There has been extensive discussion about the
effect of delay to surgery on mortality in patients sustaining a fracture
of the hip. Despite the low level of evidence provided by many studies,
a consensus has been accepted that delay of >
48 hours is detrimental
to survival. The aim of this prospective observational study was
to determine if early surgery confers a survival benefit at 30 days. Between 1989 and 2013, data were prospectively collected on patients
sustaining a fracture of the hip at Peterborough City Hospital.
They were divided into groups according to the time interval between
admission and surgery. These thresholds ranged from <
6 hours
to between 49 and 72 hours. The outcome which was assessed was the
30-day mortality. Adjustment for confounders was performed using
multivariate binary logistic regression analysis. In all, 6638 patients
aged >
60 years were included. Worsening American Society of Anaesthesiologists grade (p <
0.001), increased age (p <
0.001) and extracapsular fracture
(p <
0.019) increased the risk of 30-day mortality. Increasing mobility score (p = 0.014), mini mental test score
(p <
0.001) and female gender (p = 0.014) improved survival.
After adjusting for these confounders, surgery before 12 hours improved
survival compared with surgery after 12 hours (p = 0.013). Beyond
this the increasing delay to surgery did not significantly affect
the 30-day mortality. Cite this article:
We undertook a simultaneous prospective two-centre study to examine why patients with fractures of the proximal femur experience a delay in undergoing surgery. At centre 1, 23 of 105 patients (22%) suffered an avoidable delay, 18 (78%) because of a lack of theatre capacity while at centre 2, 71 of 130 patients (55%) had an avoidable delay, with 54 (76%) because of this cause. Miscellaneous reasons such as poor ward management, co-existing medical conditions, and lack of equipment were responsible for the remainder of the delays. Without a substantial increase in operating capacity for acute trauma, it will not be possible to comply with guidelines which recommend surgical treatment within 24 hours in elderly and vulnerable patients.