associated pathological fracture risk with high sensitivity and specificity. This would allow identification of high risk patients and treatment with prophylactic IM nail stabilization. Presentation of this model as a clinical nomogram will facilitate its clinical use

Purpose: To formulate a scoring system enabling decision making for prophylactic stabilization of the femur following surgical resection of a soft tissue sarcoma (STS) of the thigh. Method: A logistic regression model was developed using patient variables collected from a prospective database. The test group included 22 patients with radiation-related pathological femur fracture following surgery and radiation for a thigh STS. The control group of 79 patients had similar treatment but without a fracture. No patients received chemotherapy. Mean follow-up was 8.6 years. Variables examined were: Age (70 years), gender, tumor size (0–7, 8–14, > 14 cm), radiation dose (low=5000 cGy, high> 6000 cGy), extent of periosteal stripping (20 cm) and thigh compartment (posterior, adductor, anterior). A score was assigned to each variable category based on the coefficients obtained in the logistic regression model. Results: Based on the regression model and an optimal cut-point, the ability to predict radiation associated fracture risk was 91% sensitive and 86% specific. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.9, which supports this model as a very accurate predictor. Conclusion: Radiation-related femur fractures following combined surgery and radiation treatment for STS are uncommon, but are difficult to manage and their non-union rate is extremely high. These results suggest that it is possible to predict radiation-associated pathological fracture risk with high sensitivity and specificity. This would allow identification of high risk patients and treatment with prophylactic IM nail stabilization. Presentation of this model as a clinical nomogram will facilitate its clinical use

AIM: To investigate the relationship between patient variables and surgeons’ grade and experience on one hand and re-operation and mortality rates at six months on the other hand. Method: Seven hundred and sixty-one patients with proximal femoral fractures (PFF) (463 intracapsular fractures, 286 extracapsular fractures, and 12 subtrochanteric fractures) were treated surgically between April 2005 to October 2007. The level of experience among trainees was quantified as the number of PFF they had fixed or replaced as the first surgeon, from the start of their training at Senior House Officer level to the beginning of the study period. Logistic regression model was used to investigate the relationship between mortality and re-operation at six months and case mix variables (age, ASA grade, fracture types, pre-fracture residence, and mobility and activity level), and management variables (days to operation, the grade of the surgeon and supervision level). Mann-Whitney test was used to compare the level of experience among trainees in the group of patients who died or required re-operation at six months. Results: At six months, the mortality rate was 24.2% (184) and the re-operation rate was 3.8% (29). The logistic regression model used to predict six months mortality was highly significant (X2=166.6 [24df], p< 0.0001). It showed that age, ASA grade and pre-fracture activity level were strongly associated with mortality at six months. Patients operated on by a trainee without the consultant being scrubbed were 1.8 times (p< 0.05) more likely to die at 6 months. (Odds ratio of 1.8 with 95% confidence interval of 1.15 to 2.75). Re-operation at six months could not be predicted by these factors. Regarding patients operated on by trainees, there was no significant difference in the level of experience among trainees who operated on patients who died or who required re-operation at six months compared to those who did not

Aims. To compare rates of serious adverse events in patients undergoing revision knee arthroplasty with consideration of the indication for revision (urgent versus elective indications), and compare these with primary arthroplasty and re-revision arthroplasty. Methods. Patients undergoing primary knee arthroplasty were identified in the national Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) between 1 April 1997 to 31 March 2017. Subsequent revision and re-revision arthroplasty procedures in the same patients and same knee were identified. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality and a logistic regression model was used to investigate factors associated with 90-day mortality and secondary adverse outcomes, including infection (undergoing surgery), pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Urgent indications for revision arthroplasty were defined as infection or fracture, and all other indications (e.g. loosening, instability, wear) were included in the elective indications cohort. Results. A total of 939,021 primary knee arthroplasty procedures were included (939,021 patients), of which 40,854 underwent subsequent revision arthroplasty, and 9,100 underwent re-revision arthroplasty. Revision surgery for elective indications was associated with a 90-day rate of mortality of 0.44% (135/30,826; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37 to 0.52) which was comparable to primary knee arthroplasty (0.46%; 4,292/939,021; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.47). Revision arthroplasty for infection was associated with a much higher mortality of 2.04% (184/9037; 95% CI 1.75 to 2.35; odds ratio (OR) 3.54; 95% CI 2.81 to 4.46), as was revision for periprosthetic fracture at 5.25% (52/991; 95% CI 3.94 to 6.82; OR 6.23; 95% CI 4.39 to 8.85). Higher rates of pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, and stroke were also observed in the infection and fracture cohort. Conclusion. Patients undergoing revision arthroplasty for urgent indications (infection or fracture) are at higher risk of mortality and serious adverse events in comparison to primary knee arthroplasty and revision arthroplasty for elective indications. These findings will be important for patient consent and shared decision-making and should inform service design for this patient cohort. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(10):1578–1585

Elderly patients undergoing surgery for a hip fracture are at risk of thromboembolic events (TEV). The risk of TEV is now rare due to thromboprophylaxis. However, hip fracture treatment has evolved over the last decade. The risk of TEV may have been modified. The objective of this study was to determine the risk of symptomatic TEV following surgery for a hip fracture, in an elderly population. Retrospective cohort study of all patients > 65 years old undergoing surgery for a femoral neck or intertrochanteric hip fracture in two academic centers, between January 1st 2008 and January 1st 2019. The follow-up was fixed at 3 months. The cumulated risk of thromboembolic events was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and a predictive logistic regression model was used to determine risk factors. 3265 patients were eligible for analysis. The mean age was 83.3 ±8.1 years old and 75.6% of patients were female. The mortality was 7.55% (N=112) at 3 months. 98.53% of this cohort received thromboprophylaxis. The cumulated risk for a thromboembolic event was 3.55% at 1 month and 6.41% at 3 months (N=99). There were 9 fatal pulmonary embolisms. 89.19% thromboembolic events occurred within 20 days following surgery. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (odds ratio 1.909 [1.179–3.089]), renal failure (odds ratio 1.896 [1.172–3.066]) and the use of a bridge between different types of anticoagulant (odds ratio 2.793 [1.057–7.384]) were associated with TEV. The risk of bleeding was 5.67% at 1 month and 9.38% at 3 months (N=142). 77% of bleeding events were hematomas. The risk of thromboembolic events is higher than expected in a population treated for this condition. Most thromboembolic events occur shortly following surgery. The risk of bleeding is high and most of them are hematomas. Future research could focus on the management of thromboprophylaxis in elderly patients undergoing surgery for a hip fracture

Aims. The aim of this study was to explore why some calcar screws are malpositioned when a proximal humeral fracture is treated by internal fixation with a locking plate, and to identify risk factors for this phenomenon. Some suggestions can be made of ways to avoid this error. Methods. We retrospectively identified all proximal humeral fractures treated in our institution between October 2016 and October 2018 using the hospital information system. The patients’ medical and radiological data were collected, and we divided potential risk factors into two groups: preoperative factors and intraoperative factors. Preoperative factors included age, sex, height, weight, body mass index, proximal humeral bone mineral density, type of fracture, the condition of the medial hinge, and medial metaphyseal head extension. Intraoperative factors included the grade of surgeon, neck-shaft angle after reduction, humeral head height, restoration of medial support, and quality of reduction. Adjusted binary logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify pre- and intraoperative risk factors. Area under the curve (AUC) analysis was used to evaluate the discriminative ability of the multivariable model. Results. Data from 203 patients (63 males and 140 females) with a mean age of 62 years (22 to 89) were analyzed. In 49 fractures, the calcar screw was considered to be malpositioned; in 154 it was in the optimal position. The rate of malpositioning was therefore 24% (49/203). No preoperative risk factor was found for malpositioning of the calcar screws. Only the neck-shaft angle was found to be related to the risk of screw malpositioning in a multivariate model (with an AUC of 0.72). For the fractures in which the neck-shaft angle was reduced to between 130° and 150°, 91% (133/46) of calcar screws were in the optimal position. Conclusion. The neck-shaft angle is the key factor for the appropriate positioning of calcar screws when treating a proximal humeral fracture with a locking plate. We recommend reducing the angle to between 130° and 150°. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(12):1629–1635

Abstract. Objectives. Modular dual-mobility (MDM) constructs are used to reduce dislocation rates after total hip replacement (THR). They combine the advantages of dual mobility with the option of supplementary acetabular screw fixation in complex revision surgery. However, there are concerns about adverse reaction to metal debris (ARMD) as a result of fretting corrosion between the metal liner and shell. Methods. The aim of this systematic review was to find and review all relevant studies to establish the outcomes and risks associated with MDM hip replacement. All articles on MDM THRs in the Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, and Prospero databases were searched. A total of 14 articles were included. A random intercept logistic regression model was used for meta-analysis, giving estimated mean values. Results. There were 6 cases of ARMD out of 1312 total. Estimated median incidence of ARMD from meta-analysis was 0.3% (95% CI 0.1 – 1.4%). Mean postoperative serum Cobalt was 0.81 μg/L (95% CI 0.33 – 1.29 μg/L), and Chromium was 0.77 μg/L (95% 0.35 – 1.19 μg/L), from 279 cases in 7 studies. Estimated median incidence of a serum cobalt or chromium ion measurement ≥1 μg/L was 7.9% (95% CI 3.5 – 16.8%), and ≥7 μg/L was 1.8% (95% CI 0.7 – 4.2%). Conclusions. ARMD is a rare but significant complication following total hip replacement using a MDM construct. Its incidence appears higher than that reported in non-metal-on-metal (MoM) hip replacements but lower than that of MoM hip replacements. MDM hip replacements are associated with raised serum metal ion levels postoperatively, but there was no correlation with worse clinical hip function within studies. Studies were poor quality and at high risk of confounding. Pending further work, MDM constructs should be used with caution, reserved for select cases at particularly high risk of dislocation. Declaration of Interest. (b) declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research reported:I declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research project

