Introduction: Mechanical complications following lumbar fixation are due to the combination of various factors related to morphology, pathology, and surgery. The aim of this study was to provide a patient-specific Finite Element Model of the lumbar spine for the simulation of surgical strategies, and to use it as a predictive tool aiming to detect and reduce preoperatively the risks of mechanical complications.

Materials & Methods: A pre-existing 3D personalized FEM of the lumbar spine was used. Posterior implants and main degenerative pathologies were also modelled.

After in vitro validation based on 24 specimens and 4 different instrumentations, the model was used to simulate real cases. Applied loads were based on patient characteristics (weight, imbalance). Simulation results included mechanical stresses in the discs and within the implants.

Clinical consistency of the simulations was tested through the gathering of clinical data for 66 patients instrumented with lumbo-sacral rigid screw-rod systems. Two subsets were considered: “mechanical successes” (53), and “mechanical failures” (13, including 11 screw breakage and 2 screw loosening). Blind comparison was then performed between these observed clinical outcomes and numerical simulations results.

Results & Discussion: Among the 66 patients, simulation results highlighted specific behaviours for 9 patients for which mechanical loads on implants were significantly higher. All of these 9 patients were actual “mechanical failures”. None of the actual “mechanical successes” were associated with “abnormal” simulation results.

Conclusion: This is the first time finite element simulations helped predicting 9 failures out of 13 observed among a total of 66 patients. This is a promising step towards the possibility to use FEM as a clinically relevant simulation tool for surgery planning.