Several factors have been identified that may affect outcome after total knee replacement (TKR). We performed a systematic review of studies that looked at the association of pre-operative factors and outcome after primary total knee replacement for osteoarthritis.

All study types that investigated TKR for osteoarthritis were considered except retrospective case-series. Studies that included patients undergoing revision TKR were excluded if they did not provide separate results for primary and revision knee replacement. Any patient factor that was measured in the pre-operative period was included.

The factors measured included age, sex, race, income, body mass index (BMI), medical or joint co-morbidity, level of education, disease specific scores and their subcategories and general health scores. Studies that recorded outcome measures were only included if evidence of validation for use after total knee replacement was available.

We identified 590 studies purporting to evaluate TKR for OA. Of these, 25 studies were retrieved for in-depth consideration and 10 were found to meet the inclusion criteria. Most of these were cohort studies that used some form of regression analysis.

The results showed that the strongest and most consistent correlations were between pre-operative pain scores, pre-operative function scores, co-morbidity and post-operative function scores. Age, gender and level of education were not significant predictors of outcome. However, even the best models could only predict 36% of the variance in outcome.

Understanding which factors influence outcome the most will be of great benefit to patients and those who plan and deliver healthcare.