This study identified variables which influence the outcome of surgical management on 126 ununited scaphoid fractures managed by internal fixation and non-vascular bone grafting. The site of fracture was defined by a new method: the ratio of the length of the proximal fragment to the sum of the lengths of both fragments, calculated using specific views in the plain radiographs. Bone healing occurred in 71% (89) of cases. Only the site of nonunion (p = 1 × 10−6) and the delay to surgery (p = 0.001) remained significant on multivariate analysis. The effect of surgical delay on the probability of union increased as the fracture site moved proximally. A prediction model was produced by stepwise logistic regression analysis, enabling the surgeon to predict the success of surgery where the site of the nonunion and delay to surgery is known.
The commonest complication (25%) was skiin irritation around the entry site, which invariably resolved after implant removal. Delayed union occurred in 2 femoral and 2 tibial fractures (all healed following bone marrow injection). 2 tibial fractures mal-united and 1 tibial fracture was complicated with compartment syndrome. The average nail removal time was 9 months. The nails could not be removed in 4 cases.