Studies on recurrent disc herniation quote rates of recurrence without regard to the times of recurrence and the influence of longer follow-up. Our objective was to assess the use of survival analysis to measure the rate of revision after lumbar microdiscectomy. We undertook a retrospective analysis of the hospital records of 993 patients who underwent lumbar microdiscectomy over a period of ten years. After calculating the overall rate of revision for the mean length of follow-up, we carried out a survival analysis using the life-table method. During the study period 49 patients had a revision microdiscectomy. This gave an overall rate of revision of 4.9% at a mean follow-up of 5.25 years. Using survival analysis, the rate of revision was 7.9% at a follow-up of ten years when the number at risk was 84. Survival analysis gives a more accurate estimation of the true rate of recurrence for patients undergoing lumbar microdiscectomy. The method allows better comparison between different interventions for disc herniation

Survival analysis is an important tool for assessing the outcome of total joint replacement. The Kaplan-Meier method is used to estimate the incidence of revision of a prosthesis over time, but does not account appropriately for competing events which preclude revision. In the presence of competing death, this method will lead to statistical bias and the curve will lose its interpretability. A valid comparison of survival results between studies using the method is impossible without accounting for different rates of competing events. An alternative and easily applicable approach, the cumulative incidence of competing risk, is proposed. Using three simulated data sets and realistic data from a cohort of 406 consecutive cementless total hip prostheses, followed up for a minimum of ten years, both approaches were compared and the magnitude of potential bias was highlighted. The Kaplan-Meier method overestimated the incidence of revision by almost 4% (60% relative difference) in the simulations and more than 1% (31.3% relative difference) in the realistic data set. The cumulative incidence of competing risk approach allows for appropriate accounting of competing risk and, as such, offers an improved ability to compare survival results across studies

Aims. The aim of this to study was to compare the previously unreported long-term survival outcome of the Oxford medial unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) performed by trainee surgeons and consultants. . Patients and Methods. We therefore identified a previously unreported cohort of 1084 knees in 947 patients who had a UKA inserted for anteromedial knee arthritis by consultants and surgeons in training, at a tertiary arthroplasty centre and performed survival analysis on the group with revision as the endpoint. Results. The ten-year cumulative survival rate for revision or exchange of any part of the prosthetic components was 93.2% (95% confidence interval (CI) 86.1 to 100, number at risk 45). Consultant surgeons had a nine-year cumulative survival rate of 93.9% (95% CI 90.2 to 97.6, number at risk 16). Trainee surgeons had a cumulative nine-year survival rate of 93.0% (95% CI 90.3 to 95.7, number at risk 35). Although there was no differences in implant survival between consultants and trainees (p = 0.30), there was a difference in failure pattern whereby all re-operations performed for bearing dislocation (n = 7), occurred in the trainee group. This accounted for 0.6% of the entire cohort and 15% of the re-operations. . Conclusion. This is the largest single series of the Oxford UKA ever reported and demonstrates that good results can be achieved by a heterogeneous group of surgeons, including trainees, if performed within a high-volume centre with considerable experience with the procedure. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;(10 Suppl B):22–7

We describe a prospective survival analysis of 63 consecutive meniscal allografts transplanted into 57 patients. The lateral meniscus was transplanted in 34, the medial meniscus in 17, and both menisci (combined) in the same knee in six. For survival analysis we used persistent pain or mechanical damage as clinical criteria of failure. A total of 13 allografts failed (5 lateral, 7 medial, 1 medial and lateral). A significant negative correlation (p = 0.003) was found between rupture of the anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) and successful meniscal transplantation. A significant difference (p = 0.004) in the clinical results was found between lateral and medial meniscal transplants. The cumulative survival rate of the lateral, medial and combined allografts in the same knee, based on the life-table method and the Kaplan-Meier calculation, was 76%, 50% and 67%, respectively. The survival of medial meniscal allografts may improve when reconstruction of the ACL is carried out at the same time as meniscal transplantation in an ACL-deficient knee

