FORECAST is a prospective longitudinal cohort study exploring mechanism-based prognostic factors for pain persistence in sciatica. Here, we share an update on this largest deeply-phenotyped primary care sciatica cohort. Our cohort includes 180 people with sciatica (score >4 on Stynes’ Sum Score), aged 18–85, within 3 months of symptom onset. Psychosocial factors, self-reported sensory profiling, clinical examination, quantitative sensory testing (QST), biological samples (blood and skin samples), and Magnetic Resonance Neurography of lumbar nerve roots were collected at baseline. Pain persistence was determined at three and twelve months with the Sciatica Bothersomeness Index (SBI) and a numeric pain rating scale (NRS) as primary outcomes. Recruitment nears completion, with 160 participants enrolled to date. 127 and 96 participants have completed 3 and 12 months follow-up respectively. Overall, 56% of our cohort are female, with a mean age (SD) of 54.14yrs (16.57). Ethnicity data approximates local populations. SBI at baseline was (median [IQR]) 13[10-17], and interim longitudinal data shows stepwise improvement at 3 and 12 months. Baseline ‘average’ pain intensity was 5.56 (2.15) for leg pain, and 4.14(2.82) for low back pain (LBP). Overall, pain scores decreased at 3 and 12 months, with greater reductions in leg pain than LBP at 12 months. However, around 55–80% and 40–65% of people reported persistent pain at 3 and 12 months respectively.Background
Methods/results
Surgery performed in low-volume centres has been associated with longer operating time, longer hospital stays, lower functional outcomes, and higher rates of revision surgery, complications, and mortality. This has been reported consistently in the arthroplasty literature, but there is a paucity of data regarding the relationship between surgical volume and outcome following anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction. The purpose of this study was to compare the ACL reconstruction failure rate between hospitals performing different annual surgical volumes. The hypothesis was that ACL reconstructions performed at low-volume hospitals would be associated with higher failure rates than those performed at high-volume centres. This level-II cohort study included all patients from the Norwegian Knee Ligament Registry that underwent isolated primary autograft ACL reconstruction between 2004 and 2016. Hospital volume was divided into quintiles based on the number of ACL reconstructions performed annually, defined arbitrarily as: 1–12 (V1), 13–24 (V2), 25–49 (V3), 50–99 (V4), and ≥100 (V5) annual procedures. Kaplan-Meier estimated survival curves and survival percentages were calculated with revision ACL reconstruction as the end point. Mean change in Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) Quality of Life and Sport subsections from pre-operative to two-year follow-up were compared using t-test. 19,204 patients met the inclusion criteria and 1,103 (5.7%) underwent subsequent revision ACL reconstruction over the study period. Patients in the lower volume categories (V1-3) were more often male (58–59% vs. 54–55% p=<0.001) and older (27 years vs. 24–25 years, p=<0.001) compared to the higher volume hospitals (V4-5). Concomitant meniscal injuries (52% vs. 40%) and participation in pivoting sports (63% vs. 56%) were most common in V5 compared with V1 (p=<0.001). Median operative time decreased as hospital volume increased, ranging from 90 minutes at V1 hospitals to 56 minutes at V5 hospitals (p=<0.005). Complications occurred at a rate of 3.8% at low-volume (V1) hospitals versus 1.9% at high-volume (V5) hospitals (p=<0.001). Unadjusted 10-year survival with 95% confidence intervals for each hospital volume category were: V1 – 95.1% (93.7–96.5%), V2 – 94.1% (93.1–95.1%), V3 – 94.2% (93.6–94.8%), V4 – 92.6% (91.8–93.4%), and V5 – 91.9% (90.9–92.9%). There was no difference in improvement between pre-operative and two-year follow-up KOOS scores between hospital volume categories. Patients having ACL reconstruction at lower volume hospitals did not have inferior clinical or patient reported outcomes, and actually demonstrated a lower revision rate. Complications occurred more frequently however, and operative duration was longer. The decreased revision rate is an interesting finding that may be partly explained by the fact that patients being treated in these small, often rural hospitals, may be of lower demand as suggested by the increased age and decreased participation in pivoting sports. In addition, patients with more complicated pathology such as meniscal tears were more commonly treated in the larger volume hospitals. The most significant limitation of this study is that provider volume was not assessed, and the number of surgeons dividing up the surgical volume at each hospital is not known.
