Avascular necrosis (AVN) of the femoral head is a potentially devastating complication of treatment for developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH). AVN most commonly occurs following operative management by closed (CR) or open reduction (OR). This occurrence has frequently been examined in single centre, retrospective studies, however, little high-level evidence exists to provide insight on potential risk factors. The purpose of this observational, prospective multi-centre study was to identify predictors of AVN following operatively-managed DDH.

A multi-centre, prospective database of infants diagnosed with DDH from 0–18 months was analyzed for patients treated by CR and/or OR. At minimum one year follow-up, the incidence of AVN (Salter criteria) was determined from AP pelvis radiographs via blinded assessment and consensus discussion between three senior paediatric orthopaedic surgeons. Patient demographics, clinical exam findings and radiographic data were assessed for potential predictors of AVN.

A total of 139 hips in 125 patients (102 female, 23 male) underwent CR/OR at a median age of 10.4 months (range 0.7–27.9). AVN was identified in 37 cases (26.6% incidence) at a median 23 months post-surgery. Univariate logistic regression analysis comparing AVN and no AVN groups identified sex, age at diagnosis, age at surgery, pre-surgery IHDI grade and time between diagnosis and surgery as potential predictive factors. Specifically, male sex (OR 2.21 [0.87,5.72]), IHDI grade IV, and older age at diagnosis (7.4 vs. 9.5 months) and surgery (10.2 vs. 13.6 months) were associated with development of AVN. Likewise, increased time between diagnosis and surgery (2.9 vs. 5.5 months) was also associated with a higher incidence. No association was found with surgery type (CR vs. OR), pre-surgery acetabular index or surgical hip.

Development of AVN occurred in 26.6% of hips undergoing CR or OR at a median 23 months post-surgery. Male sex, older age at diagnosis and surgery, dislocation severity and increased time between diagnosis and surgery were associated with AVN. Longer-term follow-up and larger numbers will be required to confirm these findings. Early outcomes from this prospective patient cohort suggest that AVN is an important complication of operative management for DDH, and appears to occur at a comparable rate whether the reduction is performed open or closed. Male patients may be more susceptible to developing AVN and merits further exploration. Potential predictive factors of older age and length of time between diagnosis and surgery emphasize the importance of early detection and treatment to minimize complications and optimize outcomes.

The Gartland extension-type supracondylar humerus fracture is the most common elbow fracture in the paediatric population. Depending on fracture classification, treatment options range from nonoperative treatment such as taping, splinting or casting to operative treatments such as closed reduction and percutaneous pinning or open reduction. Classification variability between surgeons is a potential contributing factor to existing controversy over nonoperative versus operative treatment for Type II supracondylar fractures. The purpose of this study was to investigate levels of agreement in classification of extension-type supracondylar humerus fractures using the Gartland classification system.

A retrospective chart review was conducted on patients aged 2–12 years who had sustained an extension-type supracondylar fracture and received either operative or nonoperative treatment at a tertiary children's hospital. De-identified baseline anteroposterior (AP) and lateral plain elbow radiographs were provided along with a brief summary of the modified Gartland classification system to surgeons across Canada, United States, Australia, United Kingdom and India. Each surgeon was blinded to patient treatment and asked to classify the fractures as Type I, IIA, IIB or III according to the classification system provided. A total of 21 paediatric orthopaedic surgeons completed one round of classification, of these, 15 completed a second round using the same radiographs in a reshuffled order. Kappa values using pre-determined weighted kappa coefficients were calculated to assess interobserver and intraobserver levels of agreement.

In total, 60 sets of baseline elbow radiographs were provided to survey respondents. Interobserver agreement for classification based on the Gartland criteria between surgeons was a mean of 0.68, 95% CI [0.67, 0.69] (0.61–0.80 considered substantial agreement). Intraobserver agreement was a mean of 0.80 [0.75, 0.84]. (0.61–0.80 substantial agreement, 0.81–1 almost perfect agreement).

Radiographic classification of extension-type supracondylar humerus fractures at baseline demonstrated substantial agreement both between and within surgeon raters. Levels of agreement are substantial enough to suggest that classification variability is not a major contributing factor to variability in treatment between surgeons for Type II supracondylar fractures. Further research is needed to compare patient outcomes between nonoperative and operative treatment for these fractures, so as to establish consensus and a standardized treatment protocol for optimal patient care across centres.