Survival analysis is a powerful tool for analysing the results of total joint replacement, but it has major drawbacks when the failure rates are very low. We have reviewed 35 recent survival analyses of joint replacements to assess the magnitude of these problems and make recommendations as to how they may be avoided

Although about 200 000 cementless Zweymüller-Alloclassic total hip arthroplasties (THAs) were carried out worldwide in the last decade, the survival analysis of these prostheses was not available in the 2000 report of the Swedish national hip arthroplasty registry. We report a prospective survivorship analysis of 200 consecutive grit-blasted cementless Alloclassic primary THAs carried out since 1988. Using surgical, clinical and radiological endpoints for the stem and the threaded cup the ten-year survivorship was 91.5% for reoperation for any cause, 96.4% for hip pain (Merle d’Aubigné score < 5 points, clinical failure), 99.4% for definite aseptic loosening (radiological failure) and 99.3% for revision for aseptic loosening. Using the Swedish registry criteria of primary osteoarthritis and revision for aseptic loosening as the endpoint, the survival rate of 99.1% at ten years for the subgroup of 157 Alloclassic THAs in osteoarthritis compares favourably with that of the best modern cemented hip replacements reported in the Swedish arthroplasty registry

We reviewed 264 consecutive primary total hip replacements in 244 patients in which the Harris-Galante I porous-coated acetabular component had been used. The mean follow-up was 95 months (69 to 132). In 221 arthroplasties a 32 mm ceramic head had been used, and in the other 43 one of cobalt-chrome alloy. There were 124 women and 120 men with a mean age at operation of 56.8 years (21 to 83). Survival analysis of the acetabular components was performed using the following definitions of failure: 1) infection; 2) removal because of aseptic loosening; 3) removal for any cause; and 4) a worst-case analysis including removal of the cup or infection or loss to follow-up. Two well-fixed cups had been removed because of deep infection and three, similarly sound cups had been exchanged at the time of femoral revision. None of the acetabular components had required revision for aseptic loosening. After 11 years survival was 97.7% using the worst-case criterion. Radiological analysis of 187 acetabular components at a mean of 82 months (41 to 132) revealed no case of aseptic loosening. Pelvic osteolysis was seen in only one patient, but was not progressive and showed signs of regression. The results using these acetabular components are encouraging but the need for regular follow-up remains since complications such as significant wear of the liner, massive osteolysis of the pelvis, aseptic loosening and late infection may increase in the second decade

We used survival analysis to evaluate 113 consecutive semiconstrained total elbow arthroplasties (TEAs) in 95 patients at a maximum follow-up of 99 months. Our criteria for failure were mechanical malfunction, revision for any reason, and deep infection. The primary diagnosis was inflammatory arthritis in 86 elbows, post-traumatic arthritis in 6, supracondylar nonunion or fracture in 12, osteoarthritis in 2 and other causes in 3. Seven failures were due to deep infection, and five of these had a primary diagnosis of inflammatory arthritis. Eight failures were revised or had revision recommended for aseptic loosening, and six of these were in patients with post-traumatic arthritis or supracondylar nonunion. The cumulative survival for TEAs performed for post-traumatic arthritis, fractures or supracondylar nonunion was 73% at three years and 53% at five years, significantly worse than the cumulative three- and five-year survivals of 92% and 90%, respectively, for patients with inflammatory arthritis. TEA with a semiconstrained prosthesis appears to have a satisfactory survival in selected patients with arthritic disorders. The incidence of deep infection was reduced by improvements in surgical technique and postoperative management, and the routine use of antibiotic-impregnated cement. The incidence of aseptic loosening was low, except in patients with supracondylar nonunion or post-traumatic arthritis

We report a clinical and radiological survival analysis of 148 consecutive revisions of hip arthroplasties. All patients referred were offered revision if it was indicated and they were medically fit. About one-third (32%) had had at least one previous revision, and about one-third had an established deep infection. The revisions were performed in ultra-clean air with body-exhaust suits. The usual method of fixation was by contained and pressurised cement of standard viscosity, to which appropriate antibiotics had been added in infected cases. Some patients had cementless revision. Clinical failure meant that one or both of the implants had been removed; radiological failure was assessed from serial radiographs. The clinical survival at ten years was 95%. The Merle D'Aubigne and Postel rating for pain improved from a mean of 2.9 to 5.2; and in Charnley group A and B cases, walking ability improved from 2.3 to 4.3. In contrast to some reports we also found good radiological survival; this was 90.5% for cemented femoral stems. Isoelastic revision stems inserted without cement gave poor results

