Metastatic bone patients who require surgery needs to be evaluated in order to maximise quality of life and avoiding functional impairment, minimising the risks connected to the surgical procedures. The best surgical procedure needs to be tailored on survival estimation. There are no current available tool or method to evaluate survival estimation with accuracy in patients with bone metastasis. We recently developed a clinical decision support tool, capable of estimating the likelihood of survival at 3 and 12 months following surgery for patients with operable skeletal metastases. After making it publicly available on We collected data from patients treated at 13 Italian orthopaedic oncology referral centers between 2008 and 2012, then applied to PATHFx, which generated a probability of survival at three and 12-months for each patient. We assessed accuracy using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), clinical utility using Decision Curve Analysis DCA), and compared the Italian patient data to the training set (United States) and first external validation set (Scandinavia).Background
Methods
We report positive and negative factors associated with the most commonly-used methods of reconstruction after pathological fracture of the proximal femur. The study was based on 142 patients treated surgically for 146 metastatic lesions between 1996 and 2003. The local rate of failure was 10.3% (15 of 146). Of 37 operations involving osteosynthetic devices, six failed (16.2%) compared with nine (8.3%) in 109 operations involving endoprostheses. Of nine cases of prosthetic failure, four were due to periprosthetic fractures and three to recurrent dislocation. In the osteosynthesis group, three (13.6%) of 22 reconstruction nails failed. The two-year risk of re-operation after any type of osteosynthesis was 0.35 compared with 0.18 after any type of endoprosthetic reconstruction (p = 0.07). Endoprosthetic reconstructions are preferable to the use of reconstruction nails and other osteosynthetic devices for the treatment of metastatic lesions in the proximal third of the femur.
We have previously shown that cytological diagnosis based on fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) is a safe and efficient method for the discrimination between benign, primary malignant and metastatic bony lesions. We have now studied metastatic lesions to assess the diagnostic accuracy and to ascertain whether FNAB allows identification of the primary lesion. Between 1990 and 1997, 447 patients were referred for diagnosis of skeletal lesions of unknown type. Of these 119 proved to have metastatic disease, either myeloma or lymphoma. Nine were excluded leaving 110 consecutive patients with metastatic carcinoma (80), myeloma (16) or lymphoma (14). FNAB gave a correct diagnosis in 102 of the 110 patients (93%). In eight it was inconclusive. It correctly diagnosed 15 of 16 patients with myeloma, 12 of 14 with lymphoma, and 75 of 80 with metastatic carcinoma. Furthermore, the site and type of malignancy were correctly suggested in two-thirds of patients with metastatic carcinoma. Overall, only seven open biopsies were carried out. We conclude that time-consuming and costly investigations can be reduced by choosing FNAB as the initial diagnostic method for skeletal lesions of unknown origin. The choice of radiological examinations, laboratory tests and surgical biopsies can be determined by using FNAB.
