O2137 VALIDATION OF TOKUHASHI AND TOMITA PROGNOSTIC SCORING SYSTEMS IN SPINAL METASTASES

Abstract

Aims: The validation of two previously published prognostic scoring systems in relation to survival following surgery for metastatic disease of the spine. Methods: 169 patients operated upon for metastatic disease of the spine were retrospectively reviewed and prognostic scores calculated according to the systems of Tokuhashi and Tomita. Surgical approach and strategy, complications and reoperations were also recorded. Patient survival was compared by prognostic group and surgical strategy within and between the two systems. Results: 126 patients were conþrmed dead at a mean of 8.3 months and 43 alive at a mean 31.2 months. Patients with Tokuhashi scores of 9–12 had 50% survivial of 23 months compared to 5 months and 2 months for scores of 5–8 and 1–4 respectively (p< 0.05). Tomita scoring showed a similar trend with 50% survivals of 15 and 5 months for predicted long and medium term groups (p< 0.05). Each prognostic parameter was signiþcantly related to survival for both systems. There was no difference in survival within the better prognostic groups in relation to surgical stratergy. Tomitañs system was less sensitive to early mortality. Conclusions: Both systems are potentially useful in deciding the suitability for surgery in patients with metastatic spinal disease. There use in the emergency, unstaged patient has not been validated here. They may help in comparing patient status in future studies allowing more meaningful analysis of data.