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Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 95-B, Issue SUPP_16 | Pages 44 - 44
1 Apr 2013
Goldhahn J Vestergaard P Bachmann L
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Introduction

Although a previous hip fracture is one of the strongest predictors for the next one this risk might be modified by other factors. The goal of this analysis was to compute a simple algorithm to assess the individual risk for a contralateral hip fracture.

Materials and methods

The analysis is based on a nationwide population-based Danish cohort study of 84,360 patients experiencing a hip fracture followed-up for 5 years. We a priori defined a set of 17 candidate parameters potentially associated with early contralateral hip fracture. We bootstrapped a stepwise augmentation procedure 10 times and selected five parameters that entered the model in all bootstrapping cycles and computed the individual risk for a contralateral fracture within two, three, and five years after the first incidence.