Aims. The Corail stem has good long-term results. After four years of using this stem, we have detected a small group of patients who have presented with symptomatic metaphyseal debonding. The aim of this study was to quantify the incidence of this complication, to delineate the characteristics of patients presenting with this complication and to compare these patients with asymptomatic controls to determine any important predisposing factors. Patients and Methods. Of 855 Corail collarless cementless stems implanted for osteoarthritis, 18 presented with symptomatic metaphyseal debonding. A control group of 74 randomly selected patients was assembled. Clinical and radiological parameters were measured and a logistic regression model was created to evaluate factors associated with metaphyseal debonding. Results. The prevalence of this complication was 2.1% in our series. In the multivariable model, the presence of a Dorr B-type proximal femur was associated with metaphyseal debonding (odds ratio (OR) 10.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.31 to 49.97, p = 0.002), as was a body mass index > 25 kg/m. 2. (OR 6.85, 95% CI 1.06 to 44.28, p = 0.04). Smaller stems and the use of a polyethylene acetabular liner appeared to be protective when compared with metal and ceramic setting hard-on-hard bearings. Conclusion. We have described an uncommon but important mode of failure of the Corail stem. Surgeons should be aware of this phenomenon; overweight patients with Dorr B-type femurs and in whom hard bearings are used appear to be particularly at risk. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B:1435–41

Purpose: MetS has been shown to be a risk factor for chronic diseases such as cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including myocardial infarction and stroke, and dementia. Moreover, the risk factors that make up the MetS (central obesity, diabetes, high blood pressure, and dyslipidemia) have also been demonstrated to have independent relationships to degenerative joint disease. The relationship between the metabolic factors and spine OA have been examined by few, however the predictive value of MetS on the incidence or prevalence of this disease has not been studied. In this study, we asked whether the prevalence of spinal OA increases with the number of MS risk factors. Method: We reviewed data from a single surgeon, high volume, spine surgery practice between the years of 2002–2007. Demographic data including the components of the MetS risk factors were collected. Prevalent severe OA was defined as degenerative spondylolisthesis or cervical or lumbar stenosis causing neurologically based symptoms, and early OA as those with lumbar and cervical spondylosis causing axial pain only. Logistic regression modeling was used to determine the odds (adjusted for age and sex) of having severe spine OA with an increasing number of the MetS risk factors. Results: In our cohort of 1502 patients, there were 839/1502 (55.9%) patients defined as severe spinal OA and 663/839 (44.1%) patients with early OA. Those with severe spinal OA were significantly older, with a greater percentage of females, and had a greater BMI than those with early spinal OA (p < .05). The prevalence of severe spinal OA varied across groups defined by the number of MetS risk factors: 353/748 (47.2%) in those with 0 MetS risk factors, 236/392 (60.2 %) in those with 1 MetS risk factors, 148/228 (64.9 %) in those with 2 MetS risk factors, 76/104 (73.1 %) in those with 3 MetS risk factors, and 26/30 (86.7 %) in those with all 4 MetS risk factors. The overall prevalence of MetS was 30/1502 (2.0%), 26/839 (3.1%) in the severe OA group and 4/663 (0.6%) in the early OA group.(p= .001) Logistic regression modeling showed the odds of having severe spinal OA increased with an increasing number of MetS risk factors relative to having no MetS risk factors. Those patients having defined as MetS had almost a 4 times greater odds of having severe spinal OA as compared to those with no MetS risk factors, adjusted for age and gender [OR 3.9,(1.4, 11.6), p= .01]. Conclusion: The components of MetS are more prevalent in those with severe spinal OA causing neurological symptoms compared to those with spondylosis causing axial pain. Future work should examine for an association between MetS and incident OA

Aims. Our first aim was to determine whether there are significant changes in the level of metal ions in the blood at mid-term follow-up, in patients with an Articular Surface Replacement (ASR) arthroplasty. Secondly, we sought to identify risk factors for any increases. Patients and Methods. The study involved 435 patients who underwent unilateral, metal-on-metal (MoM) hip resurfacing (HRA) or total hip arthroplasty (THA). These patients all had one measurement of the level of metal ions in the blood before seven years had passed post-operatively (early evaluation) and one after seven years had passed post-operatively (mid-term evaluation). Changes in ion levels were tested using a Wilcoxon signed-rank test. We identified subgroups at the highest risk of increase using a multivariable linear logistic regression model. Results. There were significant increases in the levels of metal ions for patients who underwent both MoM HRA (Chromium (Cr): 0.5 parts per billion (ppb); Cobalt (Co): 1.1 ppb) and MoM THA (Cr: 0.5 ppb; Co: 0.7 ppb). In a multivariable model considering MoM HRAs, the change in the levels of metal ions was influenced by female gender (Co: Odds Ratio (OR) 1.42; p = 0.002 and Cr: OR 1.08; p = 0.006). The change was found to be irrespective of the initial level for the MoM HRAs, whereas there was a negative relationship between the initial level and the change in the level for those with a MoM THA (Co: OR -0.43; p <  0.001 and Cr: OR -0.14; p = 0.033). Conclusion. The levels of metal ions in the blood increase significantly over the period until mid-term follow-up in patients with both a MoM HRA and those with a MoM THA. We recommend that the levels of metal ions be measured most frequently for women with a MoM HRA. While those with a MoM THA appear to stabilise at a certain level, the accuracy of this trend is not yet clear. Vigilant follow-up is still recommended. . Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B(4 Supple B):33–40

Objectives. Modular dual-mobility (MDM) constructs are used to reduce dislocation rates after total hip replacement (THR). They combine the advantages of dual mobility with the option of supplementary acetabular screw fixation in complex revision surgery. However, there are concerns about adverse reaction to metal debris (ARMD) as a result of fretting corrosion between the metal liner and shell. Methods: The aim of this systematic review was to find and review all relevant studies to establish the outcomes and risks associated with MDM hip replacement. All articles on MDM THRs in the Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, and Prospero databases were searched. A total of 14 articles were included. A random intercept logistic regression model was used for meta-analysis, giving estimated average values. Results: There were 6 cases of ARMD out of 1312 total. Estimated median incidence of ARMD from meta-analysis was 0.3% (95% CI 0.1 – 1.4%). Mean postoperative serum Cobalt was 0.81 μg/L (95% CI 0.33 – 1.29 μg/L), and Chromium was 0.77 μg/L (95% 0.35 – 1.19 μg/L), from 279 cases in 7 studies. Estimated median incidence of a serum cobalt or chromium ion measurement ≥1 μg/L was 7.9% (95% CI 3.5 – 16.8%), and ≥7 μg/L was 1.8% (95% CI 0.7 – 4.2%). Conclusions: ARMD is a rare but significant complication following total hip replacement using a MDM construct. Its incidence appears higher than that reported in non-metal-on-metal (MoM) hip replacements but lower than that of MoM hip replacements. MDM hip replacements are associated with raised serum metal ion levels postoperatively, but there was no correlation with worse clinical hip function within studies. Studies were poor quality and at high risk of confounding. Pending further work, MDM constructs should be used with caution, reserved for select cases at particularly high risk of dislocation

Introduction. Patients with FNF may be treated by either total hip arthroplasty (THA) or hemiarthroplasty (HA). Utilizing American Joint Replacement Registry (AJRR) data, we aimed to evaluate outcomes in FNF treatment. Methods. Medicare patients with FNF treated with HA or THA reported to the AJRR database from 2012–2019 and CMS claims data from 2012–2017 were analyzed in this retrospective cohort study. “Early” was defined as less than 90 days from index procedure. A logistic regression model, including index arthroplasty, age, sex, stem fixation method, hospital size. 1. , hospital teaching affiliation. 1. , and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), was utilized to determine associations between index procedure and revision rates. Results. Of 75,333 FNF procedures analyzed, 82.2% had HA. 8.4% had cemented fixation. 36.9% had cementless fixation. Fixation was unknown for 41,225 (54.7%) patients. 90-day readmissions rates were 1.3% for both cohorts. Both the early revision rate (0.9% HA vs. 1.3% THA, p<0.0001) as well as the overall revision rate (1.5% HA vs. 2.3% THA, p<0.0001) were higher in the THA cohort. The three most common reasons for any revision were instability (26%), infection (21%), and periprosthetic fracture (15%). Higher rates of any revision were associated with cementless fixation (OR=1.37, 95% CI 1.20–1.57) and increased age (OR=0.96, 95% CI 0.96–0.97). THA and increased age were risk factors for early and any revision for instability. Cementless fixation, female sex, and decreased age were associated with lower revision rates for infection. Conclusion. The most common surgical treatment for FNF reported to the AJRR was cementless stem fixation and hemiarthroplasty. The higher revision rates for FNF treatment with THA warrant further investigation. The use of cemented femoral fixation in this patient population may be under-utilized. These data provide a benchmark of US practice for reference and comparison to other practices throughout US and the world

Aims. The primary aim of this paper was to outline the processes involved in building the Partners Arthroplasty Registry (PAR), established in April 2016 to capture baseline and outcome data for patients undergoing arthroplasty in a regional healthcare system. A secondary aim was to determine the quality of PAR’s data. A tertiary aim was to report preliminary findings from the registry and contributions to quality improvement initiatives and research up to March 2019. Methods. Structured Query Language was used to obtain data relating to patients who underwent total hip or knee arthroplasty (THA and TKA) from the hospital network’s electronic medical record (EMR) system to be included in the PAR. Data were stored in a secure database and visualized in dashboards. Quality assurance of PAR data was performed by review of the medical records. Capture rate was determined by comparing two months of PAR data with operating room schedules. Linear and binary logistic regression models were constructed to determine if length of stay (LOS), discharge to a care home, and readmission rates improved between 2016 and 2019. Results. The PAR captured 16,163 THAs and TKAs between April 2016 and March 2019, performed in seven hospitals by 110 surgeons. Manual comparison to operating schedules showed a 100% capture rate. Review of the records was performed for 2,603 random operations; 2,298 (88.3%) had complete and accurate data. The PAR provided the data for three abstracts presented at international conferences and has led to preoperative mental health treatment as a quality improvement initiative in the participating institutions. For primary THA and TKA surgeries, the LOS decreased significantly (p < 0.001) and the rate of home discharge increased significantly (p < 0.001) between 2016 and 2019. Readmission rates did not correlated with the date of surgery (p = 0.953). Conclusion. The PAR has high rates of coverage (the number of patients treated within the Partners healthcare network) and data completion and can be used for both research purposes and quality improvement. The same method of creating a registry that was used in the PAR can be applied to hospitals using similar EMR systems. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(7 Supple B):90–98

Aims. Hospital case volume is shown to be associated with postoperative outcomes in various types of surgery. However, conflicting results of volume-outcome relationship have been reported in hip fracture surgery. This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the association between hospital case volume and postoperative outcomes in patients who had hip fracture surgery. We hypothesized that higher case volume would be associated with lower risk of in-hospital and one-year mortality after hip fracture surgery. Methods. Data for all patients who underwent surgery for hip fracture from January 2008 to December 2016 were extracted from the Korean National Healthcare Insurance Service database. According to mean annual case volume of surgery for hip fracture, hospitals were classified into very low (< 30 cases/year), low (30 to 50 cases/year), intermediate (50 to 100 cases/year), high (100 to 150 cases/year), or very high (> 150 cases/year) groups. The association between hospital case volume and in-hospital mortality or one-year mortality was assessed using the logistic regression model to adjust for age, sex, type of fracture, type of anaesthesia, transfusion, comorbidities, and year of surgery. Results. Between January 2008 and December 2016, 269,535 patients underwent hip fracture surgery in 1,567 hospitals in Korea. Compared to hospitals with very high volume, in-hospital mortality rates were significantly higher in those with high volume (odds ratio (OR) 1.10, 95% confidence interval ((CI) 1.02 to 1.17, p = 0.011), low volume (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.32, p < 0.001), and very low volume (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.34, p < 0.001). Similarly, hospitals with lower case volume showed higher one-year mortality rates compared to hospitals with very high case volume (low volume group, OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.19, p < 0.001; very low volume group, OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.14, p < 0.001). Conclusion. Higher hospital case volume of hip fracture surgery was associated with lower in-hospital mortality and one-year mortality in a dose-response fashion. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(10):1384–1391

The primary objectives of this study were to: 1) identify risk factors for subsequent surgery following initial treatment of proximal humerus fractures, stratified by initial treatment type; 2) generate risk prediction tools to predict subsequent shoulder surgery following initial treatment; and 3) internally validate the discriminative ability of each tool. We identified patients ≥ 50 years with a diagnosis of proximal humerus fracture from 2004 to 2015 using linkable health datasets in Ontario, Canada. We used procedural and fee codes within 30 days of the index fracture to classify patients into treatment groups: 1) surgical fixation; 2) shoulder replacement; and 3) conservative. We used intervention and diagnosis codes to identify all instances of complication-related subsequent shoulder surgery following initial treatment within two years post fracture. We developed logistic regression models for randomly selected two thirds of each treatment group to evaluate the association of patient, fracture, surgical, and hospital variables on the odds of subsequent shoulder surgery following initial treatment. We used regression coefficients to compute points associated with each of the variables within each category, and calculated the risk associated with each point total using the regression equation. We used the final third of each cohort to evaluate the discriminative ability of the developed risk tools (via the continuous point total and a dichotomous point cut-off value for “higher” vs. “lower” risk determined by Receiver Operating Curves) using c-statistics. We identified 20,897 patients with proximal humerus fractures that fit our inclusion criteria for analysis, 2,414 treated with fixation, 1,065 treated with replacement, and 17,418 treated conservatively. The proportions of patients who underwent subsequent shoulder surgery within two years were 13.8%, 5.1%, and 1.3%, for fixation, replacement, and conservative groups, respectively. Predictors of reoperation following fixation included the use of a bone graft, and fixation with a nail or wire vs. a plate. The only significant predictor of reoperation following replacement was poor bone quality. The only predictor of subsequent shoulder surgery following conservative treatment was more comorbidities while patients aged 70+, and those discharged home following initial presentation (vs. admitted or transferred to another facility) had lower odds of subsequent shoulder surgery. The risk tools developed were able to discriminate between patients who did or did not undergo subsequent shoulder surgery in the derivation cohorts with c-statistics of 0.75–0.88 (continuous point total), and 0.82–0.88 (dichotomous cut-off), and 0.53–0.78 (continuous point total) and 0.51–0.79 (dichotomous cut-off) in the validation cohorts. Our results present potential factors associated with subsequent shoulder surgery following initial treatment of proximal humerus fractures, stratified by treatment type. Our developed risk tools showed good to strong discriminative ability in both the derivation and validation cohorts for patients treated with fixation, and conservatively. This indicates that the tools may be useful for clinicians and researchers. Future research is required to develop risk tools that incorporate clinical variables such as functional demands

Aims. The purpose of this study was to develop a prognostic model for predicting survival of patients undergoing surgery owing to metastatic bone disease (MBD) in the appendicular skeleton. Methods. We included a historical cohort of 130 consecutive patients (mean age 64 years, 30 to 85; 76 females/54 males) who underwent joint arthroplasty surgery (140 procedures) owing to MBD in the appendicular skeleton during the period between January 2003 and December 2008. Primary cancer, pre-operative haemoglobin, fracture versus impending fracture, Karnofsky score, visceral metastases, multiple bony metastases and American Society of Anaesthesiologist’s score were included into a series of logistic regression models. The outcome was the survival status at three, six and 12 months respectively. Results were internally validated based on 1000 cross-validations and reported as time-dependent area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC) for predictions of outcome. . Results. The predictive scores obtained showed AUC values of 79.1% (95% confidence intervals (CI) 65.6 to 89.6), 80.9% (95% CI 70.3 to 90.84) and 85.1% (95% CI 73.5 to 93.9) at three, six and 12 months. . Discussion. In conclusion, we have presented and internally validated a model for predicting survival after surgery owing to MBD in the appendicular skeleton. The model is the first, to our knowledge, built solely on material from patients who only had surgery in the appendicular skeleton. Take home message: Applying this prognostic model will help determine whether the patients’ anticipated survival makes it reasonable to subject them to extensive reconstructive surgery for which there may be an extended period of rehabilitation. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:271–7

Background. Postoperative recovery after routine total hip arthroplasty (THA) can lead to the development of prolonged opioid use but there are few tools for predicting this adverse outcome. The purpose of this study was to develop machine learning algorithms for preoperative prediction of prolonged post-operative opioid use after THA. Methods. A retrospective review of electronic health records was conducted at two academic medical centers and three community hospitals to identify adult patients who underwent THA for osteoarthritis between January 1. st. , 2000 and August 1. st. , 2018. Prolonged postoperative opioid prescriptions were defined as continuous opioid prescriptions after surgery to at least 90 days after surgery. Five machine learning algorithms were developed to predict this outcome and were assessed by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. Results. Overall, 5507 patients underwent THA, of which 345 (6.3%) had prolonged postoperative opioid prescriptions. The factors determined for prediction of prolonged postoperative opioid prescriptions were: age, duration of pre-operative opioid exposure, preoperative hemoglobin, and certain preoperative medications (anti-depressants, benzodiazepines, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and beta-2-agonists). The elastic-net penalized logistic regression model achieved the best performance across discrimination (c-statistic = 0.77), calibration, and decision curve analysis. This model was incorporated into a digital application able to provide both predictions and explanations; available here: . https://sorg-apps.shinyapps.io/thaopioid/. Conclusion. If externally validated in independent populations, the algorithms developed in this study could improve preoperative screening and support for THA patients at high-risk for prolonged postoperative opioid use. Early identification and intervention in high-risk cases may mitigate the long-term adverse consequence of opioid dependence. For any tables or figures, please contact the authors directly

