Hip fracture patients are vulnerable to delirium. This study examined the associations between delirium and outcomes including mortality, length of stay, post-discharge care requirements, and readmission. This cohort study collected validated healthcare data for all hip fracture patients aged ≥50 years that presented to a high-volume centre between March 2020-November 2021. Variables included: demographics, delirium status, COVID-19 status, treatment factors, and outcome measures. Wilcoxon rank sum or Chi-squared tests were used for baseline differences, Cox proportional hazard regression for mortality, logistic regression for post-discharge care requirements and readmission, and linear regression for length of stay. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, pre-fracture residence type and COVID-19. There were 1822 patients (mean age 81 years; 72% female) of which 496/1822 (27.2%) had delirium (4AT score ≥4). Of 371/1822 (20.4%) patients that died within 180 days of admission, 177/371 (47.7%) had delirium during the acute stay. Delirium was associated with an increased 30- and 180-day mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.74 (95%CI 1.15-2.64; p=0.009 and 1.74 (1.36-2.22; p<0.001), respectively), ten day longer total inpatient stay [adj. B.coef 9.80 (standard error 2.26); p<0.001] and three-fold greater odds of higher care requirements on discharge [Odds Ratio 3.07 (95% Confidence Interval 2.27-4.15; p<0.001)]. More than a quarter of patients had delirium during the hip fracture stay, and this was independently associated with increased mortality, longer length of stay, and higher post-discharge care requirements. These findings are relevant for prognostication and service planning, and emphasise the importance of effective delirium screening and evidence-based interventions in this vulnerable population

Aims. The aims of this study were to investigate whether 1) multispecialist tertiary intervention for complex spinal pain lead to reductions in spine-related healthcare costs and 2) baseline characteristics are related to health care consuming costs. Patients and methods. A cost study in a natural prospective cohort was carried out to investigate healthcare data of patients admitted to the Groningen Spine Center (GSC) ranging from two years prior to referral until two year after discharge. GSC intervention consisted of a multi-professional and -specialist based diagnosis and treatment. Patients (18 and 80 years) were included, suffering from specific as well as multifactorial spinal pain. Clinical data was merged with Health Care Insurance data and included questionnaires on demographics, work, pain, disability, quality of life and psychosocial functioning. Univariable (paired sample t-tests) and multivariable analyses (pooled OLS Regression and fixed effects models) were carried out. Results. Included were 997 patients (mean age 52 years) filing a total of 700.533 health care declarations. The findings suggest that the intervention had a significant negative effect on spine-related healthcare costs (predominantly on medical specialist and allied care). Reduction in healthcare costs after treatment was predicted by lower age, lower duration, lower BMI, high education, high job satisfaction, low physical workload, high mental health, better coping, lower pain intensity, high EQ-5D score and low financial worries at baseline (all p<0.01). Conclusion. This observational study showed that spine-related healthcare consuming can be effectively reduced after tertiary multi-specialist intervention for patients with complex spinal pain. The results are robust when controlling for background characteristics and are unlikely to be driven by regression to the mean. No conflicts of interest. No funding obtained

