External validation of machine learning predictive models is achieved through evaluation of model performance on different groups of patients than were used for algorithm development. This important step is uncommonly performed, inhibiting clinical translation of newly developed models. Recently, machine learning was used to develop a tool that can quantify revision risk for a patient undergoing primary anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (https://swastvedt.shinyapps.io/calculator_rev/). The source of data included nearly 25,000 patients with primary ACL reconstruction recorded in the Norwegian Knee Ligament Register (NKLR). The result was a well-calibrated tool capable of predicting revision risk one, two, and five years after primary ACL reconstruction with moderate accuracy. The purpose of this study was to determine the external validity of the NKLR model by assessing algorithm performance when applied to patients from the Danish Knee Ligament Registry (DKLR). The primary outcome measure of the NKLR model was probability of revision ACL reconstruction within 1, 2, and/or 5 years. For the index study, 24 total predictor variables in the NKLR were included and the models eliminated variables which did not significantly improve prediction ability - without sacrificing accuracy. The result was a well calibrated algorithm developed using the Cox Lasso model that only required five variables (out of the original 24) for outcome prediction. For this external validation study, all DKLR patients with complete data for the five variables required for NKLR prediction were included. The five variables were: graft choice, femur fixation device, Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) Quality of Life subscale score at surgery, years from injury to surgery, and age at surgery. Predicted revision probabilities were calculated for all DKLR patients. The model performance was assessed using the same metrics as the NKLR study: concordance and calibration. In total, 10,922 DKLR patients were included for analysis. Average follow-up time or time-to-revision was 8.4 (±4.3) years and overall revision rate was 6.9%. Surgical technique trends (i.e., graft choice and fixation devices) and injury characteristics (i.e., concomitant meniscus and cartilage pathology) were dissimilar between registries. The model produced similar concordance when applied to the DKLR population compared to the original NKLR test data (DKLR: 0.68; NKLR: 0.68-0.69). Calibration was poorer for the DKLR population at one and five years post primary surgery but similar to the NKLR at two years. The NKLR machine learning algorithm demonstrated similar performance when applied to patients from the DKLR, suggesting that it is valid for application outside of the initial patient population. This represents the first machine learning model for predicting revision ACL reconstruction that has been externally validated. Clinicians can use this in-clinic calculator to estimate revision risk at a patient specific level when discussing outcome expectations pre-operatively. While encouraging, it should be noted that the performance of the model on patients undergoing ACL reconstruction outside of Scandinavia remains unknown.
Surgery performed in low-volume centres has been associated with longer operating time, longer hospital stays, lower functional outcomes, and higher rates of revision surgery, complications, and mortality. This has been reported consistently in the arthroplasty literature, but there is a paucity of data regarding the relationship between surgical volume and outcome following anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction. The purpose of this study was to compare the ACL reconstruction failure rate between hospitals performing different annual surgical volumes. The hypothesis was that ACL reconstructions performed at low-volume hospitals would be associated with higher failure rates than those performed at high-volume centres. This level-II cohort study included all patients from the Norwegian Knee Ligament Registry that underwent isolated primary autograft ACL reconstruction between 2004 and 2016. Hospital volume was divided into quintiles based on the number of ACL reconstructions performed annually, defined arbitrarily as: 1–12 (V1), 13–24 (V2), 25–49 (V3), 50–99 (V4), and ≥100 (V5) annual procedures. Kaplan-Meier estimated survival curves and survival percentages were calculated with revision ACL reconstruction as the end point. Mean change in Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) Quality of Life and Sport subsections from pre-operative to two-year follow-up were compared using t-test. 19,204 patients met the inclusion criteria and 1,103 (5.7%) underwent subsequent revision ACL reconstruction over the study period. Patients in the lower volume categories (V1-3) were more often male (58–59% vs. 54–55% p=<0.001) and older (27 years vs. 24–25 years, p=<0.001) compared to the higher volume hospitals (V4-5). Concomitant meniscal injuries (52% vs. 40%) and participation in pivoting sports (63% vs. 56%) were most common in V5 compared with V1 (p=<0.001). Median operative time decreased as hospital volume increased, ranging from 90 minutes at V1 hospitals to 56 minutes at V5 hospitals (p=<0.005). Complications occurred at a rate of 3.8% at low-volume (V1) hospitals versus 1.9% at high-volume (V5) hospitals (p=<0.001). Unadjusted 10-year survival with 95% confidence intervals for each hospital volume category were: V1 – 95.1% (93.7–96.5%), V2 – 94.1% (93.1–95.1%), V3 – 94.2% (93.6–94.8%), V4 – 92.6% (91.8–93.4%), and V5 – 91.9% (90.9–92.9%). There was no difference in improvement between pre-operative and two-year follow-up KOOS scores between hospital volume categories. Patients having ACL reconstruction at lower volume hospitals did not have inferior clinical or patient reported outcomes, and actually demonstrated a lower revision rate. Complications occurred more frequently however, and operative duration was longer. The decreased revision rate is an interesting finding that may be partly explained by the fact that patients being treated in these small, often rural hospitals, may be of lower demand as suggested by the increased age and decreased participation in pivoting sports. In addition, patients with more complicated pathology such as meniscal tears were more commonly treated in the larger volume hospitals. The most significant limitation of this study is that provider volume was not assessed, and the number of surgeons dividing up the surgical volume at each hospital is not known.
presence, the tissue density and the co-existence of different glutamate receptors together with glutamate in tendinopathic biopsies and controls.
As a level I trauma hospital, OOU receives an increasing number of knee dislocations. This study evaluates acute knee dislocations seen at OOU from May 1. 1996 through Dec 2004.
In addition one patient had a ruptur of the patellar tendon and one a patella dislocation. Two of the patients in this group had a vascular injury. On admittance the patients underwent a diagnostic exam in the emergency room.. All the patients then had a MRI. The patients were the placed in a brace and on a CPM 2 hours 2 times a day for 7 days, and the vascular status was monitored closely. After 7–10 days the patients underwent surgery including arthroscopic reconstruction of the ACL and PCL with auto or preferably, if available allograft. Results for patient with a followup for more than 6 months are presented including IKDS, Cincinatti, Tegner and a clinical exam with KT1000.
Screw stripping in osteoporotic bone and bone of otherwise poor quality represents a common problem. Treatment alternatives, such as using a larger diameter screw or a longer plate, may add time, increase morbidity, be impractical, or simply be ineffective. Alternatively, the stripped screw can be augmented with a bone cement. A new injectable synthetic cortical bone void filler (Cor-toSSTM) is based on a resin system, resulting in a very strong, radiopaque, extensively crosslinked, biocompatible composite that does not resorb. We tested the safety and efficacy of the new bone cement in augmenting stripped screws until bone healing. Of a total of 143 screws implanted in 24 patients with ankle fractures (average age 66. 8 years), 61 became stripped and were augmented. The primary efficacy endpoint was successful intraoperative screw augmentation. The secondary endpoint was whether screw fixation, determined radiologically, remained effective during the 3-month follow-up required for the fracture to heal. All the stripped screws were successfully augmented. During follow-up at 24 hours, 7 days, and 1 month, none showed any movement relative to either the plate or the bone. At 3 months, one augmented screw in a patient with severe osteoporosis showed gross movement above the plate, which did not affect healing. Serial radiographic analysis did not show the development of any lucencies or cracks in the cement. All fractures healed within 3 months following surgery. Screw augmentation allowed successful reduction and fixation of the fractures. No adverse events directly attributable to the device were observed. The new bone void filler represents a safe, simple, and reliable method by which to achieve stable internal fixation constructs in patients in whom bone screws fail to gain purchase due to poor bone quality or overtightening.