Aims. The aim of this study was to assess whether supine flexibility predicts the likelihood of curve progression in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) undergoing brace treatment. Methods. This was a retrospective analysis of patients with AIS prescribed with an underarm brace between September 2008 to April 2013 and followed up until 18 years of age or required surgery. Patients with structural proximal curves that preclude underarm bracing, those who were lost to follow-up, and those who had poor compliance to bracing (<16 hours a day) were excluded. The major curve Cobb angle, curve type, and location were measured on the pre-brace standing posteroanterior (PA) radiograph, supine whole spine radiograph, initial in-brace standing PA radiograph, and the post-brace weaning standing PA radiograph. Validation of the previous in-brace Cobb angle regression model was performed. The outcome of curve progression post-bracing was tested using a logistic regression model. The supine flexibility cut-off for curve progression was analyzed with receiver operating characteristic curve. Results. A total of 586 patients with mean age of 12.6 years (SD 1.2) remained for analysis after exclusion. The baseline Cobb angle was similar for thoracic major curves (31.6° (SD 3.8°)) and lumbar major curves (30.3° (SD 3.7°)). Curve progression was more common in the thoracic curves than lumbar curves with mean final Cobb angles of 40.5° (SD 12.5°) and 31.8° (SD 9.8°) respectively. This dataset matched the prediction model for in-brace Cobb angle with less mean absolute error in thoracic curves (0.61) as compared to lumbar curves (1.04). Reduced age and Risser stage, thoracic curves, increased pre-brace Cobb angle, and reduced correction and flexibility rates predicted increased likelihood of curve progression. Flexibility rate of more than 28% has likelihood of preventing curve progression with bracing. Conclusion. Supine radiographs provide satisfactory prediction for in-brace correction and post-bracing curve magnitude. The flexibility of the curve is a guide to determine the likelihood for brace success. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(2):254–260

Although the association between femoroacetabular impingement and osteoarthritis is established, it is not yet clear which hips have the greatest likelihood to progress rapidly to end-stage disease. We investigated the effect of several radiological parameters, each indicative of a structural aspect of the hip joint, on the progression of osteoarthritis. Pairs of plain anteroposterior pelvic radiographs, taken at least ten years apart, of 43 patients (43 hips) with a pistol-grip deformity of the femur and mild (Tönnis grade 1) or moderate (Tönnis grade 2) osteoarthritis were reviewed. Of the 43 hips, 28 showed evidence of progression of osteoarthritis. There was no significant difference in the prevalence of progression between hips with initial Tönnis grade 1 or grade 2 osteoarthritis (p = 0.31). Comparison of the hips with and without progression of arthritis revealed a significant difference in the mean medial proximal femoral angle (81° vs 87°, p = 0.004) and the presence of the posterior wall sign (39% vs 7%, p = 0.02) only. A logistic regression model was constructed to predict the influence of these two variables in the development of osteoarthritis. Mild to moderate osteoarthritis in hips with a pistol-grip deformity will not progress rapidly in all patients. In one-third, progression will take more than ten years to manifest, if ever. The individual geometry of the proximal femur and acetabulum partly influences this phenomenon. A hip with cam impingement is not always destined for end-stage arthritic degeneration

Introduction. Porous metaphyseal cones are increasingly used for fixation in revision total knee arthroplasty (RTKA). Both cemented shorter length stems and longer diaphyseal engaging stems are currently utilized with metaphyseal cones with no clear evidence of superiority. The purpose of this study was to evaluate our experience with 3D printed titanium metaphyseal cones with both short cemented and longer cementless stems from a clinical and radiographic perspective. Methods. In total 136 3D printed titanium metaphyseal cones were implanted. The mean patient age was 63 and 48% were female. The mean BMI was 33 and the mean ASA class was 2.5. There were 42 femoral cones in which 28 cemented and 14 cementless stems were utilized. There were 94 tibial cones in which 67 cemented and 27 cementless stems were utilized. The choice for stem fixation was surgeon dependent and in general cones were utilized for AORI type 2 and 3 bone defects on the femur and tibia. The most common fixation scenario was short cemented stems on both the femur and tibia followed by cemented stem fixation on the tibia and cementless fixation on the femur. Clinical data such as revision, complication, and PRO was collected at last follow-up (minimum follow-up 1 year). Radiographic analysis included cone bony ingrowth and coronal and sagittal alignment on long-standing radiographs. Descriptive statistics were used to compare demographics between patients who had malalignment (HKA beyond +/− 3 degrees and flexion/extension beyond +/− 3 degrees). Adjusted logistic regression models were run to assess malalignment risk by stem type. Results. Patient reported outcomes demonstrated modest improvements with Pre-op KOOS improving from 44 pre-op to 59 post -op and PF-CAT improving from 33 to 37 post-op. PROMIS pain scores decreased significantly from 54 to 44 post-op. 36% of patients had malalignment in either the coronal or sagittal plane. Patients with malalignment were more likely to be female (66.7% vs 40.4%, p-value=0.02). After adjusting for age, sex and BMI, there was a significantly increased risk for coronal plane malalignment when both the femur and tibia had cementless compared to cemented stems (odds ratio=5.54, 95%CI=1.15, 26.80). There was no significantly increased risk when comparing patients with mixed stems to patients with cemented stems. Sagittal plane malalignment was more common with short cemented stems although both coronal plane and sagittal plane malalignment with either stem type was not associated with inferior clinical outcome. Overall cone survivorship was excellent with only two cones removed for infection. Conclusion. Metaphyseal titanium cones provide reliable fixation in revision TKA. However, PROs in this complex patient population show only modest improvement consistent with other variables such as co-morbidities and poor baseline physical function. Small cone inner diameter may adversely influence cementless stem position leading to coronal plane malalignment. Short cemented stems are subject to greater sagittal plane malalignment with no apparent influence on clinical outcome

Malnutrition is an important consideration during the perioperative period and albumin is the most common laboratory surrogate for nutritional status. The purpose of this study is to identify if preoperative serum albumin measurements are predictive of infection following arthroscopic procedures. Patients undergoing knee, shoulder or hip arthroscopy between 2006–2016 were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Patients with an arthroscopic current procedural terminology code and a preoperative serum albumin measurement were included. Patients with a history of prior infection, including a non-clean wound class, pre-existing wound infection or systemic sepsis were excluded. Independent t-tests where used to compare albumin values in patients with and without the occurrence of a postoperative infection. Pre-operative albumin levels were subsequently evaluated as predictors of infection with logistic regression models. There were 31,906 patients who met the inclusion criteria. The average age was 55.7 years (standard deviation (SD) 14.62) and average BMI was 31.7 (SD 7.21). The most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (49.2%), diabetes (18.4%) and smoking history (16.9%). The average preoperative albumin was 4.18 (SD 0.42). There were 45 cases of superficial infection (0.14%), 10 cases of wound dehiscence (0.03%), 17 cases of deep infection (0.05%), 27 cases of septic arthritis or other organ space infection (0.08%) and 95 cases of any infection (0.30%). The preoperative albumin levels for patients who developed septic arthritis (mean difference (MD) 0.20, 95% CI, 0.038, 0.35, P = 0.015) or any infection (MD 0.14, 95% CI 0.05, 0.22, P = 0.002) were significantly lower than the normal population. Additionally, disseminated cancer, Hispanic race, inpatient status and smoking history were significant independent risk factors for infection, while female sex and increasing albumin were protective towards developing any infection. Rates of all infections were found to increase exponentially with decreasing albumin. The relative risk of infection with an albumin of 2 was 3.46 (95% CI, 2.74–4.38) when compared to a normal albumin of 4. For each albumin increase of 0.69, the odds of developing any infection decreases by a factor of 0.52. This study suggests that preoperative serum albumin is an independent predictor of septic arthritis and all infection following elective arthroscopic procedures. Although the effect of albumin on infection is modest, malnutrition may represent a modifiable risk factor with regard to preventing infection following arthroscopy