Total hip arthroplasty (THA) is one of the most successful and effective treatments for advanced hip osteoarthritis (OA). Over the last 5 years, Canada has seen a 17.8% increase in the number of hip replacements performed annually, and that number is expected to grow along with the aging Canadian population. However, the rise in THA surgery is associated with an increased number of patients at risk for the development of an infection involving the joint prosthesis and adjacent deep tissue – periprosthetic joint infections (PJI). Despite improved hygiene protocols and novel surgical strategies, PJI remains a serious complication. No previous population-based studies has investigated PJI risk factors using a time-to-event approach and none have focused exclusively on patients undergoing THA for primary hip OA. The purpose of this study is to determine risk factors for PJI after primary THA for OA using a large population-based database collected over 15 years. Our secondary objective is to determine the incidence of PJI, the time to PJI following primary THA, and if PJI rates have changed in the past 15 years. We performed a population-based cohort study using linked administrative databases in Ontario, Canada in accordance with RECORD and STROBE guidelines. All primary total hip replacements performed for osteoarthritis in patients aged 55 or older between January 1st 2002 – December 31st 2016 in Ontario, Canada were identified. Periprosthetic joint infection as the cause for revision surgery was identified with the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition (ICD-10), Clinical Modification diagnosis code T84.53 in any component of the healthcare data set. Data were obtained from the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES). Demographic data and outcomes are summarized using descriptive statistics. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to analyze the effect of surgical factors and patient factors on the risk of developing PJI. Surgical factors include the approach, use of bone graft, use of cement, and the year of surgery. Patient factors include sex, age at surgery, income quintile and rurality (community vs. urban). We compared the 1,2,5 and 10 year PJI rates for patients undergoing THA each year of our cohort with the Cochran-Armitage test. Less than 0.1% of data were missing from all fields except for rurality which was lacking 0.3% of data. A total of 100,674 patients aged 55 or older received a primary total hip arthroplasty for osteoarthritis from 2002–2016. We identified 1034 cases of revision surgery for prosthetic joint infection for an overall PJI rate of 1.03%. When accounting for patients censored at final follow-up, the cumulative incidence for PJI is 1.44%. Our Cox proportional hazards model revealed that male sex, Type II diabetes mellitus, discharge to convalescent care, and having both hips replaced during one's lifetime were associated with increased risk of developing PJI following primary THA. Importantly, the time adjusted risk for PJI was equal for patients operated within the past 5 years, 6–10 years ago, or 11–15 years ago. The surgical approach, use of bone grafting or cement were not associated with increased risk of infection. PJI rates have not changed significantly over the past 15 years. One, two, five and ten-year PJI rates were similar for patients undergoing THA in all qualifying years. Analysis of a population-based cohort of 100,674 patients has shown that the risk of developing PJI following primary THA has not changed over 15 years. The surgical approach, use of bone grafting or cement were not associated with increased risk of infection. Male sex, Type II diabetes Mellitus and discharge to a rehab facility are associated with increased risk of PJI. As the risk of PJI has not changed in 15 years, an appropriately powered trial is warranted to determine interventions that can improve infection rate after THA

Introduction. Machine learning is a relatively novel method to orthopaedics which can be used to evaluate complex associations and patterns in outcomes and healthcare data. The purpose of this study is to utilize 3 different supervised machine learning algorithms to evaluate outcomes from a multi-center international database of a single shoulder prosthesis to evaluate the accuracy of each model to predict post-operative outcomes of both aTSA and rTSA. Methods. Data from a multi-center international database consisting of 6485 patients who received primary total shoulder arthroplasty using a single shoulder prosthesis (Equinoxe, Exactech, Inc) were analyzed from 19,796 patient visits in this study. Specifically, demographic, comorbidity, implant type and implant size, surgical technique, pre-operative PROMs and ROM measures, post-operative PROMs and ROM measures, pre-operative and post-operative radiographic data, and also adverse event and complication data were obtained for 2367 primary aTSA patients from 8042 visits at an average follow-up of 22 months and 4118 primary rTSA from 11,754 visits at an average follow-up of 16 months were analyzed to create a predictive model using 3 different supervised machine learning techniques: 1) linear regression, 2) random forest, and 3) XGBoost. Each of these 3 different machine learning techniques evaluated the pre-operative parameters and created a predictive model which targeted the post-operative composite score, which was a 100 point score consisting of 50% post-operative composite outcome score (calculated from 33.3% ASES + 33.3% UCLA + 33.3% Constant) and 50% post-operative composite ROM score (calculated from S curves weighted by 70% active forward flexion + 15% internal rotation score + 15% active external rotation). 3 additional predictive models were created to control for the time required for patient improvement after surgery, to do this, each primary aTSA and primary rTSA cohort was subdivided to only include patient data follow-up visits >20 months after surgery, this yielded 1317 primary aTSA patients from 2962 visits at an average follow-up of 50 months and 1593 primary rTSA from 3144 visits at an average follow-up of 42 months. Each of these 6 predictive models were trained using a random selection of 80% of each cohort, then each model predicted the outcomes of the remaining 20% of the data based upon the demographic, comorbidity, implant type and implant size, surgical technique, pre-operative PROMs and ROM measures inputs of each 20% cohort. The error of all 6 predictive models was calculated from the root mean square error (RMSE) between the actual and predicted post-op composite score. The accuracy of each model was determined by subtracting the percent difference of each RMSE value from the average composite score associated with each cohort. Results. For all patient visits, the XGBoost decision tree algorithm was the most accurate model for both aTSA & rTSA patients, with an accuracy of ∼89.5% for both aTSA and rTSA. However for patients with 20+ month visits only, the random forest decision tree algorithm was the most accurate model for both aTSA & rTSA patients, with an accuracy of ∼89.5% for both aTSA and rTSA. The linear regression model was the least accurate predictive model for each of the cohorts analyzed. However, it should be noted that all 3 machine learning models provided accuracy of ∼85% or better and a RMSE <12. (Table 1) Figures 1 and 2 depict the typical spread and RMSE of the actual vs. predicted total composite score associated with the 3 models for aTSA (Figure 1) and rTSA (Figure 2). Discussion. The results of this study demonstrate that multiple different machine learning algorithms can be utilized to create models that predict outcomes with higher accuracy for both aTSA and rTSA, for numerous timepoints after surgery. Future research should test this model on different datasets and using different machine learning methods in order to reduce over- and under-fitting model errors. For any figures or tables, please contact the authors directly

