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PROGNOSTIC RELEVANCE OF SERUM ALBUMIN AND TOTAL LYMPHOCYTE COUNT AS PREDICTORS OF OUTCOME IN HIP FRACTURES



Abstract

Hip fractures are a significant cause of mortality and morbidity in the elderly. Malnutrition is a major element of this but no consensus exists as to the detection or management of this condition. Reported incidence in elderly hip fracture patients varies widely between 9.0% and 88.6%.

The aim of this study was to evaluate the nutritional status of 415 patients with operatively managed hip fractures and determine the prognostic relevance of admission serum albumin and total lymphocyte count (TLC) assays. Protein-energy malnutrition (PEM) was defined as serum albumin < 3.5g/dl and a TLC < 1,500 cells/mm3. Delay to operation, duration of in-patient stay, re-admission (< 3 months) and in-patient, 3- and 12-month mortality were assessed as outcome variables.

Survival data was available for 377 patients at 12 months. Of 377 patients, 53% (n=200) had both a serum albumin and TLC levels taken at admission, while 47% (n=177) had not. The incidence of PEM was 51%. Inhospital mortality for PEM patients was 9.8%, compared with 0% for patients with normal values of both laboratory parameters. Older patients were more likely to have lower albumin (p=0.017) and TLC (p=0.023). Nursing home patients were also more likely to have lower albumin (p=0.033). Multivariate analysis revealed a significant difference in 12-month mortality, with patients who had both a low albumin and a low TLC 4.6 times (95% CI: 1.0–21.3) more likely to die within 12 months postoperatively than patients who had normal values of both laboratory parameters. This was significant after adjusting for age, gender and domicile (p=0.049).

Serum albumin and TLC in combination are accurate predictors of 12-month mortality in hip fracture patients. These results highlight the relevance of assessing the nutritional status of patients with hip fractures at the time of admission and emphasises the relationship between nutrition and outcome.

Correspondence should be addressed to Editorial Secretary Mr ML Costa or Assistant Editorial Secretary Mr B.J. Ollivere at BOA, 35–43 Lincoln’s Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PE, England; Email: mattcosta@hotmail.com or ben@ollivere.co.uk