Introduction. Meaningful clinical improvement as demonstrated through patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are increasingly used to evaluate success of total hip arthroplasty (THA) procedures. This patient perspective can provide a full picture when used with clinical data to best evaluate surgical outcomes. Methods. All primary THA procedures reported to the American Joint Replacement Registry from 2012–2018 with linked pre-operative and 1-year post-operative functional or anatomical PROMs were included. The achievement of minimal clinically-important difference (MCID) was calculated using the distribution method. Logistic regression models with covariate adjustment for patient demographics, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, and body mass index (BMI) were constructed to identify associations with PROMs. Results were analyzed based on hospital size (small, medium and large) and teaching type (non-teaching, minor and major) based on the American Hospital Association Survey (2015). Results. There were 3,952 THA with pre-operative and 1-year post-operative PROMs. The five types of PROMs collected include: HOOS (n=731), HOOS Jr. (n=295), PROMIS-10 (n=1,074), SF-36 (n=976), VR-12 (1,262). The average age was 66.3±10.5 years, and the majority were female (54.7%). 53.1% of THA patients achieved MCID. Age and gender were statistically significant, while ASA score and BMI classification were not. As age increased by 1 year, the odds of achieving MCID increased 0.8% (OR 0.992, 95%CI 0.984, 0.999) and a minor versus major teaching hospital was 20.8% less likely to achieve MCID (p<0.04). While small hospital sizes had significantly fewer linked PROMs (6.5% of all linked PROMs), only 44.5% achieved MCID compared to medium (52.3%) and large (54.5%) hospitals (p<0.02). Conclusion. Older patient age, major teaching hospitals, and large hospitals achieved higher levels of MCID after THA. Identifying patients that are less likely to achieve MCID can aid physicians by determining patients at risk for poor outcomes, then guiding patient expectations and providing patient-centered care. For any tables or figures, please contact the authors directly

We report gender differences in the epidemiology and outcome after hip fracture from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit, with data on admission and at 120 days follow-up from 22 orthopaedic units across the country between 1998 and 2005. Outcome measures included early mortality, length of hospital stay, 120-day residence and mobility. A multivariate logistic regression model compared outcomes between genders. The study comprised 25 649 patients of whom 5674 (22%) were men and 19 975 (78%) were women. The men were in poorer pre-operative health, despite being younger at presentation (mean 77 years (60 to 101) vs 81 years (50 to 106)). Pre-fracture residence and mobility were similar between genders. Multivariate analysis indicated that the men were less likely to return to their home or mobilise independently at the 120-day follow-up. Mortality at 30 and 120 days was higher for men, even after differences in case-mix variables between genders were considered

Aim. Infection is one of the worst complications following total joint arthroplasty, which is often associated with significant morbidity and increased medical costs. Although Gram–positive bacteria remains the most prevalent causative agents, an increase in prosthetic joint infections (PJI) due to gram-negative bacteria (GNB) has been reported. Additionally, the emergence of multidrug resistant resistance (MDR) in GNB impacts the therapeutic options and may increase the rate of treatment failure and drug toxicity adverse effects due the prescription of harmful and toxics antimicrobial schemes. The purpose of the present study was to describe the predisposing factors associated to PJI caused by MDR-GNB in a specialized orthopedic reference hospital in Brazil from 2014 through 2018. Method. Retrospective case-control analysis of patients treated for MDR-GNB PJI over a four-year period (2014–2018). Data were collected from medical, surgical and laboratory records. PJI were defined according the criteria of MSIS. MDR was defined as non-susceptibility to at least one agent in three or more antimicrobial categories. Patients with prosthetic infection with at least two positive tissue cultures for MDR-GNB were selected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to determine the independent risk factors associated with MDR-GNB PJI. Controls: patients with PJI with at least two positive tissue culture for non MDR- GNB. Results. A total of 104 patients were selected, 59 patients in the MDR-GNB PJI group and 44 in the control. Patients with MDR-GNB PJI were elderly (mean age of 68.36), distribution among sex was similar (49.2% female and 50.8% male) and 72.3% had one or more comorbidities. Most frequently identified comorbidities were diabetes (10.2%), malnutrition (5.5%), hypertension (4.7 %) and obesity (3.9%). Hip replacement accounted for 91.5% of the cases and 59.3% were revision arthroplasty. The mean time between the placement of the prothesis and the onset of PJI signs and symptoms was 438 days. In the univariate regression, the significant risk factors for MDR-GNB PJI were revision arthroplasty, alcoholism, nonelective arthroplasty, prior antimicrobial use, presence of concomitant infection and blood transfusion. However, in the multivariate analysis, prior use of antimicrobials (OR 9.31, CI95% 3.02–28.64) and the nonelective arthroplasty (OR 6.29, CI95% 1.75–22.6) remained as independent risk factors for MDR-GNB PJI. Conclusions. Previous use of antimicrobial and nonelective arthroplasty are important risk factors for PJI by GNB MDR

Objectives. This study reports on a secondary exploratory analysis of the early clinical outcomes of a randomised clinical trial comparing robotic arm-assisted unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) for medial compartment osteoarthritis of the knee with manual UKA performed using traditional surgical jigs. This follows reporting of the primary outcomes of implant accuracy and gait analysis that showed significant advantages in the robotic arm-assisted group. Methods. A total of 139 patients were recruited from a single centre. Patients were randomised to receive either a manual UKA implanted with the aid of traditional surgical jigs, or a UKA implanted with the aid of a tactile guided robotic arm-assisted system. Outcome measures included the American Knee Society Score (AKSS), Oxford Knee Score (OKS), Forgotten Joint Score, Hospital Anxiety Depression Scale, University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) activity scale, Short Form-12, Pain Catastrophising Scale, somatic disease (Primary Care Evaluation of Mental Disorders Score), Pain visual analogue scale, analgesic use, patient satisfaction, complications relating to surgery, 90-day pain diaries and the requirement for revision surgery. Results. From the first post-operative day through to week 8 post-operatively, the median pain scores for the robotic arm-assisted group were 55.4% lower than those observed in the manual surgery group (p = 0.040). At three months post-operatively, the robotic arm-assisted group had better AKSS (robotic median 164, interquartile range (IQR) 131 to 178, manual median 143, IQR 132 to 166), although no difference was noted with the OKS. At one year post-operatively, the observed differences with the AKSS had narrowed from a median of 21 points to a median of seven points (p = 0.106) (robotic median 171, IQR 153 to 179; manual median 164, IQR 144 to 182). No difference was observed with the OKS, and almost half of each group reached the ceiling limit of the score (OKS > 43). A greater proportion of patients receiving robotic arm-assisted surgery improved their UCLA activity score. Binary logistic regression modelling for dichotomised outcome scores predicted the key factors associated with achieving excellent outcome on the AKSS: a pre-operative activity level > 5 on the UCLA activity score and use of robotic-arm surgery. For the same regression modelling, factors associated with a poor outcome were manual surgery and pre-operative depression. Conclusion. Robotic arm-assisted surgery results in improved early pain scores and early function scores in some patient-reported outcomes measures, but no difference was observed at one year post-operatively. Although improved results favoured the robotic arm-assisted group in active patients (i.e. UCLA ⩾ 5), these do not withstand adjustment for multiple comparisons. Cite this article: M. J. G. Blyth, I. Anthony, P. Rowe, M. S. Banger, A. MacLean, B. Jones. Robotic arm-assisted versus conventional unicompartmental knee arthroplasty: Exploratory secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial. Bone Joint Res 2017;6:631–639. DOI: 10.1302/2046-3758.611.BJR-2017-0060.R1

Introduction. There is insufficient data on the trends of anticoagulation after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in the USA, and the efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban, beyond randomized clinical trials and small cohort studies. Patients and Methods. Using the Truven Health MarketScan database, we retrospectively evaluated new anticoagulation prescriptions after elective TKA from 2010 to 2015. The frequency of deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism (PE), and adverse events, within 90 days, were then evaluated in 24,856 new users of warfarin and 21,398 new users of rivaroxaban in commercially insured patients (COM), and 15,483 new users of warfarin and 8,997 new users of rivaroxaban in Medicare supplement patients (MED). Data was analyzed by odds ratios using logistic regression models with stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting. Results. Warfarin use decreased from approximately 50% to 17% in COM patients and 60% to 25% in MED patients. Rivaroxaban use increased from 0 to 35% in COM patients and from 0 to 39% in MED patients. Older patients, females, a history of DVT, renal impairment, use of antiplatelet agents or surgery performed as an outpatient had lower odds of getting rivaroxaban. Patients in Western region and having surgery in 2015 had higher odds of getting rivaroxaban. COM patients with capitated insurance plans and a history of PE had lower odds of rivaroxaban initiation. MED patients with atrial fibrillation, cardiovascular disease or hyperlipidemia had lower odds of rivaroxaban initiation. Warfarin users had significantly higher odds ratio of DVT (OR 2.06 in COM patients and OR 2.21 in MED patients) and PE (OR 2.03 in COM patients and OR 2.16 in MED patients) than rivaroxaban users. There were no statistically significant differences in the bleeding risk between the two agents, but warfarin users had a significantly higher odds ratio of periprosthetic infection in both COM (1.57) and MED (1.79) patients. Conclusions. There has been an increase in prophylaxis with rivaroxaban, and a decrease in both warfarin and LMWH use after elective TKA over four years. Rivaroxaban had lower odds ratio of both DVT and PE than warfarin, and bleeding risks were similar. For figures, tables, or references, please contact authors directly