Arthroplasty registries have played a key role in the treatment of patients with various joint diseases and conditions since their conception. Swedish hip and knee arthroplasty registries were initiated in late 1970's. The main aim of registries was to create feedback to surgeons. During the last two decades with introduction of patient reported outcomes, data from registries have been increasingly used to compare caregivers and to improve quality of health care. According to the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register (SHAR) Sahlgrenska University Hospital had been underperforming during years 2006–2012. In order to improve the outcomes a systematic data driven approach using local and national registries, based on value based management was undertaken. Representatives from all categories of healthcare staff and patients were invited to join a newly initiated group. The group was asked to define which measurement that contributed most to improve healthcare. Data from SHAR and local registries were used and seventeen different areas of improvement were identified. Several workgroups were initiated. Between years 2013 and 2017 there was an increase of 60% in the annual volume of elective THAs. The length of stay decreased from 6.4 days to 1.8 days. Satisfaction with outcome of surgery increased from 76% to 90%. Adverse events decreased from 28% to 10%. The risk of re-operations within 2 years decreased from 2.4% to 1.9%. Data from a national and a local registry were used to identify and implement changes in a large university hospital. Engaging member of staff and creating a graphical tool for continuous feedback drastically improved the quality of care whilst increasing the availability of hip replacements and reducing costs. This project demonstrates the power of registry data and a patient centered approach in engaging staff and improving healthcare

Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2023;12(4):256–258.

Aims

Ankle fracture is one of the most common musculoskeletal injuries sustained in the UK. Many patients experience pain and physical impairment, with the consequences of the fracture and its management lasting for several months or even years. The broad aim of ankle fracture treatment is to maintain the alignment of the joint while the fracture heals, and to reduce the risks of problems, such as stiffness. More severe injuries to the ankle are routinely treated surgically. However, even with advances in surgery, there remains a risk of complications; for patients experiencing these, the associated loss of function and quality of life (Qol) is considerable. Non-surgical treatment is an alternative to surgery and involves applying a cast carefully shaped to the patient’s ankle to correct and maintain alignment of the joint with the key benefit being a reduction in the frequency of common complications of surgery. The main potential risk of non-surgical treatment is a loss of alignment with a consequent reduction in ankle function. This study aims to determine whether ankle function, four months after treatment, in patients with unstable ankle fractures treated with close contact casting is not worse than in those treated with surgical intervention, which is the current standard of care.

Aims

To assess the cost-effectiveness of a two-layer compression bandage versus a standard wool and crepe bandage following total knee arthroplasty, using patient-level data from the Knee Replacement Bandage Study (KReBS).

Aims. The aim of this study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of treatment with an osseointegrated percutaneous (OI-) prosthesis and a socket-suspended (S-) prosthesis for patients with a transfemoral amputation. Patients and Methods. A Markov model was developed to estimate the medical costs and changes in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) attributable to treatment of unilateral transfemoral amputation over a projected period of 20 years from a healthcare perspective. Data were collected alongside a prospective clinical study of 51 patients followed for two years. Results. OI-prostheses had an incremental cost per QALY gained of €83 374 compared with S-prostheses. The clinical improvement seen with OI-prostheses was reflected in QALYs gained. Results were most sensitive to the utility value for both treatment arms. The impact of an annual decline in utility values of 1%, 2%, and 3%, for patients with S-prostheses resulted in a cost per QALY gained of €37 020, €24 662, and €18 952, respectively, over 20 years. Conclusion. From a healthcare perspective, treatment with an OI-prosthesis results in improved quality of life at a relatively high cost compared with that for S-prosthesis. When patients treated with S-prostheses had a decline in quality of life over time, the cost per QALY gained by OI-prosthesis treatment was considerably reduced. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2018;100-B:527–34