Aims. Total hip arthroplasties (THAs) are performed by surgeons at various stages in training with varying levels of supervision, but we do not know if this is safe practice with comparable outcomes to consultant-performed THA. Our aim was to examine the association between surgeon grade, the senior supervision of trainees, and the risk of revision following THA. Methods. We performed an observational study using National Joint Registry (NJR) data. We included adult patients who underwent primary THA for osteoarthritis, recorded in the NJR between 2003 and 2016. Exposures were operating surgeon grade (consultant or trainee) and whether or not trainees were directly supervised by a scrubbed consultant. Outcomes were all-cause revision and the indication for revision up to ten years. We used methods of survival analysis, adjusted for patient, operation, and healthcare setting factors. Results. We included 603,474 THAs, of which 58,137 (9.6%) procedures were performed by a trainee. There was no association between surgeon grade and all-cause revision up to ten years (crude hazard ratio (HR) 1.00 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.94 to 1.07); p = 0.966), a finding which persisted with adjusted analysis. Fully adjusted analysis demonstrated an association between trainees operating without scrubbed consultant supervision and an increased risk of all-cause revision (HR 1.10 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.21); p = 0.045). There was an association between trainee-performed THA and revision for instability (HR 1.14 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.30); p = 0.039). However, this was not observed in adjusted models, or when trainees were supervised by a scrubbed consultant. Conclusion. Within the current training system in England and Wales, appropriately supervised trainees achieve comparable THA survival to consultants. Trainees who are supervised by a scrubbed consultant achieve superior outcomes compared to trainees who are not supervised by a scrubbed consultant, particularly in terms of revision for instability. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(3):341–351

Fractures of the odontoid peg are common spinal injuries in the elderly. This study compares the survivorship of a cohort of elderly patients with an isolated fracture of the odontoid peg versus that of patients who have sustained a fracture of the hip or wrist. A six-year retrospective analysis was performed on all patients aged > 65 years who were admitted to our spinal unit with an isolated fracture of the odontoid peg. A Kaplan–Meier table was used to analyse survivorship from the date of fracture, which was compared with the survivorship of similar age-matched cohorts of 702 consecutive patients with a fracture of the hip and 221 consecutive patients with a fracture of the wrist.

A total of 32 patients with an isolated odontoid fracture were identified. The rate of mortality was 37.5% (n = 12) at one year. The period of greatest mortality was within the first 12 weeks. Time made a lesser contribution from then to one year, and there was no impact of time on the rate of mortality thereafter. The rate of mortality at one year was 41.2% for male patients (7 of 17) compared with 33.3% for females (5 of 15).

The rate of mortality at one year was 32% (225 of 702) for patients with a fracture of the hip and 4% (9 of 221) for those with a fracture of the wrist. There was no statistically significant difference in the rate of mortality following a hip fracture and an odontoid peg fracture (p = 0.95). However, the survivorship of the wrist fracture group was much better than that of the odontoid peg fracture group (p < 0.001). Thus, a fracture of the odontoid peg in the elderly is not a benign injury and is associated with a high rate of mortality, especially in the first three months after the injury.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014;96-B:88–93.

We performed a prospective study of 54 patients (76 knees) who underwent Osteonics series 3000 cruciate-retaining cementless total knee arthroplasty between December 1990 and June 1993. Five patients (seven knees) were lost to follow-up (90.7% completion). One patient required revision at 10.5 years after operation.

The rate of survival was 100% at ten years and 96.7% at 13 years. The mean ten-year knee and function scores were 79 and 59 respectively. Both were significantly better than the pre-operative scores. The range of movement also improved. Although a radiolucent line around the tibial component enlarged in six knees (20.7%) at ten years, the clinical outcome was generally good. In a patient who died after 5.5 years, post-mortem examination of the knee showed no bony ingrowth into the tibial component. Despite poor bony ingrowth, press-fit fixation was satisfactory and good results can be obtained with this cementless, cruciate-retaining prosthesis.

The hip joint is commonly involved in multiple epiphyseal dysplasia and patients may require total hip replacement before the age of 30 years.

We retrospectively reviewed nine patients (16 hips) from four families. The diagnosis of multiple epiphyseal dysplasia was based on a family history, genetic counselling, clinical features and radiological findings. The mean age at surgery was 32 years (17 to 63), with a mean follow-up of 15.9 years (5.5 to 24).

Of the 16 hips, ten required revision at a mean of 12.5 years (5 to 15) consisting of complete revision of the acetabular component in three hips and isolated exchange of the liner in seven. No femoral component has loosened or required revision during the period of follow-up.

With revision for any reason, the 15-year survival was only 11.4% (95% confidence interval 1.4 to 21.4). However, when considering revision of the acetabular shell in isolation the survival at ten years was 93.7% (95% confidence interval 87.7 to 99.7), reducing to 76.7% (95% confidence interval 87.7 to 98.7) at 15 and 20 years, respectively.

A series of 81 patients has been reviewed to determine the value of endoprosthetic replacement of the proximal femur and hip in the treatment of bone tumours. Standard statistical methods were used to evaluate the survival of the replacements and the patients. Taking removal of the prosthesis, irrespective of the cause, as the criterion for failure the survival of the replacements was found to be 63 per cent after 10 years. If deaths are regarded as failures, then the survival value falls to 48 per cent. The survival of patients with chondrosarcoma and osteoclastoma treated by endoprosthetic replacement compares favourably with survival after amputation or excision of the tumour.

The treatment of osteonecrosis of the femoral head (FHN) is controversial. It mainly occurs in young patients in whom total hip replacement is best avoided because of an increased risk of revision. The objective of this long-term follow-up study was to evaluate the outcome of intertrochanteric flexion osteotomy as a hip joint preserving operation for FHN.

Over a 19-year period we carried out 70 intertrochanteric flexion osteotomies for FHN in 64 patients. The mean follow-up was 10.4 years (3.0 to 20.3). The overall mean Harris hip score increased from 51 points preoperatively to 71 points postoperatively. Six patients (9%) developed early postoperative complications. A total of 19 hips (27%) underwent total hip arthroplasty at a mean of 8.7 years after osteotomy. The five-year survival rate was 90%. Survival rates of hips in Ficat stage 2 were higher than those in stages 3 or 4. Hips with a preoperative necrotic angle of < 200° had a better survival probability than those with a necrotic angle > 200°. Our findings suggest that flexion osteotomy is a safe and effective procedure in Ficat stage 2 and 3 FHN, preferably with a necrotic angle of < 200°.

Aims

Oxidised zirconium was introduced as a material for femoral components in total knee arthroplasty (TKA) as an attempt to reduce polyethylene wear. However, the long-term survival of this component is not known.

We compared revision and mortality rates of 4668 patients undergoing primary total hip and knee replacement between 1989 and 2007 at a University Hospital in New Zealand. The mean age at the time of surgery was 69 years (16 to 100). A total of 1175 patients (25%) had died at follow-up at a mean of ten years post-operatively. The mean age of those who died within ten years of surgery was 74.4 years (29 to 97) at time of surgery. No change in comorbidity score or age of the patients receiving joint replacement was noted during the study period. No association of revision or death could be proven with higher comorbidity scoring, grade of surgeon, or patient gender.

We found that patients younger than 50 years at the time of surgery have a greater chance of requiring a revision than of dying, those around 58 years of age have a 50:50 chance of needing a revision, and in those older than 62 years the prosthesis will normally outlast the patient. Patients over 77 years old have a greater than 90% chance of dying than requiring a revision whereas those around 47 years are on average twice as likely to require a revision than die. This information can be used to rationalise the need for long-term surveillance and during the informed consent process.