Seligman’s theory of causal attribution predicts that patients with a pessimistic explanatory style will have less favourable health outcomes. We identified 702 patients who had undergone 894 primary total knee replacements between 1993 and 2005, who responded to follow-up surveys at two (n = 783 knee replacements) and/or five years (n = 443 knee replacements) and had also completed the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory long before the joint replacement (median = 16.6 and 14.5 years for two- and five-year cohorts, respectively). Scores from the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory Optimism-Pessimism scale were used to categorise patients as pessimistic (t-score > 60) or non-pessimistic (t-score ≤ 60). Multivariate logistic regression models assessing the effect of pessimistic explanatory style on pain or improvement in knee function were adjusted for gender, age, distance from the place of treatment and depression score. Pessimists reported (a) significantly more moderate or severe pain at two years with odds ratio 2.21 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12 to 4.35; p = 0.02), but not at five years when the odds ratio was 1.21 (95% CI 0.51 to 2.83; p = 0.67); and (b) less improvement in knee function at two years when the odds ratio was 0.53 (95% CI 0.30 to 0.96; p = 0.04), but not at five years when the odds ratio was 1.26 (95% CI 0.57 to 2.77; p = 0.57). No significant associations with moderate or severe limitation of activity were seen at two or five years. We conclude that a pessimistic explanatory style is associated with worse pain and functional outcomes two years after total knee replacement

Aim. Duration of perioperative antimicrobial prophylaxis (PAP) remains controversial in prevention of fracture-related infection (FRI) – with rates up to 30% - in open fracture (OF) management. Objectives were to investigate the impact of the PAP duration exclusively in or related to long bone OF trauma patients and the influence of augmented renal clearance (ARC), a known phenomenon in trauma patients, as PAP consists of predominantly renally eliminated antibiotics. Method. Trauma patients with operatively treated OF, admitted between January 2003 and January 2017 at the University Hospitals Leuven, were retrospectively evaluated. FRI was defined following the criteria of the consensus definition of FRI. A logistic regression model was conducted with FRI as outcome. Results were considered statistically significant when p< 0.05. Results. Forty (8%) from the 502 patients developed a FRI, with 20% FRIs in Gustilo-Anderson (GA) III OFs. Higher GA grade and polytrauma were independently associated with the occurrence of FRI. The heterogeneity in OF management, especially with regard to the applied PAP regimens and duration, was striking and consequently hampering the investigation on the impact of PAP duration. To overcome this issue, a subgroup analysis was performed in patients treated with the two PAP regimens as defined in the hospitals' guidelines – i.e. cefazolin, with metronidazole and tobramycine when extensive contamination was present -, revealing flap coverage and relative duration of augmented renal ARC as independently associated factors. Conclusions. For the first time, a definition based on diagnostic criteria was used to objectively include patients with a FRI. In order to support clinicians in establishing strategies to prevent FRI in long bone OFs, further prospective large randomized controlled trials with clearly predefined PAP regimens are needed to provide reliable recommendations regarding the impact of duration of PAP and ARC

Introduction. Ilizarov fixator is an invaluable tool in managing complex orthopaedic problem. Many factors influence adverse events such as pin site infections and failure of treatment. Our study evaluated risk factors affecting patient compliance and unfavourable outcome of Ilizarov surgery. Materials and Methods. This is a retrospective observational study conducted at LNH, Karachi over a period of 4 years. Factors affecting patient compliance towards frame care such as family income, living standard, ethnic/cultural background etc were evaluated. Outcome measures were evaluated as a result of poor frame care. T-Test was used for continuous and chi-square were used for categorical variables. Individual risk factors were evaluated using logistic regression model. Results. Total 193 patients were evaluated, among them 37 (19.17%) had unfavourable outcome i.e, pin tract infections in 28(14%) and failure of treatment in 9(4.6%). Failure of treatment was noted in 4 patients who abandon treatment while amputation was done in rest of 5 patients due to fulminant infection in 2, RSD in 2 and vascular compromise in 1 patient. It was observed that ethnic background, education and patient's own interest in frame care played a significant role for pin tract infections and failure of treatment. Conclusion. Patient compliance with frame care in Ilizarov surgery significantly affecting outcomes that needs patient counselling in order to get optimal results from treatment

In a clinical setting, there is a need for simple gait kinematic measurements to facilitate objective unobtrusive patient monitoring. The objective of this study is to determine if a learned classification model's output can be used to monitor a person's recovery status post-TKA. The gait kinematics of 20 asymptomatic and 17 people with TKA were measured using a full-body Xsens model. 1. The experimental group was measured at 6 weeks, 3, 6, and 12 months post-surgery. Joint angles of the ankle, knee, hip, and spine per stride (10 strides) were extracted from the Xsens software (MVN Awinda studio 4.4). 1. . Statistical features for each subject at each evaluation moment were derived from the kinematic time-series data. We normalised the features using standard scaling. 2. We trained a logistic regression (LR) model using L1-regularisation on the 6 weeks post-surgery data2–4. After training, we applied the trained LR- model to the normalised features computed for the subsequent timepoints. The model returns a score between 0 (100% confident the person is an asymptomatic control) and 1 (100% confident this person is a patient). The decision boundary is set at 0.5. The classification accuracy of our LR-model was 94.58%. Our population's probability of belonging to the patient class decreases over time. At 12 months post-TKA, 38% of our patients were classified as asymptomatic

Aim. Cutibacterium acnes is a significant cause of late-onset spinal implant infection (SII). In addition, usual preoperative prophylactic measures may be insufficient to prevent C. acnes operating site colonisation and infection, as demonstrated for prosthetic shoulder surgery. However, little information is available regarding risk factors for SII due to this microorganism. The aims of this study were to determine the characteristics of and risk factors for C. acnes SII. Method. we conducted a retrospective unmatched case-control study including all adult patients treated for mono and polymicrobial C. acnes SII during 2010–2015. Controls were randomly selected among patients diagnosed with SII due to other microorganisms during the same period. Results. Fifty-nine patients with C. acnes SII were compared with 59 controls. There was no difference in sex distribution (39% vs 53% men). Patients with C. acnes SII were younger (median age 42 vs. 65, p< 0.001), thinner (median body mass index (BMI) 21 vs. 25 kg/m. 2. , p< 0.001), and presented a better health status (ASA score≤ 2, 83% vs. 65%, p= 0.015; and presence of immunosuppression, 3% vs. 27%, p= 0.002). Patients with C. acnes SII were more likely to experience delayed/late infections (i.e. diagnosed >3 months post-instrumentation, 66% vs. 22%, p< 0.001) and to be instrumented for scoliosis (83% vs. 27%, p< 0.001) with an extended osteosynthesis (median number of fused vertebrae 12 vs. 5, p< 0.001). However, 20 C. acnes SII (34%) developed early (≤3 months) after instrumentation. The clinical presentation was significantly more indolent in the C. acnes group (presence of fever, 27% vs. 61%, p= 0.001; wound inflammation 39% vs. 61%, p< 0.001 and median C-reactive protein level 38 vs. 146 mg/L). Mixed C. acnes SII were diagnosed on 24 occasions (41%), 22 of which involving both C. acnes and staphylococcal strains. In the multivariate logistic regression model, factors independently associated with the development of SII involving C. acnes were age less than 65 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 7.13, 95% CI [2.44–24.4], p= 0.001), BMI< 22kg/m. 2. (aOR 3.71 [1.34–10.7], p= 0.012) and a number of fused vertebrae >10 (aOR 3.90 IC 95% [1.51–10.4], p= 0.005). Conclusions. There were significant differences between SII involving C. acnes and those involving other microorganisms. We identified a specific profile of patients at increased risk of developing C. acnes SII. These findings could contribute to improve both the prevention and treatment of such infections

Purpose. To explore the relationship in terms of time scale between pre-operative expectations and postoperative outcomes and satisfaction after Hallux valgus surgery. Methods. A patient derived questionnaire was developed and 30 patients aged 19 to 67 were included undergoing primary hallux valgus correction with a first metatarsal osteotomy and distal soft tissue release. Patients were asked pre-operatively to quantify their expected time scale for improvement in pain, ability to walk unaided, ability to drive, routine foot wear and foot feeling normal at 6 weeks, 3 and 6 months following surgery, and to indicate their confidence in achieving this result. Patients recorded postoperative outcomes achieved at number of weeks. Ordinal logistic regression multivariate modelling was used to examine predictors of postoperative satisfaction. Results. 90% of the patients were able to walk unaided and drive before or around the expected time scale at an average of five weeks' time. Persistent pain subsided at an average of two weeks post operatively which led to high satisfaction Although differences between patients' expectation and achievement were minimal at 6 weeks post-operatively, there was some discrepancy at 3 months, with patient expectations far exceeding achievement. The least satisfactory outcome was normal feeling of foot at six months follow up. There were significant correlations between failure to achieve expectations and the importance patients attached to recovery. Conclusions. This study underlines the importance of taking preoperative expectations into account to obtain an informed choice on the basis of the patient's preferences. Patients' pre-operative expectations of surgical outcome exceed their functional achievement but satisfaction remains high if pain control and ability to walk unaided is achieved early after hallux valgus corrective surgery

