Pre-operative variables are increasingly being
used to determine eligibility for total knee replacement (TKR).
This study was undertaken to evaluate the relationships, interactions
and predictive capacity of variables available pre- and post-operatively
on patient satisfaction following TKR. Using nationally collected
patient reported outcome measures and data from the National Joint
Registry for England and Wales, we identified
22 798 patients who underwent TKR for osteoarthritis between August
2008 and September 2010. The ability of specific covariates to predict
satisfaction was assessed using ordinal logistic regression and
structural equational modelling. Only 4959 (22%) of 22 278 patients
rated the results of their TKR as ‘excellent’, despite the majority
(71%, n = 15 882) perceiving their knee symptoms to be much improved.
The strongest predictors of satisfaction were post-operative variables.
Satisfaction was significantly and positively related to the perception
of symptom improvement (operative success) and the post-operative
EuroQol-5D score. While also significant within the models pre-operative
variables were less important and had a minimal influence upon post-operative
satisfaction. The most robust predictions of satisfaction occurred
only when both pre- and post-operative variables were considered
together. These findings question the appropriateness of restricting
access to care based on arbitrary pre-operative thresholds as these
factors have little bearing on post-operative satisfaction. Cite this article:
