Overwhelming evidence has established obesity as a risk factor for osteoarthritis (OA) of the knee. Randomized clinical trials such as the Look AHEAD study have shown long term successful intentional weight loss with an intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) in overweight and obese type 2 diabetics. Weight loss can also decrease knee pain in persons who have OA, but it is unknown if intentional weight loss can reduce the risk of TKR. To answer this question, data from the Look AHEAD study were examined to determine if intentional weight loss could reduce the risk of TKR. Look AHEAD is a multicenter, randomized trial which began in August 2001 and follow-up continued for a median of 11.3 years at 16 academic centers. 5145 persons aged 45–76 with diabetes were randomized to either an ILI with reduced calorie consumption and increased physical activity designed or to diabetes support and education intervention (DSE). TKR events were ascertained every 6 months. Retrospective data of reported knee pain was assessed using the WOMAC knee pain questionnaire. Participants with partial TKR or revisions were excluded. Cox proportional hazard models were used to relate baseline BMI category (obese, Class I, Class II, or Class III obesity), baseline knee pain, and treatment group with TKR. Weight change category (lost<=5%, stable, gained>=2%) from baseline to year 1 follow-up by treatment assignment was also examined as a predictor of TKR after excluding TKR occurring prior to year 1.Introduction
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