Both overall spine shape and the size and shape of individual vertebrae undergo rapid growth and development during early childhood. Motor development milestones such as age of walking influence spine development, with delayed ambulation linked with spinal conditions including spondylolysis. However, it is unclear whether associations between motor development and spine morphology persist into older age. Therefore, these associations were examined using data from the MRC National Survey of Health and Development, a large nationally-representative British cohort, followed up since birth in 1946. Statistical shape modelling was used to characterise spinal shape (L5-T10) and identify modes of variation in shape (SM) from dual energy x-ray absorptiometry images of the spine taken at age 60–64 years (N=1327 individuals; 51.8% female). Associations between walking age in months (reported by mothers at 2 years) and SMs were examined with adjustment for sex, birthweight, socioeconomic position, height, lean mass and fat mass. Later onset of independent walking was weakly associated with greater lordosis (SM1; Purpose and Background
Methods and Results
To investigate associations between sagittal thoracolumbar spine shape with sex and measures of adiposity throughout adulthood. Thoracolumbar spine shape was characterised using statistical shape modelling on lateral dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry images, recorded for vertebral fracture analysis, of the spine from 1529 participants of the MRC National Survey of Health and Development, acquired at age 60–64 years. Associations between spine shape modes (SM) and 1) sex, 2) contemporaneous measures of overall and central adiposity (indicated by body mass index and waist circumference, respectively), 3) changes in total and central adiposity during earlier stages of adulthood and age at onset of overweight, were investigated.Purpose
Methods
This study aimed to identify risk factors for development of deep periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) in patients following surgical treatment of neck of femur fracture. This study identified a consecutive series of 2,822 (2,052 female, 73%) patients who underwent either hemiarthroplasty (n=1,825, 65%) or fixation (DHS) (n=997, 35%) for fractured neck of femur performed between January 2009 and June 2015 at our institution. Full patient demographics, co-morbidity and peri-operative complication data were determined. The majority of patients were either ASA 2 (n=663, 23%) or ASA 3 (n=1,521, 54%), mean age = 81.3 years (SD 10.3). All patients were followed up post-operatively by a dedicated surgical site infection (SSI) monitoring team in order to identify patients who developed a PJI within 1 year. A stepwise multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify patient and surgical factors associated with increased risk of infection. Predictors with a p-value of <0.20 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis.Aim
Method
A randomised controlled trial was conducted using a rabbit model of a complex contaminated extremity war wound. Compared to saline soaked gauze dressings Inadine (iodine) and Acticoat (nanocrystalline silver) had significantly lower levels of Molecular level analysis of the wound was conducted. Plasma cytokines of interest were assayed using ELISA and levels of expression of relevant tissue genes measured using PCR following RNA extraction. Appreciable levels of Interleukins 4 and 6 and Tumour Necrosis Factor-α were identified in plasma with significantly higher levels of IL-4 and TNFα detected in the Activon Tulle group. In tissue TNFα, Matrix metalloproteinase-3 and the ratio of Matrix metalloproteinase-9 to Tissue Inhibitor of Matrix metalloproteinase-1 were significantly higher in tissue injured limbs than the uninjured limbs with no significant differences between groups. Interpretation of these results is challenging. IL-4 has been associated with transition from pathological inflammation to repair and TNFα with impaired healing. However, Activon Tulle had significantly higher levels of
A 7-day randomised controlled pre-clinical trial utilising an existing extremity war wound model compared the efficacy of saline soaked gauze to commercially available dressings. The Flexor Carpi Ulnaris of anaesthetised rabbits was exposed to high-energy trauma using a computer-controlled jig and inoculated with 106 Clinical observations were made throughout the study. Haematology and plasma cytokines were analysed at intervals. Post-mortem histopathology included subjective semi-quantitative assessment of pathology severity using light microscopy to grade muscle injury and lymph node activation. Tissue samples were also examined using scanning electron microscopy (SEM). There were no bacteraemias, abscesses, purulent discharge or evidence of contralateral axillary lymph node activation. There were no significant differences in animal behaviour, weight change, maximum body temperature or white blood cell count elevation nor in pathology severity in muscle or lymph nodes (Kruskal-Wallis). There was no evidence of bacterial penetration or biofilm formation on SEM. Interleukin-4 and Tumour Necrosis Factor α levels were significantly higher in the ACTIVON TULLE group (1-way ANOVA p<0.05). This time-limited study demonstrated a statistically significant reduction in
A randomised controlled pre-clinical trial utilising an existing extremity war wound model compared the efficacy of saline soaked gauze to commercial dressings. The Flexor Carpi Ulnaris of anaesthetised New Zealand rabbits was exposed to high-energy trauma using computer-controlled jig and inoculated with 106 Clinical observations and haematology were performed during the study. Histopathological assessment of post-mortem muscle specimens included image analysis of digitally scanned haematoxylin and eosin stained tissue sections and subjective semi-quantitative assessment of pathology severity using light microscopy to grade muscle injury and lymph node activation. Tissue samples were also examined using scanning electron microscopy to determine the presence of bacteria and biofilm formation within the injured muscle. Non-parametric data were compared using Kruskal-Wallis. There were no bacteraemias, significantly raised white cell counts, abscesses, purulent discharge or evidence of contralateral axillary lymph node activation. All injured muscle specimens showed evidence of haemorrhage, inflammatory cell infiltration and fibrosis. All ipsilateral axillary lymph nodes were activated. There were no significant differences in the amount of muscle loss, size of the activated lymph nodes or in subjective semi-quantitative scoring criteria for muscle injury or lymph node activation. There was no evidence of bacterial penetration or biofilm formation. This study demonstrated statistically significant reductions in
Extremity injury and complications such as wound infection remain a significant problem for the military. This study investigates the anti-microbial efficacy of four dressings used in militarily relevant complex extremity injury. Under general anaesthesia, the flexor carpi ulnaris of 24 New Zealand White rabbits was exposed to a high-energy impact and then inoculated with 106 colony forming units of Staphylococcus aureus. Dressings: gauze soaked in saline, Chlorhexidine, Betadine or Acticoat¯, were randomised and applied 3 hours post injury, to replicate casualty evacuation. Once recovered, animals were checked at least twice daily and body temperature recorded. Analgesia was administered once a day. At 48hrs animals were culled, the muscle harvested and analyzed by a blinded investigator. Group sizes of 6 were required to detect a statistically significant effect of a mean one log reduction in bacterial counts at 48 hours. No dressing gave a significant reduction in bacterial counts at 48 hours. A paired t-test of contamination versus recovered dose gave p values of 0.903, 0.648, 0.396 and 0.336 for saline, Acticoat¯, chlorhexidine and iodine respectively. Contamination dose between groups compared using ANOVA showed no significant difference (p=0.566). Recovered bacterial loads between groups revealed no significant difference (p=0.280). This study indicates that over a 48 hour period, dressings with reported anti-bacterial properties offer no advantage over saline soaked gauze in reducing the bacterial burden in a contaminated soft tissue injury. Future work will extend the study temporally and introduce multiple contaminants.