Aims. Patients seeking cervical spine surgery are thought to be increasing in age, comorbidities and functional debilitation. The changing demographics of this population may significantly impact the outcomes of their care, specifically with regards to complications. In this study, our goals were to determine the rates of functionally dependent patients undergoing elective cervical spine procedures and to assess the effect of functional dependence on 30-day morbidity and mortality using a large, validated national cohort. Patients and Methods. A retrospective analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data files from 2006 to 2013 was conducted to identify patients undergoing common cervical spine procedures. Multivariate logistic regression models were generated to analyse the independent association of functional dependence with 30-day outcomes of interest. Results. Patients with lower functional status had significantly higher rates of medical comorbidities. Even after accounting for these comorbidities, type of procedure and pre-operative diagnosis, analyses demonstrated that functional dependence was independently associated with significantly increased odds of sepsis (odds ratio (OR) 5.04), pulmonary (OR 4.61), renal (OR 3.33) and cardiac complications (OR 4.35) as well as mortality (OR 11.08). Conclusions. Spine surgeons should be aware of the inherent risks of these procedures with the functionally dependent patient population when deciding on whether to perform cervical spine surgery, delivering pre-operative patient counselling, and providing peri-operative management and surveillance. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B:824–8

Introduction. A variety of patient reported outcome (PRO) surveys have been established and validated to evaluate the effectiveness of surgical interventions. The Hip Disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (HOOS) has been validated as one method to evaluate the effectiveness of total hip arthroplasty patients and facilitates the assessment of factors that alter patient outcomes in hip arthroplasty. This retrospective study assesses the effect of psychological post-operative expectations on HOOS in total hip arthroplasty patients. In this pilot study, patient data was collected for 499 patients using the AAOS established Musculoskeletal Outcomes Data Evaluation and Management System (MODEMS) [1] and HOOS surveys. Method. Patient data was matched using similar preoperative HOOS scores to allow for comparable room for improvement in HOOS score postoperatively. Patients were placed into groups of high performers and low performers. HOOS is based on a 0 to 100 scale, 100 as the best possible outcome. High performers were defined as those with a HOOS growth ratio of 0.8 and above with the best performers reaching a ratio of 1. Low performers were defined as those with the aforementioned ratio below a value of 0.3. Using these defined groups, we were able to compare the summation of patient specific MODEMS scores using univariate regression. The HOOS growth ratio is calculated based on the following:. HOOS growth ratio = (HOOS postop – HOOS preop)/(100-HOOS preop). Principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted to identify the significant group of factors that could identify changes in the outcome of 41 patients (20 low performers and 21 high performers). Results and analysis. PCA was conducted on 5 items with orthogonal rotation (varimax). The Kaiser–Meyer–Olkin measure verified the sampling adequacy for the analysis, KMO = .0.688, which is well above the acceptable limit of .5 (Field, 2009). Two components had eigenvalues over Kaiser's criterion of 1 and in combination explained 74.49% of the variance (see Fig. 1). The Scree plot demonstrated the two components that were retained in the final analysis. Component 1 represents expected outcome measured on household activity, sleep comfort, and expected relief; the second component consisted of expected outcome based on recreation activity and expected time to return to job. The outcome of the logistic regression model indicated that the factors in the first component group could significantly identify the performance of patients after surgery. Conclusions. In this study, we used the MODEMS questionnaire to find the postoperative performance outcome of patients with THA. MODEMS has shown potential in identifying high and low performance individuals; however, the major component in this questionnaire was expected outcome measured on household activity, sleep comfort, and expected relief

Background: The direct anterior approach (DAA) for total hip arthroplasty (THA) has rapidly become popular, but there is little consensus regarding the risks and benefits of this approach in comparison with a modern posterior approach (PA). Methods: 2,147 patients who underwent DAA THA were propensity score matched with patients undergoing PA THA on the basis of age, gender, body-mass index (BMI) and American Society of Anaesthesia classification using data from a state joint replacement registry. Mean age of the matched cohort was 64.8 years, mean BMI was 29.1 kg/m2 and 53% were female. Multilevel logistic regression models using generalised estimating equations (GEEs) to control for grouping at the hospital level were utilised to identify differences in various outcomes. Results: There was no difference in the dislocation rate between patients undergoing DAA (0.84%) and PA (0.79%) THA. Trends indicating a slightly longer length of stay with the PA and a slightly greater risk of fracture, increased blood loss and hematoma with the DAA are consistent with previous studies. Conclusion: On the basis of short-term outcome and complication data, neither approach has a compelling advantage over each other, including no difference in the dislocation risk

Background. There is growing clinical and policy emphasis on minimizing transfusion use in elective joint arthroplasty, but little is known about the degree to which transfusion rates vary across US hospitals. This study aimed to assess hospital-level variation in use of allogeneic blood transfusion in patients undergoing elective joint arthroplasty, and to characterize the extent to which variability is attributable to differences in patient and hospital characteristics. Methods. The study population included 228,316 patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA) at 922 hospitals and 88,081 patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA) at 606 hospitals from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2011, in the Nationwide Inpatient Sample database, a 20% stratified sample of US community hospitals. Results. The median hospital transfusion rates were 11.0% (interquartile range, 3.5% to 18.5%) in TKA and 15.9% (interquartile range, 5.4% to 26.2%) in THA. After fully adjusting for patient- and hospital-related factors using mixed-effects logistic regression models, the average predicted probability of blood transfusion use in TKA was 6.3%, with 95% of the hospitals having a predicted probability between 0.37% and 55%. For THA, the average predicted probability of blood transfusion use was 9.5%, with 95% of the hospitals having a predicted probability between 0.57% and 66%. Hospital transfusion rates were inversely associated with hospital procedure volume and directly associated with length of stay. Conclusions. The use of blood transfusion in elective joint arthroplasty varied widely across US hospitals, largely independent of patient case-mix and hospital characteristics

Introduction. Patient satisfaction is an important outcome measure after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and is the ultimate goal of surgery. However, patient satisfaction reflects a complex construct of the patient's personal expectations and preferences in addition to subjective evaluation of outcome after TKA. Multiple studies have found a patient dissatisfaction rate of approximately 20% at 1 year after TKA. The purpose of this study is to determine whether there is an association between a single-item validated TKA satisfaction score and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) at 3 time points (1, 2, and 5 years after TKA) and to determine if dissatisfaction rate after TKA varies over time. Methods. A multi-center, prospective cohort of 12,952 patients (8,078 patients were assessed at 1-year, 702 patients at 2-year, and 4,172 patients at 5-year) undergoing primary TKA were enrolled by 230 surgeons in 28 states between 2012–2015. Surgeons practices varied in size, reimbursement models, and geographic setting ensuring that the cohort included diverse patient populations and delivery models. Surgeons agreed to invite all TKA patients to participate and sporadic audits of surgical logs validated that all patients were invited and > 90% of patients were included. Demographic and clinical data [age, gender, body mass index (BMI), and modified Charlson co-morbidity index (CCI)] were collected. Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) were collected pre-op and post-op at 1, 2, and 5 years using an internet-based platform including the KOOS (total score, and pain, ADL, QoL sub scores), KOOS Jr, SF-36 (PCS and MCS). We used the single-item satisfaction scale which was tested and validated by the Swedish Knee Arthroplasty Registry. The patients' responses were made on 5-point Likert scale (very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, neutral, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied). Patients were classified into 2 categories: satisfied group for patients who answered satisfied or very satisfied and dissatisfied group for patients answered neutral, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied. Univariate analysis of the difference between the satisfied and dissatisfied patients' groups was performed using Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables and chi-square test for categorical variables. Logistic regression model was performed to study the correlation between the satisfaction and PROMs with 95% confidence interval. Results. Mean age was 66.6 years, 62.7% were female, and mean BMI was 31.6. The CCI was 0 in 55.1%, 1 in 22%, 2–5 in 12.6% and ≥ 6 in 10.3%. Cumulative revision rate was 1.29% at 2 years. The 30-day adverse events incidence was 2.5% while the 90-day adverse events incidence was 4.7%. The dissatisfaction rate was 18.1% at 1-year, 11.5% at 2-year, and 8.5% at 5-year (P<0.001, Chi-square). Dissatisfaction significantly affects younger patients (<55 years) (P=0.04, Chi-square) and patients with high Charlson comorbidity index >1 (P=0.001, Chi-square). Low post-operative KOOS Pain, KOOS ADL, KOOS total score, KOOS JR, SF-36 PCS, and SP-36 MCS scores were significantly associated with dissatisfaction (P<0.001). At 5 years follow-up, in patients with KOOS scores greater than 70, 1.3% of patients were dissatisfied; with KOOS 50–70, 16.3% were dissatisfied and when KOOS < 50, 62.2% are dissatisfied. Logistic regression showed significant correlation of satisfaction with postoperative KOOS pain, KOOS ADL, KOOS QoL, KOOS total score, KOOS JR, and SF-36 PCS (P< 0.001) at 1-year, 2-year, and at 5-year. The MCS was correlated with patient satisfaction only at 1-year (P< 0.001). Conclusion. The patient dissatisfaction rate 5 years after TKA is 8.1% in FORCE-TJR patients which is significantly lower than 18.1% at 1-year. Less improvement of PROM scores after TKA are significantly associated with patient dissatisfaction. Postoperative PROM scores are associated with patient satisfaction at 1-year, 2-years, and 5-years. When the 5-year post- op KOOS total score is >70, 98.7% of patients are satisfied and only 1.3% are dissatisfied. Patient satisfaction is an important outcome measure after TKA that can be determined by asking a single question. However, in order to understand why a patient is dissatisfied, KOOS scores (KOOS pain, KOOS ADL, KOOS QoL) that assess specific postoperative outcomes can assist in determining the reason for patient dissatisfaction after TKA

