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CAN OUTCOME OF LOWER LIMB ARTHROPLASTY BE EFFECTIVELY PREDICTED?



Abstract

In the current climate of increasing financial pressures and reducing bed numbers, a predictor of length of stay (LOS) may have a bearing on hospital finances. Independent sector treatment centres may also skew the ASA grade and co-morbidity of the patient group treated in a hospital setting. We performed a study of 100 consecutive patients undergoing Total hip or knee arthroplasty between April and September 2006.

Median age was 71 years (35 – 88) with 75% of patients having significant (cardiac, renal or respiratory) pre-existing medical conditions (24% with 3 or more conditions). Average ASA grade was 2 (15% grade 3) and average BMI was 30. A significant reduction in LOS from 8.47 to 5.87 days was seen in under 70 year olds when compared with those over 70 years (p = 0.0004), having 3 or more co-morbidities (compared with 2 or less) increased average LOS from 6.61 days to 9.3 days (p = 0.002), ASA grade of 3 increased LOS to 9.56 days from 6.27 and 6.87 for grade 1 and 2 respectively (p = 0.014) and living alone (compared with cohabiting) increased LOS from 6.55 days to 9.19 days (p = 0.0017). However no statistical significance was seen for BMI with an average of 7.19 days for < 30 and 7.37 days for patients with BMI of 30 or above (p = 0.82)

Regardless of this patient group being elderly and obese with significant co-morbidity, an acceptable outcome was seen, with 70% of patients discharged within 7 days and only 4% staying > 14 days. Although BMI did not predict outcome, number of co-morbidities, ASA, age greater than 70 years and living alone all demonstrated a significant increase in LOS. Increased resources in this at risk group within a pre-admission setting could reduce length of hospital stay.

Correspondence should be addressed to Editorial Secretary Mr ML Costa or Assistant Editorial Secretary Mr B.J. Ollivere at BOA, 35–43 Lincoln’s Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PE, England; Email: mattcosta@hotmail.com or ben@ollivere.co.uk