Introduction. Patient demand for hip and knee arthroplasty continues to rise. Information sources providing data on the volume and cost of Medicare total joint arthroplasty by hospital are of use to patients and healthcare professionals. Data have demonstrated that higher volume surgeons are associated with lower cost, morbidity, and mortality. The current study assesses if the same is true for hospitals. Methods. The Limited Data Set (LDS) from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS) were used for this study. All elective, DRG 470 Total Hip Arthroplasties (THA) reported by CMS from the first quarter of 2013 through the second quarter of 2016 were included. Volume and part A Medicare payments over a 90-day period for the 20 highest volume hospitals in the US were analyzed. Cost associated with initial hospital stay and post discharge skilled nursing, home health, long term acute care, inpatient rehabilitation facilities, and readmission was aggregated and analyzed. For each episode, demographic information (age, sex, and race), geographic location, and Elixhauser comorbidities were calculated to control for major confounding factors in the regression. Results. For the 20 highest volume centers in the US, total joint volume for CMS insured patients varied from 1104 to 5069. Average cost varied from $16,974 to $22,094. For the 20 highest volume cities in the US, total joint volume for CMS insured patients varied from 1,501 to 6,727. Average Medicare part A payment varied from $14,255 to $21,125. Readmission % varied from 3.9% to 8.2%. 90-day mortality varied from 0.0% to 0.57%. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION. The variation in volume between the top 20 centers in the US varies by more than a factor of 4 with the highest volume hospital having almost twice the volume as the second highest hospital. Part A payments, readmissions, and mortality also varied widely. Within the top 20 hospitals by volume, there does not appear to be a correlation between volume and cost

Ankle ligament injury is a common cause of injury to military recruits, and frequently implicated in failure to complete Royal Marines (RM) recruit training. A minority of patients at Commando Training Centre Royal Marines (CTCRM) with ankle ligament injury undergo arthroscopic ankle stabilisation surgery (Bostrum or Evans procedures). The decision to undertake surgery involves an assessment of functional benefit to the patient, medical and surgical risks, and cost-effectiveness. However, there is currently little data on the efficacy of surgery in enabling recruits to complete RM training. To assess the number of RM recruits who completed recruit training following ankle stabilisation surgery and entered the trained strength. A retrospective analysis of all patients at CTCRM who underwent surgery for ankle stabilisation was performed using healthcare records data. The primary outcome measure was completion of RM recruit training after surgery. 27 patients underwent surgical intervention for ankle instability between 2004 and 2015. Patients remaining in rehabilitation following their surgery were excluded, leaving 22 patients suitable for inclusion in the final analysis. Of the eligible patients undergoing surgical intervention (n = 22), six patients – 27% – completed RM recruit training. Average time in rehabilitation 68 weeks. 10 patients underwent a Evans procedure and 9 underwent a brostum repair with 3 unknown. Based on cumulative data spanning 11 years at CTCRM, operative intervention for ankle instability enables only a minority (27%) of patients to complete RM recruit training. Patients who undergo surgical intervention also undertake prolonged rehabilitation at a cost of £1850 per recruit per week. The poor rates of completing RM training following surgery, and the high costs of rehabilitation, have implications with regards to retaining recruits who sustain ankle injuries requiring surgical reconstruction