Background. Previous surgery is known to increase the risk of complications during spine surgery, but few studies have quantified the dose-response effect using multivariate models to account for confounders. We quantified the effect of the number of prior spine surgeries on perioperative complications in patients undergoing surgery for lumbar degenerative disorders. Methods. We included data from 4′940 patients documented in Eurospine's Spine Tango Registry from 2004 to 2015. Medical history and surgical details were documented on the Tango Surgery form, as were surgical and general medical complications arising between admission and discharge. Multiple logistic regression models were built to investigate the relationship between the number of any previous surgeries and the presence of a perioperative complication, controlling for other potential confounders (age, sex, smoking, BMI, comorbidity, number of vertebral levels affected). Results. There were 9.4% surgical complications (most commonly dural tear, neurological sequelae, haematoma, infection) and 6.5 % general complications (most commonly cardiovascular, urinary, pulmonary, liver/GI). In the multivariable models, previous surgery significantly increased the odds of having a surgical complication (OR 1.148, 95%CI 1.051–1.253; p=0.002) and a medical complication (OR 1.185, 95%CI 1.074–1.307; p=0.001) i.e., for each previous surgery, the odds of a complication increased by 15% and 19%, respectively. Conclusion. We demonstrated a significant dose-response effect of previous surgery on the risk of incurring a complication during subsequent spine surgery. The results can be used by the surgeon when assessing the risk/benefit ratio of further surgery, for informing and consenting the patient. No conflicts of interest. No funding obtained

Background. Criticisms about overuse of MRI in low back pain are well documented. Yet, with the exception of suspicion of serious pathology, little is known about factors that influence clinicians' preference for MRI. We investigated the factors associated with physiotherapists' preference for MRI for patients consulting with benign low back and leg pain (LBLP) including sciatica. Methods. Data were collected from 607 primary care patients consulting with LBLP and assessed by 7 physiotherapists, in the ATLAS cohort study. Following clinical assessment, physiotherapists documented whether he/she wanted the patient to have an MRI. Factors potentially associated with clinicians' preference for imaging were selected a priori, from patient characteristics and clinical assessment findings. A mixed-effect logistic regression model examined the associations between these factors and physiotherapists' preference for MRI. Results. Physiotherapists expressed a preference for MRI in 32% (196/607) of patients, of whom 22 did not have a clinical diagnosis of sciatica (radiculopathy). Factors associated with preference for MRI included; clinical diagnosis of sciatica (OR 4.23: 95% CI 2.29,7.81), greater than 3 months pain duration (OR 2.61: 95% CI 1.58,4.30), high pain intensity (OR 1.24: 95%CI 1.11,1.37), patient's low expectation of improvement (OR 2.40: 95% 1.50,3.83), physiotherapist's confidence in the diagnosis (OR 1.19: 95% CI 1.07,1.33) with greater confidence associated with higher probability of preference for MRI. Conclusion. A clinical diagnosis of sciatica and longer symptom duration were most strongly associated with physiotherapists' preference for MRI. Given current best practice guidelines, these appear to be justifiable reasons for wanting patients to have an MRI. Conflicts of interest: None. Funding. SE was supported through an NIHR internship linked to an NIHR Research Professorship awarded to NEF (RP-01-015). NEF is an NIHR Senior Investigator. KK is supported through a HEFCE Senior Clinical Lecturer award. The views and opinions expressed therein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the NIHR, NHS or the Department of Health

Introduction. Rates of readmission and reoperation following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are under scrutiny due to new payment models, which penalize these negative outcomes. Many prior studies have demonstrated the risk of perioperative complications among patients with obesity. However, an elevated complication rate among patients with poor nutrition, as measured by hypoalbuminemia, has also been reported. We sought to determine whether controlling for hypoalbuminemia would mitigate the effect that prior authors had identified in patients with obesity. In addition, we hoped to identify an albumin threshold above which risk of readmission and reoperation would be minimized. Materials and Methods. We reviewed the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database for the period of 2008–2016 to evaluate the rates of perioperative complications among primary TKA patients by obesity category and albumin level. Patients were divided into groups according to World Health Organization obesity category and continuous as well as dichotomous albumin level. The primary outcomes were readmission and reoperation within 30 days of surgery. Patients without BMI or albumin data were excluded, as were patients undergoing surgery for the treatment of fracture or bone tumor. Univariate logistic regression compared predictive value of body mass index and albumin on incidence of these outcomes, using the normal weight and albumin > 3.5 g/dL groups as controls. Multivariate logistic regression modeling controlled for age, gender, and comorbidity status. Receiver operator curves (ROC) were generated to determine if an albumin threshold could be determined, above which risk for these complications would be minimized. Results. Outcome data was available 108,601 patients. Overall, 3,508 patients (3.46%) were readmitted and 1,219 patients (1.19%) underwent reoperation within 30 days. Hypoalbuminemia was present in 4,327 patients (4.11%), lowest in the Overweight group (3.16%) and highest in the Obese Type III (6.72%) and Underweight (12.62%) groups (p <0.001). Readmission and reoperation rates were highest among patients categorized as Obesity Class III (4.15 and 1.73%, respectively) compared with Normal Weight (3.59 and 1.14%, respectively, p <0.001). Readmission and reoperation rates were higher among patients with hypoalbuminemia (6.10 and 1.96%, respectively) compared with normal albumin (3.34 and 1.16%, respectively, p <0.001). After controlling for covariates of interest using multivariate regression including continuous albumin, odds ratio of readmission among the highest obesity category no longer differed from the Normal Weight control group. Odds ratio of reoperation among the highest obesity category declined from 1.52 to 1.38 after controlling for albumin and other covariates (p = 0.022). A subanalysis was performed excluding all patients with albumin < 3.5 g/dL, but results did not differ significantly from the multivariate model. ROC modeling was unable to identify a threshold for continuous BMI or albumin that would adequately mitigate risk for readmission or reoperation. Discussion. Albumin and obesity remain significant independent risk factors for reoperation following primary TKA procedures. However, after controlling for hypoalbuminemia and other important covariates, readmission rates did not significantly differ between patients with Normal Weight and any other obesity category. Controlling for albumin alone does not mitigate all risk imposed by obesity on perioperative outcomes. Future studies may assess whether preoperative albumin repletion or weight loss may improve outcomes for patients with hypoalbuminemia and obesity. For figures, tables, or references, please contact authors directly

Aims. The aim of this study was to determine the influence of pelvic parameters on the tendency of patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) to develop flatback deformity (thoracic hypokyphosis and lumbar hypolordosis) and its effect on quality-of-life outcomes. Patients and Methods. This was a radiological study of 265 patients recruited for Boston bracing between December 2008 and December 2013. Posteroanterior and lateral radiographs were obtained before, immediately after, and two-years after completion of bracing. Measurements of coronal and sagittal Cobb angles, coronal balance, sagittal vertical axis, and pelvic parameters were made. The refined 22-item Scoliosis Research Society (SRS-22r) questionnaire was recorded. Association between independent factors and outcomes of postbracing ≥ 6° kyphotic changes in the thoracic spine and ≥ 6° lordotic changes in the lumbar spine were tested using likelihood ratio chi-squared test and univariable logistic regression. Multivariable logistic regression models were then generated for both outcomes with odds ratios (ORs), and with SRS-22r scores. Results. Reduced T5-12 kyphosis (mean -4.3° (. sd. 8.2); p < 0.001), maximum thoracic kyphosis (mean -4.3° (. sd. 9.3); p < 0.001), and lumbar lordosis (mean -5.6° (. sd. 12.0); p < 0.001) were observed after bracing treatment. Increasing prebrace maximum kyphosis (OR 1.133) and lumbar lordosis (OR 0.92) was associated with postbracing hypokyphotic change. Prebrace sagittal vertical axis (OR 0.975), prebrace sacral slope (OR 1.127), prebrace pelvic tilt (OR 0.940), and change in maximum thoracic kyphosis (OR 0.878) were predictors for lumbar hypolordotic changes. There were no relationships between coronal deformity, thoracic kyphosis, or lumbar lordosis with SRS-22r scores. Conclusion. Brace treatment leads to flatback deformity with thoracic hypokyphosis and lumbar hypolordosis. Changes in the thoracic spine are associated with similar changes in the lumbar spine. Increased sacral slope, reduced pelvic tilt, and pelvic incidence are associated with reduced lordosis in the lumbar spine after bracing. Nevertheless, these sagittal parameter changes do not appear to be associated with worse quality of life. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2019;101-B:1370–1378