Partial knee arthroplasty is making a resurgence as many patients and surgeons are realising that there are good options for preserving normally functioning knee tissues when facing end-stage knee OA without having to automatically proceed to TKA. What are potential advantages of this type of reasoning and could “less be more”? Limited comparative data exists comparing the functional results of partial and total knee replacement surgery. This study will report on patient satisfaction and residual symptoms following TKR, fixed bearing PKR, and mobile bearing PKR. What do the patients say when we aren't around?. TKA is not a benign treatment for isolated unicompartmental knee disease. A multicenter study examining 2,919 TKA's and UKA's found lower rates of overall complications at 11% for TKA's and 4.3% for UKA's. Significant variables for TKA included longer length of stay, more patients sent to an ECF, higher manipulation rate, higher readmission, ICU admission, and transfusion rates. Bolognesi, et al examining 68,790 TKA and UKA, reproduced these results with lower DVT/PE, deep infection rates and lower death rates. The 1 year and 5 year revision rates were higher for UKA's and have been hypothesised to be lower thresholds for revision of dissatisfied UKA vs a TKA with well-fixed implants. Functional improvements may be better for UKA vs TKA further substantiating the evidence that “less is more” for the surgical treatment of isolated compartmental disease of the knee. We conducted a multicenter independent survey of 1,263 patients (age 18–75) undergoing primary TKR and PKR for non-inflammatory knee DJD. We examined 13 specific questions regarding pain, satisfaction, and residual symptoms after knee arthroplasty. An independent third party (University of Wisconsin Survey Center) collected data with expertise in collecting healthcare data for state and federal agencies. Multivariate analysis was conducted, significance was set at p<0.05 and adequate power >0.8 was achieved. We controlled for gender, age, income, minority status, and surgical location in the multivariate analysis. Univariate analysis revealed PKR patients were more likely to be younger, male, and have an income greater than $25,000 than TKR patients. Multivariate analysis showed that mobile bearing PKR patients were 1.81 times more likely to report that their operative knee felt “normal” (p = 0.0109) and 2.69 more likely to report satisfaction with ability to perform activities of daily living than TKR recipients (p = 0.0058). Mobile bearing PKR patients were 44% less likely to report grinding/popping/clicking in the knee (p = 0.0142), 39% less likely to report knee swelling (p = 0.0351), and 40% less likely to report knee stiffness in the last 30 days (p = 0.0167) compared to TKR's. Fixed bearing PKR patients were 51% less likely to experience problems getting in and out of a car compared to TKR patients (p = 0.0129). Fixed bearing PKR's were 60% less likely to be satisfied with the degree of pain relief than TKR (p = 0.0113). The remaining questions revealed a trend for advantages in all categories for the MB-PKR compared to TKR but did not reach statistical significance. This study demonstrated that patient satisfaction is higher for MB-PKR than TKR with patients more likely reporting the knee to feel normal and that they were more able to perform activities of daily living. Fixed bearing devices were slightly more likely to report less pain relief than TKR. Mobile bearing partial knee replacement had fewer residual symptoms than fixed bearing PKR

Aims

There is little published on the outcomes after restarting elective orthopaedic procedures following cessation of surgery due to the COVID-19 pandemic. During the pandemic, the reported perioperative mortality in patients who acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection while undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery was 18% to 20%. The aim of this study is to report the surgical outcomes, complications, and risk of developing COVID-19 in 2,316 consecutive patients who underwent elective orthopaedic surgery in the latter part of 2020 and comparing it to the same, pre-pandemic, period in 2019.

Aims

The COVID-19 pandemic posed significant challenges to healthcare systems across the globe in 2020. There were concerns surrounding early reports of increased mortality among patients undergoing emergency or non-urgent surgery. We report the morbidity and mortality in patients who underwent arthroplasty procedures during the UK first stage of the pandemic.

Background: Neck pain is a common problem accounting for up to 22% of the workload of physiotherapists. Many different approaches are used and the evidence for these is unclear. Purpose: To evaluate the effectiveness of a brief physiotherapy intervention (1–3 sessions) for patients with neck pain in the primary care setting, taking preferences into account. Method: A Randomised controlled trial (n=268) compared a brief physiotherapy intervention based on cognitive-behavioural principles with ‘usual’ physiotherapy. Patients from physiotherapy waiting lists aged 18 – 87 years with neck pain of musculoskeletal origin of more than 2 weeks duration were invited to participate. Their preferences for type of treatment were elicited independently of randomisation. The brief intervention aimed to facilitate problem-solving, encourage self-management and early return to normal function. Physiotherapists undertook a one-day training programme in communication skills and cognitive-behavioural approaches. In the ‘Usual’ physiotherapy intervention treatment was provided at the discretion of the individual physiotherapist. The main outcome measures were the Neck Pain Questionnaire, a specific measure of functional disability due to neck pain, the SF-36 a generic health-related quality of life measure, the Tampa Scale for Kinesophobia, a measure of fear- and-avoidance of movement and the use of healthcare services. Data was collected at baseline, at 3 months and at 12 months. Results: Patients randomised to the ‘Usual’ physiotherapy group were significantly improved compared with the Brief Intervention group, 12 months after randomisation. However, the differences were small and patients randomised to the Brief Intervention who preferred that arm of the study also improved to a similar degree. In contrast, patients who wanted ‘Usual’ physiotherapy but got the brief Intervention did not improve. Conclusions: The Brief intervention may be effective for patients who prefer the option of a one-off treatment of advice. It is also cheaper and should therefore be offered as an option.ot